scholarly journals Development and Internal Validation of a Model Predicting Premature Cardiovascular Disease Among Women With Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy: A Population‐Based Study in Quebec, Canada

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (20) ◽  
Author(s):  
U. Vivian Ukah ◽  
Natalie Dayan ◽  
Nathalie Auger ◽  
Siyi He ◽  
Robert W. Platt

Background Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are associated with an increased risk of premature cardiovascular disease (CVD), but existing cardiovascular prediction models do not adequately capture risks in young women. We developed a model to predict the 10‐year risk of premature CVD and mortality among women who have HDP. Methods and Results Using a population‐based cohort of women with HDP who delivered between April 1989 and March 2017 in Quebec, Canada, we developed a 10‐year CVD risk model using Cox proportional hazards regression. Women aged 18 to 45 years were followed from their first HDP‐complicated delivery until March 2018. We assessed performance of the model based on discrimination, calibration, and risk stratification ability. Internal validity was assessed using the bootstrap method. The cohort included 95 537 women who contributed 1 401 084 person‐years follow‐up. In total, 4024 (4.2%) of women were hospitalized for CVD, of which 1585 events (1.6%) occurred within 10 years of follow‐up. The final model had modest discriminatory performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.65–0.67) and good calibration with slope of 0.95 and intercept of −0.19. There was moderate classification accuracy (likelihood ratio+: 5.90; 95% CI, 5.01–6.95) in the highest‐risk group upon risk stratification. Conclusions Overall, our model had modest performance in predicting the 10‐year risk of premature CVD for women with HDP. We recommend the addition of clinical variables, and external validation, before consideration for clinical use.

Author(s):  
Jennifer Lewey ◽  
Lisa D. Levine ◽  
Lin Yang ◽  
Jourdan E. Triebwasser ◽  
Peter W. Groeneveld

Background Preeclampsia and gestational hypertension are hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) that identify an increased risk of developing chronic hypertension and cardiovascular disease later in life. Postpartum follow‐up may facilitate early screening and treatment of cardiovascular risk factors. Our objective is to describe patterns of postpartum visits with primary care and women's health providers (eg, family medicine and obstetrics) among women with and without HDP in a nationally representative sample of commercially insured women. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective cohort study using insurance claims from a US health insurance database to describe patterns in office visits in the 6 months after delivery. We identified 566 059 women with completed pregnancies between 2005 and 2014. At 6 months, 13% of women with normotensive pregnancies, 18% with HDP, and 23% with chronic hypertension had primary care visits ( P <0.0001 for comparing HDP and chronic hypertension groups with control participants). Only 58% of women with HDP had 6‐month follow‐up with any continuity provider compared with 47% of women without hypertension ( P <0.0001). In multivariable analysis, women with severe preeclampsia were 16% more likely to have postpartum continuity follow‐up (adjusted odds ratio, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.2–1.21). Factors associated with a lower likelihood of any follow‐up included age ≥30 years, Black race, Hispanic ethnicity, and having multiple gestations. Conclusions Rates of continuity care follow‐up after a pregnancy complicated by hypertension were low. This represents a substantial missed opportunity to provide cardiovascular risk screening and management to women at increased risk of future cardiovascular disease.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Heike Roth ◽  
Caroline S. E. Homer ◽  
Clare Arnott ◽  
Lynne Roberts ◽  
Mark Brown ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) affect 5–10% of pregnant women. Women after HDP have 2–3 times increased risk of heart attack, stroke and diabetes, as soon as 5–10 years after pregnancy. Australian healthcare providers’ knowledge of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks for women after HDP is unknown, and this study aimed to explore their current knowledge and practice regarding long-term cardiovascular health after HDP, as a precursor to producing targeted healthcare provider education on health after HDP. Methods A custom-created, face-validated online survey explored knowledge about long-term risks after HDP. Distribution occurred from February to July 2019 via professional colleges, key organisations and social media. The objective was to assess current knowledge and knowledge gaps amongst a group of healthcare providers (HCP) in Australia, regarding long-term cardiovascular health after hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), specifically gestational hypertension or preeclampsia. Results Of 492 respondents, 203 were midwives, 188 obstetricians, 75 general practitioners (GP), and 26 cardiologists. A risk knowledge score was computed with 0–6 considered low, 6.1–8.9 moderate and 9–12 high. Most participants (85%) were aware of increased cardiovascular disease after preeclampsia and gestational hypertension (range 76% midwives to 100% cardiologists). There were significant differences in average knowledge scores regarding health after preeclampsia; high for cardiologists (9.3), moderate for GPs and obstetricians (8.2 and 7.6 respectively) and low for midwives (5.9). Average knowledge scores were somewhat lower for gestational hypertension (9.0 for cardiologists, 7.4 for obstetricians and GPs, 5.1 for midwives). Knowledge was highest regarding risk of chronic hypertension, moderate to high regarding risk of ischaemic heart disease, stroke and recurring HDP, and low for diabetes and peripheral vascular disease. Only 34% were aware that risks start < 10 years after the affected pregnancy. Conclusion(s) Participants were aware there is increased cardiovascular risk after HDP, although less aware of risks after gestational hypertension and some specific risks including diabetes. Findings will inform the development of targeted education.


Nutrients ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 588
Author(s):  
Imran Khan ◽  
Minji Kwon ◽  
Nitin Shivappa ◽  
James R. Hébert ◽  
Mi Kyung Kim

Recently, diets with higher inflammatory potentials based on the dietary inflammatory index (DII®) have been shown to be associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in the general population. We aimed to prospectively investigate the association between the DII and CVD risk in the large Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study_Health Examination (KoGES_HEXA) cohort comprised of 162,773 participants (men 55,070; women 107,703). A validated semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire (SQ-FFQ) was used to calculate the DII score. Statistical analyses were performed by using a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model. During the mean follow-up of 7.4 years, 1111 cases of CVD were diagnosed. Higher DII score was associated with increased risk of CVD in men (hazard ratio [HR]Quintile 5 vs. 1 1.43; 95% CI 1.04–1.96) and in women (HRQuintile 5 vs. 1 1.19; 95% CI 0.85–1.67), although not significant for women. The risk of CVD was significantly higher in physically inactive men (HRQuintile 5 vs. 1 1.80; 95% CI 1.03–3.12), obese men (HRQuintile 5 vs. 1 1.77; 95% CI 1.13–2.76) and men who smoked (HRQuintile 5 vs. 1 1.60; 95% CI 1.10–2.33), respectively. The risk of developing stroke was significantly higher for men (HRQuintile 5 vs. 1 2.06; 95% CI 1.07–3.98; p = 0.003), but not for women. A pro-inflammatory diet, as indicated by higher DII scores, was associated with increased risk of CVD and stroke among men.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benedict Taa Nguimbis Esseme ◽  
Mbondji Ebongué

AbstractBackground: Positive associations have been found between Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy gestational hypertension, preeclampsia and cardiovascular diseases within non-black African populations, but no data exist from sub-Saharan Africa. We aimed to assess this association in Cameroonian mothers.Methods: We used a case-control design. Cases were women diagnosed with arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease between 2012 and 2017 at the General and the Gyneco-obstetric hospital of Yaoundé. Controls were mothers of children who seeked pediatric care at the Gyneco-obstetric hospital of Yaoundé, with no diagnosis of cardiovascular disease. We abstracted data from patient files to assess cardiovascular disease, and used phone-based questionnaires to assess prior history of Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy. We used logistic regression and propensity scores for adjustment. Results: Out of 1228 individuals selected, 173 cases and 339 controls participated in the study. We found no increased risk of cardiovascular diseases for women with a history of Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy (OR = 0.83, 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.34). Women with gestational hypertension had 2.33 (95% CI, 0.99 to 5.50) times the risk of women with no history of Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy, an inverse association was observed between preeclampsia and cardiovascular diseases (OR = 0.28, 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.72). Conclusions: Cameroonian women with a history of gestational hypertension may have an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases. However, population-based studies with more accurate data on the exposure are needed.


Cardiology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 145 (10) ◽  
pp. 633-647
Author(s):  
Rong Wu ◽  
Tingting Wang ◽  
Runhui Gu ◽  
Dexiu Xing ◽  
Changxiang Ye ◽  
...  

Introduction: Several studies have demonstrated that there is a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women with a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). However, effect sizes varied greatly between these studies, and a complete overview of the existing data in the literature is lacking. We aimed to evaluate the association between HDP and the risk of CVD-related morbidity and mortality. Methods: Systematic literature searches were conducted in several electronic databases from inception to July 2019. Exposure of interest was any type of HDP. Outcomes of interest included any CVD, CVD-related mortality, and hypertension. Results: Sixty-six cohort and 7 case-control studies involving >13 million women were included. The overall combined relative risks (RRs) for women with a history of HDP compared with the reference group were 1.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.67–1.94) for any CVD, 1.66 (1.49–1.84) for coronary artery heart disease, 2.87 (2.14–3.85) for heart failure, 1.60 (1.29–2.00) for peripheral vascular disease, 1.72 (1.50–1.97) for stroke, 1.78 (1.58–2.00) for CVD-related mortality, and 3.16 (2.74–3.64) for hypertension. Significant heterogeneity was partially explained by all or part of the variables including type of exposure, follow-up time, geographic region, and sample source. Conclusions: Women with a history of HDP are at an increased risk of future CVD-related morbidity and mortality. Our study highlights the importance of life-long monitoring of cardiovascular risk factors in women with a history of HDP.


Author(s):  
Pilar Palmrich ◽  
Carina Binder ◽  
Harald Zeisler ◽  
Bettina Kroyer ◽  
Petra Pateisky ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are still a leading cause of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. Women with a history of preeclampsia have an increased risk for future cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease, renal disease as well as diabetes mellitus. There is little knowledge on postpartum risk management. The aim of this study was to assess follow-up care for patients after pre-eclampsia or HELLP syndrome. Methods This questionnaire-based cross-sectional study aimed to evaluate the current recommendations of obstetricians in Austria regarding follow-up care, long-term risk counselling and risk of recurrence in future pregnancies after preeclampsia or HELLP syndrome. Data were collected using a survey, based on recommendations given by three substantial guidelines on hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, which was distributed via e-mail to 69 public obstetric departments in Austria. Each obstetric department was required to answer one questionnaire per local protocol. Results Our results revealed that of the 48 participating hospitals most obstetricians are aware of the importance of follow-up care for women after a pregnancy complicated by preeclampsia. Our data show that most physicians counselled patients about the future cardiovascular health risks associated with preeclampsia or HELLP syndrome (79.2%). Most obstetricians recommended lifestyle modification (77.1%) and continued blood pressure measurements (97.9%). All centers stated to counsel about the risk of recurrence (100%). However, counselling regarding follow-up care to exclude kidney damage (37.5%) and underlying diseases like thrombophilia (39.6%) were less prioritized. Conclusions We were able to show that counselling concerning the risk of long-term cardiovascular disease and risk of recurrence after a pregnancy complicated by preeclampsia or HELLP syndrome has been established in obstetric departments in public hospitals. Regarding the evaluation of underlying chronic diseases such as thrombophilia or renal disease, as well as counselling on the future risk of renal disease is still improvable according to our data. Further evaluation of follow-up care after hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in the outpatient and private sector and implementation of structured guidelines for follow-up, as well as screening for cardiovascular disease are necessary to ensure adequate risk management and to provide opportunities for prevention.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hooman Bakhshi ◽  
Mohammad R Ostovaneh ◽  
Bharath Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Matthew Allison ◽  
David Herrington ◽  
...  

Background: Inflammatory biomarkers have been used for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk stratification. However, the relevance of longitudinal changes in levels of these biomarkers in relation to CVD is unclear. Methods: MESA is a population-based cohort consisting of 6814 participants free of symptomatic cardiovascular disease at baseline. We included all participants who had blood assayed for measurement of inflammatory biomarkers - C-reactive protein (CRP), Interleukin-6 (IL-6), and fibrinogen measured at baseline and follow-up 2-4 years later (n=1,362). Coronary heart disease (CHD) was assessed as any of myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, definite angina, probable angina (if followed by revascularization) and CHD death. CVD was considered a composite of CHD, stroke, stroke death, atherosclerotic death and CVD death. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to assess the association of annual longitudinal changes in inflammatory biomarker level and time to first CHD and CVD event after adjustment for traditional risk factors and demographics. Results: The mean (SD) age was 61.6 (9.8) years and 55% were male. Over 8.6 median (IQR, 8.4-9.3) years of follow-up, there were 87 CHD and 121 CVD events. The median (IQR) CRP (mg/L), IL-6 (pg/ml) and fibrinogen (mg/dl) levels at baseline were 1.74(0.82-3.95) 1.11(0.71-1.72) and 332(292-382); and at follow-up were 1.4(0.69-3.03), 1.76(1.16-2.72) and 421(371-476). An increase in IL6 of 1 pg/mL/year was associated with a 26% increased risk of total CVD events independent of risk factors, while an increase of 1 mg/L/year of CRP was independently associated with a 7% and 6% increased risk of both CHD and CVD events respectively. There were no significant associations with changes in fibrinogen. Conclusion: Longitudinal increases in the inflammatory biomarkers CRP and IL6 are associated with higher risk of future cardiovascular events in a multi-ethnic population.


Hypertension ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 77 (3) ◽  
pp. 1010-1019
Author(s):  
Juhani S.S. Rantakallio ◽  
Jaana E. Nevalainen ◽  
Sammeli I. West ◽  
Meri-Maija Ollila ◽  
Katri Puukka ◽  
...  

The purpose of this prospective, population-based cohort study was to evaluate the roles of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), obesity, weight gain, and hyperandrogenemia in the development of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) through fertile age both in PCOS and in non-PCOS women. The study population—NFBC1966 (Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966)—allowed a long-term follow-up of women from age 14 until 46 years who developed HDP (n=408) or did not (n=3373). HDP diagnosis was confirmed by combining hospital discharge records, data from Finnish Medical Birth Registers, and the questionnaire data at age 46. Women with self-reported PCOS (srPCOS; n=279), defined by both oligo-amenorrhea and hirsutism at age 31 or with PCOS diagnosis by age 46, were compared with women without reported PCOS (n=1577). Women with srPCOS had an increased HDP risk (odds ratio, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.03–2.37]), but the association disappeared after adjustment for body mass index. In women with srPCOS and HDP, body mass index increased from age 14 to 46 significantly more than in srPCOS women without HDP (median [interquartile range], 9.82 [6.23–14.6] and 7.21 [4.16–10.5] kg/m 2 , respectively; P <0.001). Also, in non-PCOS women, the increase was higher in women with (7.54 [5.32–11.62] kg/m 2 ; P <0.001) than without HDP (6.33 [3.90–9.33] kg/m 2 ; P <0.001). Increase in waist circumference between ages 31 and 46 years was associated with HDP but not with PCOS. Hyperandrogenemia at 31 or 46 years did not associate with HDP (1.44 [0.98–2.11]). In conclusion, obesity, especially abdominal obesity, and weight gain from adolescence to age 46, but not srPCOS or hyperandrogenemia, were associated with an increased risk of HDP.


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