time to relapse
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2022 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nian Liu ◽  
Zekai Lu ◽  
Ying Xie

Background and AimsThere are no accurate statistical data on the relapse rate of drug abstainers after compulsory detoxification in China. This study aimed to collect relapse data for drug abstainers through follow-up visits, verify the effectiveness of professional social worker services and explore significant factors affecting relapse.Design and SettingThe drug abstainers released from Guangzhou T Compulsory Isolated Detoxification Center were randomly divided into two groups. The difference between the experimental group and the control group is that assistance services were provided by social workers to the former.ParticipantsThe study included 510 drug abstainers released from T Center, including 153 in the experimental group and 357 in the control group.MeasurementsDemographic information, history of drug abuse, and motivation for drug rehabilitation (SOCRATES) were collected 1 month prior to drug abstainer release from compulsory detoxification. Then, the relapse situation after their release was tracked according to fixed time points.FindingsThe overall relapse rate of 510 drug abstainers after their release from compulsory detoxification was 47.6%. The average survival time to relapse based on survival analysis was 220 days (N = 486), as calculated with Bayesian estimation by the MCMC method. The average survival times to relapse of the experimental group and control group were 393 and 175 days, respectively. By taking the specific survival time as the dependent variable and the group as the control variable (OR = 25.362), logistic regression analysis showed that marital status (OR = 2.666), previous compulsory detoxification experience (OR = 2.329) and location of household registration (OR = 1.557) had a significant impact on the survival time to relapse.ConclusionsThe occurrence of relapse among drug patients released from compulsory detoxification can be delayed effectively through the intervention of professional social worker services. Regardless of whether patients receive aftercare after compulsory detoxification, drug-using patients who are single, have multiple detoxification experiences and whose households are registered in other provinces deserve special attention. Relevant suggestions to avoid relapse are provided.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristian Tore Jørgensen ◽  
Martin Bøg ◽  
Madhu Kabra ◽  
Jacob Simonsen ◽  
Michael Adair ◽  
...  

Abstract Background For patients with schizophrenia, relapse is a recurring feature of disease progression, often resulting in substantial negative impacts for the individual. Although a patient’s relapse history (specifically the number of prior relapses) has been identified as a strong risk factor for future relapse, this relationship has not yet been meticulously quantified. The objective of this study was to use real-world data from Sweden to quantify the relationship of time to relapse in schizophrenia with a patient’s history of prior relapses. Methods Data from the Swedish National Patient Register and Swedish Prescribed Drug Register were used to study relapse in patients with schizophrenia with a first diagnosis recorded from 2006–2015, using proxy definitions of relapse. The primary proxy defined relapse as a psychiatric hospitalisation of ≥7 days’ duration. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for risk of each subsequent relapse, and Aalen-Johansen estimators were used to estimate time to next relapse. Results 2,994 patients were included, and 5,820 relapse episodes were identified using the primary proxy. As the number of previous relapses increased, there was a general trend of decreasing estimated time between relapses. Within 1.52 years of follow-up, 50% of patients with no history of relapse were estimated to have suffered their first relapse episode. 50% of patients with one prior relapse were estimated to have a second relapse within 1.23 years (HR: 1.84 [1.71–1.99]) and time to next relapse further decreased to 0.89 years (HR: 2.77 [2.53–3.03]) and 0.22 years (HR: 18.65 [15.42–22.56]) for 50% of patients with two or ten prior relapses, respectively. Supplementary analyses using different inclusion/exclusion criteria for the study population and redefined proxies of relapse reflected the pattern observed with the primary analyses of a higher number of prior relapses linked with increased risk of/reduced estimated time to the next relapse. Conclusions The results suggested a trend of accelerating disease progression in schizophrenia, each relapse episode predisposing an individual to the next within a shorter time period. These results emphasise the importance of providing early, effective, and tolerable treatments that better meet a patient’s individual needs.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (22) ◽  
pp. 5292
Author(s):  
Andrej Lissat ◽  
Claudia van Schewick ◽  
Ingo G. Steffen ◽  
Ayumu Arakawa ◽  
Jean-Pierre Bourquin ◽  
...  

Children with other extramedullary relapse of acute lymphoblastic leukemia are currently poorly characterized. We aim to assess the prevalence and the clinical, therapeutic and prognostic features of extramedullary localizations other than central nervous system or testis in children with relapse of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and lymphoblastic lymphoma (LBL) treated on a relapsed ALL protocol. Patients and Methods: Patients with relapse of ALL and LBL, treated according to the multicentric ALL-REZ BFM trials between 1983 and 2015, were analyzed for other extramedullary relapse (OEMR) of the disease regarding clinical features, treatment and outcome. Local treatment/irradiation has been recommended on an individual basis and performed only in a minority of patients. Results: A total of 132 out of 2323 (5.6%) patients with ALL relapse presented with an OEMR (combined bone marrow relapse n = 78; isolated extramedullary relapse n = 54). Compared to the non-OEMR group, patients with OEMR had a higher rate of T-immunophenotype (p < 0.001), a higher rate of LBL (p < 0.001) and a significantly different distribution of time to relapse, i.e., more very early and late relapses compared to the non-OEMR group (p = 0.01). Ten-year probabilities of event-free survival (pEFS) and overall survival (pOS) in non-OEMR vs. OEMR were 0.38 ± 0.01 and 0.32 ± 0.04 (p = 0.0204) vs. 0.45 ± 0.01 and 0.37 ± 0.04 (p = 0.0112), respectively. OEMRs have been classified into five subgroups according to the main affected compartment: lymphatic organs (n = 32, 10y-pEFS 0.50 ± 0.09), mediastinum (n = 35, 10y-pEFS 0.11 ± 0.05), bone (n = 12, 0.17 ± 0.11), skin and glands (n = 21, 0.32 ± 0.11) and other localizations (n = 32, 0.41 ± 0.09). Patients with OEMR and T-lineage ALL/LBL showed a significantly worse 10y-pEFS (0.15 ± 0.04) than those with B-Precursor-ALL (0.49 ± 0.06, p < 0.001). Stratified into standard risk (SR) and high risk (HR) groups, pEFS and pOS of OEMR subgroups were in the expected range whereas the mediastinal subgroup had a significantly worse outcome. Subsequent relapses involved more frequently the bone marrow (58.4%) than isolated extramedullary compartments (41.7%). In multivariate Cox regression, OEMR confers an independent prognostic factor for inferior pEFS and pOS. Conclusion: OEMR is adversely related to prognosis. However, the established risk classification can be applied for all subgroups except mediastinal relapses requiring treatment intensification. Generally, isolated OEMR of T-cell-origin needs an intensified treatment including allogeneic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) as a curative approach independent from time to relapse. Local therapy such as surgery and irradiation may be of benefit in selected cases. The indication needs to be clarified in further investigations.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 611-611
Author(s):  
Clara Wienecke ◽  
Bennet Heida ◽  
Katrin Teich ◽  
Konstantin Büttner ◽  
Alessandro Liebich ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction The 2-year survival for AML patients relapsing after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) is &lt;20%, independent of the choice of relapse-treatment. Relapse detection in its molecular state enables early interventions and possibly prevention of hematological recurrence of the disease. The role of measurable residual disease (MRD) monitoring for risk stratification has been described for pre and post-alloHCT MRD analyses. Yet, it remains unclear, if and by which lead-time NGS assessment can detect MRD before impending relapse. We hypothesize that the functional class of mutations determines the relapse kinetics in AML after alloHCT. Methods We identified mutations present at AML relapse after alloHCT by Illumina myeloid panel sequencing covering 48 AML associated genes. Peripheral whole blood samples were retrospectively collected before hematological relapse, with a minimum of one sample per patient at three months prior to relapse and if available, additional monthly samples. Amplicon-based NGS and bioinformatics error-correction were performed on those samples as described in Thol et al. 2018. Positive MRD was defined as MRD detectable above the limit of detection. In the last step, we performed polynomic curve interpolation to model relapse dynamics. Results MRD was assessed in 75 AML patients after alloHCT using 203 AML-related mutations present at the time of relapse, corresponding to a median of 2.7 trackable mutations per patient (range 1-7). In total, 305 MRD analyses were performed from peripheral blood (median 1.5 per mutation, range 1-5) prior to relapse. VAFs measured above the limit of detection (median LOD across all targets 0.0315) ranged from 0.0048-26% (median 1.3%). In 45 of 75 patients (60%), we detected MRD in at least one sample and one marker before relapse. Of those, 23 patients (51%) were MRD positive in all markers before relapse and 22 patients (49%) were MRD positive in some, but not all markers before relapse. The majority of MRD-positive patients (30 of 45) were first detected three or fewer months before relapse, whereas 15 (33%) of 45 patients were MRD positive more than 3 months before relapse. The median time to relapse from the first MRD-positive sample to relapse was 2.9 months (range 0.6-10.2). Among the 203 mutations found in relapse, 93 (46%) were detectable by MRD monitoring before relapse while the remaining 110 markers (54%) remained undetectable prior to relapse. Of note, 88 of those 110 markers (80%) were measured only once before relapse, indicating that frequent sampling increases the likelihood of MRD detection. Genes in which mutations were found mostly MRD-positive were TET2 (6 out of 6), ASXL2 (4 out of 5), SF3B1 (4 out of 5), and RUNX1 (7 out of 9). Mutations in WT1 (1 out of 13), NRAS (1 out of 8), FLT3-ITD (9 out of 29), and PTPN11 (1 out of 5) were among the most common MRD negative mutations before relapse. To assess clonal relapse dynamics, pre-relapse samples were assigned to the monthly interval that best matched the sampling time. If MRD was measured positive at one time point, all the following monthly intervals were considered MRD-positive, whether a sample was available for that interval or not. The fraction of positive samples from all samples per time point was plotted against time to relapse and the function was approximated by fifth-order polynomials. The percentage of patients being MRD positive increased markedly with shortened distance to relapse. Thus, 29% of patients were MRD positive at 3 months, 44% at 2 months and 66% 1 month prior to relapse. Summarized by functional gene classes, mutations in tumor suppressor genes and especially signaling genes showed a higher slope and thus a shorter lead-time to relapse than mutations in epigenetic modifier genes (Figure 2). Conclusion In summary, hematologic relapse can be detected in peripheral blood in 29, 44, and 66% of patients at 3, 2, and 1 months before relapse by NGS-MRD analysis, respectively. Mutations in epigenetic modifier genes show a higher fraction of MRD positivity before relapse than other mutations. In contrast, mutations in signaling genes show a shorter lead-time to relapse. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Ganser: Celgene: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Honoraria. Thol: Abbvie: Honoraria; Astellas: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Jazz: Honoraria; BMS/Celgene: Honoraria, Research Funding. Heuser: BergenBio: Research Funding; Bayer Pharma AG: Research Funding; AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; BMS/Celgene: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Janssen: Honoraria; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Pfizer: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Daiichi Sankyo: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Jazz: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Astellas: Research Funding; Tolremo: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Karyopharm: Research Funding; Roche: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi101-vi101
Author(s):  
Tala Shekarian ◽  
Marie-Françoise Ritz ◽  
Tomàs Martins ◽  
Philip Schmassmann ◽  
Gregor Hutter

Abstract BACKGROUND To target tumor-induced immune evasion mechanisms of glioblastoma for clinical research, we aimed at characterizing the immunological changes in patient-matched treatment-naïve and recurrent GBM samples. MATERIAL AND METHODS Proteins and total RNA were extracted from 15 patient-matched treatment-naïve (primary) and recurrent GBM fresh frozen tumor samples. The expression of genes involved in brain immune responses were compared using Nanostring panels encompassing Cancer and Neuroinflammation genes. Correlation analysis using log2-transformed patient-matched recurrent/primary expression ratio (log2(P/R)) and clinical outcome data (time to relapse and overall survival (OS)) was conducted. Proteomic was conducted to compare total protein expressions. Moreover, immunostaining was performed on a tissue microarray of matched tumor samples to visualize CD64+ cells, CD47+ tumor cells and microglia in order to assess quantitative transcriptome of these specific cell types using GeoMX technology. Functional assays are designed for deciphering phagocytosis induction by factors produced by primary and recurrent tumors. RESULTS Genes significantly differentially expressed between primary and recurrent tumors revealed “Antigen presentation” and “Microglia Pathogen Phagocytosis” as the most significant pathways enriched in recurrent tumors. Considering individual genes, a strong negative correlation (R2&gt;0.4) between log2(R/P) and time to relapse and OS was found for 2 genes, FCGR1A (CD64) and CD47. We observed that only CD64 expression levels in recurrent samples also negatively correlated with OS. CD64 and CD47 proteins were quantified by proteomic analysis and log2 (R/P) of their levels also negatively correlated with time to relapse. Immunostaining revealed numerous CD64-positive cells in tumor biopsies resembling bushy or amoeboid microglia. CONCLUSION Upregulation of CD64 and CD47 expressions in recurrent GBM was identified as a negative predictor for time to relapse and OS. This suggests an important role of CD64 and CD47 and related inflammation dysregulation in tumor resistance and regrowth. Interfering with CD64-induced functions may represent a novel therapeutic option for GBM.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 203-208
Author(s):  
M. V. Timerbulatov ◽  
D. R. Ibragimov

Background. Contemporary methods to create primary arteriovenous fistula (AVF) for permanent vascular access (PVA) in haemodialysis continue to improve. The modified Brescia-Cimino operation is considered the main technique of forming native AVF. Various early PVA complications occur in 6–40 % patients entailing repeated surgical interventions.Materials and methods. The study was conducted at the vascular surgery unit of City Clinical Hospital No. 21 of Ufa. All patients had surgery for distal AVF formation in forearm. Native forearm AVF creation was aided by the hydraulic balloon dilation technique prior to forming anastomosis.Results. The PVA survival was 75.0 (n = 30), the median survival time corresponding to estimated time-to-rehospitalisation in at least 50 % patients (n = 30) was 4.0 ± 0.89 (95 % CI: 2.25–5.75) months. Mean time-to-relapse was 6.05 ± 1.15 (95 % CI: 3.8–8.3) months.Discussion. The results obtained suggest the accessory hydraulic balloon dilation method useful prior to forming anastomosis to provide for the vein mechanical expansion, outflow capacity assessment and prevent venous torsion at preparation steps. Preparing a certain vein length (10 cm) with ligation of putative tributaries is also of importance.Conclusion. The accessory technique of hydraulic balloon dilation of recipient vein in primary native AVF creation allows an intraoperative estimation of the vein state to exclude torsion and perform its mechanical dilation prior to forming anastomosis, which reduces the risk of postoperative thromboses.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abera Lambebo ◽  
Desselegn Temiru ◽  
Tefera Belachew

Abstract Background: Malnutrition has many unpleasant results on child health during illness and after discharge. However, in Ethiopia there is luck of study that address either time to relapse or post discharge statusObjective: To identify time of relapse and associated factors among children discharged after undergoing treatment for SAM in South, Ethiopia Methods: An institution Retrospective cohort study was done among children admitted to health posts for treatment of SAM from 2014/2015-2019/2020 under-five children after discharge. After checking all the assumptions finally multivariable Cox regression has been used. All tests were two sided and P values <0.05 were used to declare statistical significance. Results: The mean time for relapse of severe acute malnutrition among under five children was determined us 22 at 95% CI, (20.69-24.82) week from discharge to relapse time.On multivariable negative binomial regression model, after adjusting for background variables time for relapse of severe acute undernutrition was significantly associated with edema during admission (AHR,2.02 ,95%, CI: 1.17-3.50), age group of 6-11 months (AHR 5.2,95%, CI:1.95-13.87), less discharge MUAC for first admission increase hazard of relapse (AHR 12,95%, CI: 7.90-19.52). Conclusion: The mean time was 22 week and edema, Age and MUAC was associated time to relapse.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deirdre De Ranieri ◽  
Angela Chun ◽  
Lutfiyya Muhammad

Abstract Background There are many FDA-approved corticosteroid preparations available for intra-articular injection, however triamcinolone hexacetonide is not one of them. It was the intraarticular drug of choice among pediatric rheumatologists up until approximately a decade ago, when production of this medication ceased. It can be obtained in the United States and Canada via importation from Europe, but it is not FDA-approved at this time. We wish to compare the duration of remission of intraarticular triamcinolone hexacetonide (TH) with that of triamcinolone acetonide (TA) in children with Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (JIA) and demonstrate its safety in this population. Methods This retrospective chart review included 39 patients with JIA who received intraarticular corticosteroid injections (IACIs) from September 2018 to September 2019. These patients were reviewed and their life-time injections with either TH (41 joints) or TA (124 joints) was noted through May 30, 2021. Patients with concomitant systemic therapy initiation were excluded. The primary outcome was time to relapse. Relapse was defined by the presence of arthritis on physical examination by an attending rheumatologist. Kaplan-Meier curves and a log-rank test were constructed to compare the probability of time to relapse between IACI injections. Additionally, mixed effects cox regression models were constructed to account for multiple injections per participant. Results Kaplan-Meier estimator of median relapse time in months was higher for TH. Based on the log-rank test, TA joints had a higher probability of experiencing a relapse during the study time (p-value < 0.001). The hazard of time to relapse was reduced when comparing TH to TA in both unadjusted and adjusted mixed effects cox regression models (unadjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.184 (0.089, 0.381); adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.189 (0.092, 0.386)). Conclusions TH has longer duration of action than TA and is associated with less systemic side effects. It should be considered the drug of choice for intraarticular corticosteroid injections in children with JIA.


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