scholarly journals Forecasting the size of the dairy market in anylogic environment

2021 ◽  
Vol 282 ◽  
pp. 01002
Author(s):  
Vera Konkina ◽  
Alexey Martynushkin

The current situation at the market for food and agricultural raw materials is difficult, and critical for some industries. The processes of import substitution, that is, shaking-out imported products from the markets and the growth of domestic production, have significant differences for segments of the food market. There was a significant differentiation of food markets in the following main indicators: the growth rate of domestic production, the share of imports in resources, the share of exports in production, and the amount of state support. However, 2020 showed that the course taken by the Government and the Ministry of Agriculture of the Russian Federation for import substitution was not fully implemented, and a large share of products is imported from third countries that were not included in the sanctions list. Economic and mathematical modeling can partially solve this problem. Analysis of scientific literature on modeling the equilibrium at agri-food markets showed the absence of any actual domestic development. The most famous foreign conceptual models dated back to 1990-2000. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the World Bank have developed such general and private equilibrium models as RUNS (Rural-Urban North South), MRT (Regional Trade MRT, Harrison), AGLINK COSIMO, etc. These recursive-dynamic models make it possible to determine the equilibrium parameters for the main types of products for almost all countries of the world, including the Russian Federation and all agricultural markets. However, the introduction of sanctions has stopped work in this direction.

Fisheries ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (4) ◽  
pp. 106-110
Author(s):  
Eduard kim ◽  
Larisa Guseva ◽  
Nadezhda Kornienko

The Strategy for the development of the fisheries complex of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030, approved by the decree of the Government of the Russian Federation (dated November 26, 2019 N 2798-r) provides for a set of measures for the rational use of biological resources. The most promising direction of this task is the creation of modern technologies for deep pro-cessing of fish raw materials, providing for an integrated approach and taking into account its technological potential.


2017 ◽  
pp. 17-19
Author(s):  
A. A. Kuzmenko

Currently, tourism is characterized as relevant and popular phenomenon. Around the world, people travel year-round, and every year according to the WTO the number of tourists increases. It is a recognized fact that integrated tourism development in a particular area leads to its socio-economic development. Currently, Russia has considerable natural-recreational potential, is on the way of development of internal tourism, through specific measures.


The paper analyzes transformations of foreign trade in goods of Ukraine in 2000-2017. The choice of the study period is due to the fact that the "recovery" and the gradual growth of the Ukrainian economy after the long crisis of the 1990s has began since 2000. Ukraine had a mostly negative foreign commercial balance (except for 2000-2004 and 2015); generally balanced foreign trade; dangerous import dependency ratio; extremely economy openness index; the high exports ratio in 2000-2017. The volumes of export, imports and foreign commercial turnover had unstable dynamics with negative trends in 2008-2009 and 2013-2015. Base metals and their ware; plant products; animal or plant fats and oils were prevailed in the export component of the foreign commerce; mineral products; machines, equipment and mechanisms, electric and technical equipment; products of chemical and derivative industries were dominant in the structure of import in 2017. The export was characterized by increase in the share of products of the primary sector (due to crop production) and decrease in the secondary sector (due to metallurgy, machine building, chemical and textile industry) during 2001-2017. The import was characterized by decrease in the share of raw materials and increase in the share of all other goods during the mentioned period. Commodity structure of foreign trade became more proportional, without a highly dominant product. The Russian Federation, Poland, Turkey, Italy, India were the key partners in the export of goods, while those ones in the import were the Russian Federation, China, Germany, Poland, Belarus. The key partners remained during 2001-2017 (the Russian Federation, Poland, Turkey, Italy, China, Germany were key partner in export; In the import - the Russian Federation, Germany, Poland, Belarus, the USA, Italy were key partner in import. Despite the drastic decrease in trade relations with the Russian Federation, it remains the largest partner in the Ukrainian foreign commerce. Among the regions of the world, the largest trading partner of Ukraine in recent years is Europe with relevant reduction of CIS countries in the common share. It is necessary to provide a set of measures aimed at increasing the efficiency of export activity and import substitution in the certain sectors of the economy to balance foreign commerce of Ukraine.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 115-126
Author(s):  
F. A. Kurakov

In the absence of the development of exports of high-tech industries, the implementation of strategic tasks for the accelerated growth of the economy set by the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation “On national goals and strategic objectives of the development of the Russian Federation until 2024” of May 7, 2018 No. 240 is unlikely. According to most researchers, the main potentially possible commodity items in non-raw materials exports, which are in demand in the world markets, are the products of engineering, pharmaceutical industry, apparatus and devices used in medicine. Therefore, the right to participate in foreign economic activity is delegated, first of all, to large domestic companies. However, today Russia is a country with a large assortment of production of simple products, which requires building a systematic approach in the formation of both economic policy in general and export in particular in the direction of developing of non-resource industries that produce high-tech products. The analysis of the strategies for retaining the leading positions in narrow niche segments in the global market, analysis of the competitive and diversifying strategy of the German company Poly-clip System, which is the world’s leading producer of clipping systems and the world leader in the food packaging segment was performed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 122-128 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. A. Baynov

In the current international environment — with fashion on international sanctions, in particular, limiting the possibilities of purchasing high-tech equipment from abroad and dependency of the exchange rate of the ruble against various political provocations — the Russian Federation has faced with the necessity of re-industrialization of the ‘raw’ model of the economy and stimulation of the development of its inner potential. It should be noted that, in accordance with the Plan for promoting import substitution in industry No. 1936-r of 30 September 2014, approved by the order of the Government of the Russian Federation, the Ministry of industry and trade of the Russian Federation has developed and is implementing 22 sectoral plans for import substitution in selected industries of the Russian Federation. In this regard, it is particularly important to study international experience in the field of import substitution policy. The validity and reliability of presented study are achieved by applying a systematic approach and scientific methods of analysis and synthesis, deduction and induction, as well as regulatory, empirical method, etc. As a result of the analysis of international experience, it was possible to identify measures that can improve the efficiency of the state policy of import substitution, including through the use of offset mechanisms in civilian industries and the development of the institution of public procurement, certification, and standardization. In conclusion, the author proposes measures that can improve the policy of import substitution. The practical significance of the article consists in the possibility of applying the results of the study in the elaboration of industrial development programs and further research.


2021 ◽  
pp. 5-14
Author(s):  
V. F. Pivovarov ◽  
R. A. Meshcheryakova ◽  
T. N. Surikhina ◽  
O. A. Razin ◽  
A. A. Tareeva

The article examines the results of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global economy and the economy of the Russian Federation at the end of 2020. The quarantine measures introduced by the countries continue to negatively affect the economic situation in the world and the economies of individual countries. There is an acute shortage of seasonal workers in the agricultural sector of the countries of the world. The introduction of restrictions on the export of goods reduced the volume of imports. In Russia, the growth rate of imports from non-CIS countries has decreased. In January 2021, compared to January 2020, imports for food products and raw materials for their production decreased by 4.2%, and for vegetables – by 11.5%. According to the Federal Customs Service, the export of vegetables increased 3 times in terms of physical volumes and only 11% in terms of value. The growth in the physical volumes of export of products of the agro-industrial complex of the Russian Federation did not lead to a corresponding increase in revenue. The prices for vegetables imported into the country were 2.5-3.4 times higher than the prices for exported ones. Despite some difficulties, losses in this area due to the pandemic were minimal. The gross harvest of vegetables in the country as a whole amounted to 13.8 million tons, which is 1.7% below the level of 2019. At the same time, the gross harvest of vegetables in open ground decreased by 3.1%, vegetables in protected ground increased by 6.6%. Difficulties encountered in implementation. During the crisis period due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the demand for vegetables fell by 30%. Consumers, in an effort to improve their immunity, began to buy more environmentally friendly and healthy products, including vegetables. The demand for organic products has grown by 15-20%. To accelerate the economic recovery, it was necessary to take additional measures on the part of states to support producers and consumers, restore purchasing power and help businesses, expand access to credit resources, stimulate investment activity, and reduce the tax burden on businesses and the population. In Russia, financial support for the main measures of state policy in the field of the agro-industrial complex is carried out within the framework of the implementation of the State Program for the Development of Agriculture and the regulation of markets for agricultural products, raw materials and food.


2019 ◽  
pp. 124-134
Author(s):  
Tatyana Shlevkova ◽  
Marina Buyanova

The article is devoted to analyzing the current state of agriculture in Volgograd region and identifying the problems that impede successful functioning of a number of branches included in its structure. Currently, the strategy for developing the Russian agro-industrial complex is set out in the “State Program for Developing Agriculture and Regulating Agricultural Products, Raw Materials and Food Markets for 2013–2020” adopted by the Government in 2012. This document set the following main tasks for the domestic agriculture: ensuring food security and accelerated import substitution of meat, dairy products, vegetables, potatoes, etc. The analysis carried out in the article showed that the greatest success in the region was achieved in the production of crop products. Volgograd region is one of the leaders in cropping vegetables, grain crops, and sunflower seeds not only in the Southern Federal District, but also in Russia as a whole. At the same time, the region lags far behind other agricultural regions in producing the most important food products such as milk and meat. The accumulated problems have a negative impact on the development of agriculture. Among them, one should highlight low productivity of a hectare of land due to the decrease in soil fertility. Another serious problem remains the extremely low material and technical equipment status of agricultural production. The author sees the way out of this situation, first of all, in the active state support of local agricultural producers. Such support has been carried out in Volgograd region in recent years and is already yielding results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. 330-337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atadzhan Е. Ergeshov

Tuberculosis (TB) is a significant problem of public health both in Russia and abroad. About one third of the world’s population is infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Every year more than 10 million new TB cases are registered in the world, and about 1.7 million people die from TB. In the Russian Federation, due to the measures taken by the Government and health authorities the epidemic TB situation has been noticeably improved since the sharp deterioration in the 90s of the last century. At the same time, the spread of drug-resistant TB and its low treatment effectiveness, the spread of combined HIV and TB infection reduces the effectiveness of anti-tuberculosis interventions. The research conducted by CTRI, the WHO Collaborating Center for TB in the Russian Federation, is aimed at solving such urgent problems as studying latent infection mechanisms, developing new test systems for accelerated diagnostics of drug resistance, clinical approbation and introduction of short effective regimens of chemotherapy, developing new antituberculosis agents. The achieved successes in the study of tuberculosis in the 21st century creates preconditions for eliminating its epidemic both in Russia and the world, though suggesting imminent breakthrough for tuberculosis is a hasty conclusion. 


Author(s):  
Oleg Konstantinovich Bezjukov ◽  
Vladimir Anatoljevich Zhukov

The course of the government of the Russian Federation for the development of the sea and river fleet is determined by a number of Federal target programs. These programs provide for the modernization of the composition of the sea, river and fishing fleet. The article provides analysis of the current state of the civil fleet of the Russian Federation, as well as an overview of engines that are part of the power plants of the vessels in service. There are considered prospects for the development of shipbuilding in Russia on the basis of plans for construction of different purpose vessels. Achieving the goal set by the fovernment should be ensured taking into account the policy of import substitution of the most important elements of sea and river technology. The authors state that the solution of the tasks is impossible without the development of ship propulsion engineering in Russia. The article presents the review of engine-building enterprises of the Russian Federation and products manufactured by them, most attention being given to engine rotational velocity and output. The authors give a comparative analysis to diesel engines produced in Russia and engines of leading foreign manufacturers, which is based on main technical and economic parameters, such as specific effective fuel consumption, average effective pressure, specific gravity, etc. The results of analysis helped to establish the most promising domestic manufacturers of diesel engines capable to compete with foreign manufacturers of marine diesel engines. The article shows the prospects of converting versatile engines produced at domestic enterprises into marine engines, with appropriate modernization of their systems and use of domestic components in their design which meet modern requirements. The article shows the most promising engines of Russian manufacturers, their technical and economic characteristics, which ensure competitiveness; gives the dimensions of advanced engines. The article contains recommendations for ensuring the developing and production of competitive marine engines intended for sea, fishing and river fleets in the Russian Federation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (Extra-A) ◽  
pp. 155-160
Author(s):  
Zhansurat Sultanovna Zhangorazova ◽  
Eldar Safarovich Bakkuev ◽  
Elvira Ruslanovna Kokova ◽  
Rukiyat Omarovna Ugurchieva ◽  
Tatyana Evgenievna Khorolskaya

Modern conditions for the global economy development clearly indicate that the formation of competitive agrarian economy advantages in the Russian Federation is possible only with the use of an innovative development scenario and the large-scale use of the scientific and technological potential of high-tech industries. Of course, the complex of the most important criteria for the economic growth of the national economy determines the volume of the high-tech sector and the scientific and technical potential of the country at the present stage. The situation in the Russian market clearly implies the need for a quick solution to the main problems of developing high-tech sectors in the agro-industrial complex, accelerating import substitution and ensuring sustainable food security based on resource-saving technologies of agro-industrial production and deep processing of agricultural raw materials.


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