scholarly journals Forecast Research on the Proportion of Clean Energy Consumption in Total Energy Consumption Based on GM(1,1) Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 251 ◽  
pp. 01085
Author(s):  
Wu Xin ◽  
Han Pan ◽  
Yuping Li

Clean energy can not only alleviate environmental problems but also contribute to rapid and sustainable development. The gray system is based on the sequence operator to process the original data and mine the law of change. GM(1,1) is a specific method of mining data, by building a GM(1,1) model to accumulate and generate data, the randomness of the data can be weakened and its regularity can be revealed. Here we use the GM(1,1) model to dynamically predict the future consumption rate of clean energy. This research not only provides data support for China’s green development, but also provides suggestions for improvement based on actual conditions.

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2768 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexei Yumashev ◽  
Beata Ślusarczyk ◽  
Sergey Kondrashev ◽  
Alexey Mikhaylov

The article explores the impact of the quality and volume of energy consumption of the population on the human development index using a sample of a number of countries as an example. The hypothesis concerning the relationship between the amount of energy consumed, the human development index (HDI), and the environment (CO2 emissions into the atmosphere) has been verified. The study results show that the size and rating of the HDI are influenced by such factors as urbanization growth, gross domestic product (GDP), gross national income (GNI) per capita, the share of “clean” energy consumption by the population and business in total energy consumption, the level of socio-economic development, and R&D expenses. In the course of building the model, the recommendations by the United Nations (UN) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) were used. The results show that the volume of energy consumption not only affects the human development index in a particular country, but is also an important factor in determining the level of sustainable development. The results, obtained in the course of the study and described in the article, may be applicable in the practice of research related to the assessment of human development and sustainable development.


Author(s):  
Barbara Pawłowska

The Energy Union is aimed at providing secure, sustainable, competitive energy to the EU population at affordable prices. A thorough transformation of the European energy system is required to accomplish this goal. The Energy Union is an important project which is supposed to set a new direction and a clear long-term vision for the European energy and climate policy. Transport is one of the key sectors in terms of energy consumption. In 2015, 94% of the energy used transport originated from crude oil and the sector’s share in the total energy consumption was 34% (Eurostat, 2016). The aim of the article is to show the activities in respect of the implementation of the “Clean Energy for Transport” package and its importance for the implementation of the Energy Union objectives. The development of an alternative fuel market should reduce the dependence on oil and contribute to increased security of the energy supply for Europe, promote economic growth and reduce greenhouse gas emissions in transport. Tools aimed at supporting the transition to low-carbon economy will be analyzed in the article. The scope of popularization of alternative fuels is determined to a large extent by market conditions and the extent to which an adequate infrastructure is developed. Hence, particular emphasis will be placed on the priorities for the development of technology and research, technical integration of solutions and financial support for alternative fuels.


Author(s):  
Ma. Alicia Castillo-Zarate

Base on the objectives of the 2030 Schedule, for sustainable development for the benefit of people and the planet and, with the visionary commitment of the Universidad Tecnológica de Aguascalientes to contribute to the sustainable development of the various sectors, this article presents five alternatives of energy sustainability for the benefit of the Hogar del Abuelo Maty nursing home, located in the community of Villa Juárez, municipality of Asientos in the state of Aguascalientes. The document describes the context of this Institution, its energy consumption situation, the dynamics and operating status of equipment that requires electricity for basic healthcare services. Under a sustainability approach, the objective of this work is to provide resilient energy alternatives, aimed at generating, saving or efficient use of energy and caring for the environment. Following the applied research methodology, knowledge of photovoltaic systems allows the development of alternatives to meet a need for social impact. The main contributions derived from any of these are the positive impact generated in reducing the cost of energy consumption, caring for the environment and adult care services provided with clean energy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1431 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Bao ◽  
Hongjie Wang

Recognizing the change in regulation of energy consumption may help China to control total energy consumption and realize sustainable development during rapid urbanization and industrialization. This paper re-examined the trans-provincial convergence of per capita energy consumption from 1990–2015 using five different kinds of methods for 30 Chinese provinces. Results show that per capita energy consumption across Chinese provinces was convergent. However, the results obtained by different methods were slightly different. First, it shows a weak beta-unconditional convergence during the entire period, as well as a significant beta-unconditional and conditional piecewise convergence from 1990–2000 and 2001–2015. Second, it shows a significant sigma-convergence indicated by a marked decrease in the standard deviation of logarithm (SDlog) and the coefficient of variation (CV). Third, the kernel density curve became narrower during 1990–2015, indicating that the per capita energy consumption of each Chinese province converged to a common equilibrium level, which was about 80% of the national average. Fourth, the intra-distributional mobility index implied a weak gamma-convergence. Fifth, the first difference of DF (Dickey-Fuller), ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller), and PP (Phillips-Perron) unit-root tests all suggested a stochastic convergence. On the whole, the results from this paper contribute to a more in-depth understanding of the status quo of per capita energy consumption in China, as well as a meaningful implication for differentiated energy policies and sustainable development strategies.


Author(s):  
Bo Zhang ◽  
Qiang Lu ◽  
Zheng Shen ◽  
Yaokun Yang ◽  
Yunlin Liang

Based on the localized data of environmental load, this study has established the life cycle assessment (LCA) model of battery electric passenger vehicle (BEPV) that be produced and used in China, and has evaluated the energy consumption and greenhouse gases (GHGs) emission during vehicle production and operation. The results show that the total energy consumption and GHG emissions are 438GJ and 37,100kg (in terms of CO2 equivalent) respectively. The share of GHG emissions in total emissions at the production stage is 24.6%, and 75.4% GHG emissions are contributed by the operational stage. The main source of energy consumption and GHG emissions at vehicle production stage is the extraction and processing of raw materials. The GHG emissions of raw materials production accounts for 75.0% in the GHG emissions of vehicle production and 18.0% in the GHG emissions of full life cycle. The scenario analysis shows that the application of recyclable materials, power grid GHG emission rates and vehicle energy consumption rates have significant influence on the carbon emissions in the life cycle of vehicle. Replacing primary metals with recycled metals can reduce GHG emissions of vehicle production by about 7.3%, and total GHG emissions can be reduced by about 1.8%. For every 1% decrease in GHG emissions per unit of electricity, the GHG emissions of operation stage will decrease by about 0.9%; for every 1.0% decrease in vehicle energy consumption rate, the total GHG emissions decrease by about 0.8%. Therefore, developing clean energy, reducing the proportion of coal power, optimizing the production of raw materials and increasing the application of recyclable materials are effective ways to improve the environmental performance of BEPV.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 136
Author(s):  
Amr Soliman ElGohary ◽  
Shereen Omar Khashaba

Existing buildings are the massive percentage of the building stock, and therefore, are the key to improving efficiency; buildings account for an enormous share of the climate change crisis, and approximately 40% of the world total energy consumption (McArthur & Jofeh, 2015). The Egyptian stock of buildings includes about 12 million buildings. 60% of these buildings are residential. The final electricity consumption of the residential buildings in 2010 was 51370 GWh and increased in 2014 to reach 62441 GWh. Thus the share of total energy consumption was 18.8% in 2010 and increased to reach 21.55% in 2014 ("Technology Roadmap - Energy efficient building envelopes.", 2013). Therefore, the residential sector plays an important role in the mitigation of energy consumption crisis, which is expected to increase. The research field and initiatives in Egypt on the green buildings and green buildings retrofits are rare and, if existing, are weakly applied. Unlike in developed countries, there is a large research on building retrofits, e.g., the Residential Property Assessed Clean Energy (R-PACE) program and the weatherization assistance program (WAP) of the department of energy (DOE). Both are examples of the incentives to green building initiatives globally. This paper discusses the challenge of greening the existing residential buildings in Egypt by demonstrating an analysis of the motives and the barriers to applying green measures in the Egyptian market. The research methodology comprises the analytical-comparative method. In the analytical part; the paper identifies the current situation of the residential sector energy consumption in Egypt, and the benefits of greening existing buildings for tenants, investors, and owners. In the comparative part, the current situation of Egypt's Green Market Business Case is compared with the international one, discussing the challenge of greening the residential buildings. The paper summarizes the opportunities to improve the building energy efficiency, incentives, and policies that are developed to address significant financial and technical awareness to building efficiency. These policies will help enable critical market actors to make decisions to promote energy efficiency in existing buildings.


2021 ◽  
Vol 906 (1) ◽  
pp. 012017
Author(s):  
Aurelia Rybak ◽  
Ewelina Wlodarczyk

Abstract One of the most important goals of the European Union is to provide citizens of the Member States security and stability in fuel and electricity sectors. The United Nations has defined 17 goals and 169 actions to achieve sustainable development of the world. The goals were to improve the quality of life, reduce the level of poverty, inequalities in the world and sustainable development in terms of climate and environmental protection. The article presents an analysis of the implementation of one of the assumed goals, i.e., sustainable development in the field of Affordable and clean Energy in the European Union. This goal is to ensure that every citizen has access to stable, sustainable, and modern energy at an affordable price. Among others, indicators such as energy import dependency, energy productivity, share of renewable energy in gross final energy consumption, final energy consumption in households per capita were analysed. The authors analysed the trends of the above-mentioned indicators in the European Union, with particular emphasis on Poland. In order to be able to predict how the analysed phenomena will develop until 2030, the authors built forecasts. For this purpose, among others, ARIMA models were used. The authors created several dozen models, from among which model with the smallest ex post errors and the lowest value of information criteria were selected. The models allowed to determine the degree of achievement of the set goals. They also allowed the designation of scenarios for the potential development of the analysed indicators.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dilek Temiz Dinç ◽  
Ece Akdoğan

There exists a highly interrelated relationship between energy, the environment and growth where the efficient management of this nexus is not only a must for sustainable development and human wellbeing but is also a basis for formulating sound economic policies harnessed with energy and environmental policies. Thus, this paper aims at investigating the causal relationships among renewable energy production, total energy consumption and economic growth for Turkey both in the long and short runs. The analyses are conducted by using the Johansen–Juselius co-integration test, the vector error correction model, Granger causality, impulse-response functions and variance decomposition for the period 1980–2016. Our findings obtained for the causal relationship between renewable energy and economic growth points to a bidirectional relationship both in the short and in long runs that promote feedback hypothesis, and it also reports a causal relationship running from energy consumption to economic growth both in the short and long runs, supporting the growth hypothesis. However, no consistent result could be obtained for the short run relationship from economic growth to energy consumption. These results indicate that increased renewable energy production and decreased energy consumption are vital for Turkey’s sustainable development.


2021 ◽  
Vol 906 (1) ◽  
pp. 012016
Author(s):  
Aurelia Rybak ◽  
Ewelina Wlodarczyk

Abstract One of the most serious challenges facing the world, including the European Union and Poland, is the climate crisis and environmental pollution. The article presents an analysis of the implementation of sustainable development goals in the field of Affordable and clean Energy in Poland. The Sustainable Development Goals have replaced the Millennium Goals and enable their continuation. They were defined at the United Nations Conference in 2012. 17 goals and 169 actions were set. Sustainable Development Goals are a set of activities, the implementation of which is to lead to the development of sustainable development in the environmental, social and economic terms. Achieving the goals will be possible among others through changes in the field of climate, education, poverty or the natural environment. The study analyses, inter alia, such indicators related to the discussed objectives like energy import dependency by products, energy productivity, share of renewable energy in gross final energy consumption by sector, final energy consumption in households per capita were analysed. This made it possible to indicate the level of achievement of the set goals, as well as to determine the possibility of achieving the goals set by 2030. The authors also presented the results of the generated for the analysed indicators forecasts. The presented results were obtained with the use of mathematical models, which were finally selected by the authors after the validation process. The time horizon of the forecasts was adjusted to the requirements of sustainable development goals. Countermeasures that can be taken to accelerate the deadline for achieving the targets were also outlined.


2021 ◽  
Vol 296 ◽  
pp. 06045
Author(s):  
Panagiotis Fotis

In this paper we present energy efficiency targets indicators of sustainable development and we discuss the role of competition, on promoting and enhancing sustainability and pricing issues. For this purpose, we present statistical evidence of energy efficiency targets indicators, we highlight the degree of competition of electrical markets in various member states and we present the effect of the degree of competition on electrical prices and energy efficiency targets. The empirical results indicate that the higher the degree of competition in electrical markets, the lower the electrical prices. Furthermore, less concentrated electrical markets exhibit higher rates of greenhouse gas emissions and share of renewable energy in total energy consumption than in the less competitive markets. Even though the empirical results do not reveal a clear-cut picture in regard with the effect of competition on energy efficiency indicator, EU28 countries have a primary energy consumption of almost 1.526 Mtoe in 2019 and they are quite close to achieve the energy efficiency target of Europe 2020 strategy implemented by Directive 2012/27/EU on energy efficiency.


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