Predicting the Coronavirus Spread Based on Countries’ Long-Term Socio-Economic Indicators

2021 ◽  
pp. 3-15
Author(s):  
Kemal Altwlkany ◽  
Edina Ražanica ◽  
Nina Mijatović ◽  
Amra Delić
Keyword(s):  
Economic Indicators

An Evaluation of Provincial Macroeconomic Performance in Vietnam

2017 ◽  
pp. 34-47
Author(s):  
Hoi Le Quoc ◽  
Nam Pham Xuan ◽  
Tuan Nguyen Anh
Keyword(s):  
Development Strategy ◽  
Institutional Transformation ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Macroeconomic Performance ◽  
Economic Development Strategy ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Development Objectives ◽  
First Time

The study was targeted at developing a methodology for constructing a macroeconomic performance index at a provincial level for the first time in Vietnam based on 4 groups of measurements: (i) Economic indicators; (ii) oriented economic indicators; (iii) socio-economic indicators; and (iv) economic - social – institutional indicators. Applying the methodology to the 2011 - 2015 empirical data of all provinces in Vietnam, the research shows that the socio-economic development strategy implemented by those provinces did not provide balanced outcomes between growth and social objectives, sustainability and inclusiveness. Many provinces focused on economic growth at the cost of structural change, equality and institutional transformation. In contrast, many provinces were successful in improving equality but not growth. Those facts threaten the long-term development objectives of the provinces.

scholarly journals COVID-19 economic shocks and fiscal policy options for Ghana

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 903-917
Author(s):  
Komla D. Dzigbede ◽  
Rahul Pathak
Keyword(s):  
Cash Transfer ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Policy Options ◽  
Transfer Program ◽  
Economic Shocks ◽  
Economic Resilience ◽  
Assistance Program ◽  
Content Type

PurposeThis article examines the fiscal challenges the coronavirus pandemic poses in African countries, using Ghana as a case study and summarizes the country's immediate monetary and fiscal responses to the pandemic. The article also discusses the potential impacts of coronavirus-related shocks on the Ghana economy and policy options the national government may pursue to counteract the pandemic's adverse long-term effects.Design/methodology/approachThe article uses daily and monthly economic indicators to assess the immediate impact of the pandemic on Ghana's economy. The article also uses latest data from the Ghana Living Standards Survey (GLSS) to simulate potential shocks to the economy related to the coronavirus crisis and examines the outcomes from a potential government response that expands spending on an existing direct social assistance program.FindingsThe authors find that the coronavirus pandemic is associated with a significant increase in Ghana's poverty measures over time, and an expansion in government spending under an existing cash transfer program would partly offset the economic shocks related to the crisis and improve outcomes for poverty and inequality. The authors also argue that other well-targeted expenditure and revenue policies will support long-term economic resilience.Research limitations/implicationsThe research suggests that a temporary expansion of the existing program of direct cash payments to poor households may be an effective social protection policy, as are well-targeted revenue and spending policies that support economic recovery and long-term fiscal sustainability.Practical implicationsThe findings imply that while the pandemic might cause severe shocks in the economy, well-targeted spending and revenue policies that are anchored in sound macroeconomic management can promote economic resilience and long-term fiscal sustainability.Social implicationsPublic managers must ensure that national policy responses to the coronavirus pandemic consider socio-economic indicators, such as poverty and income inequality.Originality/valueThe authors present research that uses novel household-level data and an evidence-based microsimulation framework to articulate potential public policy strategies that can guide national responses to, and recovery from, the coronavirus pandemic.

scholarly journals Significant factors affecting the selection of rational options for power supply in an off-grid zone

2019 ◽  
Vol 77 ◽  
pp. 02006
Author(s):  
Ivanova Irina
Keyword(s):  
Power Supply ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Fuel Delivery ◽  
Generating Equipment ◽  
Selection Of ◽  
Significant Factors

The paper presents a short characteristic of an off-grid zone in the eastern regions of the Russian Federation. The main problems of power supply to consumers in this zone are described, and possible options for solving them are provided. A methodological approach and model tools to estimate the efficiency of alternative options of power supply to off-grid consumers are described. The factors affecting the selection of a rational option of power supply in the off-grid zone are classified. We show the interconnection between the main significant factors (availability of grid infrastructure, local fuel resources, complexity of fuel delivery logistics, characteristics of accessible power-generating equipment, and environmental constraints) and their impact on economic indicators of alternative options. Based on the systematized results of long-term studies, we present a scheme designed to select a rational option of power supply to a particular off-grid consumer according to characteristics of the described factors. Keywords: Off-grid consumers, alternative options, impact of factors, economic indicators, methodological approach, simulation models, economic efficiency.

scholarly journals The impact of adopting the euro on the Croatian economy

Notitia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-89
Author(s):  
Zlatko Čehulić ◽  
Rajka Hrbić
Keyword(s):  
Positive Influence ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
Term Basis ◽  
The One ◽  
The Impact

In this paper the impact of adopting the euro in Croatia is analysed using experiences of other countries which have passed through this process in the last decade and which are comparable with Croatia in many aspects. The process of adopting a currency different from the one that has been used for more than twenty years presents a very important economic question for each country. In this period preceding to adopting the euro, there is an opportunity to analyse this process in the countries which went through it in the past. The result of this paper shows the impacts of adopting the euro in the European countries. The selected countries, which are adequate for analysing the effects of adopting the euro, are: Portugal, Ireland, Greece, Spain, Slovenia, Slovakia, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia. These countries have been selected for different reasons. The majority of these countries have some similarities with Croatia, which are shown in this paper via relevant economic indicators. These results are significant for Croatia and show a positive influence on the Croatian market on a long-term basis. This paper is relevant and has a practical basis both for Croatia and other countries which will go through this process in the future.

scholarly journals Feasibility of grazing sheep production systems using long-term economic indicators and the methodology of the soil expectation value

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (2) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Thayla Sara Soares Stivari ◽  
Rafael Felice Fan Chen ◽  
Augusto Hauber Gameiro ◽  
Alda Lúcia Gomes Monteiro ◽  
Camila Raineri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Production Systems ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Expectation Value ◽  
Soil Expectation Value ◽  
Grazing Sheep ◽  
Sheep Production

scholarly journals COMPETITIVENESS OF ENTERPRISES: PREREQUISITES FOR ECOLOGIZATION

2020 ◽  
pp. 296-302
Author(s):  
A. Mykhailov ◽  
L. Mykhailova ◽  
N. Stoyanets ◽  
D. Budnik
Keyword(s):  
Green Energy ◽  
Environmental Benefits ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Conservation Of Resources ◽  
Competitive Advantages ◽  
Competitive Strategies ◽  
Green Consumption ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Transformation Processes

An important component of strengthening the competitive position of enterprises is to increase the level of greening of all economic processes. The purpose of the article is to systematize the prerequisites for the formation of environmentally friendly competitive principles. The author identifies the main transformation processes that will contribute to the formation of environmentally oriented competitiveness: development and implementation of green energy, production and promotion of green goods and services, implementation of green processes in business operations. The author substantiates that companies, that contribute to the greening of competitive advantages receive long-term benefits in the form of green brand formation, growth of the company's market capitalization. The article identifies the factors of intensification of green initiatives of enterprises, which are related to the introduction of green energy, environmental innovations, promotion of green consumption, increasing regulatory pressure on enterprises, strengthening competitive differentiation, etc. The author explored the experience of implementing environmental standards as drivers of intensifying the processes of greening competitive strategies. The article identifies and describes the basic components of the system of promoting ecologically oriented competitive advantages of enterprises in the market environment, which are determined by mechanisms for overcoming obstacles to promoting ecologically oriented activities, formation of strategic priorities, long-term transformation processes. The necessity of improvement of methodical approaches on an estimation of a level of greening of competitive advantages of the enterprise is proved. Management decisions about the necessary costs for energy saving / conservation of resources and the introduction of ecological production cause changes in economic indicators of production (cost, efficiency, product quality).Finding a compromise between economic indicators and environmental benefits of clean production will ensure the formation of green competitive advantages of the enterprise.

scholarly journals Comprehensive Sustainability Assessment of Regenerative Actions on the Thermal Envelope of Obsolete Buildings under Climate Change Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (14) ◽  
pp. 5495
Author(s):  
Pilar Mercader-Moyano ◽  
Manuel Ramos-Martín
Keyword(s):  
Sustainability Assessment ◽  
Intervention Strategies ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Emissions Reduction ◽  
Existing Buildings ◽  
Adequate Response ◽  
Climatic Scenarios ◽  
Passive Strategies ◽  
Social Environmental

Improving the energy efficiency of existing buildings in favor of reducing consumer demand and associated emissions is one of the central strategies for achieving global GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions reduction targets. Contemplating this activity within the paradigm of long-term sustainability implies, on one hand, that project intervention strategies must be assisted by tools that integrate social, environmental, and economic indicators that must be evaluated from an LCA (life cycle assessment) perspective and, on the other hand, deviations must be considerate of the energy-saving projections that are sought to be achieved through the potential strategies to be implemented. This article develops an LCA methodology whose objective is to evaluate the comprehensive sustainability of existing passive strategies in the local industry through the quantification of environmental and economic indicators throughout different climatic scenarios, which are socially contextualized for a building existing in a Mediterranean region. Part of the results obtained showed a loss of the effectiveness of measurements with an adequate response to the current climatological reality.

scholarly journals TEMRYUK PROSPECTING AREAS (EASTERN AZOV AREA) OF LINING MATERIALS: GEOLOGY, STRATIGRAPHY, GEOLOGICAL-GEODESIC WORKS

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liudmyla Datsenko ◽  
◽  
Ivan Lezhenkin
Keyword(s):  
High Altitude ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Magnetic Survey ◽  
Geological Conditions ◽  
The World ◽  
Ground Magnetic ◽  
The Right ◽  
The Village

Temryuk prospecting areas are situated in the Volodarskyi district of Donetsk region, in 3 km northen outside the village Starchenkov, on the right bank of the Temryuk River. Geographic coor-dinates to the center of the Temryuk prospecting areas: 37 degrees 12 minutes 30 seconds of eastern latitude, 47 degrees 3 minutes of 30 seconds of northen latitude. The lining materials are widely used in construction as an excellent long-term and durable material. The following types of topo-graphic and geodetic works were performed during the search and assessment works within the Temryuk prospecting areas: geodetic justification; concentration of geodetic laying-out; geophysical support of ground magnetic survey over a network of 100x10 m; binding of drilled wells to points of geodetic laying-out (planned and high-altitude). Temryuk prospecting areas of plagiogranite lin-ing materials has favorable mining and geological conditions for development into blocks. The pro-cessing of scientific works of the world geological community regarding granite (plagiogranite) de-posits led us to the conclusion that the granites of the Temryuk area of the Volodarskyi area have higher geological and economic indicators, the study of which is a further goal for the authors.

Forecasting Russian Stock Market Trends

2003 ◽  
pp. 81-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Rozhkov
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Reverse Trend ◽  
Trend Forecasting ◽  
Market Trends ◽  
Russian Stock Market

The article is devoted to investigating methods for forecasting long-term Russian stock market trends. The purpose of research is creation of the forecasting model capable of forming a reverse trend signal in the stock market. The index of trend forecasting constructed in the article includes different economic indicators and thus has high forecasting ability.

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