scholarly journals PIN67 Extended Cox Model Analysis With Non-Proportional Hazards Applied in Real-World Observational Data

2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. A249
Author(s):  
X. Ji ◽  
X. Gao ◽  
J.W. Baddley ◽  
R. Chambers ◽  
C.T. Solem ◽  
...  
1998 ◽  
Vol 37 (02) ◽  
pp. 130-133
Author(s):  
T. Kishimoto ◽  
Y. Iida ◽  
K. Yoshida ◽  
M. Miyakawa ◽  
H. Sugimori ◽  
...  

AbstractTo evaluate the risk factors for hypercholesterolemia, we examined 4,371 subjects (3,207 males and 1,164 females) who received medical checkups more than twice at an AMHTS in Tokyo during the period from 1976 through 1991; and whose serum total cholesterol was under 250 mg/dl. The mean follow-up duration was 6.6 years. A self-registering questionnaire was administered at the time of the health checkup. The endpoint of this study was the onset of hypercholesterolemia when the level of serum total cholesterol was 250 mg/dl and over. We compared two prognosis groups (normal and hypercholesterol) in terms of age, examination findings and lifestyle. After assessing each variable, we employed Cox's proportional hazards model analysis to determine the factors related to the occurrence of hypercholesterolemia. According to proportional hazards model analysis, total cholesterol, triglyceride and smoking at the beginning, and hypertension during the observation period were selected in males; and total cholesterol at the beginning and age were selected in females to determine the factors related to the occurrence of hypercholesterolemia.


1999 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Benneti

This study investigated factors associated with child mortality in an area in Rawalpindi, one of the large cities of Pakistan. Using both demographic and anthropological methods, the research was conducted to specifically examine the processes and mechanisms whereby a link is established between child mortality and its covariates. Controlling for the socio-economic status as a determinant of child mortality, the study population was limited to a lower income stratum living in a homogeneous environment where all households had equal access to health-related and other facilities. Results of the proportional hazards model analysis on 130I index children suggest that non-economic factors like maternal health-seeking behaviour were related to high child mortality. The cultural norm of bearing a large number of children was the most significant correlate. In order of significance, this was followed by contraceptive use, current age of the mother, age at marriage and the hygienic conditions of the household. The study provides strong evidence of familial clustering of mortality by order of the household.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paula Jimenez-Fonseca ◽  
Alberto Carmona-Bayonas ◽  
Angela Lamarca ◽  
Jorge Barriuso ◽  
Angel Castaño ◽  
...  

Introduction: Somatostatin analogues (SSA) prolong progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with well-differentiated gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs). However, the eligibility criteria in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have been restricted, which contrasts with the vast heterogeneity found in NETs. Methods: We identified patients with well-differentiated (Ki67% ≤20%), metastatic GEP-NETs treated in first-line with SSA monotherapy from the Spanish R-GETNE registry. The therapeutic effect was evaluated using a Bayesian Cox model. The objective was to compare survival-based outcomes from real world clinical practice versus RCTs. Results: The dataset contained 535 patients with a median age of 62 years (range: 26-89). The median Ki67% was 4 (range: 0-20). The most common primary tumor sites were: midgut, 46%; pancreas, 34%; unknown primary, 10%; and colorectal, 10%. Half of the patients received octreotide LAR (n=266) and half, lanreotide autogel (n=269). The median PFS was 28.0 months (95% CI, 22.1-32.0) for octreotide vs 30.1 months (95% CI, 23.1-38.0) for lanreotide. The overall hazard ratio for lanreotide vs octreotide was 0.90 (95% credible interval, 0.71-1.12). The probability of effect sizes >30% with lanreotide vs octreotide was 2% and 6% for midgut and foregut NENs, respectively. Conclusion: Our study evaluated the external validity of RCTs examining SSAs in the real world, as well as the main effect-modifying factors (progression status, symptoms, tumor site, specific metastases, and analytical data).. Our results indicate that both octreotide LAR and lanreotide autogel had a similar effect on PFS. Consequently, both represent valid alternatives in patients with well-differentiated, metastatic GEP-NENs.


2016 ◽  
Vol 70 (12) ◽  
pp. 1012-1018 ◽  
Author(s):  
John P. Mulhall ◽  
Xuemei Luo ◽  
Kelly H. Zou ◽  
Vera Stecher ◽  
Aaron Galaznik

2012 ◽  
Vol 98 (4) ◽  
pp. 428-433 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmood Reza Gohari ◽  
Reza Khodabakhshi ◽  
Javad Shahidi ◽  
Zeinab Moghadami Fard ◽  
Hossein Foadzi ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1149-1150
Author(s):  
L. Gossec ◽  
S. Siebert ◽  
P. Bergmans ◽  
K. De Vlam ◽  
E. Gremese ◽  
...  

Background:Several biologic DMARDs (bDMARDs) exist for PsA, TNFi and UST being the earliest on European markets. When bDMARDs are insufficiently effective, later-line bDMARDs typically have shorter persistence. Treatment persistence reflects a mix of effectiveness and adverse events (AEs), and persistence data are limited in PsA.Objectives:Comparative analysis of 1-year persistence of UST and TNFi within the prospective PsABio cohort.Methods:PsABio is an observational, multinational study of PsA patients (pts) treated with 1st to 3rd line UST or TNFi at their rheumatologist’s discretion.1Treatment persistence (up to 15 months of follow-up) was defined as time between start of first bDMARD treatment in PsABio, and either stop or switch to another bDMARD, or withdrawal.Persistence of UST and TNFi is shown by Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using Cox regression analysis, with propensity score (PS) to adjust for baseline imbalanced demographic and disease-related covariates (age, sex, bDMARD line, BMI, Clinical Disease Activity index for PSoriatic Arthritis [cDAPSA], 12-item PsA Impact of Disease [PsAID-12], Fibromyalgia Rapid Screening Tool [FiRST] score, co-treatments with MTX, NSAIDs, glucocorticoids, cardiovascular/metabolic comorbidities, dactylitis, enthesitis and body surface area [BSA]). Factors including concomitant MTX use and skin involvement: <3%, 3–10% and >10%, were added to the Cox model to investigate their impact on the PS-adjusted treatment effect.Results:Of 438 and 455 pts who started UST and TNF, respectively, 121 (28%) and 134 (29%) stopped or switched treatment before Month 15, with differences (as expected) according to treatment line (Fig. 1a, b). Reasons for stop/switch were related to safety/AEs in 12% (UST) and 28% (TNFi), and effectiveness (joints, nails or skin) in 77% (UST) and 69% (TNFi) of pts.The observed mean time on drug was 397 days for UST and 385 days for TNFi pts (1st line 410/397 days, 2nd 390/382 days, 3rd 381/338 days). Fig. 1b shows similar persistence for all drugs and treatment lines, except for lower persistence in TNFi 3rd line vs 1st/2nd. In PS-adjusted Cox analysis, no statistically significant difference between UST and TNFi persistence was seen; hazard ratio (HR; 95% CI) for stop/switch bDMARD (UST vs TNFi) was 0.82 (0.60, 1.13). In the model, bDMARD monotherapy (without MTX) and extensive skin involvement (BSA >10%), showed significantly better persistence for UST (HR 0.61 [0.42, 0.90] and 0.41 [0.19, 0.89] respectively; unadjusted Kaplan-Meier graphs shown in Fig. 1c, d). MTX co-therapy and low BSA did not affect the PS-adjusted treatment effect. Other factors added to the PS-adjusted Cox model did not show significant effects.Conclusion:In this real-world PsA cohort undergoing bDMARD treatment, persistence was generally comparable for UST and TNFi, but some clinical situations led to better drug persistence with UST compared to TNFi – particularly monotherapy, more extensive skin involvement, and in 3rd-line treatment. Our data emphasise the importance of skin involvement for pts with PsA.References:[1]Gossec L, et al.Ann Rheum Dis. 2018;77(suppl 2):Abstract AB0928Acknowledgments:This study was funded by Janssen.Disclosure of Interests:Laure Gossec Grant/research support from: Lilly, Mylan, Pfizer, Sandoz, Consultant of: AbbVie, Amgen, Biogen, Celgene, Janssen, Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, Sandoz, Sanofi-Aventis, UCB, Stefan Siebert Grant/research support from: BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB, Consultant of: AbbVie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB, Speakers bureau: AbbVie, Celgene, Janssen, Novartis, Paul Bergmans Shareholder of: Johnson & Johnson, Employee of: Janssen, Kurt de Vlam Consultant of: Celgene Corporation, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB – consultant, Speakers bureau: Celgene Corporation, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB – speakers bureau and honoraria, Elisa Gremese Consultant of: AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Sanofi, UCB, Roche, Pfizer, Speakers bureau: AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Sanofi, UCB, Roche, Pfizer, Beatriz Joven-Ibáñez Speakers bureau: Abbvie, Celgene, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Pfizer, Tatiana Korotaeva Grant/research support from: Pfizer, Consultant of: Abbvie, BIOCAD, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Novartis-Sandoz, Pfizer, UCB, Speakers bureau: Abbvie, BIOCAD, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Novartis-Sandoz, Pfizer, UCB, Wim Noel Employee of: Janssen Pharmaceuticals NV, Michael T Nurmohamed Grant/research support from: Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celltrion, GlaxoSmithKline, Jansen, Eli Lilly, Menarini, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Mundipharma, Pfizer, Roche, Sanofi, USB, Consultant of: Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celltrion, GlaxoSmithKline, Jansen, Eli Lilly, Menarini, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Mundipharma, Pfizer, Roche, Sanofi, USB, Speakers bureau: Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celltrion, GlaxoSmithKline, Jansen, Eli Lilly, Menarini, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Mundipharma, Pfizer, Roche, Sanofi, USB, Petros Sfikakis Grant/research support from: Grant/research support from Abvie, Novartis, MSD, Actelion, Amgen, Pfizer, Janssen Pharmaceutical, UCB, Elke Theander Employee of: Janssen-Cilag Sweden AB, Josef S. Smolen Grant/research support from: AbbVie, AstraZeneca, Celgene, Celltrion, Chugai, Eli Lilly, Gilead, ILTOO, Janssen, Novartis-Sandoz, Pfizer Inc, Samsung, Sanofi, Consultant of: AbbVie, AstraZeneca, Celgene, Celltrion, Chugai, Eli Lilly, Gilead, ILTOO, Janssen, Novartis-Sandoz, Pfizer Inc, Samsung, Sanofi


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. S426-S426
Author(s):  
Christopher M Rubino ◽  
Lukas Stulik ◽  
Harald Rouha ◽  
Zehra Visram ◽  
Adriana Badarau ◽  
...  

Abstract Background ASN100 is a combination of two co-administered fully human monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), ASN-1 and ASN-2, that together neutralize the six cytotoxins critical to S. aureus pneumonia pathogenesis. ASN100 is in development for prevention of S. aureus pneumonia in mechanically ventilated patients. A pharmacometric approach to dose discrimination in humans was taken in order to bridge from dose-ranging, survival studies in rabbits to anticipated human exposures using a mPBPK model derived from data from rabbits (infected and noninfected) and noninfected humans [IDWeek 2017, Poster 1849]. Survival in rabbits was assumed to be indicative of a protective effect through ASN100 neutralization of S. aureus toxins. Methods Data from studies in rabbits (placebo through 20 mg/kg single doses of ASN100, four strains representing MRSA and MSSA isolates with different toxin profiles) were pooled with data from a PK and efficacy study in infected rabbits (placebo and 40 mg/kg ASN100) [IDWeek 2017, Poster 1844]. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to relate survival to both strain and mAb exposure. Monte Carlo simulation was then applied to generate ASN100 exposures for simulated patients given a range of ASN100 doses and infection with each strain (n = 500 per scenario) using a mPBPK model. Using the Cox model, the probability of full protection from toxins (i.e., predicted survival) was estimated for each simulated patient. Results Cox models showed that survival in rabbits is dependent on both strain and ASN100 exposure in lung epithelial lining fluid (ELF). At human doses simulated (360–10,000 mg of ASN100), full or substantial protection is expected for all four strains tested. For the most virulent strain tested in the rabbit pneumonia study (a PVL-negative MSSA, Figure 1), the clinical dose of 3,600 mg of ASN100 provides substantially higher predicted effect relative to lower doses, while doses above 3,600 mg are not predicted to provide significant additional protection. Conclusion A pharmacometric approach allowed for the translation of rabbit survival data to infected patients as well as discrimination of potential clinical doses. These results support the ASN100 dose of 3,600 mg currently being evaluated in a Phase 2 S. aureus pneumonia prevention trial. Disclosures C. M. Rubino, Arsanis, Inc.: Research Contractor, Research support. L. Stulik, Arsanis Biosciences GmbH: Employee, Salary. H. Rouha, 3Arsanis Biosciences GmbH: Employee, Salary. Z. Visram, Arsanis Biosciences GmbH: Employee, Salary. A. Badarau, Arsanis Biosciences GmbH: Employee, Salary. S. A. Van Wart, Arsanis, Inc.: Research Contractor, Research support. P. G. Ambrose, Arsanis, Inc.: Research Contractor, Research support. M. M. Goodwin, Arsanis, Inc.: Employee, Salary. E. Nagy, Arsanis Biosciences GmbH: Employee, Salary.


2017 ◽  
Vol 117 (06) ◽  
pp. 1072-1082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyan Li ◽  
Steve Deitelzweig ◽  
Allison Keshishian ◽  
Melissa Hamilton ◽  
Ruslan Horblyuk ◽  
...  

SummaryThe ARISTOTLE trial showed a risk reduction of stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major bleeding in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients treated with apixaban compared to warfarin. This retrospective study used four large US claims databases (MarketScan, PharMetrics, Optum, and Humana) of NVAF patients newly initiating apixaban or warfarin from January 1, 2013 to September 30, 2015. After 1:1 warfarin-apixaban propensity score matching (PSM) within each database, the resulting patient records were pooled. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the cumulative incidence and hazard ratios (HRs) of stroke/SE and major bleeding (identified using the first listed diagnosis of inpatient claims) within one year of therapy initiation. The study included a total of 76,940 (38,470 warfarin and 38,470 apixaban) patients. Among the 38,470 matched pairs, 14,563 were from MarketScan, 7,683 were from PharMetrics, 7,894 were from Optum, and 8,330 were from Humana. Baseline characteristics were balanced between the two cohorts with a mean (standard deviation [SD]) age of 71 (12) years and a mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3.2 (1.7). Apixaban initiators had a significantly lower risk of stroke/SE (HR: 0.67, 95 % CI: 0.59–0.76) and major bleeding (HR: 0.60, 95 % CI: 0.54–0.65) than warfarin initiators. Different types of stroke/SE and major bleeding – including ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke, SE, intracranial haemorrhage, gastrointestinal bleeding, and other major bleeding – were all significantly lower for apixaban compared to warfarin treatment. Subgroup analyses (apixaban dosage, age strata, CHA2DS2-VASc or HAS-BLED score strata, or dataset source) all show consistently lower risks of stroke/SE and major bleeding associated with apixaban as compared to warfarin treatment. This is the largest “real-world” study on apixaban effectiveness and safety to date, showing that apixaban initiation was associated with significant risk reductions in stroke/SE and major bleeding compared to warfarin initiation after PSM. These benefits were consistent across various high-risk subgroups and both the standard-and low-dose apixaban dose regimens.Note: The review process for this manuscript was fully handled by Christian Weber, Editor in Chief.Supplementary Material to this article is available online at www.thrombosis-online.com.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 476-476
Author(s):  
Michele Ghidini ◽  
Howard S. Hochster ◽  
Toshihiko Doi ◽  
Eric Van Cutsem ◽  
Lukas Makris ◽  
...  

476 Background: Nutritional status is closely linked to cancer mortality, and BWL has been shown to be prognostic for survival in curative, first-, and second-line settings in mGC/GEJC. In the phase III TAGS trial, trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) showed clinical benefit versus placebo (PBO) and manageable safety in pts with mGC/GEJC who had received ≥2 prior chemotherapy regimens. The association of early BWL with survival outcomes in TAGS was examined in retrospective analyses. Methods: The TAGS intent-to-treat (ITT) population was categorized into pts who experienced <3% or ≥3% BWL from the start of treatment until day 1 of cycle 2 (each cycle: 28 days). Overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared between subgroups within each treatment arm due to significant imbalances of early BWL between treatment arms. The effect of early BWL on OS was assessed by a univariate Cox proportional hazards (PH) model as well as a multivariate Cox PH model that adjusted for baseline prognostic factors identified in the original ITT analysis. Results: Body weight data were available for 451 of 507 (89%) pts in the study (n=304, FTD/TPI; n=147, PBO). In the FTD/TPI and PBO arms, respectively, 74% (224/304 pts) and 65% (95/147) experienced <3% BWL, whereas 26% (80/304) and 35% (52/147) experienced ≥3% BWL at the end of cycle 1. Pts with <3% BWL had longer OS than those with ≥3% BWL in both FTD/TPI (median [m] OS: 6.5 vs 4.9 months [mo]; hazard ratio [HR], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.55–1.02) and PBO arms (mOS: 6.0 vs 2.5 mo; HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.21–0.49). The PFS HR for pts with <3% BWL vs ≥3% BWL was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.71–1.25; mPFS, 2.1 vs 1.9 mo) in the FTD/TPI group and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34–0.72; mPFS, 1.9 vs 1.7 mo) in the PBO group. In the pooled ITT population, the unadjusted HR for the <3% vs ≥3% BWL group calculated using a univariate Cox model was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.46–0.73), indicating a strong prognostic effect of early BWL. Results of multivariate analyses were consistent with univariate analyses and suggested that early BWL was both a prognostic ( P<0.0001) and predictive (interaction P=0.0003) factor for OS in pts with mGC/GEJC. Grade ≥3 adverse events (AEs) of any cause were reported in 77% and 82% of FTD/TPI-treated pts in the <3% and ≥3% BWL subgroups, respectively, and in 45% and 67% of placebo-treated pts in the <3% and ≥3% BWL subgroups. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first analysis to show that BWL is negatively associated with survival in pts with mGC/GEJC receiving third- or later-line treatment. In TAGS, early BWL (≥3% BWL at the end of cycle 1) was a strong negative prognostic factor for OS regardless of FTD/TPI or PBO treatment. Grade ≥3 AE frequencies were similar in FTD/TPI-treated pts with <3% or ≥3% BWL. The relationship of BWL to other prognostic factors will be explored further. Clinical trial information: NCT02500043.


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