Esophageal cancer gender disparity.
47 Background: Over the past thirty years, esophageal cancer (EC) incidence has been increasing more rapidly than any other solid neoplasm in the Western world. Globally, there is a large male predominance in both esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The reasons for this gender difference and the possible role of estrogen are unclear. We conducted an analytical epidemiological study to determine if estrogen exposure explains the male predominance in observed esophageal cancer incidence. Methods: We evaluated the SEER cancer incidence and trends from 1975 to 2008 using SEER Stat to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) in each ten-year age group and in EAC and ESCC by gender. Results: Male predominance in incidence rates of EC was most evident in the younger group and those with EAC histology. The rate of increase for EAC incidence in post menopausal females is greater than in any other demographic category. This increasing incidence rate in the post menopausal female was also observed in the ESCC, but to a lesser extent. The APC was negative (-1.5) between 1975-2008 only in the 50-64 age female group. The negative APC in the female 50-64 years age group may be due to the increased use of exogenous hormonal therapy since 1975 for this age group. Interestingly, the APC was positive (increasing) in the 65+ age females. Conclusions: Using age as a proxy for estrogen exposure, our findings suggest a hormonal reason for the observed age-related, declining male to female EC incidence rate ratios. It also confirms gender differences in incidence long observed in EC and suggests that estrogen may serve as a preventative agent against EC. Moreover, this protective role of estrogen may dissipate with time if post menopausal estrogen use is discontinued. We have initiated a subset analysis of the nine individual SEER sites’ database to confirm the above findings by location and plan to further assess the relationship of both endogenous and exogenous estrogen via hormonal therapy use in EC incidence in the Women’s Health Initiative cohort. Our epidemiological observation of gender-age differences warrants translation into a molecular study with the use of sophisticated biomarkers to establish the seemingly protective role of estrogen in esophageal cancer.