scholarly journals A Transition Mechanism for the Spontaneous Axisymmetric Intensification of Tropical Cyclones

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshiaki Miyamoto ◽  
Tetsuya Takemi
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Transition Mechanism ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Axisymmetric Structure ◽  
Physics Model

Abstract A mechanism for the transition of tropical cyclones (TCs) to the spontaneous rapid intensification (RI) phase is proposed based on numerical results of a three-dimensional full-physics model. The intensification phase of the simulated TC is divided into three subphases according to the rate of intensification: 1) a slowly intensifying phase, 2) an RI phase, and 3) an adjustment phase toward the quasi-steady state. The evolution of a TC vortex is diagnosed by the energy budget analysis and the degree of axisymmetric structure of the TC vortex, and the simulated TC is determined to be axisymmetrized 12 h before the onset of RI. It is found that equivalent potential temperature θe in the lowest layer suddenly increases inside the radius of maximum azimuthally averaged horizontal wind rma after the TC becomes nearly axisymmetric. Forward trajectory analyses revealed that the enhanced convective instability in the TC core region where the eyewall subsequently forms results from the increased inertial stability of the TC core after the axisymmetrization. Since fluid parcels remain longer inside rma, owing to the increased inertial stability, the parcels obtain more enthalpy from the underlying ocean. As a result, low-level θe and hence convective available potential energy (CAPE) increase. Under the condition with increased CAPE, the eyewall is intensified and the secondary circulation is enhanced, leading to the increased convergence of low-level inflow; this process is considered to be the trigger of RI. Once the eyewall forms, the simulated TC starts its RI.

scholarly journals A 7-Year Climatology of Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall over South China during the Pre-Summer Months

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 914
Author(s):  
Tao Chen ◽  
Da-Lin Zhang
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Atmospheric Parameter ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector

In view of the limited predictability of heavy rainfall (HR) events and the limited understanding of the physical mechanisms governing the initiation and organization of the associated mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), a composite analysis of 58 HR events over the warm sector (i.e., far ahead of the surface cold front), referred to as WSHR events, over South China during the months of April to June 2008~2014 is performed in terms of precipitation, large-scale circulations, pre-storm environmental conditions, and MCS types. Results show that the large-scale circulations of the WSHR events can be categorized into pre-frontal, southwesterly warm and moist ascending airflow, and low-level vortex types, with higher frequency occurrences of the former two types. Their pre-storm environments are characterized by a deep moist layer with >50 mm column-integrated precipitable water, high convective available potential energy with the equivalent potential temperature of ≥340 K at 850 hPa, weak vertical wind shear below 400 hPa, and a low-level jet near 925 hPa with weak warm advection, based on atmospheric parameter composite. Three classes of the corresponding MCSs, exhibiting peak convective activity in the afternoon and the early morning hours, can be identified as linear-shaped, a leading convective line adjoined with trailing stratiform rainfall, and comma-shaped, respectively. It is found that many linear-shaped MCSs in coastal regions are triggered by local topography, enhanced by sea breezes, whereas the latter two classes of MCSs experience isentropic lifting in the southwesterly warm and moist flows. They all develop in large-scale environments with favorable quasi-geostrophic forcing, albeit weak. Conceptual models are finally developed to facilitate our understanding and prediction of the WSHR events over South China.

Impacts of Assimilating Measurements of Different State Variables with a Simulated Supercell Storm and Three-Dimensional Variational Method

2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (8) ◽  
pp. 2759-2777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoqing Ge ◽  
Jidong Gao ◽  
Ming Xue
Keyword(s):  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
State Variables ◽  
Wind Fields ◽  
Simulation Experiments ◽  
Supercell Storm ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Analysis Quality

Abstract This paper investigates the impacts of assimilating measurements of different state variables, which can be potentially available from various observational platforms, on the cycled analysis and short-range forecast of supercell thunderstorms by performing a set of observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) using a storm-scale three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) method. The control experiments assimilate measurements every 5 min for 90 min. It is found that the assimilation of horizontal wind can reconstruct the storm structure rather accurately. The assimilation of vertical velocity , potential temperature , or water vapor can partially rebuild the thermodynamic and precipitation fields but poorly retrieves the wind fields. The assimilation of rainwater mixing ratio can build up the precipitation fields together with a reasonable cold pool but is unable to properly recover the wind fields. Overall, data have the greatest impact, while have the second largest impact. The impact of is the smallest. The impact of assimilation frequency is examined by comparing results using 1-, 5-, or 10-min assimilation intervals. When is assimilated every 5 or 10 min, the analysis quality can be further improved by the incorporation of additional types of observations. When are assimilated every minute, the benefit from additional types of observations is negligible, except for . It is also found that for , , and measurements, more frequent assimilation leads to more accurate analyses. For and , a 1-min assimilation interval does not produce a better analysis than a 5-min interval.

scholarly journals Rapid Mesoscale Environmental Changes Accompanying Genesis of an Unusual Tornado

2016 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 763-786 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven E. Koch ◽  
Randolph Ware ◽  
Hongli Jiang ◽  
Yuanfu Xie
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Microwave Radiometer ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Stretching Deformation ◽  
Upper Level Jet

Abstract This study documents a very rapid increase in convective instability, vertical wind shear, and mesoscale forcing for ascent leading to the formation of a highly unusual tornado as detected by a ground-based microwave radiometer and wind profiler, and in 1-km resolution mesoanalyses. Mesoscale forcing for the rapid development of severe convection began with the arrival of a strong upper-level jet streak with pronounced divergence in its left exit region and associated intensification of the low-level flow to the south of a pronounced warm front. The resultant increase in stretching deformation along the front occurred in association with warming immediately to its south as low-level clouds dissipated. This created a narrow ribbon of intense frontogenesis and a rapid increase in convective available potential energy (CAPE) within 75 min of tornadogenesis. The Windsor, Colorado, storm formed at the juncture of this warm frontogenesis zone and a developing dryline. Storm-relative helicity suddenly increased to large values during this pretornadic period as a midtropospheric layer of strong southeasterly winds descended to low levels. The following events also occurred simultaneously within this short period of time: a pronounced decrease in midtropospheric equivalent potential temperature θe accompanying the descending jet, an increase in low-level θe associated with the surface sensible heating, and elimination of the capping inversion and convective inhibition. The simultaneous nature of these rapid changes over such a short period of time, not fully captured in Storm Prediction Center mesoanalyses, was likely critical in generating this unusual tornadic event.

A Modeling Study of a Low-Level Jet along the Yun-Gui Plateau in South China

2016 ◽  
Vol 55 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Yang He ◽  
Hong-Bo Liu ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Da-Lin Zhang
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Maximum Speed ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jet

AbstractIn this study, the three-dimensional structures and diurnal evolution of a typical low-level jet (LLJ) with a maximum speed of 24 m s−1 occurring in the 850–800-hPa layer are examined using both large-scale analysis and a high-resolution model simulation. The LLJ occurred on the eastern foothills of the Yun-Gui Plateau in south China from 1400 LST 29 June to 1400 LST 30 June 2003. The effects of surface radiative heating, topography, and latent heat release on the development of the LLJ case are also studied. Results show that a western Pacific Ocean subtropical high and a low pressure system on the respective southeast and northwest sides of the LLJ provide a favorable large-scale mean pressure pattern for the LLJ development. The LLJ reaches its peak intensity at 850 hPa near 0200 LST with wind directions veering from southerly before sunset to southwesterly at midnight. A hodograph at the LLJ core shows a complete diurnal cycle of the horizontal wind with a radius of 5.5 m s−1. It is found that in an LLJ coordinates system the along-LLJ geostrophic component regulates the distribution and 65% of the intensity of LLJ, whereas the ageostrophic component contributes to the clockwise rotation, thus leading to the formation and weakening of the LLJ during night- and daytime, respectively. Numerical sensitivity experiments confirm the surface radiative heating as the key factor in determining the formation of the nocturnal LLJ. The existence of the Yun-Gui Plateau, and the downstream condensational heating along the mei-yu front play secondary roles in the LLJ formation.

A Comparison between Moist and Dry Tropical Cyclones: The Low Effectiveness of Surface Sensible Heat Flux in Storm Intensification

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanhong Ma ◽  
Jianfang Fei
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Sensible Heat Flux ◽  
Equivalent Potential Temperature ◽  
Sensible Heat ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Equivalent Potential ◽  
Surface Sensible Heat Flux

AbstractRecent numerical modeling studies demonstrate that dry tropical cyclones can be stably sustained via supply of surface sensible heat flux. This raises questions of whether surface sensible heat flux (SHX) and latent heat flux (LHX) have the same effect on the intensity evolution of tropical cyclones. An estimation of equivalent potential temperature budget in the boundary layer shows that LHX leads to larger increase in equivalent potential temperature than SHX even when they possess the same magnitude. By formulating these two kinds of surface heat fluxes with the same mathematical framework, the simulated intensifications of moist and dry tropical cyclones are compared, with the former driven exclusively by LHX and the latter by SHX. Results show significantly larger intensification rates for the tropical cyclone driven by LHX than that by SHX, revealing low effectiveness of SHX in the intensification of tropical cyclones. The diabatic heating in the moist tropical cyclone occurs accompanying the convection, while it is merely pronounced near the surface in the dry tropical cyclone and is decoupled from the dry convection. A new surface pressure tendency equation is proposed, without incorporating implicit pressure tendency term on the right-hand side. The budget analysis indicates that the SHX is less effective than LHX in lowering surface central pressure and therefore in tropical cyclone intensification. A series of sensitivity experiments suggest that the threshold of energy input required for spinning up a tropical cyclone is lower in the form of LHX than that of SHX.

scholarly journals Contributions of Surface Sensible Heat Fluxes to Tropical Cyclone. Part I: Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 120-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanhong Ma ◽  
Jianfang Fei ◽  
Xiaogang Huang ◽  
Xiaoping Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Great Sensitivity ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Sensible Heat ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The contributions of surface sensible heat fluxes (SHX) to the evolution of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity and structure are examined in this study by conducting cloud-resolving simulations. Results suggest that although the peak values of SHX could account for nearly 30% of those of the total surface latent and sensible heat fluxes, the impact of SHX on TC intensification is nonetheless not distinct. However, the TC size shows great sensitivity to the SHX that the storm is shrunk by over 20% after removing the SHX. A potential temperature budget analysis indicates that the adiabatic cooling accompanying the radial inflow is largely balanced by the transfer of sensible heat fluxes rather than the entrainment of subsiding air from aloft. If there is upward transfer of SHX from underlying ocean so that the near-surface potential temperature decreases upward, the SHX will play a vital role; instead, if the upward SHX are absent so that the potential temperature increases upward near the surface, the downward sensible heat fluxes become the dominant contributor to warm the inflow air. The changes in TC size are found to be primarily caused by the rainband activities. The SHX help maintain high convective available potential energy as well as the cold pool feature outside the eyewall, thus being crucial for the growth of outer rainbands. If without upward transport of SHX, the outer-rainband activities could be largely suppressed, thereby leading to a decrease of the TC size.

How Does the Eye Warm? Part I: A Potential Temperature Budget Analysis of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel P. Stern ◽  
Fuqing Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Dynamic Instability ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Rapid Intensification ◽  
Subgrid Scale ◽  
Substantial Portion ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Significant Term ◽  
Sufficient Intensity

Abstract In this first part of a two-part study, the mechanisms that accomplish the warming in the eye of tropical cyclones are investigated through a potential temperature budget analysis of an idealized simulation. The spatial structure of warming varies substantially with time. During rapid intensification (RI), the warming is maximized at midlevels, and as a consequence, the perturbation temperature is always maximized in this region. At the start of RI, total advection of potential temperature is the only significant term contributing to warming the eye. However, for a substantial portion of RI, the region of most rapid warming actually undergoes mean ascent. The net advective warming is shown to be a result of eddy radial advection of potential temperature, dominated by a wavenumber-1 feature that is likely due to a dynamic instability. At a sufficient intensity, mean vertical advective warming becomes concentrated in a narrow zone just inward of the eyewall. In agreement with prior studies, this advective tendency is largely canceled by diabatic cooling. Subgrid-scale horizontal diffusion of potential temperature plays a surprisingly large role in the maintenance of the warm-core structure, and when the storm is intense, yields a negative tendency that can be of the same magnitude as advective warming.

scholarly journals Low-level Mesoscale and Cloud-scale Interactions Promoting Deep Convection Initiation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
James N. Marquis ◽  
Adam C. Varble ◽  
Paul Robinson ◽  
T. Connor. Nelson ◽  
Katja Friedrich
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

AbstractData from scanning radars, radiosondes, and vertical profilers deployed during three field campaigns are analyzed to study interactions between cloud-scale updrafts associated with initiating deep moist convection and the surrounding environment. Three cases are analyzed in which the radar networks permitted dual-Doppler wind retrievals in clear air preceding and during the onset of surface precipitation. These observations capture the evolution of: i) the mesoscale and boundary layer flow, and ii) low-level updrafts associated with deep moist convection initiation (CI) events yielding sustained or short-lived precipitating storms.The elimination of convective inhibition did not distinguish between sustained and unsustained CI events, though the vertical distribution of convective available potential energy may have played a role. The clearest signal differentiating the initiation of sustained versus unsustained precipitating deep convection was the depth of the low-level horizontal wind convergence associated with the mesoscale flow feature triggering CI, a sharp surface wind shift boundary or orographic upslope flow. The depth of the boundary layer relative to the height of the LFC failed to be a consistent indicator of CI potential. Widths of the earliest detectable low-level updrafts associated with sustained precipitating deep convection were ~3-5 km, larger than updrafts associated with surrounding boundary layer turbulence (~1-3-km wide). It is hypothesized that updrafts of this larger size are important for initiating cells to survive the destructive effects of buoyancy dilution via entrainment.

scholarly journals Impacts of Evaporation from Raindrops on Tropical Cyclones. Part I: Evolution and Axisymmetric Structure

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masahiro Sawada ◽  
Toshiki Iwasaki
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Angular Momentum ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Evaporative Cooling ◽  
Development Stage ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Mature Stage ◽  
Latent Heating ◽  
Axisymmetric Structure

Abstract Cloud-resolving simulations of an ideal tropical cyclone (TC) on an f plane are performed to investigate the effects of evaporative cooling on the evolution and structure of a TC. Evaporative cooling has markedly different impacts on the TC development and structure than melting/sublimation cooling because of the formation of rainbands. Evaporative cooling suppresses the organization of a TC at the early development stage. Evaporative cooling effectively forms convective downdrafts that cool and dry the boundary layer. Stabilizing the TC boundary layer reduces convective available potential energy (CAPE) around the eyewall by about 40% and slows the development. However, at the mature stage evaporative cooling steadily develops the TC for a longer period and enlarges the TC size because of rainbands, which are formed by the cold pool associated with evaporative cooling outside the eyewall. The large amounts of latent heating greatly induce the secondary circulation and transport large absolute angular momentum inward around the midtroposphere, resulting in the steady development of the TC. After a three-day integration, both the area-averaged precipitation and the kinetic energy become greater than when evaporative cooling is excluded.

scholarly journals A Composite Perspective on Bore Passages during the PECAN Campaign

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (4) ◽  
pp. 1395-1413 ◽  
Author(s):  
David M. Loveless ◽  
Timothy J. Wagner ◽  
David D. Turner ◽  
Steven A. Ackerman ◽  
Wayne F. Feltz
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Observational Studies ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Future Research ◽  
High Temporal Resolution ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Capping Inversion ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Atmospheric bores have been shown to have a role in the initiation and maintenance of elevated convection. Previous observational studies of bores have been case studies of more notable events. However, this creates a selection bias toward extraordinary cases, while discussions of the differences between bores that favor convective initiation and maintenance and bores that do not are lacking from the literature. This study attempts to fill that gap by analyzing a high-temporal-resolution thermodynamic profile composite of eight bores observed by multiple platforms during the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) campaign in order to assess the impact of bores on the environment. The time–height cross section of the potential temperature composite displays quasi-permanent parcel displacements up to 900 m with the bore passage. Low-level lifting is shown to weaken the capping inversion and reduce convective inhibition (CIN) and the level of free convection (LFC). Additionally, low-level water vapor increases by about 1 g kg−1 in the composite mean. By assessing variability across the eight cases, it is shown that increases in low-level water vapor result in increases to convective available potential energy (CAPE), while drying results in decreased CAPE. Most cases resulted in decreased CIN and LFC height with the bore passage, but only some cases resulted in increased CAPE. This suggests that bores will increase the potential for convective initiation, but future research should be directed toward better understanding cases that result in increased CAPE as those are the types of bores that will increase severity of convection.

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