Perioperative calculator to predict complications for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma resection.

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 446-446
Author(s):  
Katherine Ostapoff ◽  
Kristopher Attwood ◽  
Sergei Kurenov ◽  
Boris W. Kuvshinoff ◽  
Steven N. Hochwald ◽  
...  

446 Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cancer worldwide, but few patients are optimal surgical candidates due to liver disease. Current prediction models (Childs-Pugh and MELD) poorly estimate serious morbidity risks for those patients considering resection. Methods: Using ACS-NSQIP database, patients with HCC were selected from 2006-2013. Patients included had a curative resection (partial hepatectomy or formal lobectomy) and were excluded if they had emergency surgery or disseminated cancer. Outcomes included 30 day morbidity and serious morbidity. Data was randomly divided into testing (n=1764) and validation (n=441) cohorts. Regression analyses of the testing cohorts were used to construct prediction models, then optimized using the validation cohort. Results: We identified 2,205 patients. Major morbidity or serious morbidity occurred in 34% (n=745) and 21% (n=456). Patient demographics are shown in Table 1. Factors significant for morbidity include age, surgical procedure, BMI, ASA class, hypertension, alkaline phosphatase (AP), bilirubin (Bili), BUN, AST, albumin and MELD score. Factors included in risk score for morbidity included MELD, ASA class, surgical procedure, platelet count, smoking and AP. The model predicts morbidity AUC 0.616 vs 0.597 for model and validation cohort respectively. Factors significant for serious morbidity included age, race, procedure, BMI, diabetes, ASA class, hypertension, AP, Bili, AST and albumin. Serious morbidity score included MELD, surgical procedure, platelet count, diabetes and AST. The model predicts serious morbidity AUC 0.566 vs 0.592 for model and validation cohort respectively. Conclusions: Our calculator predicts morbidity based on surgical procedure for patients undergoing HCC curative intent surgery. Risk prediction can assist in appropriately selecting patients for surgical vs medial therapy. [Table: see text]

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dabing Huang ◽  
Yinan Shen ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Chengxiang Guo ◽  
Tingbo Liang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Although criteria for liver transplantation, such as the Milan criteria and Hangzhou experiences, have become popular, criteria to guide adjuvant therapy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation are lacking. Methods We collected data from all consecutive patients from 2012 to 2019 at three liver transplantation centers in China retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze preoperative parameters, such as demographic and clinical data. Using data obtained in our center, calibration curves and the concordance Harrell’s C-indices were used to establish the final model. The validation cohort comprised the patients from the other centers. Results Data from 233 patients were used to construct the nomogram. The validation cohort comprised 36 patients. Independent predictors of overall survival (OS) were identified as HbeAg positive (P = 0.044), blood-type compatibility unmatched (P = 0.034), liver transplantation criteria (P = 0.003), and high MELD score (P = 0.037). For the validation cohort, to predict OS, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.874. Based on the model, patients could be assigned into low-risk (≥ 50%), intermediate-risk (30–50%), and high-risk (≤ 30%) groups to guide adjuvant therapy after surgery and to facilitate personalized management. Conclusions The OS in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation could be accurately predicted using the developed nomogram.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 289-289
Author(s):  
Kit Man Wong ◽  
Jonghun John Lee ◽  
Amy Wong ◽  
Geoffrey Liu ◽  
Morris Sherman ◽  
...  

289 Background: Studies have demonstrated clinical differences in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between Asians (AS) and non-Asians (NAS). In the US, AS are less likely to undergo liver transplant compared to Caucasians. Despite the large immigrant population in Canada, there has been no prior comparison of HCC in AS and NAS in the context of the Canadian universal health care system. We retrospectively evaluated the ethnic differences in HCC at the largest cancer centre in Canada. Methods: We analyzed 268 patients who enrolled in a Genetic Epidemiology Study of HCC (April 2010 to February 2013), where patients were asked to complete a questionnaire and give a blood sample at their first visit. Relevant clinical data were extracted and analyzed by descriptive statistics, t-test or Chi-square test. Results: The study population had a mean age of 61 years and 83% males. There were 45% AS, 49% Caucasians, and 6% other ethnicities. Etiologies of HCC included: Hepatitis B (HBV) 34%, Hepatitis C (HCV) 32%, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis 15%, alcohol 18%. Compared to NAS, HCC patients of Asian ancestry had significantly higher rates of HBV (60% vs. 12%, p<0.001). At diagnosis, 83% of patients were Child-Pugh A (mean MELD score 9.2). Ethnicity had no impact on Child-Pugh class, multifocal disease or macrovascular invasion. However, MELD scores were lower in AS (p=0.02). Overall, 71% of cases were initially treated with curative intent. Patients underwent various treatment modalities: liver transplant 13%, resection 31%, radiofrequency ablation 39%, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) 21%, radiation 17%, systemic therapy 27%. AS had higher resection rates (41% vs. 22%, p<0.001), while no differences were observed for other treatments. Duration of response was 11.7 months for TACE (AS 14.2, NAS 10.5), 7.5 months for sorafenib (AS 6.8, NAS 8.1). Rate of intolerance to sorafenib was 24% (AS 27%, NAS 22%, p=0.63). This analysis was limited by inherent bias in the selection of study patients. Conclusions: AS with HCC tend to have HBV and lower MELD scores, and to undergo resection in a public health care setting with no differences in the uptake of other therapies. An analysis of survival based on ethnicity will be reported.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 5864
Author(s):  
Qiang Wang ◽  
Changfeng Li ◽  
Jiaxing Zhang ◽  
Xiaojun Hu ◽  
Yingfang Fan ◽  
...  

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) is of importance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient treatment management. Plenty of radiomics models for MVI prediction have been proposed. This study aimed to elucidate the role of radiomics models in the prediction of MVI and to evaluate their methodological quality. The methodological quality was assessed by the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS), and the risk of bias was evaluated by the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2). Twenty-two studies using CT, MRI, or PET/CT for MVI prediction were included. All were retrospective studies, and only two had an external validation cohort. The AUC values of the prediction models ranged from 0.69 to 0.94 in the test cohort. Substantial methodological heterogeneity existed, and the methodological quality was low, with an average RQS score of 10 (28% of the total). Most studies demonstrated a low or unclear risk of bias in the domains of QUADAS-2. In conclusion, a radiomics model could be an accurate and effective tool for MVI prediction in HCC patients, although the methodological quality has so far been insufficient. Future prospective studies with an external validation cohort in accordance with a standardized radiomics workflow are expected to supply a reliable model that translates into clinical utilization.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dabing Huang ◽  
Yinan Shen ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Chengxiang Guo ◽  
Xueli Bai ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Although criteria for liver transplantation, such as the Milan criteria and Hangzhou experiences, have become popular, criteria to guide adjuvant therapy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation are lacking. Methods We collected data from all consecutive patients from 2012 to 2019 at three liver transplantation centers in China retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze preoperative parameters, such as demographic and clinical data. Using data obtained in our center, calibration curves and the concordance Harrell’s C-indices were used to establish the final model. The validation cohort comprised the patients from the other centers. Results Data from 233 patients were used to construct the nomogram. The validation cohort comprised 36 patients. Independent predictors of overall survival (OS) were identified as HbeAg positive (P = 0.044), blood-type compatibility unmatched (P = 0.034), liver transplantation criteria (P = 0.003), and high MELD score (P = 0.037). For the validation cohort, to predict OS, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.874. Based on the model, patients could be assigned into low-risk (≥ 50%), intermediate-risk (30–50%), and high-risk (≤ 30%) groups to guide adjuvant therapy after surgery and to facilitate personalized management. Conclusions The OS in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation could be accurately predicted using the developed nomogram.


2015 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 301-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiannan Yao ◽  
Li Zuo ◽  
Guangyu An ◽  
Zhendong Yue ◽  
Hongwei Zhao ◽  
...  

Aims: This study aimed at assessing the risk factors for hepatic encephalopathy (HE) after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and portal hypertension. Method: Consecutive patients (n=279) with primary HCC who underwent TIPS between January 1997 and March 2012 at a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were followed up for 2 years. Pre-TIPS, peri-TIPS and post-TIPS clinical variables were reviewed using univariate and multivariate analyses to identify risk factors for HE after TIPS. Results: The overall incidence of HE was 41% (114/279). Multivariate analysis showed an increased odds for HE in patients with: >3 treatments with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and/or trans-arterial embolization (TAE) (odds ratio [OR], 4.078; 95% confidence interval [95%CI], 1.748-9.515); hepatopetal portal flow (OR, 2.362; 95%CI, 1.032-5.404); high portosystemic pressure gradient (OR, 1.198; 95%CI, 1.073-1.336) and high pre-TIPS MELD score (OR, 1.693; 95%CI, 1.390-2.062). Odds for HE were increased 1.693 fold for each 1-point increase in the MELD score, and 1.198 fold for each 1-mmHg decrease in the post-TIPS portosystemic pressure gradient. Conclusion: The identification of clinical variables associated with increased odds of HE may be useful for the selection of appropriate candidates for TIPS. Results suggest that an inappropriate decrease in the portosystemic pressure gradient might be associated with HE after TIPS. In addition, >3 treatments with TACE/TAE, hepatopetal portal flow, and high MELD score were also associated with increased odds of HE after TIPS. Key words:  –  –  – .


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 785-798 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yigan Zhang ◽  
Huaze Xi ◽  
Xin Nie ◽  
Peng Zhang ◽  
Ning Lan ◽  
...  

Objective: Our study aims to detect the sensitivity of the new biomarker miR-212 existing in serum exosomes along with other hepatocellular carcinoma biomarkers such as AFP (alpha-fetoprotein), CA125 (carbohydrate antigen-ca125), and Hbx protein in the diagnosis of HBV-related liver diseases. We also aim to study the roles of these biomarkers in the progression of chronic hepatitis B and provide scientific data to show the clinical value of these biomarkers. Methods: We selected 200 patients with HBV-infection (58 cases of chronic hepatitis B, 47 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma, 30 cases of compensatory phase cirrhosis, and 65 cases of decompensatory phase cirrhosis), 31 patients with primary liver cancer without HBV infection, and 70 healthy individuals as the control group. The expression level of serum AFP and CA125 was detected with electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. The expression level of the Hbx protein was detected with ELISA. Meanwhile, the expression level of miR-212 in serum was analyzed with RT-qPCR. We collected patients’ clinical information following the Child-Pugh classification and MELD score criterion, and statistical analysis was made between the expression level of miR-212 and the collected clinical indexes. Lastly, we predicted the target genes of the miR-212 and its functions using bioinformatics methods such as cluster analysis and survival prediction. Results: Compared to the control group, the expression level of miR-212 in HBV infected patients was remarkably increased (P<0.05), especially between the HBV-infection Hepatocellular carcinoma group and the non-HBVinfection liver cancer group (P<0.05). The expression of miR-212 was increased in patients’ Child-Pugh classification, MELD score, and TNM staging. Moreover, the sensitivity and specificity of miR-212 were superior to AFP, CA125, and HBx protein. Conclusion: There is a linear relationship between disease progression and expression level of miR-212 in the serum of HBV infected patients. This demonstrates that miR-212 plays a significant role in liver diseases. miR-212 is expected to be a new biomarker used for the diagnosis and assessment of patients with HBV-infection-related liver diseases.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.P. Alves ◽  
A.C. Mamede ◽  
M.G. Alves ◽  
P.F. Oliveira ◽  
S.M. Rocha ◽  
...  

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequently detected primary malignant liver tumor, representing a worldwide public health problem due to its high morbidity and mortality rates. The HCC is commonly detected in advanced stage, precluding the use of treatments with curative intent. For this reason, it is crucial to find effective therapies for HCC. Cancer cells have a high dependence of glycolysis for ATP production, especially under hypoxic environment. Such dependence provides a reliable possible strategy to specifically target cancer cells based on the inhibition of glycolysis. HCC, such as other cancer types, presents a clinically well-known upregulation of several glycolytic key enzymes and proteins, including glucose transporters particularly glucose transporter 1 (GLUT1). Such enzymes and proteins constitute potential targets for therapy. Indeed, for some of these targets, several inhibitors were already reported, such as 2-Deoxyglucose, Imatinib or Flavonoids. Although the inhibition of glycolysis presents a great potential for an anticancer therapy, the development of glycolytic inhibitors as a new class of anticancer agents needs to be more explored. Herein, we propose to summarize, discuss and present an overview on the different approaches to inhibit the glycolytic metabolism in cancer cells, which may be very effective in the treatment of HCC.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongdong Zhou ◽  
Xiaoli Liu ◽  
Xinhui Wang ◽  
Fengna Yan ◽  
Peng Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) (< 8.78 ng/mL) have special clinicopathologic characteristics and prognosis. The aim of this study was to apply a new method to establish and validate a new model for predicting the prognosis of patients with AFP-NHCC. Methods A total of 410 AFP-negative patients with clinical diagnosed with HCC following non-surgical therapy as a primary cohort; 148 patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy as an independent validation cohort. In primary cohort, independent factors for overall survival (OS) by LASSO Cox regression were all contained into the nomogram1; by Forward Stepwise Cox regression were all contained into the nomogram2. Nomograms performance and discriminative power were assessed with concordance index (C-index) values, area under curve (AUC), Calibration curve and decision curve analyses (DCA). The results were validated in the validation cohort. Results The C-index of nomogram1was 0.708 (95%CI: 0.673–0.743), which was superior to nomogram2 (0.706) and traditional modes (0.606–0.629). The AUC of nomogram1 was 0.736 (95%CI: 0.690–0.778). In the validation cohort, the nomogram1 still gave good discrimination (C-index: 0.752, 95%CI: 0.691–0.813; AUC: 0.784, 95%CI: 0.709–0.847). The calibration curve for probability of OS showed good homogeneity between prediction by nomogram1 and actual observation. DCA demonstrated that nomogram1 was clinically useful. Moreover, patients were divided into three distinct risk groups for OS by the nomogram1: low-risk group, middle-risk group and high-risk group, respectively. Conclusions Novel nomogram based on LASSO Cox regression presents more accurate and useful prognostic prediction for patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy. This model could help patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy facilitate a personalized prognostic evaluation.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2499
Author(s):  
Lisanne Noordam ◽  
Zhouhong Ge ◽  
Hadiye Özturk ◽  
Michail Doukas ◽  
Shanta Mancham ◽  
...  

High recurrence rates after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with curative intent impair clinical outcomes of HCC. Cancer/testis antigens (CTAs) are suitable targets for cancer immunotherapy if selectively expressed in tumor cells. The aims were to identify CTAs that are frequently and selectively expressed in HCC-tumors, and to investigate whether CTAs could serve as biomarkers for occult metastasis. Tumor and paired tumor-free liver (TFL) tissues of HCC-patients and healthy tissues were assessed for mRNA expression of 49 CTAs by RT-qPCR and protein expression of five CTAs by immunohistochemistry. Twelve CTA-mRNAs were expressed in ≥10% of HCC-tumors and not in healthy tissues except testis. In tumors, mRNA and protein of ≥ 1 CTA was expressed in 78% and 71% of HCC-patients, respectively. In TFL, CTA mRNA and protein was found in 45% and 30% of HCC-patients, respectively. Interestingly, CTA-expression in TFL was an independent negative prognostic factor for post-resection HCC-recurrence and survival. We established a panel of 12 testis-restricted CTAs expressed in tumors of most HCC-patients. The increased risk of HCC-recurrence in patients with CTA expression in TFL, suggests that CTA-expressing (pre-)malignant cells may be a source of HCC-recurrence, reflecting the relevance of targeting these to prevent HCC-recurrence.


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