scholarly journals Leprosy incidence and risk estimates in a 33-year contact cohort of leprosy patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariana Andrea Hacker ◽  
Anna Maria Sales ◽  
Nádia Cristina Duppre ◽  
Euzenir Nunes Sarno ◽  
Milton Ozório Moraes

AbstractReduction in incidence has been associated with the introduction of novel approaches, like chemo/immune-prophylaxis. Incidence determined through follow-up cohort studies can evaluate the implementation of these innovative policies towards control and prevention. We have assessed the incidence in our contacts cohort over past 33 years, considering the effect of demographic and clinical variables. Survival analysis was used to estimate the risk of leprosy. A total of 9024 contacts were evaluated, of which 192 developed leprosy, resulting in an overall incidence of 1.4/1000 person-years. The multivariate analysis showed that the major risk factors were (i) contact from MB index cases and (ii) consanguinity (iii) intra household contact. Lower risk was detected for contacts with BCG scar who were revaccinated. There was a significant decrease in accumulated risk between the 2011–2019 period compared with 1987, probably linked to the improvement in laboratory tools to monitor contacts, thereby providing early diagnosis of contacts at intake and reduction of transmission. Our findings suggest that a combination of contact surveillance and tracing, adequate neurodermatological examination, and availability of molecular tools is highly effective in supporting early diagnosis, while a second dose of the BCG vaccination can exert extra protection.

Author(s):  
L. Paglicci ◽  
V. Borgo ◽  
N. Lanzarone ◽  
M. Fabbiani ◽  
C. Cassol ◽  
...  

AbstractTo evaluate incidence of and risk factors for respiratory bacterial colonization and infections within 30 days from lung transplantation (LT). We retrospectively analyzed microbiological and clinical data from 94 patients transplanted for indications other than cystic fibrosis, focusing on the occurrence of bacterial respiratory colonization or infection during 1 month of follow-up after LT. Thirty-three percent of patients developed lower respiratory bacterial colonization. Bilateral LT and chronic heart diseases were independently associated to a higher risk of overall bacterial colonization. Peptic diseases conferred a higher risk of multi-drug resistant (MDR) colonization, while longer duration of aerosol prophylaxis was associated with a lower risk. Overall, 35% of lung recipients developed bacterial pneumonia. COPD (when compared to idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, IPF) and higher BMI were associated to a lower risk of bacterial infection. A higher risk of MDR infection was observed in IPF and in patients with pre-transplant colonization and infections. The risk of post-LT respiratory infections could be stratified by considering several factors (indication for LT, type of LT, presence of certain comorbidities, and microbiologic assessment before LT). A wider use of early nebulized therapies could be useful to prevent MDR colonization, thus potentially lowering infectious risk.


Stroke ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tanya N Turan ◽  
Azhar Nizam ◽  
Michael J Lynn ◽  
Jean Montgomery ◽  
Colin P Derdeyn ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Symptomatic intracranial stenosis patients with poorly controlled cholesterol and blood pressure had an increased risk of vascular events in WASID. Therefore, SAMMPRIS aggressive medical management protocols targeted these risk factors. We sought to determine if intensive risk factor control in SAMMPRIS resulted in lower risk of vascular events during follow-up. Methods: Data on 227 SAMMPRIS patients randomized to aggressive medical management alone were used for these analyses. Vascular risk factors were recorded at baseline, 30 days, and every 4 months. Additional follow-up and close-out visit data were also included. For each patient, values for all risk factor measures (from baseline until the time of an event) were averaged and dichotomized based on the risk factor target. Time to event curves for a vascular event (stroke, MI, and vascular death) were compared between subjects with and without risk factor control using the log-rank test and hazard ratios were calculated with Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: The univariate analyses are shown in the table. Subjects with mean follow-up SBP < 140 mm Hg (< 130 for diabetics), LDL < 70 mg/dL, and at least moderate exercise had lower risk of vascular events compared to those who did not achieve those targets. Control of other risk factors (HgA1c, smoking, non-HDL, and Body Mass Index) did not have a significant impact on outcome. Conclusions: Well controlled SBP and LDL during follow-up were predictors of lower vascular events in SAMMPRIS, confirming that SBP and LDL should be aggressively treated in patients with intracranial stenosis to prevent future vascular events. Exercise participation was also associated with fewer vascular events and should be strongly encouraged.


2012 ◽  
Vol 23 (7) ◽  
pp. 507-511 ◽  
Author(s):  
N F Crum-Cianflone ◽  
G Grandits ◽  
A Weintrob ◽  
A Ganesan ◽  
B Agan ◽  
...  

Skin and soft tissue infections (SSTIs) occur at higher rates among HIV-infected persons, but current trends and risk factors are largely undefined. We evaluated SSTIs among a prospective cohort of HIV-infected persons during the late combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) era (2006–2010). Of the 1918 HIV-infected persons evaluated, 379 (20%) developed an SSTI during a median of 3.7 years of follow-up; of these, 118 (31 %) developed at least one recurrent SSTI. The incidence rate of SSTIs was 101 (95% confidence interval [CI] 93–109) cases per 1000 person-years, and rates did not significantly change during the study period. Compared with not receiving cART and having an HIV RNA level >1000 copies/mL, patients receiving cART with an HIV RNA level <1000 copies/mL had a reduced risk of an SSTI (hazard ratio 0.64, 95% CI 0.48–0.86, P < 0.01). In summary, initial and recurrent SSTIs are common among HIV-infected persons, and HIV control is associated with a lower risk of SSTIs.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 4316-4316
Author(s):  
Ghaith Abu-Zeinah ◽  
Spencer Krichevsky ◽  
Claudia Sosner ◽  
Niamh Savage ◽  
Joseph Scandura ◽  
...  

Abstract Background. Interferon alpha (rIFNa) has been used as an initial therapy for polycythemia vera (PV) at our institution since the 1980s owing to its efficacy and tolerability at the administered doses(Silver, 2006), and because of emerging evidence that it may alter its natural history(Kiladjian, Giraudier, & Cassinat, 2016). The European Leukemia Net 2018 and other groups included rIFNa in the initial management recommendations of PV. However, there is a need for studies comparing long-term outcomes of patients treated with rIFNa to those treated with standard-of-care, Hydroxyurea (HU) or Phlebotomy only (PHL-O) in the initial setting. Objectives. The primary objective of this retrospective study compared the overall survival (OS) and the myelofibrosis progression-free survival (MPFS) of patients initially treated with rIFNa to those initially treated with HU or PHL-O. The secondary objective compared the rates of cardiovascular events occurring during treatment with rIFNa and HU at any line of therapy. Methods. Data extracted from the medical records of PV patients at Weill Cornell Medicine from 1974 until 2018 included date of diagnosis, CV risk factors, CV events, therapies, myelofibrotic progression and survival. Initial therapy was defined as the earliest treatment given for at least one year. Fisher's exact test compared demographic and clinical differences among initial rIFNa, HU, and PHL-O treatment groups and Kaplan-Meier analysis compared OS and MPFS. The risk of cardiovascular events was compared using Cox Proportional Hazards regression analysis. Results. Data collection was completed for 84 of 320 PV patients. Of the 84, 16(19%), 25(30%) and 28(33%) were treated with initial rIFNa, HU and PHL-O respectively, and 15(18%) received other initial therapies. The 15 patients who received other initial therapies were excluded from the analysis. The overall median age at diagnosis was 52.9 years (range 1.5-81) which was not statistically different between the 3 subgroups (rIFNa: 49.7 [1.5-68], HU: 56.7 [29-81], and PHL-O: 51.6 [29-69]). The cohort had 35 (51%) females and the three subgroups were similar in gender distribution (Table 1). The subgroups were also similar in CV risk factors. They differed significantly in PV risk category (p=0.02) and thrombosis history (p=0.04), with the HU subgroup having more high risk patients and more patients with a history of thrombosis (Table1). The median follow-up duration of the entire cohort was 12 years (range 1-44) and the median initial treatment duration was 4.3 years (range 1-26) (Table1). The median OS of the cohort was 12 years (95% CI: 9.6,15.5) (Figure 1a). The primary outcome of median OS was not significantly different among subgroups and was 15 years for rIFNa (95% CI: 4.8, 28), 12.6 years for HU (95% CI: 10.5, 24.5), and 13 years for PHL-O (95% CI: 9.8, 24.1) (Figure 1b). The MPFS however, was significantly longer with rIFNa compared to HU or PHL, with a median that was not reached within the defined follow-up duration (Figure 2). Older age at diagnosis was associated with significantly increased risk of progression to myelofibrosis (HR 1.05, relative risk per year, p=0.02). After adjusting for age in a Cox model, the relative risk of myelofibrosis progression trended lower when comparing initial rIFNa to HU patients, but did not meet pre-established statistical cutoffs (HR 0.14, 95% CI 0.02-1.17, p=0.07). The risk of CV events, after adjusting for age, PV risk category, CV risk factors, and thrombosis history, also tended to be lower during rIFNa therapy than during HU therapy, but the difference was not statistically significant (HR 0.23, CI 0.05-1.11, p=0.07). Conclusion. No significant difference in overall survival was observed between PV patients treated with initial rIFNa compared to initial HU or PHL-O. Initial treatment with rIFNa was associated with a lower risk of myelofibrotic progression. However, this risk was not statistically significant after adjusting for age at diagnosis, which was a predictor of myelofibrosis progression in this sample cohort. Finally, the risk-adjusted incidence of cardiovascular events was lower during IFNa therapy than HU therapy. A larger cohort is needed to validate these findings and accordingly, the data collection and analysis for our total cohort of 320 patients is ongoing. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernanda S. N. Manta ◽  
Raquel R. Barbieri ◽  
Suelen J. M. Moreira ◽  
Paulo T. S. Santos ◽  
José A. C. Nery ◽  
...  

Abstract Household contacts (HHC) of leprosy patients exhibit high-risk of developing leprosy and contact tracing is helpful for early diagnosis. From 2011 to 2018,2,437 HHC were examined in a clinic in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil and 16S qPCR was used for diagnosis and monitoring of contacts. Fifty-four HHCs were clinically diagnosed with leprosy at intake. Another 25 exhibited leprosy-like skin lesions at intake, 8 of which were confirmed as having leprosy (50% of which were qPCR positive) and 17 of which were diagnosed with other skin diseases (6% qPCR positive). In skin biopsies, qPCR presented a sensitivity of 0.50 and specificity of 0.94. Furthermore, 955 healthy HHCs were followed-up for at least 3 years and skin scrapings were collected from earlobes for qPCR detection. Positive qPCR indicated a non-significant relative risk of 2.52 of developing the disease. During follow-up, those who progressed towards leprosy exhibited 20% qPCR positivity, compared to 9% of those who remained healthy. Disease-free survival rates indicated that age had a significant impact on disease progression, where patients over 60 had a greater chance of developing leprosy [HR = 32.4 (3.6–290.3)]. Contact tracing combined with qPCR may assist in early diagnosis and age is a risk factor for leprosy progression.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. e029529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Wen ◽  
Chunjuan Liu ◽  
Jing Liao ◽  
Yiqiong Yin ◽  
Dongmei Wu

ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to examine the incidence of depressive symptoms, and determine if baseline risk factors conferred a risk for incident depressive symptoms in nationally representative sample of mid-aged and elderly Chinese adults.DesignThis study was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort from a nationally representative sample.SettingCommunity samples were recruited from the baseline survey of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. A four-stage, stratified, cluster probability sampling strategy was used, which included 10 257 households with members aged 45 years or older and their spouse.ParticipantsA total of 11 533 participants free of depressive symptoms at baseline were identified, and 10 288 were re-examined in either the first and/or the second follow-up surveys. The current analysis was conducted among the 10 288 participants.Primary and secondary outcome measuresDepressive symptoms were measured by the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale short form.ResultsThe findings showed that the incidence of depressive symptoms in a 4-year follow-up was as high as 22.3%. The incidence was much higher in rural areas (25.7%) and in women (27.9%). Furthermore, participants with 1 hour longer of night-time sleep had a 10% lower risk of developing depressive symptoms. Compared with individuals who perceived their health status as poor, those who perceived their health status as excellent had a 62% lower risk of developing depressive symptoms. In addition, having diabetes (OR=1.19), chronic kidney disease (OR=1.32), chronic digestive disorders (OR=1.15) and arthritis (OR=1.43) at baseline increased the risk of depressive symptoms. However, baseline body mass index was not associated with the subsequent depressive symptoms in this population.ConclusionsThis study highlights the importance of developing an appropriate screening test to identify depressive symptoms for those who are vulnerable and ensure these individuals can receive early interventions for depressive symptoms.


2020 ◽  
pp. 174749302097668
Author(s):  
Giancarlo Salsano ◽  
Giovanni Pracucci ◽  
Nicola Mavilio ◽  
Valentina Saia ◽  
Monica B di Poggio ◽  
...  

Background There are limited data concerning procedure-related complications of endovascular thrombectomy for large vessel occlusion strokes. Aims We evaluated the cumulative incidence, the clinical relevance in terms of increased disability and mortality, and risk factors for complications. Methods From January 2011 to December 2017, 4799 patients were enrolled by 36 centers in the Italian Registry of Endovascular Stroke Treatment. Data on demographic and procedural characteristics, complications, and clinical outcome at three months were prospectively collected. Results The complications cumulative incidence was 201 per 1000 patients undergoing endovascular thrombectomy. Ongoing antiplatelet therapy (p < 0.01; OR 1.82, 95% CI: 1.21–2.73) and large vessel occlusion site (carotid-T, p < 0.03; OR 3.05, 95% CI: 1.13–8.19; M2-segment-MCA, p < 0.01; OR 4.54, 95% CI: 1.66–12.44) were associated with a higher risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage/arterial perforation. Thrombectomy alone (p < 0.01; OR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.31–0.83) and younger age (p < 0.04; OR 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97–0.99) revealed a lower risk of developing dissection. M2-segment-MCA occlusion (p < 0.01; OR 0.35, 95% CI: 0.19–0.64) and hypertension (p < 0.04; OR 0.77, 95% CI: 0.6–0.98) were less related to clot embolization. Higher NIHSS at onset (p < 0.01; OR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02–1.06), longer groin-to-reperfusion time (p < 0.01; OR 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02–1.07), diabetes (p < 0.01; OR 1.67, 95% CI: 1.25–2.23), and LVO site (carotid-T, p < 0.01; OR 1.96, 95% CI: 1.26–3.05; M2-segment-MCA, p < 0.02; OR 1.62, 95% CI: 1.08–2.42) were associated with a higher risk of developing symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage compared to no/asymptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage. The subgroup of patients treated with thrombectomy alone presented a lower risk of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (p < 0.01; OR 0.70; 95% CI: 0.55–0.90). Subarachnoid hemorrhage/arterial perforation and symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage after endovascular thrombectomy worsen both functional independence and mortality at three-month follow-up (p < 0.01). Distal embolization is associated with neurological deterioration (p < 0.01), while arterial dissection did not affect clinical outcome at follow-up. Conclusions Complications globally considered are not uncommon and may result in poor clinical outcome. Early recognition of risk factors might help to prevent complications and manage them appropriately in order to maximize endovascular thrombectomy benefits.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joni V. Lindbohm ◽  
Nina Mars ◽  
Keenan A. Walker ◽  
Archana Singh-Manoux ◽  
Gill Livingston ◽  
...  

AbstractThe role of circulating proteins in Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias is unknown. Using a follow-up of two decades, 4953 plasma proteins, and discovery (Whitehall II) and replication cohort (ARIC), we examined plasma proteins associated with cognitive decline rate and dementia. After replication and adjustment for known dementia risk factors, fifteen proteins were associated with cognitive decline rate and dementia. None of these were amyloid, tau, or neurofilament-related proteins. Currently approved medications can target five of the proteins. The results support systemic pathogenesis of dementias, may aid in early diagnosis, and suggest potential targets for drug development.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda E Paluch ◽  
Kelley Pettee Gabriel ◽  
Janet E Fulton ◽  
Juned Siddique ◽  
Kara M Whitaker ◽  
...  

Introduction: Step counts are an easy way for individuals to quantify their physical activity; there is limited data relating accelerometer-derived step counts with the onset of cardiovascular risk factors. We hypothesized that steps/day are inversely associated with type 2 diabetes, stage 2 hypertension, and obesity 10 years later. Methods: Data are from 1,923 CARDIA study participants with valid (≥4 days with ≥10 hours/day) accelerometer wear (ActiGraph 7164) in 2005-2006 with at least one follow-up visit 5- or 10- years later. Multivariable Cox models calculated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incidence of type 2 diabetes, stage 2 hypertension, and obesity. Results: The analytic sample (45.3±3.6 years; 58% women, 41% black) had a mean follow-up of 9.7±1.3 years. After adjusting for demographics and lifestyle characteristics, every 1000 higher steps/day was associated with a 10% lower risk of diabetes and 5% lower risk of hypertension. When adding comorbidities to the model, the HRs were slightly attenuated, and remained significant for diabetes [0.93 (95% CI, 0.87-0.99)]. Compared to the lowest step quartile, the highest quartile was at a 43% lower risk of diabetes and a 31% lower risk of hypertension. When testing for interactions by race or sex, the only significant interaction was for sex with obesity as the outcome. Steps were only associated with obesity in women, where every 1000 higher steps/day were associated with a 13% lower risk, and the highest quartile was 61% less likely to develop obesity compared to the lowest quartile. Conclusions: Among middle age adults, accumulating a higher volume of steps/day was associated with a lower risk of type 2 diabetes and stage 2 hypertension. In women, higher steps/day was associated with lower risk of obesity. Encouraging the accumulation of steps/day may be an effective public health strategy to lower the burden of cardiovascular risk factors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 1951
Author(s):  
Zhiyong Tan ◽  
Zhuofan Deng ◽  
Jianping Gong

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is the most common malignancy of the biliary system in clinic, which has the characteristics of insidious onset and high degree of malignancy. Most patients have progressed to an advanced stage when they are diagnosed. Early identification of risk factors of the onset of gallbladder cancer and active intervention are the key to improve the rate of early diagnosis and prognosis of gallbladder cancer. At present, the risk factors related to the onset of gallbladder cancer include gallstone, gallbladder polyps, primary sclerosing cholangitis, etc. In this review, we discuss the relevant latest research on the risk factors of the onset of gallbladder cancer in order to provide clinical evidence for the prevention and early diagnosis of gallbladder cancer. The intervention, follow-up, and monitoring of risk factors should be strengthened, and the possibility of malignancy of the gallbladder should be accurately assessed in combination with factors such as age and sex. In the case of possible malignancy, prophylactic cholecystectomy should be actively performed. 


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