APPLICATION of EUTOS SCORE IN CHRONIC Myeloid LEUKEMIA AFFECTING VERY Elderly (>75 years) PATIENTS

Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 118 (21) ◽  
pp. 1686-1686
Author(s):  
Simona Sica ◽  
Massimo Breccia ◽  
Francesco Autore ◽  
Roberto Latagliata ◽  
Elisabetta Abruzzese ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Prognostic Score ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Cytogenetic Response ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Banding Technique ◽  
Complete Cytogenetic Response ◽  
Eutos Score

Abstract Abstract 1686 The Eutos score has recently been published as a new prognostic score in CML because of its prognostic ability and its simplicity in the imatinib era. It maintains the percent of basophils and the spleen size and it eliminates three other laboratory values and the variable of the age, that is usually important in the prognosis of almost all the diseases. This score was able to predict the probability of achieving a complete cytogenetic response (CCgR) within 18 months, which is the most solid and confirmed surrogate marker of survival in CML treated with imatinib. Thus we reviewed the cases of CML affecting individuals > 75 years and we apply the Eutos score and compare results with classic Sokal risk. We collected 221 patients from 29 of the major Italian hematological centers for diagnosis and treatment of CML. Because of the lack of data for the calculation of the scores in 84 patients, 137 patients were evaluable. The M: F ratio was 70: 67, the median age was of 78 years (range 75–89). Patients aged >75 years as expected showed frequently comorbidities (cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, oncologic ones). The distribution according to the Sokal score was: 3 patients in the low risk group, 95 patients in the intermediate risk group and 39 patients in the high risk group. As expected, there were only few patients in the low Sokal risk group aged >75 years in demonstration of the importance of the age in this score. Calculating Eutos score we have identified only 6 patients with a high score, whereas the remaining 131 patients were in the low risk group. The group with high Eutos risk score included 5 males and 1 female; their median age was 77 years (range 75–78), at the onset their median white blood cell count was 33.840/mmc (range 29.500–300.000), platelet count was 1.443.000/mmc (range 453.000–4.849.000), their median level of hemoglobin was 8.8 g/dl (range 7.7–13.9). All of them showed percent of basophils>12%, whereas at physical examination splenomegaly was usually moderate with no hepatomegaly. Due to the small sample of patients in the high Eutos score statistical analysis was not feasible but we tried to correlate baseline informations to the outcome. Not all the high Eutos risk patients were in the high Sokal risk group (3 patients were in the high Sokal risk group and 3 were in the intermediate one) none was in the low Sokal risk group. All but one patients in the high risk Eutos score were treated with imatinib in early chronic phase of CML. Then we considered the complete cytogenetic response (CCyR) at 18 months, performed through conventional cytogenetic analysis on bone marrow cells by G-banding technique. This has been chosen for the validation of the Eutos score as a solid early surrogate marker of outcome. The overall rate of CCyR was 100% in the low Sokal risk group, 63% in the intermediate Sokal risk group and 69% in the high Sokal risk group; the same type of response was 67% in the low Eutos risk group and 50% in the high Eutos risk group (Table 1). In the high Eutos risk group, 2 patients achieved CCyR, 1 patient achieved MMR, 2 patients did not achieve it and 1 patient was not evaluable. Two patients died because of comorbidities (relapse of colon cancer and cardio-respiratory insufficiency) at 19 and 39 months of follow up. Resistance to imatinib was registered in 17 out of 131 patients (13%) in the low Eutos risk and in 3 out of 6 patients (50%) in the high Eutos risk. In our series of CML patients >75 years, high Eutos score was infrequent (4.38%). Moving from Sokal to Eutos score, patients were largely reallocated as low risk Eutos score. It is not clear whether the low frequency of high risk Eutos might be attributed to a early diagnosis of CML in this subset of patients with age-related comorbidities requiring frequent laboratory exams. In view of the ability to predict CCyR at 18 months, Eutos score validation in the setting of elderly patients with CML could be relevant to clinical practice.Table 1Distribution of patients according Sokal and Eutos scoreN° patients% CCyRSOKALLow risk3100%Intermediate risk9563%High risk3969%EUTOSLow risk13167%High risk650% Disclosures: Russo Rossi: Novartis: Honoraria; Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria. Rosti:Novartis: Consultancy; Bristol Myers Squibb: Consultancy; Novartis: Research Funding; Novartis: Honoraria; Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria.

The EUTOS Score Is Highly Predictive for Clinical Outcome and Survival in Asian Patients with Early Chronic Phase Chronic Myeloid Leukemia Treated with Imatinib

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 3758-3758 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hein Than ◽  
Lingyee Kuan ◽  
Chiu Hong Seow ◽  
Wenyun Li ◽  
John C Allen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Myeloid Leukemia ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Chronic Phase ◽  
Cytogenetic Response ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Asian Patients ◽  
Eutos Score

Abstract Abstract 3758 Background: The EUTOS score has been proposed by the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) as a new scoring system which is predictive for 18-month (mth) complete cytogenetic response (CCyR) and 5-year (yr) progression-free survival (PFS) in chronic phase (CP) chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients treated with first-line imatinib (IM) (Hasford et al, Blood 2011). The score is calculated using spleen size and basophil percentage and divides patients into low risk and high risk groups. However the EUTOS score was not validated in two studies, one which determined 8-yr overall survival (OS), PFS, CCyR and major molecular remission (MMR) (Marin et al, J Clin Oncol 2011); and in another which analysed 3-yr event-free survival, transformation-free survival and OS and overall CCyR and MMR (Kantarjian H et al, Blood 2012). Recent reports have suggested that Asian CML patients may have clinical and genetic differences compared to Causcasians, e.g. younger median age at presentation (Au et al, Int J Hem 2009) and genetic polymorphism leading to IM resistance (Pan et al, Nat Med 2012). Although a different disease, splenomegaly was also reported to be less frequent in Chinese patients with myelofibrosis (Xiao et al, Blood 2012). Given these differences, we sought to determine if the EUTOS score was predictive for clinical outcome and survival in Asian CP-CML patients treated with IM. Methods: A retrospective analysis was undertaken of CP-CML patients followed up in our institution from 2000–2012. All patients were treated with IM 400 mg within one year of diagnosis. The rates of 6-mth major cytogenetic response (MCyR), 12-mth CCyR, 18-mth CCyR, 12-mth MMR and 18-mth MMR were evaluated. MMR was defined as BCR-ABL transcript levels ≤ 0.1% by the International Scale. The probability of OS, PFS and failure-free survival (FFS) at 5 and 8 years was also determined. Progression was defined as transformation to accelerated or blast phase (AP/BP) or death from any reason. Failure was defined according to the 2009 ELN criteria or as an increase in dose of IM, change of therapy, transformation to AP/BP or death. Results: A total of 139 patients were included in the analysis. The median age at presentation of CML was 45 yrs (range 16–88) with 64% Chinese, 17% Malays and 8% Indians. There was 69% in the low risk EUTOS group. Cytogenetic responses were significantly better in the low risk group compared to the high risk group with 6-mth MCyR rates of 82% vs 48% (p<0.001), 12-mth CCyR rates of 68% vs 39% (p=0.008) and 18-mth CCyR rates of 73% vs 36% (p=0.003). MMR rates were also higher in the low risk group at 12 mth (42% vs 14%, p=0.026) and at 18 mth (56% vs 21%, p=0.009). The probability of PFS was significantly higher in the low risk group compared to the high risk group at 5 yrs (93% vs 83%, p=0.032) and at 8 yrs (92% vs 70%, p=0.032). The low risk group also had a significantly higher FFS at 5 yrs (64% vs 20%, p<0.001) and at 8 yrs (61% vs 20%, p<0.001). (Figure 1) There was a trend towards a better overall survival in the low risk group at 5 and 8 yrs but this did not reach statistical significance (95% vs 92% and 94% vs 83% respectively, p=0.084). Conclusion: Our analysis confirms that the EUTOS score is a valid tool in predicting 18-mth CCyR and 5-yr PFS in Asian patients with early CP-CML treated with IM. In addition, we have shown that the EUTOS score was highly predictive for cytogenetic and molecular responses at earlier time points and long-term PFS and FFS. Disclosures: Chuah: Novartis, Bristol Myers-Squibb: Honoraria.

EUTOS Score Predicts Optimal Response To Imatinib According To The Revised ELN Recommendations Better Than Sokal Score: A Study From The “Gruppo Triveneto LMC”

Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 4024-4024
Author(s):  
Mario Tiribelli ◽  
Massimiliano Bonifacio ◽  
Gianni Binotto ◽  
Elisabetta Calistri ◽  
Elena Maino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Cytogenetic Response ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Molecular Response ◽  
Term Outcome ◽  
Long Term Outcome ◽  
Optimal Response ◽  
Sokal Score ◽  
Eutos Score

Abstract Introduction One of the most significant novelty of the revised version of the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) recommendations for the management of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients is that an earlier achievement of complete cytogenetic response (CCyR), at 6 months, and major molecular response (MMR), at 12 months, is regarded as optimal. Moreover, the prognostic value of the depth of molecular response at three months (i.e. BCR-ABL/ABL ratio ≤10%) is recognized. We have previously reported that EUTOS score is able to predict long term outcome of imatinib therapy, and that high-risk patients had a non-statistically significant lower probability to achieve all the cytogenetic and molecular endpoints defined as optimal by 2009 ELN recommendations. Aims and Methods We retrospectively evaluated our cohort of CML patients treated with front-line standard dose imatinib to test the ability of EUTOS and Sokal scores to foresee 2013 ELN-defined optimal response to therapy. A total of 314 consecutive patients treated with imatinib 400 mg daily for early chronic phase CML were analysed. Median age at diagnosis was 57 years (range: 19-85 years). According to the Sokal score there were 133 (42%) low risk, 127 (40%) intermediate risk, 52 (17%) high risk and 2 (1%) unknown risk cases, respectively. The distribution according to the EUTOS score was: 289 patients (92%) in the low-risk and 25 (8%) in the high-risk group. Partial cytogenetic response (PCyR) and CCyR were defined as 1-35% and 0% Ph+ metaphases, respectively; major molecular response (MMR) was defined as BCR-ABL <0.1%IS. For the purposes of this analysis, and as suggested by the ELN experts, we divided patients into low and high risk also according to Sokal score, thus considering low and intermediate risk as one group. Results Considering EUTOS score, at the 3 months timepoint we observed a significant higher rate of optimal molecular response (≤10%) in low risk (76%) compared to high risk (52%, p=0.03) patients, while there was a only trend for cytogenetic response (Ph+ ≤35%) (86% vs 75%, p=0.20). At 6 months, both cytogenetic (CCyR) and molecular (≤1%) optimal responses were higher in the low risk group: 76% vs 46% (p=0.003) and 67% vs 33% (p=0.004), respectively. At 12 months, 58% of low risk patients were in MMR, compared to 41% in the high risk group (p=0.20). Dividing patients according to Sokal score in two groups of intermediate-low (n=260) and high (n=52) risk, we found a significant difference in the rates of cytogenetic response both at 3 (88% vs 72%, p=0.03) and at 6 (79% vs 48%, p=0.0001) months, while no significant differences were seen in molecular response at 3 (76% vs 62% p=0.13), 6 (67% vs 50%, p=0.08) or 12 (56% vs 55%, p=1.00) months. Conclusions Our results suggest that EUTOS score is able to predict optimal response to imatinib, in particular achievement of molecular response at 3 months, a marker of emerging importance in foreseeing long-term outcome, and of CCyR at 6 months, that has been associated with superior progression-free and overall survival. Sokal score predict sensibly cytogenetic responses, but seems less efficacious in identifying patients that will achieve optimal molecular endpoints. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

EUTOS Score Identifies Cases with Poor Outcome in Patients with Early Chronic Phase Chronic Myeloid Leukemia, Though Not Predictive for Optimal Response to Imatinib

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 3778-3778 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Tiribelli ◽  
Massimiliano Bonifacio ◽  
Elisabetta Calistri ◽  
Gianni Binotto ◽  
Elena Maino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Molecular Response ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Optimal Response ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Eutos Score

Abstract Abstract 3778 Introduction. The EUTOS score has recently been developed by the European Leukemia-Net (ELN) to predict the achievement of an 18-month complete cytogenetic response (CCyR) and progression-free survival in imatinib-treated early chronic phase (ECP) chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients. The score uses the percentage of basophils and spleen size to divide patients in 2 groups of low- and high-risk. Since its publication in 2011, however, there have been conflicting reports about the efficacy of EUTOS score. Moreover, scanty data are available on the power of this scoring system to foresee optimal response to imatinib, as defined by ELN recommendations. Aims and Methods. To test the power of EUTOS score in predicting achievement of optimal response to imatinib, as defined by ELN, time to imatinib failure (TTF) and progression-free survival (PFS), we evaluated 265 ECP CML patients treated with front-line standard dose imatinib (400 mg daily) at 5 major hematology centres in the north-eastern area of Italy. Partial cytogenetic response (PCyR) and CCyR were defined as 1–35% and 0% Ph+ metaphases, respectively; major molecular response (MMR) was defined as BCR-ABL <0.1%IS. TTF was measured from the start of imatinib to the date of any of the following events: progression to accelerated or blastic phase, death for any cause at any time, imatinib dose increase (≥ 600 mg/day) for primary or secondary hematologic or cytogenetic resistance. PFS was measured from the start of imatinib to the date of progression to accelerated or blastic phase or death for any cause at any time. Survival probabilities were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by log rank test; differences among variables were evaluated by the Fisher's exact test or by Student's t-distribution. Results. A total of 265 consecutive patients with ECP CML were included in this study. The median age was 55 years (range 19–84), with 149 males and 116 females. The median follow-up was 61 months (range 6–136). The median time from diagnosis to imatinib therapy was 0.7 months (range 0 – 7.6). The distribution according to the EUTOS score was: 248 patients (93.6%) in the low risk group and 17 patients (6.4%) in the high risk group. The “optimal response” endpoints to imatinib (i.e. PCyR at 6th months, CCyR at 12th months and MMR at 18th months) were higher in low-risk patients, but did not achieve statistical significance. Specifically, the values were as following: PCyR 86% vs 67% (p=0.055), CCyR 80% vs 63% (p=0.117) and MMR 61% vs 36% (p=0.126). Cumulative incidence of CCyR was comparable in the two groups (88%% in low-risk and 80% in high risk), but time to CCyR was shorter in low-risk patients (6 months) compared to the one in high-risk patients (9 months) (p=0.048) [figure 1]. More importantly, EUTOS score was able to predict long term response to therapy. Indeed, 59% of patients in the high-risk group experienced imatinib failure, compared to 30% in the low-risk group (p=0.027). Moreover also TTF was significant shorter in the high-risk group [figure 2]. Fifty-three patients in the low-risk group (21%) were switched to 2nd-generation TKIs (29 dasatinib, 22 nilotinib, 1 bosutinib, 1 ponatinib), compared to six (35%) in the high-risk group (4 dasatinib, 2 nilotinib). Also PFS rate was significantly worse in patients with high EUTOS score, with 11/248 events (4%) in the low-risk group and 4/17 (23%) in the high-risk cases (p=0.01) [figure 3]. Conclusions. In our study group, the EUTOS score was predictive for long-term outcome of imatinib therapy, both in terms of treatment failure and of progression-free survival. Taking into consideration the ELN definitions of optimal response, there was a trend toward better cytogenetic and molecular response in low-risk patients; the lack of statistical significance could be due to the relatively small number of high-risk cases. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals Radiomics and MGMT promoter methylation for prognostication of newly diagnosed glioblastoma

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takahiro Sasaki ◽  
Manabu Kinoshita ◽  
Koji Fujita ◽  
Junya Fukai ◽  
Nobuhide Hayashi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Prognostic Score ◽  
Methylation Status ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Newly Diagnosed ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma

Abstract We attempted to establish a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomic model for stratifying prognostic subgroups of newly diagnosed glioblastoma (GBM) patients and predicting O (6)-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase promotor methylation (pMGMT-met) status of the tumor. Preoperative MRI scans from 201 newly diagnosed GBM patients were included in this study. A total of 489 texture features including the first-order feature, second-order features from 162 datasets, and location data from 182 datasets were collected. Supervised principal component analysis was used for prognostication and predictive modeling for pMGMT-met status was performed based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. 22 radiomic features that were correlated with prognosis were used to successfully stratify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups (p = 0.004, Log-rank test). The radiomic high- and low-risk stratification and pMGMT status were independent prognostic factors. As a matter of fact, predictive accuracy of the pMGMT methylation status was 67% when modeled by two significant radiomic features. A significant survival difference was observed among the combined high-risk group, combined intermediate-risk group (this group consists of radiomic low risk and pMGMT-unmet or radiomic high risk and pMGMT-met), and combined low-risk group (p = 0.0003, Log-rank test). Radiomics can be used to build a prognostic score for stratifying high- and low-risk GBM, which was an independent prognostic factor from pMGMT methylation status. On the other hand, predictive accuracy of the pMGMT methylation status by radiomic analysis was insufficient for practical use.

Prognostic Impact of p190 and p210 Co-Expression at Diagnosis in Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) Patients Treated with Imatinib

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 5528-5528 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gioacchino Catania ◽  
Federico Monaco ◽  
Massimo Pini ◽  
Maria Teresa Corsetti ◽  
Michela Salvio ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
In Situ Hybridization ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Fluorescent In Situ Hybridization ◽  
Chronic Phase ◽  
Cytogenetic Response ◽  
Banding Technique ◽  
Prognostic Impact ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Complete Cytogenetic Response

Abstract Background: Expression of p190 BCR-ABL mRNA is generally considered to be confined to patients with acute lymphoid or more rarely myeloid leukemias, whereas p210 BCR-ABL mRNA is the hallmark of CML. In reality it is not uncommon the presence of p190 m-RNA in p210 CML in chronic phase, due to alternative or missplicing1. Its presence seems to have no impact on prognosis in the pre-TKI era, although it may be expression of genomic instability. Aim: Primary object of this study was to investigate if the co-expression might influence the rate of early outcome surrogate endpoints such as such as early complete cytogenetic response in patients treated with imatinib. The secondary endpoint was the evaluation of failure free survival (FFS) measured from the start of imatinib to the date of any of the following events: progression to accelerated or blastic phase, death for any cause and switch to nilotinib/dasatinib for resistance or intolerance. Methods: Were evaluated patients with CML in chronic phase treated with imatinib at our institution. We excluded cases with less than one year of treatment and/or treated with other TKIs or conventional chemotherapy.The fusion transcripts BCR-ABL were evaluated at diagnosis in peripheral blood by NESTED-PCR2 and the cytogenetic response were evaluated in bone marrow cells with G-banding technique and fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH)3. The patients were divided into two groups, "double transcripts" (DT) and "single transcript" (ST). All patients received imatinib 400 mg/die. Results: A total of 56 patients were analyzed. The median age of patients was 58 years (range 28-80 years) and 35 (62%) were male. Twenty patients (36%) were DT and thirty-six (64 %) ST. The distribution according to Sokal score was: 7 (35%), 8 (40%) and 5 (25%) patients for low, intermediate and high risk in the DT, whereas 18 (50%), 15 (42%) and 3 (8%) low, intermediate and high risk in ST, respectively. The complete cytogenetic response at 3 months was achieved in 2 patients with DT and 7 patients with ST (10% vs 19% p 0.35), at 6-month complete cytogenetic response was achieved in 8 patients with DT and 27 patients with ST (40% vs 75% p 0.01) (Table 1). After median follow-up of 1966 days, the FFS was significantly different between the DT and ST (55% vs 5 % p< 0.001) (figure 1), 11 patients in the DT group and 5 patients in ST group had shift to TKI 2¡ generation (55% vs 14% p 0.001) and 4 patients in DT group not achieved complete cytogenetic response. Summary/Conclusion: In our study the co-expression of p190 and p210 BCR-ABL transcripts influences the early cytogenetic response to imatinib and suggesting the need for a larger validation study Reference 1). van Rhee F, Hochhaus A, Lin F, Melo JV, Goldman JM, Cross NC. : "p190 BCR-ABL mRNA is expressed at low levels in p210-positive chronic myeloid and acute lymphoblastic leukemias."Blood. 1996 15;87:5213-7. 2). Hermans A, Selleri L, Gow J, Wiedemann L, Grosveld G: "Molecular analysis of the Philadelphia translocation in chronic myelocytic and acute lymphocytic leukemia." Leukemia 2:628,1988. 3) Landstrom AP, Tefferi A.: "Fluorescent in situ hybridization in the diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment monitoring of chronic myeloid leukaemia".Leuk Lymphoma.2006;47:397-402. Figure 1: Failure Free Survival: Figure 1:. Failure Free Survival: Table 1 : Complete Cytogenetic response: Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

A multi-gene assay to predict long-term mortality in early stage lung adenocarcinoma

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7569-7569
Author(s):  
D. J. Raz ◽  
J. Y. Kim ◽  
M. R. Ray ◽  
D. M. Jablons
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Prognostic Score ◽  
Clinical Stage ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gene Assay ◽  
Long Term Mortality

7569 Background: The likelihood of long-term mortality for patients with early stage lung adenocarcinoma is poorly defined by clinical stage and histopathological findings. Our hypothesis was that a multigene quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay can predict risk of mortality among patients with early stage lung adenocarcinoma. Methods: We identified 65 genes that were previously identified as prognostic for long-term mortality in early stage lung cancer in 3 published microarray studies and 2 PCR-based studies. RNA was extracted from 124 fresh-frozen tumor samples from consecutive patients with completely resected lung adenocarcinoma with at least 3 years of clinical follow-up. 80 samples were randomly assigned to a test group and the remainder assigned to a validation group. Real-time PCR of the 65 identified genes were run on the test set using Taq-man assays. A prediction model was created using a proportional hazards model of normalized gene expression levels using backwards model selection. A model score was calculated for each patient using model coefficients and individual gene expression levels. Patients were defined as high-risk if the model score was greater than the median score. Results: Adequate real-time PCR profiles were identified in all 80 patients. Eighteen genes were included in the final model. The proportion of patients identified as high-risk and low-risk was 52% and 48% percent, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier estimated five-year survival in the low-risk group was 82% and 5% in the high-risk group (P<0.001, log-rank test). Median survival was 22 months in the high-risk group and was not reached in the low-risk group. In multivariate survival analysis, the prognostic score predicted survival independent of tumor stage and size (P<0.001). Prognostic score predicted mortality better than clinical stage, based on model log-likelihood values (P<0.001). Conclusions: This multi- gene assay aids in predicting long-term mortality among patients with surgically resected early stage lung adenocarcinoma. We are currently validating this model in our test set of samples. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

scholarly journals Echocardiography and EuroSCORE II for the stratification of low-gradient severe aortic stenosis and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Fan ◽  
Hong Shen ◽  
Brandon Stacey ◽  
David Zhao ◽  
Robert J. Applegate ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Severe Aortic Stenosis ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Left Ventricular Ejection ◽  
Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽  
Risk Patients

AbstractThe purpose of this study was to explore the utility of echocardiography and the EuroSCORE II in stratifying patients with low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (LG SAS) and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≥ 50%) with or without aortic valve intervention (AVI). The study included 323 patients with LG SAS (aortic valve area ≤ 1.0 cm2 and mean pressure gradient < 40 mmHg). Patients were divided into two groups: a high-risk group (EuroSCORE II ≥ 4%, n = 115) and a low-risk group (EuroSCORE II < 4%, n = 208). Echocardiographic and clinical characteristics were analyzed. All-cause mortality was used as a clinical outcome during mean follow-up of 2 ± 1.3 years. Two-year cumulative survival was significantly lower in the high-risk group than the low-risk patients (62.3% vs. 81.7%, p = 0.001). AVI tended to reduce mortality in the high-risk patients (70% vs. 59%; p = 0.065). It did not significantly reduce mortality in the low-risk patients (82.8% with AVI vs. 81.2%, p = 0.68). Multivariable analysis identified heart failure, renal dysfunction and stroke volume index (SVi) as independent predictors for mortality. The study suggested that individualization of AVI based on risk stratification could be considered in a patient with LG SAS and preserved LVEF.

Short-term risk stratification using CADILLAC risk score in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Satou ◽  
H Kitahara ◽  
K Ishikawa ◽  
T Nakayama ◽  
Y Fujimoto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Adverse Events ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Recurrent Myocardial Infarction ◽  
St Elevation

Abstract Background The recent reperfusion therapy for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has made the length of hospital stay shorter without adverse events. CADILLAC risk score is reportedly one of the risk scores predicting the long-term prognosis in STEMI patients. Purpose To invenstigate the usefulness of CADILLAC risk score for predicting short-term outcomes in STEMI patients. Methods Consecutive patients admitted to our university hospital and our medical center with STEMI (excluding shock, arrest case) who underwent primary PCI between January 2012 and April 2018 (n=387) were enrolled in this study. The patients were classified into 3 groups according to the CADILLAC risk score: low risk (n=176), intermediate risk (n=87), and high risk (n=124). Data on adverse events within 30 days after hospitalization, including in-hospital death, sustained ventricular arrhythmia, recurrent myocardial infarction, heart failure requiring intravenous treatment, stroke, or clinical hemorrhage, were collected. Results In the low risk group, adverse events within 30 days were significantly less observed, compared to the intermediate and high risk groups (n=13, 7.4% vs. n=13, 14.9% vs. n=58, 46.8%, p&lt;0.001). In particular, all adverse events occurred within 3 days in the low risk group, although adverse events, such as heart failure (n=4), recurrent myocardial infarction (n=1), stroke (n=1), and gastrointestinal bleeding (n=1), were substantially observed after day 4 of hospitalization in the intermediate and high risk groups. Conclusions In STEMI patients with low CADILLAC risk score, better short-term prognosis was observed compared to the intermediate and high risk groups, and all adverse events occurred within 3 days of hospitalization, suggesting that discharge at day 4 might be safe in this study population. CADILLAC risk score may help stratify patient risk for short-term prognosis and adjust management of STEMI patients. Initial event occurrence timing Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

scholarly journals SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in Healthcare Workers in Germany: A Follow-Up Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 4540
Author(s):  
Johannes Korth ◽  
Benjamin Wilde ◽  
Sebastian Dolff ◽  
Jasmin Frisch ◽  
Michael Jahn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Healthcare Workers ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Close Contact ◽  
Virus Transmission ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Igg Antibody

SARS-CoV-2 is a worldwide challenge for the medical sector. Healthcare workers (HCW) are a cohort vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection due to frequent and close contact with COVID-19 patients. However, they are also well trained and equipped with protective gear. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody status was assessed at three different time points in 450 HCW of the University Hospital Essen in Germany. HCW were stratified according to contact frequencies with COVID-19 patients in (I) a high-risk group with daily contacts with known COVID-19 patients (n = 338), (II) an intermediate-risk group with daily contacts with non-COVID-19 patients (n = 78), and (III) a low-risk group without patient contacts (n = 34). The overall seroprevalence increased from 2.2% in March–May to 4.0% in June–July to 5.1% in October–December. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection rate was not significantly different between the high-risk group (1.8%; 3.8%; 5.5%), the intermediate-risk group (5.1%; 6.3%; 6.1%), and the low-risk group (0%, 0%, 0%). The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence remained low in HCW in western Germany one year after the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, and hygiene standards seemed to be effective in preventing patient-to-staff virus transmission.

scholarly journals Sernbo score predicts survival after intracapsular hip fracture in the elderly

2013 ◽  
Vol 95 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
EJC Dawe ◽  
E Lindisfarne ◽  
T Singh ◽  
I McFadyen ◽  
P Stott
Keyword(s):  
Hip Fracture ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Social Situation ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Intracapsular Hip Fracture ◽  
The Mean

Introduction The Sernbo score uses four factors (age, social situation, mobility and mental state) to divide patients into a high-risk and a low-risk group. This study sought to assess the use of the Sernbo score in predicting mortality after an intracapsular hip fracture. Methods A total of 259 patients with displaced intracapsular hip fractures were included in the study. Data from prospectively generated databases provided 22 descriptive variables for each patient. These included operative management, blood tests and co-mobidities. Multivariate analysis was used to identify significant predictors of mortality. Results The mean patient age was 85 years and the mean follow-up duration was 1.5 years. The one-year survival rate was 92% (±0.03) in the low-risk group and 65% (±0.046) in the high-risk group. Four variables predicted mortality: Sernbo score >15 (p=0.0023), blood creatinine (p=0.0026), ASA (American Society of Anaesthesiologists) grade >3 (p=0.0038) and non-operative treatment (p=0.0377). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed the Sernbo score as the only predictor of 30-day mortality (area under curve 0.71 [0.65–0.76]). The score had a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 51% for prediction of death at 30 days. Conclusions The Sernbo score identifies patients at high risk of death in the 30 days following injury. This very simple score could be used to direct extra early multidisciplinary input to high-risk patients on admission with an intracapsular hip fracture.

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