scholarly journals Fetal Origins of Mental Disorders? An Answer Based on Mendelian Randomization

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 485-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Subhi Arafat ◽  
Camelia C. Minică
Keyword(s):  
Mental Disorders ◽  
Observational Studies ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Current Evidence ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Fetal Origins ◽  
Barker Hypothesis ◽  
Main Criticism

The Barker hypothesis states that low birth weight (BW) is associated with higher risk of adult onset diseases, including mental disorders like schizophrenia, major depressive disorder (MDD), and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). The main criticism of this hypothesis is that evidence for it comes from observational studies. Specifically, observational evidence does not suffice for inferring causality, because the associations might reflect the effects of confounders. Mendelian randomization (MR) — a novel method that tests causality on the basis of genetic data — creates the unprecedented opportunity to probe the causality in the association between BW and mental disorders in observation studies. We used MR and summary statistics from recent large genome-wide association studies to test whether the association between BW and MDD, schizophrenia and ADHD is causal. We employed the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method in conjunction with several other approaches that are robust to possible assumption violations. MR-Egger was used to rule out horizontal pleiotropy. IVW showed that the association between BW and MDD, schizophrenia and ADHD is not causal (all p > .05). The results of all the other MR methods were similar and highly consistent. MR-Egger provided no evidence for pleiotropic effects biasing the estimates of the effects of BW on MDD (intercept = -0.004, SE = 0.005, p = .372), schizophrenia (intercept = 0.003, SE = 0.01, p = .769), or ADHD (intercept = 0.009, SE = 0.01, p = .357). Based on the current evidence, we refute the Barker hypothesis concerning the fetal origins of adult mental disorders. The discrepancy between our results and the results from observational studies may be explained by the effects of confounders in the observational studies, or by the existence of a small causal effect not detected in our study due to weak instruments. Our power analyses suggested that the upper bound for a potential causal effect of BW on mental disorders would likely not exceed an odds ratio of 1.2.

scholarly journals Depression and Osteoporosis: A Mendelian Randomization Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin He ◽  
Qiong Lyu ◽  
Lifeng Yin ◽  
Muzi Zhang ◽  
Zhengxue Quan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Observational Studies ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
European Ancestry ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Reverse Causality ◽  
Mineral Density

AbstractObservational studies suggest a link between depression and osteoporosis, but these may be subject to confounding and reverse causality. In this two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis, we included the large meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies for depression among 807,553 individuals (246,363 cases and 561,190 controls) of European descent, the large meta-analysis to identify genetic variants associated with femoral neck bone mineral density (FN-BMD), forearm BMD (FA-BMD) and lumbar spine BMD (LS-BMD) among 53,236 individuals of European ancestry, and the GWAS summary data of heel BMD (HE-BMD) and fracture among 426,824 individuals of European ancestry. The results revealed that genetic predisposition towards depression showed no causal effect on FA-BMD (beta-estimate: 0.091, 95% confidence interval [CI] − 0.088 to 0.269, SE:0.091, P value = 0.320), FN-BMD (beta-estimate: 0.066, 95% CI − 0.016 to 0.148, SE:0.042, P value = 0.113), LS-BMD (beta-estimate: 0.074, 95% CI − 0.029 to 0.177, SE:0.052, P value = 0.159), HE-BMD (beta-estimate: 0.009, 95% CI − 0.043 to 0.061, SE:0.027, P value = 0.727), or fracture (beta-estimate: 0.008, 95% CI − 0.071 to 0.087, SE:0.041, P value = 0.844). These results were also confirmed by multiple sensitivity analyses. Contrary to the findings of observational studies, our results do not reveal a causal role of depression in osteoporosis or fracture.

scholarly journals Bias in two-sample Mendelian randomization when using heritable covariable-adjusted summary associations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Pires Hartwig ◽  
Kate Tilling ◽  
George Davey Smith ◽  
Deborah A Lawlor ◽  
Maria Carolina Borges
Keyword(s):  
Waist Circumference ◽  
Genetic Variants ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Effect Estimate ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Residual Confounding

Abstract Background Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) allows the use of freely accessible summary association results from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to estimate causal effects of modifiable exposures on outcomes. Some GWAS adjust for heritable covariables in an attempt to estimate direct effects of genetic variants on the trait of interest. One, both or neither of the exposure GWAS and outcome GWAS may have been adjusted for covariables. Methods We performed a simulation study comprising different scenarios that could motivate covariable adjustment in a GWAS and analysed real data to assess the influence of using covariable-adjusted summary association results in two-sample MR. Results In the absence of residual confounding between exposure and covariable, between exposure and outcome, and between covariable and outcome, using covariable-adjusted summary associations for two-sample MR eliminated bias due to horizontal pleiotropy. However, covariable adjustment led to bias in the presence of residual confounding (especially between the covariable and the outcome), even in the absence of horizontal pleiotropy (when the genetic variants would be valid instruments without covariable adjustment). In an analysis using real data from the Genetic Investigation of ANthropometric Traits (GIANT) consortium and UK Biobank, the causal effect estimate of waist circumference on blood pressure changed direction upon adjustment of waist circumference for body mass index. Conclusions Our findings indicate that using covariable-adjusted summary associations in MR should generally be avoided. When that is not possible, careful consideration of the causal relationships underlying the data (including potentially unmeasured confounders) is required to direct sensitivity analyses and interpret results with appropriate caution.

scholarly journals A Novel Method for Mendelian Randomization Analyses With Pleiotropy and Linkage Disequilibrium in Genetic Variants From Individual Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuquan Wang ◽  
Tingting Li ◽  
Liwan Fu ◽  
Siqian Yang ◽  
Yue-Qing Hu
Keyword(s):  
Linkage Disequilibrium ◽  
Genetic Variants ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Pleiotropic Effect ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Novel Method

Mendelian randomization makes use of genetic variants as instrumental variables to eliminate the influence induced by unknown confounders on causal estimation in epidemiology studies. However, with the soaring genetic variants identified in genome-wide association studies, the pleiotropy, and linkage disequilibrium in genetic variants are unavoidable and may produce severe bias in causal inference. In this study, by modeling the pleiotropic effect as a normally distributed random effect, we propose a novel mixed-effects regression model-based method PLDMR, pleiotropy and linkage disequilibrium adaptive Mendelian randomization, which takes linkage disequilibrium into account and also corrects for the pleiotropic effect in causal effect estimation and statistical inference. We conduct voluminous simulation studies to evaluate the performance of the proposed and existing methods. Simulation results illustrate the validity and advantage of the novel method, especially in the case of linkage disequilibrium and directional pleiotropic effects, compared with other methods. In addition, by applying this novel method to the data on Atherosclerosis Risk in Communications Study, we conclude that body mass index has a significant causal effect on and thus might be a potential risk factor of systolic blood pressure. The novel method is implemented in R and the corresponding R code is provided for free download.

scholarly journals bGWAS: an R package to perform Bayesian genome wide association studies

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (15) ◽  
pp. 4374-4376
Author(s):  
Ninon Mounier ◽  
Zoltán Kutalik
Keyword(s):  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
R Package ◽  
Genome Wide Association ◽  
Supplementary Information ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Biological Mechanisms ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Related Risk

Abstract Summary Increasing sample size is not the only strategy to improve discovery in Genome Wide Association Studies (GWASs) and we propose here an approach that leverages published studies of related traits to improve inference. Our Bayesian GWAS method derives informative prior effects by leveraging GWASs of related risk factors and their causal effect estimates on the focal trait using multivariable Mendelian randomization. These prior effects are combined with the observed effects to yield Bayes Factors, posterior and direct effects. The approach not only increases power, but also has the potential to dissect direct and indirect biological mechanisms. Availability and implementation bGWAS package is freely available under a GPL-2 License, and can be accessed, alongside with user guides and tutorials, from https://github.com/n-mounier/bGWAS. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

scholarly journals Causal Inference for Heritable Phenotypic Risk Factors Using Heterogeneous Genetic Instruments

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingshu Wang ◽  
Qingyuan Zhao ◽  
Jack Bowden ◽  
Gilbran Hemani ◽  
George Davey Smith ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Complex Traits ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Genome Wide Association ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Genetic Associations ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Genetic Instruments

Over a decade of genome-wide association studies have led to the finding that significant genetic associations tend to spread across the genome for complex traits. The extreme polygenicity where "all genes affect every complex trait" complicates Mendelian Randomization studies, where natural genetic variations are used as instruments to infer the causal effect of heritable risk factors. We reexamine the assumptions of existing Mendelian Randomization methods and show how they need to be clarified to allow for pervasive horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneous effect sizes. We propose a comprehensive framework GRAPPLE (Genome-wide mR Analysis under Pervasive PLEiotropy) to analyze the causal effect of target risk factors with heterogeneous genetic instruments and identify possible pleiotropic patterns from data. By using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies, GRAPPLE can efficiently use both strong and weak genetic instruments, detect the existence of multiple pleiotropic pathways, adjust for confounding risk factors, and determine the causal direction. With GRAPPLE, we analyze the effect of blood lipids, body mass index, and systolic blood pressure on 25 disease outcomes, gaining new information on their causal relationships and the potential pleiotropic pathways.

scholarly journals Causal effect of atrial fibrillation/flutter on chronic kidney disease: A bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (12) ◽  
pp. e0261020
Author(s):  
Masahiro Yoshikawa ◽  
Kensuke Asaba ◽  
Tomohiro Nakayama
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Odds Ratio ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
European Population ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
The Uk

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation are both major burdens on the health care system worldwide. Several observational studies have reported clinical associations between CKD and atrial fibrillation; however, causal relationships between these conditions remain to be elucidated due to possible bias by confounders and reverse causations. Here, we conducted bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses using publicly available summary statistics of genome-wide association studies (the CKDGen consortium and the UK Biobank) to investigate causal associations between CKD and atrial fibrillation/flutter in the European population. Our study suggested a causal effect of the risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter on the decrease in serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and revealed a causal effect of the risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter on the risk of CKD (odds ratio, 9.39 per doubling odds ratio of atrial fibrillation/flutter; 95% coefficient interval, 2.39–37.0; P = 0.001), while the causal effect of the decrease in eGFR on the risk of atrial fibrillation/flutter was unlikely. However, careful interpretation and further studies are warranted, as the underlying mechanisms remain unknown. Further, our sample size was relatively small and selection bias was possible.

scholarly journals Univariable and Multivariable Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Investigating the Effects of Leisure Sedentary Behaviors on the Risk of Lung Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haoxin Peng ◽  
Xiangrong Wu ◽  
Yaokai Wen ◽  
Yiyuan Ao ◽  
Yutian Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lung Cancer ◽  
Computer Use ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Nucleotide Polymorphisms ◽  
Sedentary Behaviors ◽  
Watching Tv

Background:Leisure sedentary behaviors (LSB) are widespread, and observational studies have provided emerging evidence that LSB play a role in the development of lung cancer (LC). However, the causal inference between LSB and LC remains unknown.Methods: We utilized univariable (UVMR) and multivariable two-sample Mendelian randomization (MVMR) analysis to disentangle the effects of LSB on the risk of LC. MR analysis was conducted with genetic variants from genome-wide association studies of LSB (408,815 persons from UK Biobank), containing 152 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for television (TV) watching, 37 SNPs for computer use, and four SNPs for driving, and LC from the International Lung Cancer Consortium (11,348 cases and 15,861 controls). Multiple sensitivity analyses were further performed to verify the causality.Results: UVMR demonstrated that genetically predisposed 1.5-h increase in LSB spent on watching TV increased the odds of LC by 90% [odds ratio (OR), 1.90; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.44–2.50; p < 0.001]. Similar trends were observed for squamous cell lung cancer (OR, 1.97; 95%CI, 1.31–2.94; p = 0.0010) and lung adenocarcinoma (OR, 1.64; 95%CI 1.12–2.39; p = 0.0110). The causal effects remained significant after adjusting for education (OR, 1.97; 95%CI, 1.44–2.68; p < 0.001) and body mass index (OR, 1.86; 95%CI, 1.36–2.54; p < 0.001) through MVMR approach. No association was found between prolonged LSB spent on computer use and driving and LC risk. Genetically predisposed prolonged LSB was additionally correlated with smoking (OR, 1.557; 95%CI, 1.287–1.884; p < 0.001) and alcohol consumption (OR, 1.010; 95%CI, 1.004–1.016; p = 0.0016). Consistency of results across complementary sensitivity MR methods further strengthened the causality.Conclusion: Robust evidence was demonstrated for an independent, causal effect of LSB spent on watching TV in increasing the risk of LC. Further work is necessary to investigate the potential mechanisms.

scholarly journals Causal Effect of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 on Osteoporosis and Cardiometabolic Disorders: A Mendelian Randomization Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. A272-A272
Author(s):  
Maki Yokomoto-Umakoshi ◽  
Hironobu Umakoshi ◽  
Takashi Miyazawa ◽  
Masatoshi Ogata ◽  
Ryuichi Sakamoto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Factor ◽  
Fibroblast Growth Factor ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Mineral Metabolism ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Fibroblast Growth ◽  
Cardiometabolic Disorders

Abstract Pathological excess of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) causes mineral and bone disorders. However, the causality of FGF23 in the development of osteoporosis remains unknown. Whether FGF23 has systemic effects on cardio-metabolic disorders beyond regulating mineral metabolism is also controversial. In this study, we evaluated the causal effect of FGF23 on osteoporosis and cardiometabolic disorders using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Summary statistics for single-nucleotide polymorphisms with traits of interest were obtained from the relevant genome-wide association studies. As a result, FGF23 was found to be inversely associated with femoral neck-BMD (odds ratio [OR] 0.682, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.546–0.853, p = 8e-04) and heel estimated BMD (eBMD) (OR 0.898, 95%CI 0.820–0.985, p = 0.022) in the inverse-variance-weighted analysis, but not lumbar spine-BMD and fractures. The results were supported by the weighted-median analysis, and there was no evidence of pleiotropy in the MR-Egger analysis. FGF23 was directly associated with FN-BMD and eBMD after adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate, height, and body mass index in multivariable MR analysis. On the other hand, there was no association between FGF23 and cardiometabolic traits including cardio artery disease, brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity, intima-media thickness of carotid arteries, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, high and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides. Therefore, FGF23 has been causally associated with bone loss. In contrast, FGF23 has not been causally associated with cardiometabolic disorders. The data of this study provides important insights into the role of FGF23 in the pathogenesis of osteoporosis and cardiometabolic disorders.

scholarly journals The effect of smoking on multiple sclerosis: a mendelian randomization study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruth E Mitchell ◽  
Kirsty Bates ◽  
Robyn E Wootton ◽  
Adil Harroud ◽  
J. Brent Richards ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multiple Sclerosis ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Smoking Initiation ◽  
Smoking Behaviour ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Smoking Duration

AbstractThe causes of multiple sclerosis (MS) remain unknown. Smoking has been associated with MS in observational studies and is often thought of as an environmental risk factor. We used two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) to examined whether this association is causal using genetic variants identified in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) as associated with smoking. We assessed both smoking initiation and lifetime smoking behaviour (which captures smoking duration, heaviness and cessation). There was very limited evidence for a meaningful effect of smoking on MS susceptibility was measured using summary statistics from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) meta-analysis, including 14,802 cases and 26,703 controls. There was no clear evidence for an effect of smoking on the risk of developing MS (smoking initiation: odds ratio [OR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.61; lifetime smoking: OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.87-1.40). These findings suggest that smoking does not have a detrimental consequence on MS susceptibility. Further work is needed to determine the causal effect of smoking on MS progression.

scholarly journals Bayesian weighted Mendelian randomization for causal inference based on summary statistics

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Zhao ◽  
Jingsi Ming ◽  
Xianghong Hu ◽  
Gang Chen ◽  
Jin Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Causal Inference ◽  
Complex Traits ◽  
Mendelian Randomization ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Supplementary Information ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Simulation Studies ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Complex Human Traits

Abstract Motivation The results from Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) on thousands of phenotypes provide an unprecedented opportunity to infer the causal effect of one phenotype (exposure) on another (outcome). Mendelian randomization (MR), an instrumental variable (IV) method, has been introduced for causal inference using GWAS data. Due to the polygenic architecture of complex traits/diseases and the ubiquity of pleiotropy, however, MR has many unique challenges compared to conventional IV methods. Results We propose a Bayesian weighted Mendelian randomization (BWMR) for causal inference to address these challenges. In our BWMR model, the uncertainty of weak effects owing to polygenicity has been taken into account and the violation of IV assumption due to pleiotropy has been addressed through outlier detection by Bayesian weighting. To make the causal inference based on BWMR computationally stable and efficient, we developed a variational expectation-maximization (VEM) algorithm. Moreover, we have also derived an exact closed-form formula to correct the posterior covariance which is often underestimated in variational inference. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we evaluated the performance of BWMR, demonstrating the advantage of BWMR over its competitors. Then we applied BWMR to make causal inference between 130 metabolites and 93 complex human traits, uncovering novel causal relationship between exposure and outcome traits. Availability and implementation The BWMR software is available at https://github.com/jiazhao97/BWMR. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

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