scholarly journals Predictors of survival in patients submitted to typical atrial flutter ablation

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Couto Pereira ◽  
T Rodrigues ◽  
N Cunha ◽  
P Silverio Antonio ◽  
J Brito ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Cavo-tricuspid isthmus ablation (CTA) is the first line procedure in patients with typical atrial flutter (AFL) for adequate rhythm and symptoms control with low complication rates and excellent results. Given its apparent simplicity, rarely do we take clinical factors in account before referral. Aim To identify predictors of survival after typical AFL ablation. Methods Single-center retrospective study of pts with typical AFL submitted to ablation between 2015 and 2019. Pts clinical characteristics were collected. Statistical analysis was performed using Cox regression (for multivariate analysis), Chi-square and Mann-Whitney (for univariate analysis) to identify predictors of survival. Results A total of 476 pts (66±12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA. Regarding global clinical characteristics, median body mass index (BMI) 27.3 (IQ 24.5–30.4), median CHA2DS2-VASc score 2 (IQ 1–3), 27.3% with diabetes, 53.9% with dyslipidemia, 69.5% with hypertension, 12% with current tobacco abuse, thyroid disfunction in 10.9%, ischaemic cardiomyopathy in 13.7%, heart failure in 27.8% (3.6% of pts with reduced ejection fraction), chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3 or more in 17.7%, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in 11.9% and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in 9.5% of pts. Before CTA ablation, 444 pts were under anticoagulation, which was stopped in 293 pts after the procedure. The follow up period was 2.8 years. In this population, COPD (p=0.005), CKD (p<0.001), heart failure (p=0.0027) and BMI less than 25 (p=0.02) were associated with reduced survival on univariate analysis; patients with BMI between 25 and 30 had better prognosis. On multivariate analysis, CKD was the only independent predictor of reduced survival (HR 0.366; CI95%: 0.132–0.737, p=0.005). There was no difference between genders (p=NS). A CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥4 predicted higher mortality (HR: 3.0) in all three groups, although the anti-coagulation suspension had no impact on survival (p=NS). Conclusion In this subset of patients, the presence of COPD, heart failure, BMI less than 25 and CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥4 predicted reduced survival, being CKD stage 3 or more an independent predictor. The suspension of anti-coagulation didn't impact on survival. These results can help us to better select pts to the procedure and decide on whether to stop anti-coagulation, although larger studies are still needed. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. BMI impact on survival CKD impact on survival

EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Alves Da Silva ◽  
T Rodrigues ◽  
N Cunha ◽  
J Brito ◽  
S Couto-Pereira ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Cavotricuspid isthmus ablation (CTA) is considered the main treatment for rhythm control in patients (pts) with typical atrial flutter (AFL). Although there is an established risk for embolic events in atrial fibrillation (AF), the results are not standardized for typical AFL. Currently, anticoagulation in AFL pts submitted to ablation is not consensual. Purpose To determine the incidence and predictors of major cardiovascular events (MACE) of pts submitted to CTA of typical AFL. Methods Single-center retrospective study of patients (pts) submitted to CTA between 2015 and 2019, comprising three groups: I – pts with lone AFL; II – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to CTA only; and III – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to IVP and CTA. Clinical records were analyzed to determine the occurrence of MACE during the long-term follow up, defined as death (of cardiovascular or unknown cause), stroke, clinically relevant bleed or hospitalization due to heart failure or arrhythmic events. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to estimate the risk of events and the groups were compared using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses Results A total of 476 pts (66 ± 12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA: group I – 284 pts (60%), II – 109 pts (23%) and III – 83 pts (17%). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except for age with group I pts being older (68 ± 12, 67 ± 11, 61 ± 11, p < 0.03). At presentation, the majority of the pts had palpitations (70.4%) and mild symptoms (70.8%). HTN and dyslipidemia were the most frequent cardiovascular risk factors, 69.5% and 53.9%, respectively, and heart failure was not frequent (27.7%) with only 5.4% of pts with LVEF < 30% and 12.4% with left atrium > 50ml/m2. During a mean follow-up of 2.8 years, the incidence of MACE events was 102 (21,4%). Regarding MACE components: 54 pts (11.5%) died from cardiovascular death, 20 pts had stroke (4.5%), 13 (3.8%) had a clinically relevant bleeding event, and 51 pts (11.4%) were hospitalized due to heart failure or arrhythmic events. On univariate analysis, arterial peripheric disease (p = 0.018), HTN (p = 0.046), chronic kidney disease (p <0.001), chronic pulmonary disease (p = 0.0024), heart failure (p <0.001), cerebrovascular disease (p 0.029), body mass index (p = 0.01), age (p <0.001), CHADsVASc score (p < 0.001) and left atrial diameter (p= 0.01) were associated with the occurrence of MACE. However only age (HR 1.073; 95%CI 1.03-1.06, p < 0.001) and chronic kidney disease (HR 0.37; 95%CI 0.186-0.765, p = 0.007) were independent predictors of major events. Conclusions In our cohort of pts with AFL, stroke and bleeding occurred in a minority of pts. Age and chronic kidney disease predicted MACE events during follow-up. Abstract Figure. CKD as FLA predictor


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyun Yu ◽  
Juanhui Pei ◽  
Xiaoyan Liu ◽  
Jingzhou Chen ◽  
Xian Li ◽  
...  

The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether CC-AAbs levels could predict prognosis in CHF patients. A total of 2096 patients with CHF (841 DCM patients and 1255 ICM patients) and 834 control subjects were recruited. CC-AAbs were detected and the relationship between CC-AAbs and patient prognosis was analyzed. During a median follow-up time of 52 months, there were 578 deaths. Of these, sudden cardiac death (SCD) occurred in 102 cases of DCM and 121 cases of ICM. The presence of CC-AAbs in patients was significantly higher than that of controls (bothP<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that positive CC-AAbs could predict SCD (HR 3.191, 95% CI 1.598–6.369 for DCM; HR 2.805, 95% CI 1.488–5.288 for ICM) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.733, 95% CI 1.042–2.883 for DCM; HR 2.219, 95% CI 1.461–3.371 for ICM) in CHF patients. A significant association between CC-AAbs and non-SCD (NSCD) was found in ICM patients (HR = 1.887, 95% CI 1.081–3.293). Our results demonstrated that the presence of CC-AAbs was higher in CHF patients versus controls and corresponds to a higher incidence of all-cause death and SCD. Positive CC-AAbs may serve as an independent predictor for SCD and all-cause death in these patients.


Author(s):  
Kazuki Ishikawa ◽  
Tsuneo Yamashiro ◽  
Takuro Ariga ◽  
Takafumi Toita ◽  
Wataru Kudaka ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Fractures are known to shorten life expectancy and worsen the quality of life. The risk of fractures after radiation therapy in cervical cancer patients is known to be multifactorial. In this study, we examined risk factors for fractures in cervical cancer patients, especially by evaluating bone densities and DVH parameters for fractured bones. Materials and Methods For 42 patients, clinical characteristics, pretreatment CT bone densities, and radiation dose were compared between patients with and without fractures. Results Posttreatment fractures occurred in 25 bones among ten patients. Pretreatment CT bone densities were significantly lower in patients with fractures (P < 0.05–0.01 across sites, except for the ilium and the ischium). Although DVH parameters were also significantly associated with fractures in univariate analysis, only CT densities were significantly associated with fractures in multivariate analysis. Conclusion Pretreatment CT densities of spinal and pelvic bones, which may reflect osteoporosis, have a significant impact on the risk for posttreatment fractures.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G E Mandoli ◽  
G De Carli ◽  
M C Pastore ◽  
L Rizzo ◽  
C Nannelli ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Prognosis of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) and different etiologies remains a challenging issue for the Cardiologist. Purpose We aimed to evaluate clinical and echocardiographic indexes and blood tests values of patients admitted to Intensive Care Unit (ICU) for AHF to test their capability to predict events at short-, medium- and long-term follow-up. Methods We retrospectively enrolled 830 patients who entered the ICU of our third-level hospital between 2010 and 2013 for AHF. Exclusion criteria included: active malignances, heart transplantation, patients with left ventricular assist device. We evaluated in each subject: cause of admission, medical history, chest congestion severity at admission, blood tests, echocardiographic parameters and administered drugs during in-hospital stay. Primary endpoints included: mortality rate at 30 days, 6 months and 5 years after dismission, days of ICU stay and cardiology ward stay. Indexes with statistical significance at univariate analysis, were then tested by multivariate analysis. Results The study population (average age 72.2±13 y) had an ejection fraction (EF) 36±12% at ICU admission. Best predictors of prognosis in the populations, after multivariate analysis, resulted to be: renal failure, EF, age, mitral regurgitation (MR) more than mild, use of non-invasive ventilation support during ICU stay, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). With these indexes, we created a multi-parametric prognostic score composed by: 0.7*[age >76 years] + 1.4*[plasmatic creatinine >2mg/dl] + 0.8*[non-invasive mechanical ventilation] + 0.9*[previous stroke/TIA] + 0.8*[EF <30%] + + 0.7*[previous hospitalization for AHF] + 0.5*[moderate/severe MR]. According to the score, we stratified the population in 3 tertiles with increasing mortality risk: low if <1.5, medium if 1.5–3, high risk if >3 (Figure 1). At ROC curve analysis, the score showed a greater prognostic accuracy than each parameter (30 days AUC 0.75, 6 months AUC 0.78, 5 years AUC 0.79). Figure 1 Conclusions A combined clinical, humoral and echocardiographic score could represent a new tool in the prognostication of patients with AHF since the admission in ICU.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
FEDERICO DI MARCO ◽  
Umberto Capitanio ◽  
Arianna Bettiga ◽  
Riccardo Vago ◽  
Alessandra Cinque ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Radical Nephrectomy is usually associated to the risk of future development of a mild to severe chronic kidney disease stage especially for those patients who already present early stages of CKD (e.g CKD class II and IIIa). Any insight on this topic could influence the clinical decision about the surgery. But how can we know for sure the magnitude of the renal function’s decay? In this preliminary work, our aim was to identify a new model able to predict at time surgery the renal function’s variation at 1 year from the operation Method We collected prospectively clinical data of a group of consecutive 114 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy (RN) for the presence of a benign or malignant renal mass. We estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) with MDRD formula. We considered the following clinical varibles: AKI onset (according to RIFLE criteria), age, gender, presence of blood hypertension, diabetes type II and BMI. Moreover, to investigate a possible correlation between renal basal histology and renal functional decay, renal biopsies were performed on each on the healthy part of the removed kidney &gt; 3cm far from tumor. A pathological evaluation using a chronicity score (Remuzzi Score) was subsequently carried out evaluating damage on four parameters: (a) glomerular global sclerosis, (b) tubular atrophy, (c) interstitial fibrosis and (d) arterial narrowing. Statistical analysis were performed using generalized linear model (GLM), Kruskal-Wallis test and chi-square test. Multivariate analysis were applied using stepwise regressions method in order to select the best fitting model. Statistically significant correlations were considered for p-value&lt;0.05. Results At t0, 21% of the patients had an eGFR&gt;90ml/min/1.73m2, 45% between 60 and 90, 23% between 30 and 45, and 11% under 45. Median observed decay after 12 months was 32.8% (IQR= 17.9%:41.9%).Taking in account the eGFR decay’s percentage there was a strong correlation with AKI onset (decay increased by 22.4%, CI= 14%:30.8%, p&lt;0.0001), with Diabetes ( decay increased by 13%, CI= 2%: 24.5%, p=0.02) and with the CKD stages at t0 (p=0.0007). Considering the histology, a significative negative correlation was found with the presence of arterial narrowing (-14%, CI=-23%:-6%, p&lt;0.01) even though the whole chronicity score did not correlate (p=0.5). No significative correlations were found between the decay of eGFR and other variables such as age, gender or comorbidities. The multivariate analysis by stepwise regression, including all the significative variables from the univariate analysis, proposed as best model to predict the decay the use of AKI onset (14%, CI=6%:22%, p=0.001), arterial narrowing (-13%, CI=-22%:-5%, p=0.001) and diabetes (p=0.14) as variables. Conclusion A precise and reliable prediction of renal function decrease after RN represents a cornerstone for urologist and nephrologist in order to create a personalized medical approach and management.In our cohort of study, CKD stage I and II patients displayed a huge decrease of eGFR in respect to CKD stages III-IV over time. One possible biological explanation can be that the healthy kidney of the patients affected by moderate and severe CKD starts working with a compensatory mechanism before the entire removal of the kidney with cancer so that the surgical acute nephron loss does not represent a shock in comparison to healthy patients with an eGFR &gt;90 ml/min. Our preliminary study identified a new clinical and pathological panel of variables able to predict at time zero the magnitude of eGFR decay after 1 year from surgical operation. Further studies are needed in order to validate and improve this model.


2016 ◽  
Vol 130 (7) ◽  
pp. 669-673 ◽  
Author(s):  
R W A Hone ◽  
T Tikka ◽  
A I Kaleva ◽  
A Hoey ◽  
V Alexander ◽  
...  

AbstractBackground:Inadvertent (or incidental) parathyroidectomy can occur during thyroidectomy. However, the factors associated with inadvertent parathyroidectomy remain unclear. This study aimed to report the rate of inadvertent parathyroidectomy during thyroidectomy and associated risk factors.Methods:Variables including fine needle aspiration cytology findings, age, sex, thyroid weight, concurrent neck dissection, extent of thyroidectomy, and the presence of cancer and parathyroid tissue within the specimen were recorded for 266 patients. The incidence of post-operative hypocalcaemia was also recorded. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify factors associated with inadvertent parathyroidectomy.Results:The inadvertent parathyroidectomy rate was 16 per cent. Univariate analysis revealed that cancer and concurrent neck dissection predicted inadvertent parathyroidectomy. On multivariate analysis, only concurrent neck dissection remained an independent predictor of inadvertent parathyroidectomy: it was associated with a fourfold increase in inadvertent parathyroidectomy.Conclusion:The inadvertent parathyroidectomy rate was 16 per cent and concurrent neck dissection was identified as an independent predictor of inadvertent parathyroidectomy.


Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 2378-2378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian H Gabriel ◽  
Juliet Sharon ◽  
Eduardo Olavarria ◽  
Amin Rahemtulla ◽  
Edward Kanfer ◽  
...  

Abstract Autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) remains the standard consolidation therapy for patients with multiple myeloma (MM) and chemosensitive relapsed lymphoma (r-Ly). Peripheral blood as a source of stem cells (PBSC) has largely replaced marrow and has the advantage of improved engraftment rates. PBSC are routinely collected following administration of chemotherapy in combination with GCSF. However, the resultant pancytopenia poses a significant risk to patients and additional chemotherapy prior to ASCT may lead to increased end organ damage potentially precluding future therapies (including ASCT). Novel agents can achieve PBSC mobilisation without the use of cytotoxics. In the advent of such drugs, we reviewed the efficacy of, and complications experienced by patients during PBSC mobilisation. We also analysed the cost implications of adverse events. Of 151 consecutive attempts, 13.2% of patients failed to reach our criteria in order to attempt pheresis (1 × 104 CD34 cells/ml). Of those achieving target and undergoing pheresis, 6% did not achieve an adequate cell dose for future ASCT (2 × 106CD34+cells/kg) giving an overall failure rate of 19.2%. Furthermore 17.9% failed to harvest our ideal of 4 × 106/kg (permitting &gt;1 ASCT procedure). Factors contributing to failure in achieving target CD34+ve PB count on univariate analysis were; &gt;2 lines of previous chemotherapy and occurrence of neutropenic sepsis (NS (p=0.002, and 0.005 respectively). These factors remained significant on multivariate analysis (RR: 4.4 and 6.2). These same factors also affected CD34+ cell yield on both univariate and multivariate analysis (RR: 3.3 and 4.6). No differences were seen between MM and r-Ly. Overall, the complication rate was 34.4%, with 24.1% of patients suffering NS requiring admission. The mortality rate was 1.3% (NS and intra-cranial bleed). Of those developing NS, only 52% eventually harvested sufficient cells, but with a median delay of 3 days. The median cost of PBSC collection was $17,381.46 ($1,978.97–$39,355.73). NS significantly increased the cost of mobilisation at a median cost of $25,532.95 vs $16,4921) (p=&lt;0.0001). Conclusion: Our results suggest that patients who are potential candidates for ASCT should be harvested as soon as they achieve remission to prevent failure following additional therapy upon relapse. One fifth of patients will fail. The risks associated with current mobilisation protocols are substantial, and also impact greatly on cost, particularly relevant in the current climate of economic probity. Therefore these data suggests that transplant centres should consider the use of non-myelosuppressive agents either in place of, or as a dose reduction strategy for autologous stem cell procurement.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 242-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gustavo Jankilevich ◽  
Luciana Gennari ◽  
Matias Salazar ◽  
Claudio Graziano ◽  
Eduardo Saravia ◽  
...  

242 Background: Tumor stage, Gleason score, PSA, Performance Status have been identified as important predictors of survival in prostate cancer. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is a validated score used to stratify patients according to comorbidities. To evaluate the prognostic role of CCI in patients with CPRC. Methods: A retrospective study based on an analysis of medical records of 212 patients with CRPC treated at Durand Hospital between 2010-2015. The CCI was calculated for each patient and a correlation with overall survival was performed. Statistical analysis included univariate analysis and multivariate analysis (Cox regression). Patients were stratified according CCI ≤ 7.6 or ≥ 7.6. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier curve. Results: We analyzed records of 212 patients with prostate cancer, of which 59 were resistant to castration. Median age 69 years, the PFS with androgen blockade was 32.4 months. Patients with CPRC 54% perform chemotherapy as first-line treatment of castration resistance and 46% performed treatment of hormonal manipulation (Enzalutamide or Abiraterone Acetate). Median overall survival of patients with CCI < 7.6 was 75 months versus 62 months for those with CCI > 7.6 HR: 1.19 (1.03 to 1.36) p: 0.01. In multivariate analysis the ICC was an independent predictor of mortality in these patients HR: 1.23 (1.03 to 1.48) p: 0.02. (Table 1) CCI ≤ 7,6 was predictor to subsequent lines in CPRC setting. Gleason score, PS were independent predictors of survival. Conclusions: Based on our results we can consider the CCI as an independent predictor of survival in CPRC patients. CCI could be an useful tool useful to select patients in clinical trial and community settings. [Table: see text]


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle K. Kesler ◽  
Timothy S. Brown ◽  
J. Ryan Martin ◽  
Bryan D. Springer ◽  
Jesse Otero

Aims: In the setting of rising healthcare costs, more cost efficiency in total hip arthroplasty (THA) is required. Following THA, most patients are monitored with serial hemoglobin testing despite few needing blood transfusions.  This testing adds cost and may not be necessary in most patients.  This study aims to identify factors associated with transfusion, therefore guiding hemoglobin monitoring following THA.Patients and Methods: Patients who underwent primary THA in 2015 were identified using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP) database.  Patient discharged on the day of surgery were excluded. Patients were classified into those receiving transfusion versus no transfusion. Demographics and comorbidities were compared between groups followed by univariate and multivariate analysis, allowing identification of patient characteristics and comorbidities associated with transfusion. Results: Overall, 28664 patients who underwent THA patients were identified.  Within this group, 6.1% (n=1737) had a post-operative transfusion.  Patients receiving a blood transfusion were older, had lower body mass index, and had higher rates of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), heart failure, dialysis, prior transfusion, and were more frequently ASA class 3-4 (p<0.001).  Univariate analysis demonstrated that patients requiring transfusion had higher complication rates (4.3% vs. 12.8%, p<0.0001).  Multivariate analysis identified age >70, diabetes, smoking, COPD, prior transfusion, and operative time >2 hours as independent risk factors for transfusion.Conclusion: Among THA patients, characteristics and comorbidities exist that are associated with increased likelihood of transfusion.  Presence of these factors should guide hemoglobin monitoring post-operatively. Selective hemoglobin monitoring can potentially decrease the cost of THA. 


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