scholarly journals Trend analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic in China and the rest of the world

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Albertine Weber ◽  
Flavio Iannelli ◽  
Sebastián Gonçalves
Keyword(s):  
Exponential Growth ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Exponential Phase ◽  
List Type ◽  
Slowing Down ◽  
Johns Hopkins University ◽  
Local Case ◽  
The World ◽  
China And Japan ◽  
Almost All

AbstractThe recent epidemic of Coronavirus (COVID-19) that started in China has already been “exported” to more than 140 countries in all the continents, evolving in most of them by local spreading. In this contribution we analyze the trends of the cases reported in all the Chinese provinces, as well as in some countries that, until March 15th, 2020, have more than 500 cases reported. Notably and differently from other epidemics, the provinces did not show an exponential phase. The data available at the Johns Hopkins University site [1] seem to fit well an algebraic sub-exponential growing behavior as was pointed out recently [2]. All the provinces show a clear and consistent pattern of slowing down with growing exponent going nearly zero, so it can be said that the epidemic was contained in China. On the other side, the more recent spread in countries like, Italy, Iran, and Spain show a clear exponential growth, as well as other European countries. Even more recently, US —which was one of the first countries to have an individual infected outside China (Jan 21st, 2020)— seems to follow the same path. We calculate the exponential growth of the most affected countries, showing the evolution along time after the first local case. We identify clearly different patterns in the analyzed data and we give interpretations and possible explanations for them. The analysis and conclusions of our study can help countries that, after importing some cases, are not yet in the local spreading phase, or have just started.HIGHLIGHTSAll the provinces of China show very similar epidemic behaviour.Early stages of spreading can be explained in terms of SIR standard model, considering that reported cases accounts for the removed individuals, with algebraic growing (sub-exponential) in most locations.Worldwide, we observe two classes of epidemic growth: sub-exponential during almost all stages (China and Japan) and exponential on the rest of the countries, following the early stage.The exponential growth rates ranges from 0.016day−1 (South Korea) to 0.725day−1 (Brunei) which means 1.6% to 107% of new cases per day, for the different countries but China.

scholarly journals The Asian region and COVID-19: approaches and gaps in controlling the virus

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Poonam Mehta
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
Social Stigma ◽  
Macro Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Slowing Down ◽  
Asian Region ◽  
The World ◽  
Almost All ◽  
International Boundaries ◽  
Relevant Factors

PurposeThe world is facing an unprecedented transformation in its social, economic and financial environments due to the emergence of a new pandemic called coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The norms on social distancing, lockdowns and sealing of international boundaries are the common measures taken by almost all regions of the world. However, the Asian region is found to have a relatively lesser number of infected cases and deaths due to COVID-19 in comparison to the other regions of the world. The present study has been aimed to review the roles of various factors as approaches, such as technology, business–government collaborations, financial bailouts and policies from government side and geographical and demographical factors of the countries in slowing down the transmission of virus in the Asian region including East Asia, South Asia and South East Asia for controlling COVID-19. Besides, the present study has also emphasised the gaps which have disabled the Asian region in controlling the transmission of virus.Design/methodology/approachFor framing the paper, various articles, national and international reports and academic papers have been reviewed, which are published in the period 2000–2020. The studies are shortlisted on the basis of keywords, such as COVID-19, coronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome-like coronavirus ( SARS-CoV-2), pandemic, virus, quarantine, Asia, etc.FindingsThe study has emphasised the roles of government, technology, business–government collaborations and geographical and demographical factors of countries as relevant factors in controlling COVID-19. Also, the study has highlighted inefficient health infrastructure, fear of social stigma and misinformation amongst citizens as those gaps where Asian regions are simultaneously found to be unprepared and inefficient to control the pandemic.Research limitations/implicationsThe present review would aid researchers in explaining the relevance of macro-level factors such as technology, business–government collaborations, government policies and financial bailouts and geographical and demographical factors of the region in controlling the transmission of pandemics and epidemics.Practical implicationsThe study would assist decision makers, governments and individuals in framing of the various strategies and interventions to control pandemics and epidemics.Social implicationsThe present study has explained the relevance of various behavioural and social factors as gaps which are responsible for speeding up the transmission of COVID-19. Here, the study would guide the society in taking various right steps during the phase of pandemic and lockdowns.Originality/valuePreviously, rarely any study has been found which has reviewed the roles of macro-level factors as approaches and gaps in the context of the Asian region to slow down the transmission of COVID-19.

scholarly journals Russians from China: Migrations and Identity

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-158
Author(s):  
Mara Moustafine
Keyword(s):  
Jewish Community ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
North China ◽  
Chinese Cities ◽  
Political Transformations ◽  
Political Forces ◽  
The World ◽  
China And Japan ◽  
The Rich ◽  
Almost All

In the first half of the 20th century, sizeable Russian communities lived in a number of Chinese cities, including Harbin, Shanghai and Tientsin. The largest and most diverse of these was the community that grew up around Harbin in north China. By the mid 1920s, Harbin was home to one of the largest Russian diaspora communities in the world, with over 120,000 Russians and other nationalities from the former Tsarist Empire. Moreover, many Russians in Shanghai and Tientsin had links to Harbin, as their first place of domicile in China. By the late 1950s, political transformations in China had driven almost all these people elsewhere. But for many of them, their roots in China became a key aspect of their identity in emigration in their new diasporas. This paper explores the background to this unique community and the geo-political forces underpinning the various waves of migration of Russians into and out of Harbin. It analyses the complex issues of identity and citizenship Russians faced while living in Harbin, their fates determined at various points in time by the dominance of three powers – Russia, China and Japan. Drawing on the experience of my own family, whose life in Harbin and Manchuria spanned four generations over fifty years, it touches on the rich ethnic and cultural mix that lay beneath the surface of “Russian” Harbin, with particular reference to the Jewish community that once thrived there. Finally, it examines how the ‘Harbintsy’ perceive their identity in emigration and the recent changes in attitude towards them of the Chinese authorities.

At a Glance…: The World Economy

2015 ◽  
Vol 232 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
World Economy ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
List Type ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The World ◽  
Almost All

Following growth of 3.4 per cent each year in 2012–14, the world economy will grow by 3.2 per cent in 2015 and 3.8 per cent in 2016.Growth has been slightly weaker than expected so far in 2015 and inflation remains well below target in almost all developed countries.But deflation does not appear to be embedded and low oil prices, combined with accommodative monetary policies, should provide a boost to growth in most oil importing countries.

scholarly journals Impact of national and regional lockdowns on COVID-19 epidemic waves: Application to the 2020 spring wave in France

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Roux ◽  
Clément Massonnaud ◽  
Vittoria Colizza ◽  
Simon Cauchemez ◽  
Pascal Crépey
Keyword(s):  
Healthcare System ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
National Level ◽  
List Type ◽  
Slowing Down ◽  
Hospital Resources ◽  
Age Profile ◽  
Almost All ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Pandemic Wave

AbstractBackgroundThe efficacy of national lockdowns to control COVID-19 epidemics has been demonstrated. This study aimed at assessing the impact of national and regional lockdowns, in the context of quickly growing pandemic waves, considering the French first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic as a case study.MethodsWe developed a compartmental epidemic model considering the demographic and age profile of the population of the 13 regions of metropolitan France. We assessed the impact on morbidity, mortality, and hospital resources of simulated national and regional lockdowns starting at different time.ResultsIn a regional lockdown scenario aimed at preventing intensive care units (ICU) saturation in continental France in March 2020, almost all regions would have had to implement a lockdown within 10 days from the actual date of the nationwide implementation. By this date, 97% of ICU capacities would have been used and almost 7000 more lives would have been lost, compared to the March 17 lockdown which limited the mortality burden in hospital to 18 130 deaths. For slowly growing epidemics, with a lower reproduction number, the expected delays between regional lockdowns increases. However, the public health costs associated with these delays tend to grow exponentially with time.ConclusionsIn a quickly growing pandemic wave, defining the timing of lockdowns at a regional rather than national level delays by a few days the implementation of a nationwide lockdown but leads to substantially higher morbi-mortality and stress on the healthcare system.Key messagesIn a quickly growing pandemic wave, defining the timing of lockdowns at a regional level delays the implementation of a nationwide lockdown by a few days, but leads to substantially higher morbi-mortality and stress on the healthcare system.The impact of a delayed regional lockdown greatly depends on the reproduction number in the region, with morbi-mortality costs growing exponentially with the delay.If delayed regional lockdowns are necessary to ensure population acceptability, slowing down the epidemic ahead of the measure may decrease the morbi-mortality associated with this delay.

At a Glance …

2015 ◽  
Vol 231 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
List Type ◽  
The World ◽  
Almost All

Following growth of 3.4 per cent in 2014, the world economy will grow by 3.3 per cent in 2015 and 3.6 per cent in 2016.Growth was weaker than expected in late 2014 and inflation has fallen further below target in almost all developed countries;But a sustained lower oil price, if it does not exacerbate the threat of deflation, should provide a significant boost to growth in countries that are net oil importers and for the global economy.

Globalization and interconfessional communications

2001 ◽  
pp. 13-17
Author(s):  
Serhii Viktorovych Svystunov
Keyword(s):  
21St Century ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Modern World ◽  
The World ◽  
Target Set ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Over Time ◽  
Rapid Appearance

In the 21st century, the world became a sign of globalization: global conflicts, global disasters, global economy, global Internet, etc. The Polish researcher Casimir Zhigulsky defines globalization as a kind of process, that is, the target set of characteristic changes that develop over time and occur in the modern world. These changes in general are reduced to mutual rapprochement, reduction of distances, the rapid appearance of a large number of different connections, contacts, exchanges, and to increase the dependence of society in almost all spheres of his life from what is happening in other, often very remote regions of the world.

From the Tower of London to the Thomas More Society of Buenos Aires: “Give me thy grace, good Lord, to set the world at nought”

Moreana ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 42 (Number 164) (4) ◽  
pp. 187-206
Author(s):  
Clare M. Murphy
Keyword(s):  
Buenos Aires ◽  
Short History ◽  
Thomas More ◽  
Tower Of London ◽  
Hebrew Poetry ◽  
Prayer Book ◽  
The World ◽  
History Of ◽  
Book Of Hours ◽  
Almost All

The Thomas More Society of Buenos Aires begins or ends almost all its events by reciting in both English and Spanish a prayer written by More in the margins of his Book of Hours probably while he was a prisoner in the Tower of London. After a short history of what is called Thomas More’s Prayer Book, the author studies the prayer as a poem written in the form of a psalm according to the structure of Hebrew poetry, and looks at the poem’s content as a psalm of lament.

Auto Markets in the World and Strategy of Japan’s Companies

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1003-1008
Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Matsuoka ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Auto Industry ◽  
Domestic Market ◽  
Automatic Driving ◽  
The World ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Made In

In the world auto market, top three companies are VW(Volkswagen), Runault-Nissan-Mistubishi, and Toyota. About some selected countries and areas, China, England, Italy, Australia, Germany, Turkey, Russia, Sweden, USA, Brazil, UAE, Japan, Vietnam and Thailand are more competitive. However, the situation is different. Seeing monopolistic market countries and areas, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, Korea, Malaysia, France, India, and Pakistan, in particular, the influence of Japan to Taiwan, India, and Pakistan is very big. But in Korea and France, their own companies’ brands occupy the market. In Japan domestic market, the overall situation is competitive. Almost all vehicles made in Japan are Japanese brand. From now on, we have to note the development of electric vehicle (EV) and other new technologies such as automatic driving and connected car. That is because they will give a great impact on the auto industry and market of Japan. Now Japan’s auto industry is going to be consolidated into three groups, Honda, Toyota group, and Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi group for seeking the scale merit of economy. Therefore, I will pay attention to the worldwide development of EV and other new technologies and the reorganization of auto companies groups.

Pengaruh Inflasi, BI Rate, NPF, dan BOPO terhadap Profitabilitas Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-153
Author(s):  
Toufan Aldian Syah
Keyword(s):  
Banking Industry ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Muslim Country ◽  
Internal Factors ◽  
Slowing Down ◽  
The World ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Test Correlation ◽  
The Ideal

Banking industry has a very important role in economic development in a country. Indonesia, which is the largest Muslim country in the world, certainly has the prospect of the development of Sharia Banking Industry is very good in the future. However, the development of Sharia Bank has been slowing down in recent years and the profitability of sharia comercial banking is still below the ideal value. This study aims to determine the internal factors and external factors that affect the profitability of Sharia Bank in the year of January 2012 until August 2017. The variables used in this study are ROA, Inflation, NPF, and BOPO. The data used is aggregate data of all Sharia Commercial Banks recorded at Bank Indonesia. Measurement of Statistic Description, F-Test, T-Test, Correlation Coefficient, Coefficient of Determination and Multiple Linear Regression using IBM SPSS 21 software. The results showed that significant negative effect of BI rate, NPF and BOPO was found, while Inflation variable showed negative but not significant. Overall, the above variables affect the ROA of 87.7%, while 12.3% is likely to be influenced by other factors.

ON EVALUATION OF THE ROLE OF THERMAL AND WIND FACTORS FOR A PHYSICAL MODEL OF THE WORLD OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION SYSTEM

2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 80-91
Author(s):  
V. G. Neiman
Keyword(s):  
Physical Model ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
World Ocean ◽  
Circulation System ◽  
The Public ◽  
The World ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Conceptual Foundations

The main content of the work consists of certain systematization and addition of longexisting, but eventually deformed and partly lost qualitative ideas about the role of thermal and wind factors that determine the physical mechanism of the World Ocean’s General Circulation System (OGCS). It is noted that the conceptual foundations of the theory of the OGCS in one form or another are contained in the works of many well-known hydrophysicists of the last century, but the aggregate, logically coherent description of the key factors determining the physical model of the OGCS in the public literature is not so easy to find. An attempt is made to clarify and concretize some general ideas about the two key blocks that form the basis of an adequate physical model of the system of oceanic water masses motion in a climatic scale. Attention is drawn to the fact that when analyzing the OGCS it is necessary to take into account not only immediate but also indirect effects of thermal and wind factors on the ocean surface. In conclusion, it is noted that, in the end, by the uneven flow of heat to the surface of the ocean can be explained the nature of both external and almost all internal factors, in one way or another contributing to the excitation of the general, or climatic, ocean circulation.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document