High Intraperitoneal Interleukin-6 Levels Predict Peritonitis in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 317-324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxiao Yang ◽  
Yijing Tong ◽  
Hao Yan ◽  
Zhaohui Ni ◽  
Jiaoqi Qian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Prospective Study ◽  
Interleukin 6 ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
High Serum ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
First Episode ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

Background: To evaluate the predictive value of dialysate interleukin-6 (IL-6) representing local subclinical intraperitoneal inflammation for the development of peritonitis in continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) patients. Methods: Stable prevalent CAPD patients were enrolled in this prospective study. IL-6 concentration in the overnight effluent was determined and expressed as the IL-6 appearance rate (IL-6AR). Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the median of IL-6AR and prospectively followed up until the first episode of peritonitis, cessation of PD, or the end of the study (December 30, 2017). The utility of IL-6AR in predicting peritonitis-free survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results: A total of 149 patients were enrolled, including 72 males (48%) with mean age 52.0 ± 13.6 years and median PD duration 26 (5.9–45.5) months. During follow-up, 7,923 patient months were observed and 154 episodes of peritonitis occurred in 82 patients. Previous peritonitis episodes were significantly associated with log dialysate IL-6AR levels (β = 0.187 [0.022–0.299], p = 0.023). Patients in the high IL-6AR group showed a significantly inferior peritonitis-free survival when compared with their counterparts in the low IL-6AR group (48.8 vs. 67.7 months, p = 0.026), as well as higher treatment failure percentage of peritonitis (20.3 vs. 9.3%, p = 0.049). A multivariate Cox regression showed that high dialysate IL-6AR (hazard ratio [HR] 1.247 [1.052–1.478]; p = 0.011) and high serum C-reactive protein (HR 1.072 [1.005–1.144]; p = 0.036) were independent risk factors for inferior peritonitis-free survival. Conclusion: This prospective study suggested that the intraperitoneal inflammation marker, dialysate IL-6 level, might be a potential predictor of peritonitis development in patients undergoing PD.

Association of circulating tumor cells (CTC) with survival outcomes in patients (pts) with metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) in a real-world cohort.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 59-59
Author(s):  
Umang Swami ◽  
Taylor Ryan McFarland ◽  
Benjamin Haaland ◽  
Adam Kessel ◽  
Roberto Nussenzveig ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real World ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
De Novo ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Eligibility Criteria ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Risk Of Progression ◽  
The Relationship

59 Background: In mCSPC, baseline CTC counts have been shown to correlate with PSA responses and progression free survival (PFS) in small studies in the context of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) without modern intensification with docetaxel or novel hormonal therapy. Similar correlation of CTC count with PSA responses and PFS was recently reported from an ongoing phase 3 trial in mCSPC setting (SWOG1216) without reporting the association in the context of ADT intensification. Furthermore, none of these studies correlated CTCs with overall survival (OS). Herein we evaluated whether CTCs were associated with outcomes including OS in a real world mCPSC population treated with intensified as well as non-intensified ADT. Methods: Eligibility criteria: new mCSPC receiving ADT with or without intensification and enumeration of baseline CTCs by FDA cleared Cell Search CTC assay. The relationship between CTC counts (categorized as: 0, 1-4, and ≥5/7.5 ml) and both PFS and OS was assessed in the context of Cox proportional hazards models, both unadjusted and adjusted for age, Gleason, PSA at ADT initiation, de novo vs. non-de novo status, and ADT intensification vs. non-intensification therapy. Results: Overall 99 pts were identified. Baseline characteristics are summarized in Table. In unadjusted analyses, CTC counts of ≥5 as compared to 0 were strongly associated with inferior PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 3.38, 95% CI 1.85-6.18; p < 0.001) and OS (HR 4.44 95% CI 1.63-12.10; p = 0.004). In multivariate analyses, CTC counts of ≥5 as compared to 0 continued to be associated with inferior PFS (HR 5.49, 95% CI 2.64-11.43; p < 0.001) and OS (HR 4.00, 95% CI 1.31-12.23; p = 0.015). Within the ADT intensification subgroup also, high CTC counts were associated with poor PFS and OS. For PFS, the univariate HR for CTC ≥5 vs. 0 was 4.87 (95% CI 1.66-14.30; p = 0.004) and multivariate HR for CTC ≥5 vs. 0 was 7.43 (95% CI 1.92-28.82; p = 0.004). For OS, the univariate HR for CTC ≥5 vs. 0 was 15.88 (95% CI 1.93-130.58; p = 0.010) and multivariate HR for CTC ≥5 vs. 0 was 24.86 (95% CI 2.03-304.45; p = 0.012). Conclusions: To best of our knowledge this is the first study to show that high baseline CTC counts are strongly associated with inferior PFS as well as OS in pts with newly diagnosed mCSPC, even in those who received intensified ADT therapy. Identifying these pts at highest risk of progression and death can help with counselling and prognostication in clinics as well as design and enrollment in future clinical trials. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals The Association between Homocysteinemia and Mortality in Pre-dialysis CKD patients: A Propensity-Score Matched Analysis Using NHANES-National Death Index Link

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Je Hun Song ◽  
Hyuk Huh ◽  
Eunjin Bae ◽  
Jeonghwan Lee ◽  
Jung Pyo Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factor ◽  
Propensity Score ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Protein Energy Wasting ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background: Hyperhomocysteinemia (HHcy) is considered a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) including chronic kidney disease (CKD). In this study, we investigated the association between serum homocysteine (Hcy) level and mortality according to the presence of CKD.Methods: Our study included data of 9,895 participants from the 1996–2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES). Moreover, linked mortality data were included and classified into four groups according to the Hcy level. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models using propensity-score were used to examine dose-response associations between Hcy level and mortality.Results: Of 9,895 participants, 1032 (21.2%) participants were diagnosed with CKD. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis including all participants, Hcy level was associated with all-cause mortality, compared with the 1st quartile in Model 3 (2nd quartile: hazard ratio (HR) 1.751, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.348-2.274, p<0.001; 3rd quartile: HR 2.220, 95% CI 1.726-2.855, p<0.001; 4th quartile: HR 3.776, 95% CI 2.952-4.830, p<0.001). In the non-CKD group, there was a significant association with all-cause mortality; however, this finding was not observed in the CKD group. The observed pattern was similar after propensity score matching. In the non-CKD group, overall mortality increased in proportion to Hcy concentration (2nd quartile: HR 2.195, 95% CI 1.299-3.709, p = 0.003; 3rd quartile: HR 2.607, 95% CI 1.570-4.332, p<0.001; 4th quartile: HR 3.720, 95% CI 2.254-6.139, p<0.001). However, the risk of all-cause mortality according to the quartile of Hcy level did not increase in the CKD groupConclusion: This study found a correlation between the Hcy level and mortality rate only in the non-CKD group. This altered risk factor patterns may be attributed to protein-energy wasting or chronic inflammation status that is accompanied by CKD.

Benefits of a Secondary Prevention Program in Suicide

Crisis ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 281-289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adriana Farré ◽  
Maria J. Portella ◽  
Luis De Angel ◽  
Ana Díaz ◽  
Javier de Diego-Adeliño ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Prevention ◽  
Suicide Prevention ◽  
Suicidal Behavior ◽  
Prevention Program ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Suicide Behavior ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

Abstract. Background: The effectiveness of suicide intervention programs has not been assessed with experimental designs. Aim: To determine the risk of suicide reattempts in patients engaged in a secondary prevention program. Method: We included 154 patients with suicidal behavior in a quasi-experimental study with a nontreatment concurrent control group. In all, 77 patients with suicidal behavior underwent the Suicide Behavior Prevention Program (SBPP), which includes specialized early assistance during a period of 3–6 months. A matched sample of patients with suicidal behavior (n = 77) was selected without undergoing any specific suicide prevention program. Data on sociodemographics, clinical characteristics, and suicidal behavior were collected at baseline (before SBPP) and at 12 months. Results: After 12 months, SBPP patients showed a 67% lower relative risk of reattempt (χ2 = 11.75, p = .001, RR = 0.33 95% CI = 0.17–0.66). Cox proportional hazards models revealed that patients under SBPP made a new suicidal attempt significantly much later than control patients did (Cox regression = 0.293, 95% CI = 0.138–0.624, p = .001). The effect was even stronger among first attempters. Limitations: Sampling was naturalistic and patients were not randomized. Conclusion: The SBPP was effective in delaying and preventing suicide reattempts at least within the first year after the suicide behavior. In light of our results, implementation of suicide prevention programs is strongly advisable.

Efficacy of apalutamide (APA) plus ongoing androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in patients (pts) with nonmetastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (nmCRPC) and baseline (BL) comorbidities (CM).

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5023-5023 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Jay Small ◽  
Fred Saad ◽  
Simon Chowdhury ◽  
Stephane Oudard ◽  
Boris A. Hadaschik ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Clinical Trial Information

5023 Background: The addition of APA to ongoing ADT in pts with nmCRPC significantly prolonged metastasis-free survival (MFS), time to symptomatic progression (SymProg), and second progression-free survival (PFS2) in SPARTAN. We assessed the impact of APA on these end points in pts with or without BL CM. Methods: Using Cox proportional hazards models, treatment effect of APA was evaluated in SPARTAN pts with CM at BL, stratifying by the presence of BL diabetes/hyperglycemia (D/H), cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypertension (HTN), and renal insufficiency (RI). Results: Of 1207 SPARTAN pts, 1062 (88%) had ≥ 1 BL CM, including 703/806 (87%) APA pts and 359/401 (90%) PBO pts. A total of 226 (19%), 398 (33%), 798 (66%), and 774 (64%) pts had D/H, CVD, HTN, and RI, respectively; 323 (27%), 412 (34%), 259 (21%), and 68 (6%) pts had 1, 2, 3, and 4 CM, respectively. Incidence of CM was balanced between arms. Pts with CM were older than pts with no CM (median age, 75 vs 69 yrs, APA; 74 vs 69 yrs, PBO). MFS, SymProg, and PFS2 benefit with APA was significant in all CM subgroups, except PFS2 for pts with D/H (Table) and regardless of the number of CM. The incidence of any treatment-emergent AE was balanced between pts with and without CM. AEs with APA were not affected by any CM. Clinical trial information: NCT01946204. Conclusions: The benefit of APA + ongoing ADT in pts with nmCRPC was maintained in pts with D/H, CVD, HTN, and RI. The safety profile of APA was not affected by any CM.[Table: see text]

Impact of clinical and pathological variables on stage I non-small cell lung cancer outcomes.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21071-e21071
Author(s):  
Matthew C Lee ◽  
Dimitre C Stefanov ◽  
Mallorie B Angert ◽  
Erica C Cohn ◽  
Nina Kohn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Neuroendocrine Differentiation ◽  
Clinical Importance ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Stage I ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Histological Features ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

e21071 Background: Stage I patients (pts) have 5-year survival ranging 50-75% suggesting heterogeneity within. While American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition upstages tumors with visceral pleural invasion (VPI) to IB, other histological features namely lymphovascular invasion (LVI), micropapillary pattern (MIP), spread through airspace (STAS) & neuroendocrine differentiation (NE) may also affect prognosis. This retrospective single institution study evaluated influence of these factors along with pt variables age, gender, smoking, Charleston comorbidity index (CCI) & chemotherapy (CT) on recurrence & mortality. Methods: 351 resected stage I cases from 2015-2019 were included. Data was summarized as means (standard deviation/SD) or percentages. Association between variables & outcomes (measured from diagnosis till event or last visit if no event) were investigated using Univariate & Multiple Cox proportional hazards models. Survival curves were compared using the Log-Rank test when the assumption for the proportional hazards was not satisfied. All predictors were included in the multiple Cox regression models based on their clinical importance. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) was used for the analysis. Results: Mean age was 69.62 years (9.83). Majority were female (57.3%), smokers (76.9%), & had adenocarcinoma (AC) (78.6%). 39% had COPD & mean CCI was 6.3 (1.74). 193 (55%) pts had lobectomy or larger procedure while 158 (45%) had sub-lobar resection. 45 (12.8%) pts received CT. Recurrence & death occurred in 33 (9.4%) & 15 (4.3%) pts respectively. Univariate models indicated higher recurrence risk with NE (HR = 4.18 95% CI 1.47-11.9, p = 0.0075), LVI (HR = 2.68, 95% CI 1.03-6.94, p = 0.0423), COPD (HR = 3.28 95% CI 1.56-6.9, p = 0.0017), age (HR = 1.05 95% CI 1.01-1.09, p = 0.0212), & CCI (HR = 1.57 95% CI 1.35-1.83, p < .0001). CT was also associated with increased recurrence risk (HR = 8.61, 95% CI 4.28-17.33, p < .0001). Multivariable model for recurrence retained significance for CT & CCI. Age (HR = 1.07 95% CI 1.01-1.14, p = 0.0312), CCI (HR = 1.27 95 % CI 1.02-1.59, p = 0.0347) were associated with mortality in univariate models. Multivariate analysis for mortality wasn’t feasible due to few events. Conclusions: Histological features other than VPI may be associated with recurrence. Pts who received CT had increased recurrence but they possibly had multiple risk factors or other adverse features not assessed here. Limitations included retrospective nature, limited sample size & small number of events.

scholarly journals Impact of Pre-Dialysis Care on Clinical Outcomes in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 104-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dandara N. Spigolon ◽  
Thyago P. de Moraes ◽  
Ana E. Figueiredo ◽  
Ana Paula Modesto ◽  
Pasqual Barretti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Patient Survival ◽  
Serum Levels ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Care Group ◽  
Technique Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Impact

Background: Structured pre-dialysis care is associated with an increase in peritoneal dialysis (PD) utilization, but not with peritonitis risk, technical and patient survival. This study aimed at analyzing the impact of pre-dialysis care on these outcomes. Methods: All incident patients starting PD between 2004 and 2011 in a Brazilian prospective cohort were included in this analysis. Patients were divided into 2 groups: early pre-dialysis care (90 days of follow-up by a nephrology team); and late pre-dialysis care (absent or less than 90 days follow-up). The socio-demographic, clinical and biochemical characteristics between the 2 groups were compared. Risk factors for the time to the first peritonitis episode, technique failure and mortality based on Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Four thousand one hundred seven patients were included. Patients with early pre-dialysis care presented differences in gender (female - 47.0 vs. 51.1%, p = 0.01); race (white - 63.8 vs. 71.7%, p < 0.01); education (<4 years - 61.9 vs. 71.0%, p < 0.01), respectively, compared to late care. Patients with early pre-dialysis care presented a higher prevalence of comorbidities, lower levels of creatinine, phosphorus, and glucose with a significantly better control of hemoglobin and potassium serum levels. There was no impact of pre-dialysis care on peritonitis rates (hazard ratio (HR) 0.88; 95% CI 0.77-1.01) and technique survival (HR 1.12; 95% CI 0.92-1.36). Patient survival (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.03-1.41) was better in the early pre-dialysis care group. Conclusion: Earlier pre-dialysis care was associated with improved patient survival, but did not influence time to the first peritonitis nor technique survival in this national PD cohort.

scholarly journals Center-Specific Risk-Adjusted Standardized Mortality Rates on Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis in China

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. 36-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueqing Yu ◽  
Menghua Chen ◽  
Jie Dong ◽  
Hong Liu ◽  
Zhangsuo Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Standardized Mortality Ratios ◽  
Expected Mortality

Background The aim of this study was to determine if there were centers in China with unusually high levels of risk-adjusted mortality in continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) patients. Methods We analyzed an inception cohort commencing CAPD between 1 January 2005 and 13 August 2015, followed until death, dropout defined as discontinuation of Baxter products, loss to follow-up, or 13 November 2015, whichever occurred first. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) from Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age, gender, employment status, insurance status, primary renal disease, size of peritoneal dialysis (PD) program, and year of dialysis inception. We calculated 2 SMRs, 1 from models including a fixed effect for center of treatment, and 1 from stratified models. Results In this study, there was a 9.9% annual mortality rate in China, with decreasing mortality risk over time. There was significant variation of outcomes between Chinese centers, with up to 20% of facilities having SMRs indicating a higher risk-adjusted mortality rate than average. In particular, larger centers had better than expected mortality than smaller ones. There was significant misclassification of SMRs calculated using stratification versus fixed-effects models, although both showed directionally similar results. Conclusion Despite overall satisfactory and improving outcomes, our study showed a significant proportion of PD centers with higher than expected mortality. This is a signal for further assessment of these centers in China, after which there might be a range of actions taken depending on the results of the assessment and context, bearing in mind that the variation seen may be driven by factors unrelated to quality of care or beyond the control of hospital.

Maintained Folic Acid Supplementation Reduces the Risk of Mortality in Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis Patients

2017 ◽  
Vol 45 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 28-35
Author(s):  
Rong Rong ◽  
Qian Zhou ◽  
Jianxiong Lin ◽  
Naya Huang ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Folic Acid ◽  
Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Folic Acid Supplementation ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cutoff Value ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

Background: The association between folic acid (FA) supplementation and mortality in continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) patients is unclear. Methods: FA exposure was calculated as a percentage of cumulative duration of drug usage to total follow-up duration (FA%). A total of 1,358 patients were classified by a cutoff value of FA%. The association of FA with mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: The cutoff value of FA% for predicting mortality was <34% at a median follow-up of 40.7 months. FA ≥34% was associated with decreased risk for all-cause (adjusted hazard ratios [HRs] 95% CI 0.64 [0.48-0.85] and cardiovascular mortality 0.67 (95% CI 0.47-0.97). Moreover, the adjusted HRs per 10% higher FA for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 0.925 (95% CI 0.879-0.973) and 0.926 (95% CI 0.869-0.988), respectively. Conclusions: Longer period of FA supplementation led to a reduction in risk of both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in CAPD patients.

scholarly journals Sarcopenia is an independent predictor of hospitalization in chronic kidney disease outpatients

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hye Yun Jeong ◽  
Wooyeol Ahn ◽  
Jun Chul Kim ◽  
Yu Bum Choi ◽  
Jinkwon Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Muscle Strength ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Handgrip Strength ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Chronic Illnesses ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Appendicular Skeletal Muscle

AbstractBackgroundPatients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) experience much more marked and earlier muscle wasting than subjects who do not have chronic illnesses. However, a few studies that have examined sarcopenia have been reported in CKD patients. We investigated the prevalence of sarcopenia in predialysis and dialysis outpatients with CKD and explored its relationship with the clinical outcomes.MeasurementsSarcopenia was defined as reduced muscle strength accompanied by decreased adjusted appendicular skeletal muscle (ASM), while those patients who exhibited only one of these characteristics were categorized as presarcopenic patients. ASM was measured by bioimpedence analysis, and muscle strength was evaluated by handgrips. ASM was adjusted by weight (ASM/wt). Patients were prospectively followed for up to 2 years.ResultsOne hundred seventy-nine patients were recruited (114 male and 65 female patients who were classified into 103 predialysis patients and 76 dialysis patients, with 44.7% having diabetes). Their mean age was 60.6 ± 13.5 years old. The prevalence of sarcopenia was 9.5%, while 55.9% of the patients were categorized as presarcopenic. The ASM/wt index showed significant correlations with age, handgrip strength, HOMA-IR and frailty scores. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that the risk of hospitalization was significantly higher for patients with presarcopenia [hazard ratio (HR), 2.48; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.180–5.230], and the risk of hospitalization was much higher for patients with sarcopenia than for patients in the nonsarcopenic group (HR, 9.11; 95% CI, 2.295–25.182)ConclusionsSarcopenia and presarcopenia, which were defined using the ASM/wt index and handgrip strength, predicted a poorer, hospitalization-free survival in CKD patients

scholarly journals Metastatic progression following multimodal therapy for unfavorable-risk prostate cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
David Guy ◽  
Rachel Glicksman ◽  
Roger Buckley ◽  
Patrick Cheung ◽  
Hans Chung ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Radiation Therapy ◽  
Radical Prostatectomy ◽  
Metastatic Prostate Cancer ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Metastatic Progression ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

Introduction: Identifying the optimal management of unfavorable-risk (ProCaRS high intermediate-, high-, and very high-risk categories) non-metastatic prostate cancer is an important public health concern given the large burden of this disease. We compared the rate of metastatic progression-free survival among men diagnosed with unfavorable-risk non-metastatic prostate cancer who were initially treated with radiation therapy or radical prostatectomy. Methods: Information was obtained from medical records at two academic centers in Canada from 333 men diagnosed with unfavorable-risk non-metastatic prostate cancer between 2007 and 2012. Median followup was 90.4 months. Men were eligible for study if they received either primary radiation therapy (n=164) or radical prostatectomy (n=169), in addition to various adjuvant and salvage therapies when deemed clinically appropriate. Patients were matched on prognostic covariates using two matching techniques. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and confidence intervals (CI) for metastatic progression-free survival between groups. Results: After matching, treatment groups were balanced on prognostic variables except for percent core positivity. Hazard ratios from all Cox proportional hazards models (i.e., before and after matching, and with and without multivariable adjustment) showed no difference in the rate of metastatic progression-free survival between groups (adjusted unmatched HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.63, 2.13, p=0.64). Conclusions: Metastatic progression-free survival did not differ between men diagnosed with unfavorable risk non-metastatic prostate cancer who were treated with either radiation therapy or radical prostatectomy.

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