Preservative free travoprost and timolol fixed combination in the initial treatment of primary glaucoma: an assessment of hypotensive efficiency and safety

Purpose. To evaluate the efficacy and safety of Travapress Duo with respect to hypotensive results, changes in functional parameters, and adverse reactions. Material and methods. 30 patients aged 65–75 (averagely 71.3 ± 3.2 years) with a newly diagnosed primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) received Travapress Duo in the evening, once a day. Goldman tonometry was performed during the screening, then 1 week, 1 month and 3 months from the treatment start. Static perimetry and optical coherence tomography (OCT) were performed before treatment and at the end of the 3rd month since the treatment start. Adverse events were recorded at each stage of the study.Results. As a result of a 3 month long therapy with Travapress Duo, a significant decrease in IOP was noted starting from the 1st week of instillations (by 34 %), after 1 month, by 35 % and after 3 months of observation by 36 %. By the end of the 3rd month of treatment, we noted an insignificant increase in visual acuity, a positive dynamic of the standard deviation and the standard deviation pattern, as well as OCT indicators, such as average thickness of the layer of retinal nerve fibers and the layer of retinal ganglion cells in the macula, stabilization of the thickness of the retinal ganglion cell complex layer and the size of the inner plexiform layer. One patient complained of discomfort and hyperemia by the end of the 1st week of drug instillation. No systemic side effects were noted during the follow-up, and in no case drug withdrawal was require. Conclusion. The preservative-free Travapress Duo drug displayed a high hypotensive efficacy, reducing the IOP to 36% of the initial value. The hypotensive effect was accompanied by indirect neuroprotection, which manifested itself in the positive changes observable in the results of functional studies with varying degrees of reliability. Travapress Duo is characterized by a low level of local side effects and can be recommended for both for the initial and long-term therapy of primary glaucoma of developed and advanced stages.

METASTART: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Diagnostic Accuracy of the Simple Triage and Rapid Treatment (START) Algorithm for Disaster Triage

Introduction: The goal of disaster triage at both the prehospital and in-hospital level is to maximize resources and optimize patient outcomes. Of the disaster-specific triage methods developed to guide health care providers, the Simple Triage and Rapid Treatment (START) algorithm has become the most popular system world-wide. Despite its appeal and global application, the accuracy and effectiveness of the START protocol is not well-known. Objectives: The purpose of this meta-analysis was two-fold: (1) to estimate overall accuracy, under-triage, and over-triage of the START method when used by providers across a variety of backgrounds; and (2) to obtain specific accuracy for each of the four START categories: red, yellow, green, and black. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted that searched Medline (OVID), Embase (OVID), Global Health (OVID), CINAHL (EBSCO), Compendex (Engineering Village), SCOPUS, ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Global, Cochrane Library, and PROSPERO. The results were expanded by hand searching of journals, reference lists, and the grey literature. The search was executed in March 2020. The review considered the participants, interventions, context, and outcome (PICO) framework and followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Accuracy outcomes are presented as means with 95% confidence intervals (CI) as calculated using the binomial method. Pooled meta-analyses of accuracy outcomes using fixed and random effects models were calculated and the heterogeneity was assessed using the Q statistic. Results: Thirty-two studies were included in the review, most of which utilized a non-randomized study design (84%). Proportion of victims correctly triaged using START ranged from 0.27 to 0.99 with an overall triage accuracy of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0.78). Proportion of over-triage was 0.14 (95% CI, 0.11 to 0.17) while the proportion of under-triage was 0.10 (95% CI, 0.072 to 0.14). There was significant heterogeneity of the studies for all outcomes (P < .0001). Conclusion: This meta-analysis suggests that START is not accurate enough to serve as a reliable disaster triage tool. Although the accuracy of START may be similar to other models of disaster triage, development of a more accurate triage method should be urgently pursued.

Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy with Iloprost Improves Digit Salvage in Severe Frostbite Compared to Iloprost Alone

Background and Objectives: Frostbite is a freezing injury that can lead to amputation. Current treatments include tissue rewarming followed by thrombolytic or vasodilators. Hyperbaric oxygen (HBO) therapy might decrease the rate of amputation by increasing cellular oxygen availability to the damaged tissues. The SOS-Frostbite study was implemented in a cross-border program among the hyperbaric centers of Geneva, Lyon, and the Mont-Blanc hospitals. The objective was to assess the efficacy of HBO + iloprost among patients with severe frostbite. Materials and Methods: We conducted a multicenter prospective single-arm study from 2013 to 2019. All patients received early HBO in addition to standard care with iloprost. Outcomes were compared to a historical cohort in which all patients received iloprost alone between 2000 and 2012. Inclusion criteria were stage 3 or 4 frostbite and initiation of medical care <72 h from frostbite injury. Outcomes were the number of preserved segments and the rate of amputated segments. Results: Thirty patients from the historical cohort were eligible and satisfied the inclusion criteria, and 28 patients were prospectively included. The number of preserved segments per patient was significantly higher in the prospective cohort (mean 13 ± SD, 10) compared to the historical group (6 ± 5, p = 0.006); the odds ratio was significantly higher by 45-fold (95%CI: 6-335, p < 0.001) in the prospective cohort compared to the historical cohort after adjustment for age and delay between signs of freezing and treatment start. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that the combination of HBO and iloprost was associated with higher benefit in patients with severe frostbite. The number of preserved segments was two-fold higher in the prospective cohort compared to the historical group (mean of 13 preserved segments vs. 6), and the reduction of amputation was greater in patients treated by HBO + iloprost compared with the iloprost only.

Endoscopic negative pressure therapy as stand-alone treatment for perforated duodenal diverticulum: presentation of two cases

Background Endoscopic negative pressure therapy is a novel and successful treatment method for a variety of gastrointestinal leaks. This therapy mode has been frequently described for rectal and esophageal leakages. Duodenal diverticular perforations are rare but life-threatening events. The early diagnosis of duodenal diverticular perforation is often complicated by inconclusive symptoms. This is the first report about endoscopic negative pressure therapy in patients with perforated duodenal diverticula. Case presentation We present two cases of duodenal diverticula perforations treated with endoscopic negative pressure therapy as stand-alone treatment. Start of symptoms varied from one to three days before hospital admission. Early sectional imaging led to the diagnosis of duodenal diverticular perforation. Both patients were treated with endoluminal endoscopic negative pressure therapy with simultaneous feeding option. Three respective changes of the suction device were performed. Both patients were treated with antibiotics and antimycotics during their hospital stay and be discharged from hospital after 20 days. Conclusions This is the first description of successful stand-alone treatment by endoscopic negative pressure therapy in two patients with perforated duodenal diverticulum. We thus strongly recommend to attempt interventional therapy with endoluminal endoscopic negative pressure therapy in patients with duodenal diverticular perforations upfront to surgery.

Exploring the Impact of Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (International Prognostic Index [IPI] 2-5) on Clinical and Patient-Relevant Outcomes in the Context of a Clinical Trial

Background: Most patients (pts) with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) receiving first-line (1L) rituximab plus CHOP (R-CHOP) have similar mortality to the general population (gen popn) if they are progression-free at 24 months (PFS24; Maurer et al. Ann Oncol 2018). Characterization of quality of life (QoL) and clinical outcomes may enable more patient-relevant treatment decisions. Using GOYA trial data (NCT01287741) comparing obinutuzumab (G) + CHOP (G-CHOP) with R-CHOP, we present an exploratory analysis of 1L DLBCL pts with IPI 2-5 and assess overall survival (OS) and QoL relative to the gen popn. GOYA was not included in the previous PFS24 analysis by Maurer et al. Methods: We used data from both GOYA treatment arms to identify pts with IPI 2-5 DLBCL (n=1132 pts, intent-to-treat popn). Post-progression survival (PPS) in DLBCL is independent of prior treatment (Coiffier et al. Blood 2010) and as PFS was similar between treatment arms in GOYA, we assumed similar mortality after PFS24. Clinical outcomes were PFS24 (progression-free ≥24 months [m] from treatment start); early relapse (disease progression [PD]&lt;24m from treatment start); late relapse (PD after PFS24). Outcomes for study pts vs gen popn were evaluated using standardized mortality ratios (SMR; deaths in study pts relative to expected deaths in gen popn matched by age, sex, country, and calendar time-at-risk). Expected deaths were derived using the Human Mortality Database, which provides detailed mortality and population data by country and can be used to estimate the background mortality during the observation period. Post-relapse survival in pts with early vs late relapse was assessed using Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates and Cox regression. QoL was assessed using EQ-5D-3L and UK-based tariffs (Dolan. Med Care 1997); association between QoL and clinical outcomes used a linear mixed-effects model. The proportion of pts with PFS24 reporting QoL problems at baseline and after 24m was compared with age- and country-matched values in the gen popn (Janssen et al. Springer 2014). Data cut-off was Jan 2018 (GOYA final data cut); overall median follow-up was 48m. Results: In the overall IPI 2-5 population, mean age at treatment initiation was 61 yrs. 711 pts reached PFS24, of whom 64 experienced a late relapse (Table 1). Early relapse was experienced by 261 pts, of whom 164 were &lt;6 months from end of treatment (EOT). OS following PFS24 was 98.6% at 2 years (including patients who later relapsed). 2-year PPS was 35.7% for pts with early relapse vs 74.8% for patients with late relapse (Figure 1.) Mortality following PFS24 was 72% of the matched gen popn (SMR 0.72; not significant: 95% CI 0.44-1.11). Mortality following relapse in pts who experienced early relapse was over 33 times higher than expected in the matched gen popn (SMR 33.57, 95% CI 27.69-40.33). However, risk of death following late relapse was reduced by 78% compared with risk following early relapse (HR 0.22 95 CI% 0.12-0.40), and mortality following late relapse was significantly higher than in the matched gen popn (SMR 6.7, 95% CI 3.05-12.67). Mean QoL utility score at baseline was 0.69 for all pts. After pts reached PFS24, estimated mean utility score was 0.86 (95% CI 0.84-0.87) and worsened by -0.07 (95% CI -0.14 to -0.01) at time of subsequent relapse. For early-relapsing pts, the worsening in utility was -0.15 (95% CI -0.20 to -0.10) compared with those still progression-free (Table 2). Among all PFS24 pts at baseline, problems were reported with mobility (28.1%), self-care (12.6%), usual activities (41.8%), pain/discomfort (62.7%), and anxiety/depression (48.8%); these rates were 2.2-4.7 times higher than the gen popn based on age- and country-standardized values. Compared with the gen popn, after pts reached PFS24, pain/discomfort was 10% lower, whereas anxiety/depression was 34% higher and other QoL items were approximately 20% higher. Conclusions: Most of the clinical course of 1L DLBCL occurred ≤2 years after start of treatment. In DLBCL pts with IPI 2-5 achieving PFS24, mortality was similar to the gen popn, and with the exception of mental health metrics, QoL scores were also similar to the gen popn. Late relapse (≥2 yrs) was associated with better post-relapse survival than early relapse (&lt;2 yrs); however, this was inferior to the gen popn. Health state utilities improved whilst patients were relapse-free but the decline in QoL after early relapse was worse than after late relapse. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Launonen: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd: Current Employment. Ho: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd: Current Employment. Knapp: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd: Current Employment. Canales Ruiz: Clinical Project Manager in Clinica Universidad de Navarra: Current Employment. Simonella: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd: Current Employment. Thuresson: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd: Current Employment, Current equity holder in publicly-traded company.

Use of Defibrotide in Patients with COVID-19 Pneumonia; Results of the Defi-VID19 Phase 2 Trial

Background: The clinical spectrum of COVID-19 ranges from pauci-symptomatic forms to severe disease characterized by respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit (ICU) management, as well as multisystem involvement characterized by sepsis, organ dysfunction and death. Treatment of COVID-19 is not standardized, and respiratory failure from ARDS is the leading cause of mortality; in-hospital mortality at 28-days in our tertiary care center in Lombardia, northern Italy was 23% during the first wave in 2020(Ciceri et al. 2020). Endothelial damage and thrombo-inflammation have been identified as common to both COVID-19 pathophysiology and veno-occlusive disease (VOD/SOS). Defibrotide (DF) has endothelial-protective properties, with pro-fibrinolytic, anti-thrombotic, anti-ischemic, anti-inflammatory, and anti-adhesive activity, but no significant systemic anticoagulant effects and is approved for the treatment of severe VOD/SOS. Aim: A prospective, multicenter, phase II, single-arm, open label trial (DEFI-VID19, NCT04335201) was conducted in patients (pts) with COVID-19 ARDS to evaluate the efficacy of DF in addition to best available therapy per institutional guidelines. The primary endpoint was respiratory-failure rate (RFR) defined as progression of respiratory failure, i.e. severe gas transfer deficit (PaO2/FiO2&lt;200 mmHg), need of ICU or death at day+14 from treatment start. Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS) at 28 days, duration of hospitalization and safety. A sample size of 50 pts was calculated to detect an absolute reduction of 20% in RFR at day+14, assuming a failure rate in non-treated pts of 70% (alpha=5%, power=90%, two-sided test). Pts received DF intravenously at 6.25 mg/kg/dose by 2-hour infusion repeated every 6 hours. Expected treatment duration was 14 days, with earlier discontinuation if clinical improvement occurred. LMWH at prophylactic dose was allowed. Approval was provided by the National IRB for COVID-19 trials at Institute Spallanzani (Rome) and by the Italian Agency for Drug (AIFA). All patients provided written informed consent. Results: Overall, 52 pts were enrolled from September 2020 to April 2021; 48 were evaluated for efficacy and safety; 4 pts were excluded due to screen failure (n=2) or withdrawal of informed consent at day 2 after defibrotide was initiated (n=2). Median age was 60.5 years (range 53-71); 35 pts (73%) were male and 65% had comorbidities, with high blood pressure, obesity and COPD most common. Two pts had pre-existing diagnoses of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Median time from onset of COVID-19 symptoms and from Sars-COV2 PCR by nasal swab to enrollment were 8 (range 7-10) and 3 days (range 1-6), respectively. All pts were hospitalized and scale 5 of 8-category ordinal scale by WHO criteria, requiring noninvasive ventilation with CPAP or high-flow oxygen, with a median P/F ratio of 211 (range 134-275) mmHg. At treatment start, the median and (range) lymphocyte counts, LDH, CRP, ferritin, D-dimer and IL-6 were 0.7 (0.5-0.9) x 10e9/L; 404 (291-491) U/L; 49 (22-97) mg/L; 823 (363-1088) ng/ml; 0.44 (0.28-1.29) µg/mL and 20 (11-32), respectively. Median treatment duration was 8.5 days (range 6-11). Overall, 13/48 pts (27%) discontinued the treatment due to clinical worsening and/or need of further therapies: 9 pts experienced progressive respiratory failure and 6 of those were transferred to ICU for IOT (one pt required ECMO), and 4 required full anticoagulation due to pulmonary embolism (n=1), ischemic stroke (n=1), and femoral deep venous thrombosis (n=2). All pts who completed the treatment 35/48 (73%) were discharged with no need of oxygen support. Overall, 14 SAEs have been reported in a median time of 6 days (range 2-10): all unrelated to DF. No pts experienced hemorrhagic events. The incidence of RFR at day 14 was 25 (+/- 6)%, and at day 28, 27 (+/- 6) %. Probability of OS at day 28 was 89 (+/-4) %, at day 60 83 (+/- 5)%. Overall, 8 pts died from COVID-19 -related complications. No pts required re-admission after hospital discharge (median 14 days) or died after discharge. Conclusion: Treatment with DF in pts with grade 5 WHO COVID 19 ARDS does not induce bleeding, and is associated with rapid restoration of respiratory function (73% of pts). Notably, no oxygen support was needed at discharge and a 1-month OS rate of 89% was observed, which is higher than historical controls (77%) treated in the same setting. Disclosures Richardson: Takeda: Consultancy, Research Funding; AbbVie: Consultancy; Karyopharm: Consultancy, Research Funding; AstraZeneca: Consultancy; Oncopeptides: Consultancy, Research Funding; Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy, Research Funding; Protocol Intelligence: Consultancy; Secura Bio: Consultancy; Regeneron: Consultancy; Celgene/BMS: Consultancy, Research Funding; GlaxoSmithKline: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; Sanofi: Consultancy. Ciceri: IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele: Current Employment. Carlo-Stella: Incyte: Honoraria; Roche: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Sanofi: Consultancy, Research Funding; AstraZeneca: Honoraria; Celgene: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; ADC Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Janssen Oncology: Honoraria; Karyopharm Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

Rationale and Design of an Observational Multicenter Study to Evaluate the Use and Effectiveness of Avatrombopag in Adult Patients with Immune Thrombocytopenia: The Adopt Study

Background: Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) is an autoimmune disorder characterized by low platelet counts caused by a combination of both impaired platelet production and increased peripheral platelet destruction. Current first-line ITP treatments include glucocorticoids and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG). However, these drugs have variable and transient efficacy, significant toxicities, and relapse is common upon discontinuation. Subsequent treatment options include the thrombopoietin receptor agonists (TPO-RAs). Avatrombopag (AVA) is an orally administered small molecule TPO-RA. It binds to the human TPO receptor (c-Mpl) at a site that is different from the endogenous TPO binding, stimulating signal transduction and mimicking the biological effects of endogenous TPO. In phase 2 and 3 studies in patients with ITP, AVA was administered to 128 patients for a median duration of 7 months (maximum duration &gt;2 years; Birhiray R, et al. EHA 2020). In a phase 3 trial (NCT01438840), the primary efficacy endpoint of cumulative number of weeks with platelet count ≥50×10 9/L during 6 months of treatment in the absence of rescue therapy was statistically significant favoring AVA over placebo. The most common treatment-emergent adverse events (AEs) in these phase 2 and 3 trials were headache, fatigue, and contusion. AVA has no significant hepatotoxicity and is administered with food without restrictions on meal composition. AVA is approved by FDA and EMA for the treatment of primary chronic ITP in adult patients who are refractory to other treatments (e.g. corticosteroids, IVIG). However, there is a need to provide data to treaters and the ITP community on the real-world usage and effectiveness of AVA (including patients previously treated with TPO-RAs). Described here is the rationale and design of the ADOPT study (NCT04943042), evaluating the use and effectiveness of AVA in adult patients with ITP in routine clinical practice in Europe. Study design and methods: This is a multicenter, observational, phase 4 study, with the primary objective to describe the real-world effectiveness of AVA treatment over a prospective period of 12 months in adult patients with ITP. Prospective data will be collected at routine clinical visits. In addition, retrospective data will be collected from patients' medical records for up to 12 months prior to AVA treatment start. Eligible patients must be ≥18 years, have provided informed consent, have an established and well documented ITP diagnosis, and are treated with or initiating treatment with AVA for ITP at enrollment. Decision to initiate treatment shall be made by the treating physician, independently from the decision to include the patient in the study. Exclusion criteria include enrollment in other clinical interventional study or intake of an investigational medicinal product ≤3 months prior to inclusion, and secondary ITP. The primary endpoint is cumulative number of weeks with a platelet count ≥30×10 9/L during AVA treatment. Platelet counts during rescue medication use and within 4 weeks after stopping a rescue medication or following splenectomy are considered non-response and thus not included in the primary endpoint cumulative number. Secondary endpoints supporting the primary objective include cumulative number of weeks with a platelet count ≥50×10 9/L, patients (n [%]) with a platelet count ≥30×10 9/L and ≥50×10 9/L for at least 8 consecutive weeks, patients (n [%]) experiencing WHO bleeding grade ≥2, patients (n [%]) requiring rescue medication, and time from AVA treatment start to platelet count ≥30×10 9/L and ≥50×10 9/L. Additional secondary endpoints are AVA dose and dosing frequency, reason for ITP treatment discontinuation or change from one ITP treatment to another (prior to and during the study), use of concomitant ITP medications, physician satisfaction with outcome of AVA treatment (5-point scale), physician assessment of clinical change of AVA treatment (Clinical Global Impression of Change scale), healthcare resource use, as well as a number of patient reported outcomes (Table 1). Secondary safety endpoints include serious AEs, AEs of special interest (thromboembolic events, significant bleeding) and AEs leading to AVA discontinuation. Data will be summarized using descriptive statistics. Study status: The study is planned to start 2021 and aims to enroll 150 patients. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures McDonald: Grifols: Research Funding; Bayer, Sobi, Novartis, Amgen, argenx: Honoraria. Matzdorff: Grifols: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Amgen: Consultancy, Honoraria; Argenx: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; UCB: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Roche: Current holder of individual stocks in a privately-held company. Mellbring: Sobi: Current Employment. Nazir: Sobi: Current Employment. Lindqvist: Sobi: Current Employment. Santagostino: Sobi: Current Employment.

Experience of using synbiotics in the treatment of atopic dermatitis in children

In current conditions, traditional antiallergic therapy for atopic dermatitis does not always help to achieve timely remission, so the development of effective therapy methods is a very topical task. The promising direction of probiotics in combination with prebiot-ics, including the original mono-strain synbiotic Lactobacillus rhamnosus LGG® at optimal high concentration of 4 х 109 CFU and prebiotic fructooligosaccharides 800 mg is drawing attention. This article presents data in a clinical case format. This article presents its own data in a clinical case format. The clinical case 1 showed that administration of synbiotic in 1 sachet 1 time per day for 14 days in the composition therapeutic diet during the period of complex antiallergic therapy to a 5-month-old child with a moderate course of atopic dermatitis resulted in a pronounced positive dynamics and achievement of remission on the 10th day after the treatment start against normalization of stool. Prior to this, the child had received only antiallergic therapy, which led to improvement of the skin process, but full clinical remission could not be achieved. Clinical case 2 showed the effectiveness of synbiotic in the composition therapeutic diet during the period of comprehensive antiallergic therapy in a 10-month-old child with a mild course of atopic dermatitis. From day 2 of treatment there was a significant positive dynamics in the skin process. On day 12, remission was achieved: relief of acute inflammatory elements on the face and at the elbows on the background of increased lactobaciUus content from 104 to 106 CFU/g of feces and bifidobacteria from 107 to 109 CFU/g of feces. Clinical case 3 demonstrates the efficacy of synbiotic in 2 sachets once a day for 14 days in a 9-year-old child with atopic dermatitis of moderate severity with a continuously relapsing course. From the 4th day of the beginning of the complex therapy positive dynamics in the skin process was noted, on the 14th day partial remission was achieved: erythematous elements on the back and extremities were eliminated, signs of hyperemia, infiltration and scratching disappeared against the background of stool normalization. Signs of dryness and slight lichenification persisted. Thus, these clinical examples demonstrate a high efficacy of synbiotic treatment in the complex antiallergic therapy of atopic dermatitis in children.

Evaluation of the long-term treatment effects of intravenous idursulfase in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II) using statistical modeling: data from the Hunter Outcome Survey (HOS)

Background Mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II; Hunter syndrome) is a rare, life-limiting lysosomal storage disease caused by deficient iduronate-2-sulfatase activity. Enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) with intravenous (IV) idursulfase can stabilize or improve many somatic manifestations, but there remains a need for further analysis of long-term treatment outcomes. Using data from patients with MPS II enrolled in the Hunter Outcome Survey (HOS), mixed modeling was performed to evaluate and predict the effects of IV idursulfase treatment on selected clinical parameters for up to 8 years following treatment start. The modeling population comprised male patients followed prospectively in HOS who had received IV idursulfase for at least 5 years and who had data available for two or more time points (at least one post-ERT). Age at ERT start and time since ERT start were included as covariates. Results In total, 481 patients were eligible for inclusion in at least one model. At 8 years post-ERT start, improvement from baseline was predicted for each age group (< 18 months, 18 months to < 5 years and ≥ 5 years at treatment start) in the following parameters: mean urinary glycosaminoglycan levels (percentage changes of > –75% in each group), mean left ventricular mass index (decreases of ~ 1 g/m2) and mean palpable liver size (decreases of > 2 cm). Improvements in mean 6-min walk test distance (increase of > 50 m) and stabilization in percent predicted forced vital capacity and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (decreases of ~ 4 and ~ 9 percentage points, respectively) at 8 years post-ERT start were predicted for patients aged ≥ 5 years at ERT start (these assessments are unsuitable for patients aged < 5 years). Predicted changes over time were similar across the three age groups; however, overall outcomes were most favorable in children aged < 18 months at ERT start. Conclusions These findings suggest that the previously reported positive effects of IV idursulfase on the somatic manifestations of MPS II are predicted to be maintained for at least 8 years following ERT initiation and highlight the value of statistical modeling to predict long-term treatment outcomes in patients with rare diseases.