scholarly journals Evaluation of microalbuminuria as a prognostic indicator after a TIA or minor stroke in an outpatient setting: the prognostic role of microalbuminuria in TIA evolution (ProMOTE) study

BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. e043253
Author(s):  
W David Strain ◽  
Salim Elyas ◽  
Nicola Wedge ◽  
Luke Mounce ◽  
William Henley ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTransient ischaemic attacks (TIA) and minor strokes are important risk factors for further vascular events. We explored the role of albumin creatinine ratio (ACR) in improving risk prediction after a first event.SettingRapid access stroke clinics in the UK.Participants2202 patients attending with TIA or minor stroke diagnosed by the attending stroke physician, able to provide a urine sample to evaluate ACR using a near-patient testing device.Primary and secondary outcomesPrimary outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACE: recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death) at 90 days. The key secondary outcome was to determine whether urinary ACR could contribute to a risk prediction tool for use in a clinic setting.Results151 MACE occurred in 144 participants within 90 days. Participants with MACE had higher ACR than those without. A composite score awarding a point each for age >80 years, previous stroke/TIA and presence of microalbuminuria identified those at low risk and high risk. 90% of patients were at low risk (scoring 0 or 1). Their 90-day risk of MACE was 5.7%. Of the remaining ‘high-risk’ population (scoring 2 or 3) 12.4% experienced MACE over 90 days (p<0.001 compared with the low-risk population). The need for acute admission in the first 7 days was twofold elevated in the high-risk group compared with the low-risk group (3.23% vs 1.43%; p=0.05). These findings were validated in an independent historic sample.ConclusionA risk score comprising age, previous stroke/TIA and microalbuminuria predicts future MACE while identifying those at low risk of a recurrent event. This tool shows promise in the risk stratification of patients to avoid the admission of low-risk patients.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e24023-e24023
Author(s):  
Shreya Gattani ◽  
Vanita Noronha ◽  
Anant Ramaswamy ◽  
Renita Castelino ◽  
Vandhita Nair ◽  
...  

e24023 Background: Clinical judgement alone is inadequate in accurately predicting chemotherapy toxicity in older adult cancer patients. Hurria and colleagues developed and validated, the CARG score (range, 0–17) as a convenient and reliable tool for predicting chemotherapy toxicity in older cancer patients in America, however, its applicability in Indian patients is unknown. Methods: An observational retrospective and prospective study between 2018 and 2020 was conducted in the Department of Medical Oncology at Tata Memorial Hospital, Mumbai, India. The study was approved by the institutional ethics committee (IEC-III; Project No. 900596) and registered in the Clinical Trials Registry of India (CTRI/2020/04/024675). Written informed consent was obtained in the prospective part of the study. Patients aged ≥ 60 years and planned for systemic therapy were evaluated in the geriatric oncology clinic and their CARG score was calculated. Patients were stratified into low (0-4), intermediate (5-9) and high risk (10-17) based on the CARG scores. The CARG score was provided to the treating physicians, along with the results of the geriatric assessment. Chemotherapy-related toxicities were captured from the electronic medical record and graded as per the NCI CTCAE, version 4.0. Results: We assessed 130 patients, with a median age 69 years (IQR, 60 to 84); 72% patients were males. The common malignancies included gastrointestinal (52%) and lung (30%). Approximately 78% patients received polychemotherapy and 53% received full dose chemotherapy. Based on the CARG score, 28 (22%) patients belonged to low risk, 80 (61%) to intermediate risk and 22 (17%) to the high risk category. The AU-ROC of the CARG score in predicting grade 3-5 toxicities was 0.61 (95% CI, 0.51-0.71). The sensitivity and specificity of the CARG score in predicting grade 3-5 toxicities were 60.8% and 78.6%. Grade 3-5 toxicities occurred in 6/28 patients (21%) in the low risk group, compared to 62/102 patients (61%) in the intermediate /high risk group, p = 0.0002. There was also a significant difference in the time to development of grade 3-5 toxicities, which occurred at a median of 2.5 cycles (IQR, 1-3.8) in the intermediate /high risk group and at a median of 6 cycles (IQR, 3.5-8) in the low risk group, p = 0.0011. Conclusions: In older Indian patients with cancer, the CARG score reliably stratifies patients into low risk and intermediate/high risk categories, predicting both the occurrence and the time to occurrence of grade 3-5 toxicities from chemotherapy. The CARG score may aid the oncologist in estimating the risk-benefit ratio of chemotherapy. An important limitation was that we provided the CARG score to the treating oncologists prior to the start of chemotherapy, which may have resulted in alterations in the chemotherapy regimen and dose and may have impacted the CARG risk prediction model. Clinical trial information: CTRI/2020/04/024675.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshitaka Ito ◽  
Kazuhiro Naito ◽  
Katsuhisa Waseda ◽  
Hiroaki Takashima ◽  
Akiyoshi Kurita ◽  
...  

Background: While anticoagulant therapy is standard management for atrial fibrillation (Af), dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is needed after stent implantation for coronary artery disease. HAS-BLED score estimates risk of major bleeding for patients on anticoagulation to assess risk-benefit in Af care. However, it is little known about usefulness of HAS-BLED score in Af patient treated with coronary stents requiring DAPT or DAPT plus warfarin (triple therapy: TT). The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of HAS-BLED score on major bleeding in Af patients undergoing DAPT or TT. Methods: A total of 837 consecutive patients were received PCI in our hospital from Jan. 2007 to Dec. 2010, and 66 patients had Af or paroxysmal Af at the time of PCI. Clinical events including major bleeding (cerebral or gastrointestinal bleeding) were investigated up to 3 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on HAS-BLED score (High-risk group: HAS-BLED score≥4, n=19 and Low-risk group: HAS-BLED score<4, n=47). DAPT therapy was required for a minimum 12 months after stent implantation and warfarin was prescribed based on physicians’ discretion. Management/change of antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy during follow-up periods were also up to physicians’ discretion. Results: Baseline characteristics were not different between High-risk and Low-risk group except for age. Overall incidence of major bleeding was observed in 8 cases (12.1%) at 3 years follow-up. Major bleeding event was significantly higher in High-risk group compared with Low-risk group (31.6% vs. 4.3%, p=0.002). However, management of DAPT and TT was not different between the 2 groups. Among component of HAS-BLED score, renal dysfunction and bleeding contributed with increased number of the score. Conclusion: High-risk group was more frequently observed major bleeding events compared with Low-risk group in patients with Af following DES implantation regardless of antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e20553-e20553
Author(s):  
Jianchun Duan ◽  
Hua Bai ◽  
Yiting Sun ◽  
Fei Gai ◽  
Shenya Tian ◽  
...  

e20553 Background: Clinical characters cannot precisely evaluate long-term survival of patients with resectable lung adenocarcinoma. Genomics studies of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) have advanced our understanding of LUAD's biology. Thus, genomics-based robust models predicting survival outcome for patients with operatable LUAD needs to be investigated. Here, we aimed to identify new gene signatures to construct a risk prediction model via integrating Omics data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) to better evaluate the long-term clinical outcome of LUAD patients. Methods: A cohort of one hundred and eighty-nine stage II-IIIA lung adenocarcinoma cases receiving tumor resection were screened out and downloaded from TCGA database. Tumor samples without survival information and genes with low or no expression were removed. Genes associated with cancer and immune were further narrowed down using a Master Panel Gene Set (Amoydx). Lasso-Cox regression analysis was used to screen gene-survival outcome, and then a risk prediction model was established. LUAD cases were divided into high-risk or low-risk groups as per the scores, to assess differential expressed genes and pathways. Results: A total of 8 most survival outcome related genes (CLEC7A, PAX5, XCR1, KRT7, PLCG1, DKK1, CLEC10A, IKZF3) were identified after Lasso-Cox regression analysis and used for model construction. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and disease-free survival (DFS) from the subgroups within the high- and low-risk groups were assessed and showed significant prolonged in low-risk group, the hazard ratio (HR) of OS was 2.72 (95%CI: 2.04-3.61, P = 5.91e-12) in high-risk group. Hierarchical clustering analysis, gene ontology (GO) analysis, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), and gene set variation analysis (GSVA) revealed that genes involved in immune responses were significantly suppressed in high-risk group, while as genes involved in antioxidative metabolism were activated, which gave us a hint that immune-metabolism interaction might play a vital role in determining the distal survival outcome of LUAD. Conclusions: Our risk prediction model enables precise evaluation of long-term survival for patients with LUAD. Further, it provides a novel and comprehensive understanding of biological impacts on LUAD prognosis, which offers new insights for future development of precise diagnostic and therapeutic approaches.[Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yali Zhong ◽  
Xiaobin Luo ◽  
Fubing Yang ◽  
Xinling Song

Abstract Object: Immune related genes play an important role in the process of tumor genesis and development. Therefore, we aim to find the Immune genes which are related to the prognosis of glioma patients, and to explore the infiltration of Immune cells in glioma microenvironment. Methods We downloaded the data of the glioma samples from the CGGA database, and performed batch correction to screen the primary glioma samples for subsequent analysis. Then the ESTIMATE algorithm was used to deal with the Stromal scores and Immune scores of the primary glioma samples, and the difference was analyzed. Then the common Immune related genes (IRGs) were obtained by intersecting with the Immune genes in the ImmPort database. Moreover, we used common IRGs to construct protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks, from which we screened the top 30 genes with high connectivity, and Lasso regression was used to screen the IRGs. Lastly, we obtained the combined genes, which were overlapped both in the top 30 high-connection genes and Lasso regression genes. The final genes were used to construct COX risk prediction models. The accuracy of the model were verified by the TCGA glioma data, and the model genes were analyzed for Immune-related pathways, as well as the Hallmark and KEGG enrichment. Additionally, we used CIBERSOFT algorithm to estimate the Immune cell content of the samples, and analyzed the differences, correlations and survival of the Immune cells in high and low risk groups. Results Firstly, a total of 117 IRGs were obtained from the gene sets, which were overlapped in the data of Stromal score, Immune score and ImmPort database. Secondly, the top 30 genes were selected after the PPI network, and another 26 genes were screened out after the Lasso regression algorithm. And then, six coexist IRGs were obtained from the intersecting sets. Furthermore, the COX risk prediction model was constructed and tested, showing that the overall survival rate of the high-risk group was about 50% of that of the low-risk group. We observed that the high-risk group were enriched in Immune response and Immune process. Most importantly, in KEGG pathways, the high-risk groups were mainly enriched in p53 signaling pathway, JAK-STAT signaling pathway, pathways in cancer and cell cycle. By estimating the Immune cell contents, we also found that the Immune cell Plasma cells, T cells CD8, T cells CD4 naïve, T cells regulatory (Tregs), Macrophages M0 and Neutrophils were higher in high-risk groups, when compared to the low-risk group, with significant difference. Finally, the correlation analysis showed that the degree of Immune infiltration in high-risk groups was related to T cells regulatory (Tregs), Macrophages M0 and Neutrophils. Conclusion A COX risk prediction model of 6 genes was successfully constructed, which was enriched in Immune-related pathways. Meanwhile, survival analysis and TCGA data validation revealed significant differences in the model genes in the overall survival of the glioma patients, and the degree of Immune infiltration in the model was associated with T cells regulatory (Tregs), Macrophages M0 and Neutrophils.


Gut ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 68 (9) ◽  
pp. 1576-1587 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quancai Cai ◽  
Chunping Zhu ◽  
Yuan Yuan ◽  
Qi Feng ◽  
Yichao Feng ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo develop a gastric cancer (GC) risk prediction rule as an initial prescreening tool to identify individuals with a high risk prior to gastroscopy.DesignThis was a nationwide multicentre cross-sectional study. Individuals aged 40–80 years who went to hospitals for a GC screening gastroscopy were recruited. Serum pepsinogen (PG) I, PG II, gastrin-17 (G-17) and anti-Helicobacter pylori IgG antibody concentrations were tested prior to endoscopy. Eligible participants (n=14 929) were randomly assigned into the derivation and validation cohorts, with a ratio of 2:1. Risk factors for GC were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses and an optimal prediction rule was then settled.ResultsThe novel GC risk prediction rule comprised seven variables (age, sex, PG I/II ratio, G-17 level, H. pylori infection, pickled food and fried food), with scores ranging from 0 to 25. The observed prevalence rates of GC in the derivation cohort at low-risk (≤11), medium-risk (12–16) or high-risk (17–25) group were 1.2%, 4.4% and 12.3%, respectively (p<0.001).When gastroscopy was used for individuals with medium risk and high risk, 70.8% of total GC cases and 70.3% of early GC cases were detected. While endoscopy requirements could be reduced by 66.7% according to the low-risk proportion. The prediction rule owns a good discrimination, with an area under curve of 0.76, or calibration (p<0.001).ConclusionsThe developed and validated prediction rule showed good performance on identifying individuals at a higher risk in a Chinese high-risk population. Future studies are needed to validate its efficacy in a larger population.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 5049-5049
Author(s):  
EiriniIOANNIS Konstantinidou ◽  
Nicholas Zoumbos

Abstract Abstract 5049 Expression of Proteins P16INK 4a, P53 and Bmi-1 in Hematopoietic Stem Cells of Patients with MDS. The Role of Cellular Senescence. Irene Constandinidou1, Eleni Kalivioti1,Vasilios Fertakis1, Costas Dallas1, Polyxeni Lampropoulou1, Evangelia Tzouvara1, Panagiotis Zoumboulis2, Nicholas Zoumbos.1 1Hematology Division, University of Patras, Medical School, Patras, Greece 2Orthopaedic Division, University Hospital of Patras, Patras, Greece Introduction The myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) comprise a spectrum of heterogeneous clonal stem/progenitor cell disorders characterized by marrow failure. One potential reason, apart from apoptosis, for hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) functional failure is cellular senescence, which is believed to have evolved as a tumor suppressor mechanism capable of arresting growth to reduce risk of malignancy. It can be activated by both telomere-dependent (telomere shortening) and telomere-independent pathways (DNA damage, oncogenic or oxidative stress). There are two widely recognized major tumor suppressor pathways p16/pRb and p53-p14/ARF that regulate cellular senescence. Activation of either pathway is profoundly associated with cellular senescence. Bmi-1, on the other hand, is a transcriptional repressor that plays an essential role in the self-renewal of HSCs and leukemic stem cells as well. One of its major targets is the INK/ARF locus, which encodes p16 and p53 independently. Aim To study the role of cellular senescence in the pathogenesis of MDS through the expression of p16, p53, phospho p53 (activated form of p53, phosphorylated at Ser-15) and bmi-1. Patients and methods We examined the expression level of p16INK4a, Bmi-1, p53 and phospho p53 by flow cytometry (direct and indirect staining) in CD34+ bone marrow mononuclear cells (BMMNCs). Furthermore, we analyzed the relative telomere length (RTL) in BMMNCs by quantitative fluorescence in situ hybridization assay using flow cytometry (flow-FISH).We verified the presence of p16 by SDS PAGE western blotting. We studied 36 samples of MDS patients (11 RA, 6 RARS, 3 RCMD, 4 5q- and 12 RAEB I-II), 17 samples of age-matched healthy controls after informed consent and 8 cord blood samples. All MDS diagnoses were histologically confirmed by bone marrow examination and categorized into low and high risk according to the international prognostic scoring system (IPSS). Results Expression of p16 is significantly increased in low risk MDS (mean± SD=8,7±12) when compared to healthy controls (p=0,02) and high risk patients(p=0,004). Patients with 5q- syndrome express lower level of p16 in comparison with the other low risk group patients. Increased level of bmi-1 expression is noticed in high risk group (mean± SD=30,3 ±33,9) when compared to low risk group (mean± SD=25±24,6) and healthy controls (mean± SD=18 ±16,4), while 5q- syndrome patients appear to express higher level of bmi-1 than any other risk group. Significantly increased expression of p53 (p=0,03) is noticed in high risk group (mean ±SD=64,3±27) when compared to low risk (mean±SD=34,2±28,8). Patients with 5q- syndrome express increased level of p53 (mean± SD=57,4±26,3) similar to that of high risk group. Expression of phospho p53 seams increased (p=0,055) in low risk group(mean± SD=7,1± 13,9) in comparison to high risk group (mean± SD=0,09± 0,18) and healthy controls (mean± SD=0,19± 0,63). Phospho p53 is expressed in lower level in 5q- syndrome patients. Regarding the RTL there is a significant difference (p=0,0018) between MDS (mean± SD=9,7± 2,7) and cord blood samples (mean± SD=13,8± 1,9). Conclusions Increased levels of p16 and phospho p53 in low risk MDS suggest that cellular senescence may contribute to the ineffective hematopoiesis of MDS and probably in a telomere independent way. Low expression level of of phospho p53 in high risk MDS raises the question of genetic integrity of p53 in this group of patients and when combined with high levels of bmi-1 and low expression of p16 may play a role in the disease progression to AML. Further investigation of bmi-1, especially in the 5q- group - and other markers of cellular senescence (SA- b galactosidase, SAHF) is needed in order to clarify the impact of cellular senescence in different risk groups of MDS. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaping Zhou ◽  
Liu Yang ◽  
Xiangxin Zhang ◽  
Xiaotong Zhao ◽  
Jianfeng Fu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: LncRNA may be involved in the occurrence, metastasis, and chemical reaction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) through various pathways associated with autophagy. Therefore, it is urgent to reveal more autophagy-related lncRNAs, explore these lncRNAs' clinical significance, and find new targeted treatment strategies. Methods: In our study, RNA-seq and clinical data of normal and HCC patients were obtained from the TCGA database, and autophagy genes were obtained from the human autophagy database. Results: The risk prediction model containing seven autophagy-related lncRNAs was constructed. Overall survival (OS) curves show that the high-risk group patients significantly shorter than the low-risk group (P=2.292e-10), and the five years survival rate of the high-risk group (HR 0.286, 95%CI 0.199-0.411) is less than half of the low-risk group (HR 0.694, 95%CI 0.547-0.77). Univariate Cox regression indicated that risk score of the risk prediction model (P<0.001, 95%CI 1.210-1.389 ), T (P<0.001, 95%CI 1.443-2.287), and stage (P<0.001 ,95%CI 1.466-2.408 ) were independent prognostic indicators. However, only the risk score remains the independent prognostic indicator(P<0.001, 95%CI 1.197-1.400 ) based on the multivariate analysis. This risk model's prediction efficiency is significantly higher than other clinicopathological factors for 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rate prediction (AUC are 0.853, 0.794, and 0.764, respectively). Remarkably, the 7 autophagy-related lncRNAs may participate in Spliceosome, Cell cycle, RNA transport, DNA replication, and mRNA surveillance pathway and be related to the biological process of RNA splicing and mRNA splicing. Conclusion: In conclusion, the 7 autophagy-related lncRNAs might be promising prognostic and therapeutic targets for HCC.


Author(s):  
Yan Fan ◽  
Hong Shen ◽  
Brandon Stacey ◽  
David Zhao ◽  
Robert J. Applegate ◽  
...  

AbstractThe purpose of this study was to explore the utility of echocardiography and the EuroSCORE II in stratifying patients with low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (LG SAS) and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≥ 50%) with or without aortic valve intervention (AVI). The study included 323 patients with LG SAS (aortic valve area ≤ 1.0 cm2 and mean pressure gradient < 40 mmHg). Patients were divided into two groups: a high-risk group (EuroSCORE II ≥ 4%, n = 115) and a low-risk group (EuroSCORE II < 4%, n = 208). Echocardiographic and clinical characteristics were analyzed. All-cause mortality was used as a clinical outcome during mean follow-up of 2 ± 1.3 years. Two-year cumulative survival was significantly lower in the high-risk group than the low-risk patients (62.3% vs. 81.7%, p = 0.001). AVI tended to reduce mortality in the high-risk patients (70% vs. 59%; p = 0.065). It did not significantly reduce mortality in the low-risk patients (82.8% with AVI vs. 81.2%, p = 0.68). Multivariable analysis identified heart failure, renal dysfunction and stroke volume index (SVi) as independent predictors for mortality. The study suggested that individualization of AVI based on risk stratification could be considered in a patient with LG SAS and preserved LVEF.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Satou ◽  
H Kitahara ◽  
K Ishikawa ◽  
T Nakayama ◽  
Y Fujimoto ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The recent reperfusion therapy for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has made the length of hospital stay shorter without adverse events. CADILLAC risk score is reportedly one of the risk scores predicting the long-term prognosis in STEMI patients. Purpose To invenstigate the usefulness of CADILLAC risk score for predicting short-term outcomes in STEMI patients. Methods Consecutive patients admitted to our university hospital and our medical center with STEMI (excluding shock, arrest case) who underwent primary PCI between January 2012 and April 2018 (n=387) were enrolled in this study. The patients were classified into 3 groups according to the CADILLAC risk score: low risk (n=176), intermediate risk (n=87), and high risk (n=124). Data on adverse events within 30 days after hospitalization, including in-hospital death, sustained ventricular arrhythmia, recurrent myocardial infarction, heart failure requiring intravenous treatment, stroke, or clinical hemorrhage, were collected. Results In the low risk group, adverse events within 30 days were significantly less observed, compared to the intermediate and high risk groups (n=13, 7.4% vs. n=13, 14.9% vs. n=58, 46.8%, p&lt;0.001). In particular, all adverse events occurred within 3 days in the low risk group, although adverse events, such as heart failure (n=4), recurrent myocardial infarction (n=1), stroke (n=1), and gastrointestinal bleeding (n=1), were substantially observed after day 4 of hospitalization in the intermediate and high risk groups. Conclusions In STEMI patients with low CADILLAC risk score, better short-term prognosis was observed compared to the intermediate and high risk groups, and all adverse events occurred within 3 days of hospitalization, suggesting that discharge at day 4 might be safe in this study population. CADILLAC risk score may help stratify patient risk for short-term prognosis and adjust management of STEMI patients. Initial event occurrence timing Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


Author(s):  
Johannes Korth ◽  
Benjamin Wilde ◽  
Sebastian Dolff ◽  
Jasmin Frisch ◽  
Michael Jahn ◽  
...  

SARS-CoV-2 is a worldwide challenge for the medical sector. Healthcare workers (HCW) are a cohort vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection due to frequent and close contact with COVID-19 patients. However, they are also well trained and equipped with protective gear. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody status was assessed at three different time points in 450 HCW of the University Hospital Essen in Germany. HCW were stratified according to contact frequencies with COVID-19 patients in (I) a high-risk group with daily contacts with known COVID-19 patients (n = 338), (II) an intermediate-risk group with daily contacts with non-COVID-19 patients (n = 78), and (III) a low-risk group without patient contacts (n = 34). The overall seroprevalence increased from 2.2% in March–May to 4.0% in June–July to 5.1% in October–December. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection rate was not significantly different between the high-risk group (1.8%; 3.8%; 5.5%), the intermediate-risk group (5.1%; 6.3%; 6.1%), and the low-risk group (0%, 0%, 0%). The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence remained low in HCW in western Germany one year after the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, and hygiene standards seemed to be effective in preventing patient-to-staff virus transmission.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document