Oceanographic influences on patterns in North Pacific salmon abundance

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (2) ◽  
pp. 226-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Megan M. Stachura ◽  
Nathan J. Mantua ◽  
Mark D. Scheuerell
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Gulf Of Alaska ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Oncorhynchus Keta ◽  
North American Population ◽  
Regional Patterns ◽  
Abundance Pattern

We identified three dominant patterns of temporal variation (1951–2002) in the abundance of 34 stock groups of wild North American and Asian pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta), and sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) that were related to patterns of oceanographic variability. We identified these patterns using three different ordination methods and found consistent patterns across these methods. Alaskan salmon dominated the most prominent pattern, which exhibited a positive abundance shift in the mid-1970s. In general, warm (cold) periods in the Gulf of Alaska and eastern Bering Sea corresponded with high (low) abundance years for these stock groups. The second abundance pattern captured differences among Asian, northern North American, and southern North American population groups and was associated with an intense, large-scale Aleutian Low. To our knowledge, this is the first analysis that identifies regional patterns of covariation in salmon abundance around the entire North Pacific Rim, and it highlights the existence of basin-wide covariations in wild salmon abundance that are associated with spatially coherent and regionally distinct patterns in North Pacific climate.

Interannual Variability of North American Winter Temperature Extremes and Its Associated Circulation Anomalies in Observations and CMIP5 Simulations

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 847-865 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Yu ◽  
H. Lin ◽  
V. V. Kharin ◽  
X. L. Wang
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
North American ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Temperature Extremes ◽  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
Central Canada ◽  
Leading Mode

AbstractThe interannual variability of wintertime North American surface temperature extremes and its generation and maintenance are analyzed in this study. The leading mode of the temperature extreme anomalies, revealed by empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analyses of December–February mean temperature extreme indices over North America, is characterized by an anomalous center of action over western-central Canada. In association with the leading mode of temperature extreme variability, the large-scale atmospheric circulation features an anomalous Pacific–North American (PNA)-like pattern from the preceding fall to winter, which has important implications for seasonal prediction of North American temperature extremes. A positive PNA pattern leads to more warm and fewer cold extremes over western-central Canada. The anomalous circulation over the PNA sector drives thermal advection that contributes to temperature anomalies over North America, as well as a Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO)-like sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly pattern in the midlatitude North Pacific. The PNA-like circulation anomaly tends to be supported by SST warming in the tropical central-eastern Pacific and a positive synoptic-scale eddy vorticity forcing feedback on the large-scale circulation over the PNA sector. The leading extreme mode–associated atmospheric circulation patterns obtained from the observational and reanalysis data, together with the anomalous SST and synoptic eddy activities, are reasonably well simulated in most CMIP5 models and in the multimodel mean. For most models considered, the simulated patterns of atmospheric circulation, SST, and synoptic eddy activities have lower spatial variances than the corresponding observational and reanalysis patterns over the PNA sector, especially over the North Pacific.

Nonstationary effects of ocean temperature on Pacific salmon productivity

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (11) ◽  
pp. 1923-1928 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael A. Litzow ◽  
Lorenzo Ciannelli ◽  
Curry J. Cunningham ◽  
Bethany Johnson ◽  
Patricia Puerta
Keyword(s):  
British Columbia ◽  
Bering Sea ◽  
Temperature Effects ◽  
Puget Sound ◽  
Gulf Of Alaska ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Nonstationary Temperature ◽  
Oncorhynchus Keta ◽  
Ocean Temperature

We tested the hypothesis that ocean temperature effects on productivity for northeast Pacific pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka), and chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) changed after 1988–1989, coincident with a decline in Aleutian Low variance. Nonstationary temperature effects were tested with three different analytical methods (correlation, mixed-effects models, and variable coefficient generalized additive models) applied to spawner–recruit time series from 86 wild runs between Puget Sound and the northern Bering Sea. All three methods supported the hypothesis, with evidence for change in temperature effects that was strongest in the Gulf of Alaska, British Columbia, and Washington and weakest in the Bering Sea. Productivity for all three species showed generally positive responses to ocean temperature in Alaska before 1988–1989, but generally neutral responses after 1988–1989. British Columbia and Washington salmon showed either neutral responses to temperature (pink), negative responses that weakened after 1988–1989 (sockeye), or a switch from neutral to negative responses (chum). We conclude that the inverse response of Alaskan and more southern salmon populations to temperature variability is a time-dependent phenomenon.

scholarly journals Climate and competition influence sockeye salmon population dynamics across the Northeast Pacific Ocean

2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (6) ◽  
pp. 943-949 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brendan Connors ◽  
Michael J. Malick ◽  
Gregory T. Ruggerone ◽  
Pete Rand ◽  
Milo Adkison ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Pacific Salmon ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Interspecific Interactions ◽  
Pink Salmon ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
The North

Pacific salmon productivity is influenced by ocean conditions and interspecific interactions, yet their combined effects are poorly understood. Using data from 47 North American sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) populations, we present evidence that the magnitude and direction of climate and competition effects vary over large spatial scales. In the south, a warm ocean and abundant salmon competitors combined to strongly reduce sockeye productivity, whereas in the north, a warm ocean substantially increased productivity and offset the negative effects of competition at sea. From 2005 to 2015, the approximately 82 million adult pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) produced annually from hatcheries were estimated to have reduced the productivity of southern sockeye salmon by ∼15%, on average. In contrast, for sockeye at the northwestern end of their range, the same level of hatchery production was predicted to have reduced the positive effects of a warming ocean by ∼50% (from a ∼10% to a ∼5% increase in productivity, on average). These findings reveal spatially dependent effects of climate and competition on sockeye productivity and highlight the need for international discussions about large-scale hatchery production.

Changes in body size of Canadian Pacific salmon over six decades

2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (2) ◽  
pp. 191-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyla M. Jeffrey ◽  
Isabelle M. Côté ◽  
James R. Irvine ◽  
John D. Reynolds
Keyword(s):  
Body Size ◽  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
Oncorhynchus Tshawytscha ◽  
Coho Salmon ◽  
Pacific Salmon ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Rapid Change ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Oncorhynchus Keta ◽  
Evolutionary Response

Body size can sometimes change rapidly as an evolutionary response to selection or as a phenotypic response to changes in environmental conditions. Here, we revisit a classic case of rapid change in body size of five species of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) caught in Canadian waters, with a six-decade analysis (1951–2012). Declines in size at maturity of up to 3 kg in Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) and 1 kg in coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) during the 1950s and 1960s were later reversed to match or exceed earlier sizes. In contrast, there has been little change in sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) sizes and initial declines in pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) sizes have halted. Biomass of competing salmon species contributed to changes in size of all five species, and ocean conditions, as reflected by the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation and the Multivariate ENSO (El Niño – Southern Oscillation) indices, explained variation in four of the species. While we have identified a role of climate and density dependence in driving salmon body size, any additional influence of fisheries remains unclear.

Transportation of Pacific salmon carcasses from streams to riparian forests by bears

2009 ◽  
Vol 87 (3) ◽  
pp. 195-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas P. Quinn ◽  
Stephanie M. Carlson ◽  
Scott M. Gende ◽  
Harry B. Rich, Jr.
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Aquatic Ecosystems ◽  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
Pacific Salmon ◽  
Riparian Forests ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Oncorhynchus Keta ◽  
Ecosystem Process ◽  
Direct Observations ◽  
Salmon Carcasses

Predation on Pacific salmon by bears (genus Ursus L., 1758) can be an important ecosystem process because the spatial distribution of carcasses largely determines whether marine-derived nutrients cycle through aquatic or terrestrial pathways. Direct observations on three streams in southeastern Alaska indicated that 49% of the pink ( Oncorhynchus gorbuscha (Walbaum, 1792)) and chum ( Oncorhynchus keta (Walbaum in Artedi, 1792)) salmon killed by bears were carried into the forest. The tendency of bears to transport carcasses was independent of the sex and species of salmon, but unspawned fish were more often transported than fish that had completed spawning. Data on tagged sockeye salmon ( Oncorhynchus nerka (Walbaum in Artedi, 1792)) in one southwestern Alaska stream indicated that 42.6% of the killed salmon were transported, and that higher percentages were transported in years when salmon densities were greater. At six other streams, on average, 68.1% of the sockeye salmon killed were apparently transported away from the stream into the forest. Combining the data from all sites, the proportion of carcasses transported increased with water depth at the site. These results emphasize the role that bears play in mediating the interactions between nutrients from salmon and the terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and the variation in carcass distribution among streams and among years.

scholarly journals On signals of phase transitions in salmon population dynamics

2014 ◽  
Vol 281 (1784) ◽  
pp. 20133221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Krkošek ◽  
John M. Drake
Keyword(s):  
Phase Transitions ◽  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
Pacific Salmon ◽  
Pink Salmon ◽  
Empirical Support ◽  
Growth Parameter ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Oncorhynchus Keta ◽  
Critical Transitions ◽  
Salmon Population

Critical slowing down (CSD) reflects the decline in resilience of equilibria near a bifurcation and may reveal early warning signals (EWS) of ecological phase transitions. We studied CSD in the recruitment dynamics of 120 stocks of three Pacific salmon ( Oncorhynchus spp.) species in relation to critical transitions in fishery models. Pink salmon ( Oncorhynchus gorbuscha ) exhibited increased variability and autocorrelation in populations that had a growth parameter, r , close to zero, consistent with EWS of extinction. However, models and data for sockeye salmon ( Oncorhynchus nerka ) indicate that portfolio effects from heterogeneity in age-at-maturity may obscure EWS. Chum salmon ( Oncorhynchus keta ) show intermediate results. The data do not reveal EWS of Ricker-type bifurcations that cause oscillations and chaos at high r . These results not only provide empirical support for CSD in some ecological systems, but also indicate that portfolio effects of age structure may conceal EWS of some critical transitions.

scholarly journals Meta-Analysis of Salmon Trophic Ecology Reveals Spatial and Interspecies Dynamics Across the North Pacific Ocean

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline Graham ◽  
Evgeny A. Pakhomov ◽  
Brian P. V. Hunt
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Patterns ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Prey Availability ◽  
Gulf Of Alaska ◽  
Marine Ecology ◽  
Niche Width ◽  
Fine Scale ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific

We examined spatial patterns in diet, trophic niche width and niche overlap for chum, pink and sockeye salmon across the North Pacific during 1959–1969. This is a baseline period before major hatchery enhancement occurred coinciding with a negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Large-scale (between regions) and fine-scale (within regions) spatial and interspecies differences were apparent. In the Western Subarctic, all species tended to consume zooplankton. In the Bering Sea, chum consumed zooplankton, while sockeye and pink alternated between zooplankton and micronekton. In the Gulf of Alaska/Eastern Subarctic, chum and sockeye specialized on gelatinous zooplankton and cephalopod prey, respectively, while pink consumed a mixture of zooplankton and micronekton. The highest diet overlap across the North Pacific was between pink and sockeye (46.6%), followed by chum and pink (31.8%), and chum and sockeye (30.9%). Greater diet specialization was evident in the Gulf of Alaska/Eastern Subarctic compared to the Western Pacific. Generally, species had higher niche width and overlap in areas of high prey availability, and this was particularly evident for chum salmon. In addition to the large-scale trophic patterns, our data revealed novel fine-scale spatial patterns, including latitudinal, onshore-offshore, and cross-gyre gradients. Our results showed that pink tended to be more generalist consumers, and their diets may be a better reflection of overall prey presence and abundance in the environment. Conversely, chum and sockeye tended to be more specialist consumers, and their diets may provide a better reflection of interspecies dynamics or prey availability. This study provides a baseline for comparison with current and future changes in salmon marine ecology and North Pacific ecosystems. Finally, we identify two important data gaps that need addressing, that of improved taxonomic resolution diet data for Pacific salmon and focused research on sub-mesoscale oceanographic features that may play an important role in salmon health and productivity.

Productivity and life history of sockeye salmon in relation to competition with pink and sockeye salmon in the North Pacific Ocean

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (6) ◽  
pp. 818-833 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory T. Ruggerone ◽  
Brendan M. Connors
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Pink Salmon ◽  
Geographic Area ◽  
Oncorhynchus Gorbuscha ◽  
Fraser River ◽  
The Past ◽  
The North ◽  
Key Factor

Sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) populations from Southeast Alaska through British Columbia to Washington State have experienced similar declines in productivity over the past two decades, leading to economic and ecosystem concerns. Because the declines have spanned a wide geographic area, the primary mechanisms driving them likely operate at a large, multiregional scale at sea. However, identification of such mechanisms has remained elusive. Using hierarchical models of stock–recruitment dynamics, we tested the hypothesis that competition between pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and sockeye salmon for prey has led to reduced growth and productivity and delayed maturation of up to 36 sockeye populations spanning the region during the past 55 years. Our findings indicate the abundance of North Pacific pink salmon in the second year of sockeye life at sea is a key factor contributing to the decline of sockeye salmon productivity, including sockeye in the Fraser River where an increase from 200 to 400 million pink salmon is predicted to reduce sockeye recruitment by 39%. Additionally, length-at-age of Fraser River sockeye salmon declined with greater sockeye and pink salmon abundance, and age at maturity increased with greater pink salmon abundance. Our analyses provide evidence that interspecific competition for prey can affect growth, age, and survival of sockeye salmon at sea.

scholarly journals Synoptic Analysis of Cold Air Outbreaks over the California Central Valley

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (23) ◽  
pp. 9417-9433 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Grotjahn ◽  
Rui Zhang
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
West Coast ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Central Valley ◽  
Gulf Of Alaska ◽  
Surface Flow ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
Extreme Cold ◽  
Continental Interior ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

How does extreme cold air reach the California Central Valley (CCV) and most of the U.S. west coast? This question is answered using composite patterns for the 10 coldest cold air outbreaks (CAOs) to reach the CCV during 1979–2013. While unusually cold air over California occurs in all events by design, how it arrives there is complicated and varies. The only other feature present in all events for several days prior to CAO onset is unusually strong surface high pressure in and south of the Gulf of Alaska. This high has low-level cold air on its west side and a deep layer of cold air moving southward on its east side. Cold air aloft flows parallel to the North American west coast and sinks as it approaches the CCV. Farther west, warm advection builds a ridge aloft. The large-scale meteorological pattern (LSMP) is equivalent barotropic. The LSMP’s ridge over Alaska, trough near California, and ridge over the southeastern United States appear in all cases by onset and resemble the Pacific–North American teleconnection pattern. Cross sections show cold air flowing from the continental interior consistent with a strong pressure gradient created by extreme cold in the continental interior. Where and when the interior cold and surface flow occurs varies between events. A geopotential height trough associated with that cold air aloft passes over the CCV before onset fostering sinking behind that is reinforced by the cold air advection below. Although sinking, as a locally defined anomaly, the cold intensifies as it migrates from the polar region to the climatologically warmer CCV.

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