A new dendroecological method to differentiate growth responses to fine-scale disturbance from regional-scale environmental variation

2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 1034-1043 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Douglas Thompson ◽  
Lori D. Daniels ◽  
Kathy J. Lewis
Keyword(s):  
Tree Mortality ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Environmental Variation ◽  
Fine Scale ◽  
Growth Responses ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Complementary Approach ◽  
Residual Series ◽  
Species Specific

A new dendroecological method is developed to differentiate growth responses to fine-scale disturbance from regional-scale environmental variation. In spruce–fir forests of central British Columbia, release from suppression in response to overhead canopy tree mortality was calibrated as >60% change in radial growth (%CRG, adjacent 15 year periods compared) using gap-maker–gap-filler pairs with known years of mortality and response. Many release events, attributed to regional-scale environmental variation (e.g., bark beetle outbreaks), were counted. Species-specific regional-scale chronologies were subtracted from standardized gap-filler series producing residuals and 1 was added to all residual indices. Percent divergence (%DIV) values were calculated as the percent change in residuals (adjacent 15 year periods compared). A %DIV criterion was set at >15% increase in the residual series. The %CRG and %DIV criteria were applied to an independent data set of ring-width series, determining the date(s) of release for each tree. %CRG and %DIV criteria were used in a complementary approach to differentiate (i) release due to fine-scale canopy gaps, (ii) no response to a gap and regional-scale environmental variation, (iii) release due to regional-scale environmental variation, and (iv) response to a fine-scale canopy gap but not detected by the %CRG criterion.

Long-term physiological and growth responses of oak trees under climate warming in eastern Asia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julieta Gabriela Arco Molina ◽  
Kerstin Treydte ◽  
Nela Maredova ◽  
Matthias Saurer ◽  
Jiri Dolezal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tree Growth ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Anthropogenic Factors ◽  
Global Changes ◽  
Growth Enhancement ◽  
Growth Responses ◽  
Eastern Asia

<p>Climate changes and raising atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations are expected to influence tree and forest development. However, the direction and intensity of the tree and forest responses are diverse, and long-term studies are scarce.  Here, we studied responses of <em>Quercus mongolica</em> to climate over the last 117 years based on the tree-ring width, δ<sup>13</sup>C-derived physiological parameters (Δ<sup>13</sup>C, C<sub>i</sub> and iWUE) and δ<sup>18</sup>O in Jeju Island, South Korea. Trend and change point analyses were performed to the radial tree growth, physiology and climate, and tree responses-climate relationships were analysed temporally and spatially. iWUE significantly increased since 1900 but decadal variations were observed in 1950, 1975 and 2010, revealing an evolving physiological response. iWUE was mainly driven by stimulated photosynthesis under no water limitations. This photosynthetic stimulation was driven mainly by the atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization, warming and higher radiation, probably through the simultaneous influence on the phenology and physiology of trees. At a local scale, higher radiation combined with less cloudy conditions were the factors with the greatest positive influence on tree growth, while at a regional scale land and sea surface temperatures positively influenced both tree growth and physiology. Moreover, all these responses strongly intensified after the 1970s, showing that tree responses are not temporary stable. Altogether, the present results indicated that the physiology and growth of <em>Q. mongolica</em> from eastern Asia are driven by a combination of climatic, ecological and anthropogenic factors. Moreover, the significant, rapid and unprecedented changes in the tree responses indicated that trees may benefit from recent global changes, showing a physiology-driven growth enhancement. This represents a key understanding of trees and forests ecosystems responses to future climate changes, which is relevant to assess and design global change mitigation strategies.</p>

scholarly journals Coupling of regional geophysics and local soil-structure models in the EQSIM fault-to-structure earthquake simulation framework

2021 ◽  
pp. 109434202110191
Author(s):  
David McCallen ◽  
Houjun Tang ◽  
Suiwen Wu ◽  
Eric Eckert ◽  
Junfei Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Structure ◽  
Ground Motions ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Historical Earthquakes ◽  
Department Of Energy ◽  
Simulation Framework ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Major Barrier ◽  
Local Soil ◽  
Computational Workflow

Accurate understanding and quantification of the risk to critical infrastructure posed by future large earthquakes continues to be a very challenging problem. Earthquake phenomena are quite complex and traditional approaches to predicting ground motions for future earthquake events have historically been empirically based whereby measured ground motion data from historical earthquakes are homogenized into a common data set and the ground motions for future postulated earthquakes are probabilistically derived based on the historical observations. This procedure has recognized significant limitations, principally due to the fact that earthquake ground motions tend to be dictated by the particular earthquake fault rupture and geologic conditions at a given site and are thus very site-specific. Historical earthquakes recorded at different locations are often only marginally representative. There has been strong and increasing interest in utilizing large-scale, physics-based regional simulations to advance the ability to accurately predict ground motions and associated infrastructure response. However, the computational requirements for simulations at frequencies of engineering interest have proven a major barrier to employing regional scale simulations. In a U.S. Department of Energy Exascale Computing Initiative project, the EQSIM application development is underway to create a framework for fault-to-structure simulations. This framework is being prepared to exploit emerging exascale platforms in order to overcome computational limitations. This article presents the essential methodology and computational workflow employed in EQSIM to couple regional-scale geophysics models with local soil-structure models to achieve a fully integrated, complete fault-to-structure simulation framework. The computational workflow, accuracy and performance of the coupling methodology are illustrated through example fault-to-structure simulations.

scholarly journals A large database supports the use of simple models of post-fire tree mortality for thick-barked conifers, with less support for other species

Fire Ecology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Alina Cansler ◽  
Sharon M. Hood ◽  
Phillip J. van Mantgem ◽  
J. Morgan Varner
Keyword(s):  
Tree Mortality ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Small Diameter ◽  
Fire Effects ◽  
Tree Level ◽  
Clear Understanding ◽  
Bark Thickness ◽  
Mortality Models ◽  
Species Specific ◽  
Stem Mortality

Abstract Background Predictive models of post-fire tree and stem mortality are vital for management planning and understanding fire effects. Post-fire tree and stem mortality have been traditionally modeled as a simple empirical function of tree defenses (e.g., bark thickness) and fire injury (e.g., crown scorch). We used the Fire and Tree Mortality database (FTM)—which includes observations of tree mortality in obligate seeders and stem mortality in basal resprouting species from across the USA—to evaluate the accuracy of post-fire mortality models used in the First Order Fire Effects Model (FOFEM) software system. The basic model in FOFEM, the Ryan and Amman (R-A) model, uses bark thickness and percentage of crown volume scorched to predict post-fire mortality and can be applied to any species for which bark thickness can be calculated (184 species-level coefficients are included in the program). FOFEM (v6.7) also includes 38 species-specific tree mortality models (26 for gymnosperms, 12 for angiosperms), with unique predictors and coefficients. We assessed accuracy of the R-A model for 44 tree species and accuracy of 24 species-specific models for 13 species, using data from 93 438 tree-level observations and 351 fires that occurred from 1981 to 2016. Results For each model, we calculated performance statistics and provided an assessment of the representativeness of the evaluation data. We identified probability thresholds for which the model performed best, and the best thresholds with either ≥80% sensitivity or specificity. Of the 68 models evaluated, 43 had Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) values ≥0.80, indicating excellent performance, and 14 had AUCs <0.7, indicating poor performance. The R-A model often over-predicted mortality for angiosperms; 5 of 11 angiosperms had AUCs <0.7. For conifers, R-A over-predicted mortality for thin-barked species and for small diameter trees. The species-specific models had significantly higher AUCs than the R-A models for 10 of the 22 models, and five additional species-specific models had more balanced errors than R-A models, even though their AUCs were not significantly different or were significantly lower. Conclusions Approximately 75% of models tested had acceptable, excellent, or outstanding predictive ability. The models that performed poorly were primarily models predicting stem mortality of angiosperms or tree mortality of thin-barked conifers. This suggests that different approaches—such as different model forms, better estimates of bark thickness, and additional predictors—may be warranted for these taxa. Future data collection and research should target the geographical and taxonomic data gaps and poorly performing models identified in this study. Our evaluation of post-fire tree mortality models is the most comprehensive effort to date and allows users to have a clear understanding of the expected accuracy in predicting tree death from fire for 44 species.

scholarly journals Genotyping of Two Mediterranean Trout Populations in Central-Southern Italy for Conservation Purposes Using a Rainbow-Trout-Derived SNP Array

Animals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1803
Author(s):  
Valentino Palombo ◽  
Elena De Zio ◽  
Giovanna Salvatore ◽  
Stefano Esposito ◽  
Nicolaia Iaffaldano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rainbow Trout ◽  
Genetic Structure ◽  
Fishery Management ◽  
Snp Array ◽  
Fine Scale ◽  
Principal Coordinates Analysis ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Management Actions ◽  
Principal Coordinates ◽  
Mediterranean Trout

Mediterranean trout is a freshwater fish of particular interest with economic significance for fishery management, aquaculture and conservation biology. Unfortunately, native trout populations’ abundance is significantly threatened by anthropogenic disturbance. The introduction of commercial hatchery strains for recreation activities has compromised the genetic integrity status of native populations. This work assessed the fine-scale genetic structure of Mediterranean trout in the two main rivers of Molise region (Italy) to support conservation actions. In total, 288 specimens were caught in 28 different sites (14 per basins) and genotyped using the Affymetrix 57 K rainbow-trout-derived SNP array. Population differentiation was analyzed using pairwise weighted FST and overall F-statistic estimated by locus-by-locus analysis of molecular variance. Furthermore, an SNP data set was processed through principal coordinates analysis, discriminant analysis of principal components and admixture Bayesian clustering analysis. Firstly, our results demonstrated that rainbow trout SNP array can be successfully used for Mediterranean trout genotyping. In fact, despite an overwhelming number of loci that resulted as monomorphic in our populations, it must be emphasized that the resulted number of polymorphic loci (i.e., ~900 SNPs) has been sufficient to reveal a fine-scale genetic structure in the investigated populations, which is useful in supporting conservation and management actions. In particular, our findings allowed us to select candidate sites for the collection of adults, needed for the production of genetically pure juvenile trout, and sites to carry out the eradication of alien trout and successive re-introduction of native trout.

Growth responses of two Laminaria saccharina populations to environmental variation

Hydrobiologia ◽  
1987 ◽  
Vol 151-152 (1) ◽  
pp. 229-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. A. Gerard ◽  
K. DuBois ◽  
R. Greene
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Variation ◽  
Growth Responses ◽  
Laminaria Saccharina

scholarly journals Forward modelling of tree-ring width and comparison with a global network of tree-ring chronologies

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 437-449 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Breitenmoser ◽  
S. Brönnimann ◽  
D. Frank
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Global Network ◽  
Threshold Temperature ◽  
Tree Ring Width ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Observation Operator ◽  
Tree Ring Data ◽  
Wide Range

Abstract. We investigate relationships between climate and tree-ring data on a global scale using the process-based Vaganov–Shashkin Lite (VSL) forward model of tree-ring width formation. The VSL model requires as inputs only latitude, monthly mean temperature, and monthly accumulated precipitation. Hence, this simple, process-based model enables ring-width simulation at any location where monthly climate records exist. In this study, we analyse the growth response of simulated tree rings to monthly climate conditions obtained from the CRU TS3.1 data set back to 1901. Our key aims are (a) to assess the VSL model performance by examining the relations between simulated and observed growth at 2287 globally distributed sites, (b) indentify optimal growth parameters found during the model calibration, and (c) to evaluate the potential of the VSL model as an observation operator for data-assimilation-based reconstructions of climate from tree-ring width. The assessment of the growth-onset threshold temperature of approximately 4–6 °C for most sites and species using a Bayesian estimation approach complements other studies on the lower temperature limits where plant growth may be sustained. Our results suggest that the VSL model skilfully simulates site level tree-ring series in response to climate forcing for a wide range of environmental conditions and species. Spatial aggregation of the tree-ring chronologies to reduce non-climatic noise at the site level yielded notable improvements in the coherence between modelled and actual growth. The resulting distinct and coherent patterns of significant relationships between the aggregated and simulated series further demonstrate the VSL model's ability to skilfully capture the climatic signal contained in tree-ring series. Finally, we propose that the VSL model can be used as an observation operator in data assimilation approaches to reconstruct past climate.

scholarly journals Standard geomagnetic observatory data in tectonomagnetism: case study related to the M 5.7 Timisoara, Romania, earthquake

1997 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Popeskov
Keyword(s):  
Geomagnetic Field ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Extensive Study ◽  
Field Variation ◽  
Regional Effect ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Small Magnitude ◽  
Observatory Data ◽  
Set Up

There has recently been much discussion of large-scale interactions of fault zones and the influence of large-scale processes in the preparation and triggering of earthquakes. As a consequence, an official recommendation was issued to set up observational networks at regional scale. In this context, the existing network of standard geomagnetic observatories might play a more important role in future tectonomagnetic studies. The data from standard geomagnetic observatories are basically not appropriate for the detection of small-magnitude and, in most cases, spatially very localized geomagnetic field changes. However, their advantage is a continuity in a long-time period which enables the study of regional tectonomagnetic features and long-term precursory changes. As the first step of a more extensive study aimed at examining the features of observatory data for this purpose, a three-year data set from five European observatories has been analyzed. Some common statistical procedures have been applied along with a simple difference technique and multivariate linear regression to define local geomagnetic field changes. The distribution of M ³ 4.5 earthquakes in Europe, in a corresponding period, was also taken into account. No pronounced field variation, related in time to the M 5.7 Timisoara (Romania) earthquake on July 12, 1991, was found at Grocka observatory at about 80 km from the earthquake epicenter. However, an offset in level of the differences in declination which include Grocka observatory, not seen in the case of differences between other observatories, could be associated with a possible regional effect of the M 4.8 earthquake which occurred in September 1991 at about 70 km SE from Grocka.

scholarly journals MODIS observed increase in duration and spatial extent of sediment plumes in Greenland fjords

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1161-1176 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Hudson ◽  
I. Overeem ◽  
D. McGrath ◽  
J. P. M. Syvitski ◽  
A. Mikkelsen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Sediment Concentration ◽  
Retrieval Algorithm ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
River Plumes ◽  
Data Set ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
The North

Abstract. The freshwater flux from the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) to the North Atlantic Ocean carries extensive but poorly documented volumes of sediment. We develop a suspended sediment concentration (SSC) retrieval algorithm using a large Greenland specific in situ data set. This algorithm is applied to all cloud-free NASA Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) Terra images from 2000 to 2012 to monitor SSC dynamics at six river plumes in three fjords in southwest Greenland. Melt-season mean plume SSC increased at all but one site, although these trends were primarily not statistically significant. Zones of sediment concentration > 50 mg L−1 expanded in three river plumes, with potential consequences for biological productivity. The high SSC cores of sediment plumes ( > 250 mg L−1 expanded in one-third of study locations. At a regional scale, higher volumes of runoff were associated with higher melt-season mean plume SSC values, but this relationship did not hold for individual rivers. High spatial variability between proximal plumes highlights the complex processes operating in Greenland's glacio–fluvial–fjord systems.

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