Analysis of Human Capital Development and Output Growth Nexus in Africa’s Most Populous Country: A New Evidence from ARDL Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-118
Author(s):  
Anthony Orji ◽  
Jonathan E. Ogbuabor ◽  
Chikaodinaka Iwuagwu ◽  
Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji

This article empirically analysed the impact of human capital development on output growth in Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country. The study employed time series data from 1985 to 2018 and adopted the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model bounds test to ascertain the existence of a long-run relationship between human capital development and output growth. The findings of this study revealed that there exists a long-run relationship between human capital development and output growth in Nigeria. Human capital development components such as public expenditure on health and labour force showed significant positive contribution to output growth in Nigeria, while public expenditure on education showed a reverse relationship. Gross capital formation (proxy for stock of physical capital) also showed positive contribution to growth. The study therefore recommended that there is need to re-evaluate the expenditure made on public education to ensure that it is well utilised to fund critical infrastructure that will enhance learning, capacity building and human development, which will ultimately contribute to output growth. Policies should also be enacted to support improvements in the other components of human developments’ proxies in order to contribute optimally to output growth continuously.

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Olatunji Shobande ◽  
Charles Etukomeni

Abstract The role which financing human development plays in fostering the sectorial growth of an economy cannot be undermined. It is a key instrument which can be utilized to alleviate poverty, create employment and ensure the sustenance of economic growth and development. Thus financing human development for sectorial growth has taken the center stage of economic growth and development strategies in most countries. In a constructive effort to examine the in-depth relationship between the variables in the Nigerian space, this paper provides evidence on the impact of financing human development and sectorial growth in Nigeria between 1982 and 2016, using the Johansen co-integration techniques to test for co-integration among the variables and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to ascertain the speed of adjustment of the variables to their long run equilibrium position. The analysis shows that a long and short run relationship exists between financing human capital development and sectorial growth during the period reviewed. Therefore, the paper argues that for an active foundation for sustainable sectorial growth and development, financing human capital development across each unit is urgently required through increased budgetary allocation for both health and educational sectors since they are key components of human capital development in a nation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 178-183
Author(s):  
Inna Irtyshcheva ◽  
Antonina Trushliakova ◽  
Ihor Sirenko

The purpose of the article is to improve the strategic management of human capital in the context of digitalization. In modern conditions, the development of human potential is closely linked with the spread of digital technologies, which are being implemented and rapidly evolving in all spheres of the economy and society. In this context, the effectiveness of the processes of adaptation and competitiveness of socio-economic systems in the long run depends on the development and implementation of the concept of human capital development which takes into account the impact of digitalization processes on the formation of human capital, as well as on the relevant qualitative characteristics that will best meet the needs of the national economy in the transition to a digital model of governance. Methodology. The article is based on international legal acts, laws and bylaws of Ukraine in this area of legal regulation of human capital in the context of digitalization. Both general scientific and special methodology were used for the research: methods of analysis and synthesis, method of description, method of induction, method of deduction. Results. It is proved that the state policy in the field of human capital development in Ukraine today does not meet the modern challenges associated with the rapid development and spread of digital technologies. The consequences of this are already growing disparities in the labor market, shortage of highly qualified specialists with digital competencies at the appropriate level, growing trends in emigration of intellectual capital and gene pool of the nation abroad, reduction of the "middle class" and intensification of social degradation. Solving these problems requires the development and implementation of a Unified State Strategy for Human Capital Development, which will stimulate its formation, development and effective use in the vector of transition to a new technological system, ensure economic growth and high living standards. To this end, the concept of strategic development of human capital in the context of digitalization is substantiated. It systematizes the goals, principles, strategies and tasks of the state to ensure effective processes of human potential formation and its transformation into human capital in the context of implementing the strategy of sustainable development of the national economy under the influence of digital technologies. Conclusions. The strategy of human capital development in the conditions of digital transformations is substantiated. It is a system of interrelated directions, actions and mechanisms aimed at implementing the concept of formation, motivation and use of human capital, which meets the needs of the economy and society and contributes to the competitive advantage and continuous human development in the long run.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 553-561
Author(s):  
Asen Ayange ◽  
Udo Emmanuel Samuel Abner ◽  
Ishaku Prince ◽  
Victor Ndubuaku

Purpose of study: This study examines security expenditure as an economically contributive or a non-contributive expenditure on human capital development and economic growth in Nigeria. Methodology: Adopting the ARDL bounds test and Error Correction Model (ECM) on quarterly time-series data from January 2010-December 2018. Result: The findings and results indicate that security expenditure is economically a contributive expenditure. In the long-run a positive and significant impact on economic growth and human capital development, in the shot-run a negative relationship. The ECM model conveyed the speed of convergence from disequilibrium in the short-run back to long-run equilibrium by 86% quarterly. Implication/Application: The finding and results have critical implications for the government and policymakers, protection of life, properties, economic, and business assets positively stimulate economic growth. A unit increase in government expenditure on human capital development decreases insecurity and increase economic growth. Novelty/Originality of this study: Previous studies conducted globally and in Nigeria reported diverse results on the co-integrating relationship between security expenditure and economic growth, using diverse variables and annualized time series data predominantly. This study differs from the previous studies to adopt quarterly time-series data, the ARDL, and the ECM models as the major techniques of analysis along with a battery of pre-test and diagnostic tests.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Misganu Legesse Bareke ◽  
Birhanu Haile Agezew ◽  
Negash Haile Dedho ◽  
Mulugeta Fufa Lebeta ◽  
Mesfin Molla Demissie ◽  
...  

The role of human capital development in the era of globalization, knowledge-based economy, and technological development cannot be underestimated. This is mainly attached to the creative and adaptive capacity of human capital (HC) in bringing multidimensional changes and developments for the individual, organization, and the country at large. However, the scenario of HC in Sub-Saharan Africa and specifically in Ethiopia remains the lowest compared to the world standard. With this premise, this study is meant to analyze the macroeconomic determinants of HC development in Ethiopia using the Autoregressive Distributed Log (ARDL) model. Time series data from 1981 to 2018 was considered for the study. The empirical result of the study revealed that GDP per capita, openness, and education policy variables were found to have a positive and significant effect on human capital development in the short and long run. On the contrary, inflation has a negative effect on human capital development only in the short run. On the other hand, no evidence was found on whether the government’s expenditure and capital-labor ratio have significant effects on human capital development. Therefore, the Ethiopian government is strongly advised to investigate its educational investment strategies in such a way that it can promote the development of HC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 319-336
Author(s):  
Gilberto Tadeu Lima ◽  
Laura Carvalho ◽  
Gustavo Pereira Serra

This paper incorporates human capital accumulation through provision of universal public education by a balanced-budget government to a demand-driven analytical framework of functional distribution and growth of income. Human capital accumulation positively impacts on workers’ productivity in production and their bargaining power in wage negotiations. In the long-run equilibrium, a rise in the tax rate (which also denotes the share of output spent in human capital formation) lowers the pre- and after-tax wage share and physical capital utilization, and thus raises (lowers) the output growth rate when the latter is profit-led (wage-led). The impact of a higher tax rate on the employment rate (which also measures human capital utilization) in the long-run equilibrium is negative (ambiguous) when output growth is wage-led (profit-led). In any case, the supply of higher-skilled workers does not automatically create its own demand.


2018 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
Motolani Agbebi

This article uses a case-study approach to discuss the effects of Chinese economic engagement on three dimensions of human capital development: local employment, training and skill building, and knowledge and technology transfer. The study findings suggests that Chinese economic engagement can and does contribute to human capital development in Africa; however, this is dependent on certain sectoral factors and contextual conditions. This study advances a working hypothesis that the human capital development impact of Chinese economic engagement will vary across countries and sectors of the African economy. This working hypothesis seeks to guide further research towards developing a theoretical framework for the study of Chinese economic engagement in Africa and its effects on human capital development. The article also identifies research areas that should be further explored in order to gain a deeper understanding of the impact of Chinese economic engagement in Africa.


Author(s):  
Nina Baranova ◽  
Sergey Larin ◽  
Evgeny Khrustalyov

Studies of factors of sustainable economic development in modern conditions are highly relevant for Russia due to the constant increase and tightening of sanctions restrictions. They have a negative impact on the introduction of innovative developments and economic growth, and reduce the competitiveness of Russian enterprises and their products on world markets. Human capital can become one of the key factors for countering sanctions restrictions, improving the efficiency of economic development and gaining additional competitive advantages for domestic enterprises and the economy as a whole. Assessing the impact of human capital on the sustainable development of the economy is difficult, since it is one of the specific forms of capital. When making appropriate measurements, economic scientists rely on a number of developed theoretical methods and practical tools that support them, which allow us to obtain fairly accurate values of the human capital development index (HDI) based on statistical data. First of all, this is the current UN methodology for calculating the HDI indicator, as well as modern software systems OriginPro-8.6 and Eviews-10.0, which have sufficiently advanced functionality for performing calculations. Russia today has all the necessary prerequisites and opportunities for progressive social and economic development. However, the formation of econometric models will help to timely determine the current and forecast values of the level of human capital development for individual enterprises, industries, and the country’s economy as a whole. This paper shows the practical application of the econometric tools of all the above approaches to obtain the calculated values of the HDI indicator for different time periods and different scenarios for the development of the Russian economy. The results obtained confirmed the high practical significance of the tools used and the acceptable accuracy of the calculations. However, the current and forecast values of the level of human capital development alone will not be able to ensure the effective development of the Russian economy. On the contrary, the effective use of human capital in the implementation of import substitution strategies and national projects will allow our country to become one of the world’s leading economic development countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 77-86
Author(s):  
Abubakar Aminu ◽  

This paper investigated the impact of education tax and investment in human capital on economic growth in Nigeria utilizing the Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of cointegration covering the period of 25 years from 1995 to 2019. The findings reveal that education tax and investment in human capital have positive and significant effect on the growth of the Nigerian economy over the sampled period. The paper recommends that in order to boost the economy, Nigeria would need to, among other policy frameworks, provide a suitable environment for ensuring macro-economic stability through effective utilization of income from education tax that will encourage increased investment in human capital in the public sector. In addition to income from education tax, for effective and speedy economic growth and development in Nigeria, the government, beneficiaries (students/parents), employers of labor and other stakeholders in the society should share the responsibility for financing primary, secondary and tertiary education, so as to provide a solid foundation for human capital development. However, as revealed in this paper, the contribution of education tax and investment in human capital is most likely to be realized over a long-run period than in the short term. Keywords: Education Tax; Investment; Human capital; Economic growth


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 26-35
Author(s):  
Kunofiwa Tsaurai

This paper investigates the relationship between human capital development and foreign direct investment (FDI). In particular, the direction of causality between these two variables is the main focus of this study. This study has been necessitated by the failure by many previous researchers to concur on the causal relationship between FDI and human capital development. Some authors argue that there is a uni-directional causality relationship running from FDI to human capital development whilst others are saying the causality runs the other way round from human capital development to FDI. The other group of authors says there is a bi-directional relationship between these two variables whilst the fourth and last group of authors maintains that there exist no causal relation at all between FDI and human capital development. Using the lagged error correction model (ECM), the study observed that FDI measured by FDI, net inflows (% of GDP) was Granger caused by human capital development (proxied by pupil-teacher ratio) both in the short and long run. However, the null hypothesis which says that FDI Granger caused human capital development was rejected both in the short and long run. The author therefore recommends the intensification of teacher-pupil ratio improvement programmes in order not only to increase FDI inflow but to ensure Austria benefits from that increased FDI inflow


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