Abstract P316: Alcohol Consumption and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation and Heart Failure: Prospective Findings From the MOLI-SANI Study

Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 131 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Augusto Di Castelnuovo ◽  
Simona Costanzo ◽  
Livia Rago ◽  
Amalia de Curtis ◽  
Mariarosaria Persichillo ◽  
...  

Introduction: The connection between ethanol intake and atrial fibrillation (AF) or heart failure (HF) remains controversial. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that alcohol consumption predicts onset of AF or HF. Methods: We analyzed 22,420 (47% men, age≥35) AF or HF-free individuals randomly recruited from the general population included in the MOLI-SANI study, for whom complete data on HF, AF and alcohol were available. The cohort was followed for a median of 4.2 years (91,930 person-years). Alcohol intake was categorized in former, never, occasional (<1 gr/day) drinkers and in four categories of consumers with different intake (Table). Incident cases were identified through linkage to the regional archive of hospital discharges. The end of follow-up was 31/12/2011. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using Cox-proportional hazard models (Table). Results: We identified 546 incident cases of HF and 352 of AF. In comparison with never drinkers, both former or occasional drinkers showed an equal risk of developing HF (Table). Drinking at various amount of alcohol revealed a J-shaped protection against HF, with a 25% (95%CI: 1% to 44%) maximum protection at 2-4 drinks a day, independent from common confounders (Table). Concerning AF, we failed to observe any association of alcohol with onset of it. Very similar results were obtained after restriction of the analyses to only men/women or to type of alcoholic beverages (wine, beer or liquor). Conclusions: Consumption of alcohol in moderation prevent the incidence of heart failure of 25%, whereas it was not associated with development of atrial fibrillation.

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1401
Author(s):  
You-Ting Lin ◽  
Wei-Lun Huang ◽  
Hung-Pin Wu ◽  
Man-Ping Chang ◽  
Ching-Chu Chen

Heart failure (HF) is a common presentation in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Previous studies revealed that the HbA1c level is significantly associated with HF. However, little is known about the association between HbA1c variability and HF. We aimed to evaluate the association of mean and variability of HbA1c with HF in patients with T2DM. Using Diabetes Share Care Program data, patients with T2DM who had mean HbA1c (HbA1c-Mean), and HbA1c variability (tertiles of HbA1c-SD and HbA1c-adjSD) within 12–24 months during 2001–2008 were included. The cutoffs of HbA1c-Mean were set at <7%, 7–7.9%, and ≥8%. Hazard ratios (HRs) for HF during 2008–2018 were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models. A total of 3824 patients were included, of whom 315 patients developed HF during the observation period of 11.72 years. The associated risk of HF increased with tertiles of HbA1c variability and cutoffs of HbA1c-Mean. In mutually adjusted models, HbA1c-Mean showed a consistent dose-response association with HF, while the association of HbA1c variability with HF disappeared. Among patients with HbA1c-Mean <7%, the associated risk of HF in patients with HbA1c variability in tertile 3 was comparable to patients with HbA1c-Mean ≥8%. In conclusion, mean HbA1c was an independent predictor of HF and not explained by HbA1c variability. In addition to absolute HbA1c level, targeting on stability of HbA1c in patients with good glycemic control was also important for the development of HF in patients with T2DM.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
D Aberg ◽  
M Adiels ◽  
M Lindgren ◽  
J Nyberg ◽  
G Kuhn ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is decreasing in Western countries, including Sweden. However, there are reports of increases in incidence in young people with respect to heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). The magnitude and causes of these changes are only partly known. Aims We investigated secular trends in incidence in CVD outcomes and their attenuation by changes in body mass index (BMI). The outcomes were risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) as well as cardiovascular and all-cause death in a population of Swedish adolescents. Methods We followed a cohort of Swedish men enrolled for military service conscription in 1969–1996 (n=1,326,082; mean age=18.3) until December 2016, collected from the national inpatient (IPR) and outpatient registries (OPR). Cox-proportional hazard models were used to analyse the longitudinal change in incidence by with respect to early (0–21 years) of follow-up for subgroups with conscription 1968–1971, 1971–1976, 1976–1981, 1981–1986, 1986–1991, 1991–1996 (with the group born 1971–1976 as reference). Adjustments for potential confounders including BMI were performed. Results We found that CVD and all-cause mortality and MI decreased progressively during the follow-up with hazard ratios (HR) of 0.51, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.43–0.62, HR 0.51 CI 0.57–0.62, and 0.60 CI 0.50–0.72, respectively. In contrast, we found increases in the incidence of HF (HR 1.86, CI 1.48–2.33], and AF (HR 8.26, CI 6.87–9.92). Adjustments for changes in BMI partly attenuated the changes in secular trends. Cubic spline models showed where the changes in secular trends were most prominent. Conclusion The incidences of cardiovascular outcomes show diverging secular changes. While MI and cardiovascular mortality are continually decreasing, there is an increase in HF and AF. The associations appear to be partly explained by changes in index BMI over time. Acknowledgement/Funding grants from the Swedish Government and the county councils, the ALF–GBG-719761, ALFGBG-751111, Swedish Stroke Association, Göteborg Medical Society


2018 ◽  
Vol 118 (03) ◽  
pp. 526-538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hohnloser ◽  
Edin Basic ◽  
Christopher Hohmann ◽  
Michael Nabauer

AbstractAll pivotal trials have evaluated non–vitamin K oral antagonists (NOACs) against warfarin. However, in some regions of the world, phenprocoumon is the most widely used vitamin K antagonist (VKA). There is little evidence documenting effectiveness and safety of NOACs compared with phenprocoumon in atrial fibrillation (AF). A retrospective cohort study using a German claims database was conducted to assess effectiveness (stroke, systemic embolism [SE]) and safety (bleeding leading to hospitalization) during therapy with NOACs and phenprocoumon in 61,205 AF patients. Hazard ratios (HRs) for effectiveness and safety outcomes were derived from Cox proportional hazard models, adjusting for baseline characteristics. Propensity score matching was performed as a sensitivity analysis. As a prespecified subgroup analysis, the effects of reduced NOAC dosing were compared with phenprocoumon. A total of 61,205 patients were identified in whom phenprocoumon (n = 23,823, 38.9%), apixaban (n = 10,117, 16.5%), dabigatran (n = 5,122, 8.4%), or rivaroxaban (n = 22,143, 36.2%) was initiated. After adjusting for baseline confounders, all three NOACs tested had significantly lower risks of stroke/SE compared with phenprocoumon (apixaban—HR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.66–0.90; dabigatran—HR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.60–0.91; rivaroxaban—HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.76–0.97). Apixaban (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.49–0.69) and dabigatran (HR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.50–0.80) were associated with lower bleeding risks than phenprocoumon, whereas the risk was similar for rivaroxaban and phenprocoumon. All three NOACs showed reduced risk of intracranial bleeding compared with phenprocoumon. Reduced doses of NOACs were predominantly used in patients with advanced age and comorbidities with generally similar effectiveness and safety benefits compared with phenprocumon as standard-dose NOACs.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (21) ◽  
Author(s):  
Einar Smith ◽  
Celine Fernandez ◽  
Olle Melander ◽  
Filip Ottosson

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, but the pathogenesis is not completely understood. The application of metabolomics could help in discovering new metabolic pathways involved in the development of the disease. Methods and Results We measured 112 baseline fasting metabolites of 3770 participants in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study; these participants were free of prevalent AF. Incident cases of AF were ascertained through previously validated registers. The associations between baseline levels of metabolites and incident AF were investigated using Cox proportional hazard models. During 23.1 years of follow‐up, 650 cases of AF were identified (incidence rate: 8.6 per 1000 person‐years). In Cox regression models adjusted for AF risk factors, 7 medium‐ and long‐chain acylcarnitines were associated with higher risk of incident AF (hazard ratio [HR] ranging from 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00–1.18 to 1.14, 95% CI, 1.05–1.24 per 1 SD increment of acylcarnitines). Furthermore, caffeine and acisoga were also associated with an increased risk (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06–1.28 and 1.08; 95% CI, 1.00–1.18, respectively), while beta carotene was associated with a lower risk (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82–0.99). Conclusions For the first time, we show associations between altered acylcarnitine metabolism and incident AF independent of traditional AF risk factors in a general population. These findings highlight metabolic alterations that precede AF diagnosis by many years and could provide insight into the pathogenesis of AF. Future studies are needed to replicate our finding in an external cohort as well as to test whether the relationship between acylcarnitines and AF is causal.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinyuan Zhang ◽  
Yan Liu ◽  
Shanshan Li ◽  
Alice H. Lichtenstein ◽  
Shuohua Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Studies regarding whether light to moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) have generated mixed results. Further, few studies have examined the potential impact of alcohol consumption on diverse disease outcomes simultaneously. We aimed to prospectively study the dose-response association between alcohol consumption and risk of CVD, cancer, and mortality. Methods This study included 83,732 adult Chinese participants, free of CVD and cancer at baseline. Participants were categorized into 6 groups based on self-report alcohol consumption: 0, 1–25, 26–150, 151–350, 351–750, and > 750 g alcohol/wk. Incident cases of CVD, cancers, and mortality were confirmed by medical records. Hazard ratios (HRs) for the composite risk of these three outcomes, and each individual outcome, were calculated using Cox proportional hazard model. Results During a median follow-up of 10.0 years, there were 6411 incident cases of CVD, 2947 cancers and 6646 deaths. We observed a J-shaped relation between alcohol intake and risk of CVD, cancer, and mortality, with the lowest risk at 25 g/wk., which is equivalent to ~ 2 servings/wk. Compared to consuming 1–25 g/wk., the adjusted HR for composite outcomes was 1.38 (95% confidence interval (CI):1.29–1.49) for non-drinker, 1.15 (95% CI: 1.04–1.27) for 26–150 g/wk., 1.22 (95% CI: 1.10–1.34) for 151–350 g/wk., 1.33 (95% CI: 1.21–1.46) for 351–750 g/wk., and 1.57 (95% CI: 1.30–1.90) for > 750 g/wk., after adjusting for age, sex, lifestyle, social economic status, and medication use. Conclusions Light alcohol consumption at ~ 25 g/wk was associated with lower risk of CVD, cancer, and mortality than none or higher consumption in Chinese adults.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roi Tschernichovsky ◽  
Lior H Katz ◽  
Estela Derazne ◽  
Matan Ben-Zion Berliner ◽  
Maya Simchoni ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Gliomas manifest in a variety of histological phenotypes with varying aggressiveness. The etiology of glioma remains largely unknown. Taller stature in adulthood has been linked with glioma risk. The aim of this study was to discern whether this association can be detected in adolescence. Methods The cohort included 2,223,168 adolescents between the ages of 16-19. Anthropometric measurements were collected at baseline. Incident cases of glioma were extracted from the Israel National Cancer Registry over a follow-up period spanning 47,635,745 person-years. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratio for glioma and glioma subtypes according to height, body mass index (BMI) and sex. Results 1,195 patients were diagnosed with glioma during the study period. Mean(SD) age at diagnosis was 38.1 (11.7) years. Taller adolescent height (per 10cm increase) was positively associated with the risk for glioma of any type (HR 1.15; p=0.002). The association was retained in subgroup analyses for low-grade glioma (HR 1.17; p=0.031), high-grade glioma (HR 1.15; p=0.025), oligodendroglioma (HR 1.31; p=0.015), astrocytoma (HR 1.12; p=0.049), and a category of presumed IDH-mutated glioma (HR 1.17; p=0.013). There was a trend towards a positive association between height and glioblastoma, however this had borderline statistical significance (HR: 1.15; p=0.07). After stratification of the cohort by sex, height remained a risk factor for men, but not for women. Conclusions The previously - established association between taller stature in adulthood and glioma risk can be traced back to adolescence. The magnitude of association differs by glioma subtype.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
F Xing ◽  
X Bai ◽  
J Li

Abstract Background Whether discharge heart rate for hospitalized heart failure (HF) patients with coexisted atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with long-term clinical outcomes and whether this association differs between patients with and without beta-blockers have not been well studied. Purpose We investigated the associations between discharge heart rate and clinical outcomes in hospitalized HF patients with coexisted AF, while stratified to beta-blockers at discharge. Methods The study cohort included 1631 HF patients hospitalized primarily with AF, which was from the China PEACE Prospective Heart Failure Study. Clinical outcome was 1-year combined all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization after discharge. We analyzed association between outcome and heart rate at discharge with restricted cubic spline and Cox proportional hazard ratios (HR). Results The median age was 68 (IQR: 60- 77) years, 41.9% were women, discharge heart rate was (median (IQR)) 75 (69- 84) beats per minute (bpm), and 60.2% received beta-blockers at discharge. According to the result of restricted cubic spline plot, the relationship between discharge heart rate and clinical outcome may be nonlinear (P&lt;0.01). Based on above result, these patients were divided into 3 groups: lowest &lt;65 bpm, middle 65–86 bpm and highest ≥87 bpm, clinical outcomes occurred in 128 (64.32%), 624 (53.42%) and 156 (59.32%) patients in the lowest, middle, and highest groups respectively. In the Cox proportional hazard analysis, the lowest and highest groups were associated with increased risks of clinical outcome compared with the middle group (HR: 1.289, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.056 - 1.573, p=0.013; HR: 1.276, 95% CI: 1.06 - 1.537, p=0.01, respectively). And a significant interaction between discharge heart rate and beta-blocker use was observed (P&lt;0.001 for interaction). Stratified analysis showed the lowest group was associated with increased risks of clinical outcomes in patients with beta-blockers (HR: 1.584, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.215–2.066, p=0.001). Conclusion There may be a U-curve relationship between discharge heart rate and clinical outcomes in hospitalized HF patients with coexisted AF. They may have the best clinical outcomes with heart rates of 65 - 86 bpm. And strict heart rate control (&lt;65 bpm) may be avoided for patients who discharge with beta-blockers. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (2017YFC1310803) from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China; the CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Science (2017-I2M-B&R-02); the 111 Project from the Ministry of Education of China (B16005).


2018 ◽  
Vol 103 (5) ◽  
pp. 1940-1947 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayesha Fawad ◽  
Andreas Bergmann ◽  
Joachim Struck ◽  
Peter M Nilsson ◽  
Marju Orho-Melander ◽  
...  

Abstract Context The gut hormone neurotensin promotes fat absorption, diet-induced weight gain, and liver steatosis. Its stable precursor-hormone fragment “proneurotensin” predicts cardiometabolic disease in middle-aged populations, especially in women. Objective To test if proneurotensin predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes development in an elderly population and whether there are gender differences in this respect. Design, Setting, and Participants Fasting proneurotensin was measured in plasma from 4804 participants (mean age 69 ± 6 years) of the Malmö Preventive Project and subjects were followed up for development of CVD and diabetes during 5.4 years. Main Outcome Measures Multivariate adjusted Cox proportional hazard models CVD were used to relate the proneurotensin to the risk of incident CVD and diabetes in all subjects and in gender-stratified analyses. Results In total, there were 456 first CVD events and 222 incident cases of diabetes. The hazard ratio [HR (95% confidence interval)] for CVD per 1 standard deviation (SD) increment of proneurotensin was 1.10 (1.01 to 1.21); P = 0.037, and the above vs below median HR was 1.27 (1.06 to 1.54); P = 0.011, with similar effect sizes in both genders. There was no significant association between proneurotensin and incident diabetes in the entire population (P = 0.52) or among men (P = 0.52). However, in women proneurotensin predicted diabetes incidence with a per 1 SD increment HR of 1.28 (1.30 to 1.59); P = 0.025 and an above vs below median HR of 1.41 (1.10 to 1.80); P = 0.007. Conclusions In the elderly population, proneurotensin independently predicts development of CVD in both genders, whereas it only predicts diabetes in women.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Shunming Zhang ◽  
Ge Meng ◽  
Qing Zhang ◽  
Li Liu ◽  
Zhanxin Yao ◽  
...  

Abstract High dietary fiber intake has been associated with a lower risk of diabetes, but the association of dietary fiber with prediabetes is only speculative, especially in China, where the supportive data from prospective studies is lacking. This study aimed to examine the association between dietary fiber intake and risk of incident prediabetes among Chinese adults. We performed a prospective analysis in 18,085 participants of the TCLSIH cohort study who were free of diabetes, prediabetes, cancer, and cardiovascular disease at baseline. Dietary data were collected using a validated 100-item food frequency questionnaire. Prediabetes was defined based on the American Diabetes Association diagnostic criteria. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). During 63,175 person-years of follow-up, 4,139 cases of incident prediabetes occurred. The multivariable HRs (95% CIs) of prediabetes for the highest versus lowest quartiles were 0.85 (0.75, 0.98) (P for trend =0.02) for total dietary fiber, 0.84 (0.74, 0.95) (P for trend <0.01) for soluble fiber, and 1.05 (0.93, 1.19) (P for trend =0.38) for insoluble fiber. Fiber from fruits, but not from cereals, beans, and vegetables was inversely associated with prediabetes. Our results indicate that intakes of total dietary fiber, soluble fiber, and fiber derived from fruit sources were associated with a lower risk of prediabetes.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob P Kelly ◽  
Brad G Hammill ◽  
Jacob A Doll ◽  
G. Michael Felker ◽  
Paul A Heidenreich ◽  
...  

Background: In February 2014, coverage for cardiac rehabilitation (CR) was expanded by Centers for Medicare & Medicaid to include patients with chronic symptomatic heart failure (HF) on optimal medical therapy with ejection fraction <35%. Thus, we sought to characterize the patient population newly eligible for CR based on the expanded criteria and their associated outcomes. Methods: We analyzed the Get With The Guidelines-HF registry linked to Medicare claims data from 2008-2012 to assess three groups of patients age 65 or older: previously eligible (due to prior MI, CABG, stable angina, heart valve surgery, or PCI in the previous 12 months), newly eligible, and ineligible for CR. Ineligible patients met neither criteria. Incidence rate was calculated with Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the association of events. Results: Among 51,665 HF patients discharged alive, 27.2% (n=14,053) were newly eligible and 14.5% were previously eligible for CR (n=7477). Newly eligible patients were more likely to be black, have atrial fibrillation and EF < 35%, while having fewer previous hospitalizations than patients previously eligible for CR. Newly eligible and ineligible patients had similar risk for 1-year mortality compared with those previously eligible (adjusted Hazard Ratio [HR] 0.95, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.88-1.02, p-value=0.13 and [HR] 1.05, 95% [CI] 0.98-1.13, p-value=0.17, respectively). However, newly eligible and ineligible patients had lower risk for 1-year readmission compared with those previously eligible (adjusted [HR] 0.89, 95% [CI] 0.85-0.93, p-value<0.001 and [HR] 0.94, 95% [CI] 0.90- 0.98, p-value<0.001). Conclusions: The extension of coverage for cardiac rehabilitation has tripled the potentially eligible HF population. As these newly eligible patients are at high risk for adverse outcomes, cardiac rehabilitation should be considered.


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