Spring wheat productivity forecasting in the forest steppe zone of Volga by least squares method

10.12737/2167 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 92-98
Author(s):  
Аввакумов ◽  
Oleg Avvakumov
Keyword(s):  
Soil Fertility ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Steppe Zone ◽  
Soil Parameters ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Phosphorus And Potassium

The efficient use of arable land is based on the prediction of crop yields. In extensive farming system the productivity forecasting was carried out by scores of soil fertility, where the level of soil fertility was associated with soil type, and crop yields depended on the leading basic and sustained properties - humus content, cation-exchange capacity, particle size distribution. The system of intensive farming is based on the use of mineral and organic fertilizers. The leading factor in the formation of crop yield is the soil security by mobile soil nutrients on the background of optimal soil parameters. Nowadays, crop yield forecasting is made with the use of the available to plants macro nutrition content. The article presents the results of spring wheat yield prognosis in the Laishevo municipal district with the use of MatLab (matrix operations). The matrix was made according to the data over the last 43 years, it’s moving averages with steps of 11 and 22 years, the content of mobile phosphorus and potassium, determined by the method of Kirsanov. The predictive ability is confirmed by correlation analysis, for the actual number of crop coefficients of correlation with phosphorus and potassium are 0.52 and 0.61, respectively, for the moving average yields are equal to 0.94 and 0.95. A comparison of the actual spring wheat yield (УФ) with the calculated data (the model 1 and the model 2) shows the average deviation of 30%. Similar calculations for the derived series of the moving average of crop yield for the step length of 11 years gives a marked decrease in the deviation of 5-6 %. This convergence of data with the calculated У11 (the model 1 and the model 2, in the left part of the table) indicates for the elimination of weather factor for У11, which influences the overall level of productivity of spring wheat in the forest-steppe zone. The conclusion of the article is the inclusion of agro-climatic conditions (precipitation and temperature) for further calculation of crop yields forecasting.

scholarly journals Crop Yield and Soil Fertility Status of Long-Term Rice-Rice-Wheat Cropping Systems

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-50
Author(s):  
Nabin Rawal ◽  
Rajan Ghimire ◽  
Devraj Chalise
Keyword(s):  
Soil Fertility ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Oryza Sativa L ◽  
Farmyard Manure ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Nutrient Supply ◽  
Available Phosphorus

Balanced nutrient supply is important for the sustainable crop production. We evaluated the effects of nutrient management practices on soil properties and crop yields in rice (Oryza sativa L.) - rice - wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) system in a long-term experiment established at National Wheat Research Program (NWRP), Bhairahawa, Nepal. The experiment was designed as a randomized complete block experiment with nine treatments and three replications. Treatments were applied as: T1- no nutrients added, T2- N added; T3- N and P added; T4- N and K added; T5- NPK added at recommended rate for all crops. Similarly, T6- only N added in rice and NPK in wheat at recommended rate; T7- half N; T8- half NP of recommended rate for both crops; and T9- farmyard manure (FYM) @10 Mg ha-1 for all crops in rotation. Results of the study revealed that rice and wheat yields were significantly greater under FYM than all other treatments. Treatments that did not receive P (T2, T3, T7, T8) and K (T2, T4) had considerably low wheat yield than treatments that received NPK (T5) and FYM (T9). The FYM lowered soil pH and improved soil organic matter (SOM), total nitrogen (TN), available phosphorus (P), and exchangeable potassium (K) contents than other treatments. Management practices that ensure nutrient supply can increase crop yield and improve soil fertility status.Int. J. Appl. Sci. Biotechnol. Vol 5(1): 42-50

Analyzing Temperature and Precipitation Influences on Yield Distributions of Canola and Spring Wheat in Saskatchewan

2017 ◽  
Vol 56 (4) ◽  
pp. 897-913 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Meng ◽  
Richard Carew ◽  
Wojciech J. Florkowski ◽  
Anna M. Klepacka
Keyword(s):  
Crop Yield ◽  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Growth Stages ◽  
Yield Distribution ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe IPCC indicates that global mean temperature increases of 2°C or more above preindustrial levels negatively affect such crops as wheat. Canadian climate model projections show warmer temperatures and variable rainfall will likely affect Saskatchewan’s canola and spring wheat production. Drier weather will have the greatest impact. The major climate change challenges will be summer water availability, greater drought frequencies, and crop adaptation. This study investigates the impact of precipitation and temperature changes on canola and spring wheat yield distributions using Environment Canada weather data and Statistics Canada crop yield and planted area for 20 crop districts over the 1987–2010 period. The moment-based methods (full- and partial-moment-based approaches) are employed to characterize and estimate asymmetric relationships between climate variables and the higher-order moments of crop yields. A stochastic production function and the focus on crop yield’s elasticity imply choosing the natural logarithm function as the mean function transformation prior to higher-moment function estimation. Results show that average crop yields are positively associated with the growing season degree-days and pregrowing season precipitation, while they are negatively affected by extremely high temperatures in the growing season. The climate measures have asymmetric effects on the higher moments of crop yield distribution along with stronger effects of changing temperatures than precipitation on yield distribution. Higher temperatures tend to decrease wheat yields, confirming earlier Saskatchewan studies. This study finds pregrowing season precipitation and precipitation in the early plant growth stages particularly relevant in providing opportunities to develop new crop varieties and agronomic practices to mitigate climate changes.

Combining agronomic practices and herbicides improves weed management in wheat–canola rotations within zero-tillage production systems

Weed Science ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 528-535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert E. Blackshaw ◽  
Hugh J. Beckie ◽  
Louis J. Molnar ◽  
Toby Entz ◽  
James R. Moyer
Keyword(s):  
Crop Yield ◽  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Weed Management ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Integrated Weed Management ◽  
Weed Biomass ◽  
Weed Growth ◽  
Spring Canola ◽  
Crop Seed

Development of more comprehensive and cost-effective integrated weed management systems is required to facilitate greater integrated weed management adoption by farmers. A field experiment was conducted at two locations to determine the combined effects of seed date (April or May), seed rate (recommended or 150% of recommended), fertilizer timing (applied in fall or spring), and in-crop herbicide dose (50% or 100% of recommended) on weed growth and crop yield. This factorial set of treatments was applied in four consecutive years within a spring wheat–spring canola–spring wheat–spring canola rotation in a zero-till production system. Both wheat and canola phases of the rotation were grown each year. Weed biomass was often lower with May than with April seeding because more weeds were controlled with preplant glyphosate. However, despite fewer weeds being present with May seeding, wheat yield was only greater in 1 of 7 site-years, and canola yield was never greater with May compared with April seeding. Higher crop seed rates had a consistently positive effect on reducing weed growth and the weed seedbank. Crop yield was sometimes greater, and never lower, with higher seed rates. Fertilizer timing did not have a large effect on crop yield, but applying N in the spring compared with fall was less favorable for weeds as indicated by lower weed biomass and a 20% decrease in the weed seedbank. In-crop herbicides applied at 50% compared with 100% doses often resulted in similar weed biomass and crop yield, especially when higher crop seed rates were used. Indeed, the weed seedbank at the conclusion of the 4-yr experiment was not greater with the 50% compared with 100% herbicide dose at one of two locations. This study demonstrates the combined merits of early seeding (April), higher crop seed rates, and spring-applied fertilizer in conjunction with timely but limited herbicide use to manage weeds and maintain high crop yields in rotations containing wheat and canola.

scholarly journals Effects of Full Straw Incorporation on Soil Fertility and Crop Yield in Rice-Wheat Rotation for Silty Clay Loamy Cropland

Agronomy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinlin Zhao ◽  
Guoyin Yuan ◽  
Huoyan Wang ◽  
Dianjun Lu ◽  
Xiaoqin Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Fertility ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Oryza Sativa L ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Soil Layer ◽  
Silty Clay ◽  
Available Nitrogen ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Straw Incorporation

This 2-year field experiment investigated the effects of full straw incorporation on soil fertility and crop yield in a rice-wheat (Oryza sativa L.–Triticum aestivum L.) rotation on sandy, loamy soil. Two treatments were tested: (i) straw removal (CK) and (ii) straw incorporation (STR). The STR significantly increased the wheat yield by an average of 58% compared with CK; however, no significant difference was found in the rice yield. Soil available nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium in the 0–20 cm soil layer increased by more than 15% with STR compared to CK. The soil cation exchange capacity and organic carbon in the 0–20 cm soil layer increased by 8% and 22%, for STR compared to CK, respectively. Straw incorporation significantly elevated the soil saturated water content but decreased the soil bulk density compared with CK. Soil aggregates >2 mm were significantly increased after straw return. STR also notably increased the soil urease, invertase, and catalase activities in the 0–15 cm soil layer by 11.4%, 41.0%, and 12.9%, respectively, and the soil microbial carbon and nitrogen contents in the 0–20 cm soil layer by 59% and 54%. Therefore, full straw incorporation could significantly improve soil fertility and maintain crop yields for the study area.

scholarly journals ECONOMY OF OBTAINING PLANNED SPRING WHEAT YIELDS ON AROUND CHERNOZEM DUE TO MINERAL FERTILIZER

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-14
Author(s):  
Diana Eremina ◽  
Oksana Demina
Keyword(s):  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Mineral Nutrition ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Mineral Fertilizer ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Steppe Zone ◽  
Mineral Fertilizers ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
The Urals ◽  
3.0 T

In modern conditions of agricultural intensification, the use of a scientifically based fertilizer system becomes extremely necessary. It is she who will allow you to get economically viable crop yields. Studies to obtain the planned yield with the introduction of increasing doses of mineral fertilizers were carried out in 2018-2020 in the forest-steppe zone of the Urals. The soil is old leached chernozem. Experiment scheme: control (without fertilization); application of mineral fertilizers to the planned yield: by 3.0 t/ha of grain N40 P75; 4.0 t/ha - N95P110; 5.0 t/ha - N150P200 and 6.0 t/ha - N185P160 kg of active ingredient. On average, over the years of research, the planned yield of spring wheat was achieved. The cost of growing spring wheat without mineral fertilizers amounted to 16850 rubles/ha. The introduction of mineral fertilizers for the planned harvests increases costs up to 34200 rubles/ha. Such high costs are explained by the use of phosphate fertilizers, whose price is twice as high as ammonium nitrate. In the structure of costs for obtaining a yield of 3.0 t/ha of grain, the share of mineral fertilizers accounts for 17 %. A further increase in the level of mineral nutrition through fertilizers increases the share of fertilizer costs up to 45 %. The profit from the sale of grain on the option with NPK of 6.0 t/ha of grain reached 27400 with a profitability of 80 %. On the control, the corresponding indicators were 5150 rubles/ha and 31 %. The optimal and economically justified is the level of mineral nutrition, providing 4.0 t/ha of spring wheat grain. A further increase in the agricultural background is associated with a risk due to the peculiarities of weather conditions in the forest-steppe zone of the Urals

scholarly journals Root rot in new cultivars of spring wheat depending on sowing dates

2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-46
Author(s):  
A. A. Razina ◽  
F. S. Sultanov ◽  
О. G. Dyatlova
Keyword(s):  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Root Rot ◽  
Control Level ◽  
Steppe Zone ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Summer Drought ◽  
Wheat Cultivars ◽  
Yield Increase ◽  
Sowing Dates ◽  
New Cultivars

The results of studying resistance of mid-ripening spring wheat cultivars to root rot in the forest-steppe zone of Irkutsk region are presented. The study was conducted in a two-factor field experiment. Factor A – mid-ripening spring wheat cultivars: Tulunskaya 11 (control), Zoryana, Маrsianka, Stolypinka (new cultivars). Factor B – seeding dates: May 10, 20, 30, preceded by fallow. The experimental plot area was 70.0 m2. The experiment was repeated three times. Plot arrangement was randomized. Root rot prevalence was determined during the tillering phase of the crop. In 2018, the sowing dates did not affect the disease due to the long spring-summer drought (May-June) and a higher average daily temperature compared to long-term average values. In arid and cold conditions of May 2019, with the late sowing period (May 30), root rot prevalence was significantly lower than when sowing on May 10 and 20. In 2019, a higher level of the disease was registered than in 2018 by 14.3%. Significant differences in root rot prevalence in both years of research were noted between the control cultivar Tulunskaya 11 and the new cultivars of spring wheat Zoryana and Stolypinka. In the tillering phase of the latter two, disease indicators were lower by 5.6% and 10.5% in 2018, and by 8.8% and 7.9% in 2019, respectively. Маrsianka cultivar was at the control level for this indicator. The best cultivar under study was Stolypinka, which was not only less affected by root rot, but also gave a statistically significant yield increase of 0.16 t/ ha in 2018 and 0.22 t/ha in 2019.

scholarly journals The influence of mineral fertilizers on the mass of plant-root residues of grain crops on chernozem soils of the Western Siberia

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 03007
Author(s):  
D.V. Eremina
Keyword(s):  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Mineral Nutrition ◽  
Western Siberia ◽  
Plant Root ◽  
Steppe Zone ◽  
Soil Science ◽  
Mineral Fertilizers ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Grain Crops ◽  
Chernozem Soils

The influence of various levels of mineral nutrition on the accumulation of plant-root residues of spring wheat and oats in the conditions of the forest-steppe zone of Western Siberia is studied. The natural agricultural background of leached chernozem was taken as a control. The research was carried out at the station of the Department of Soil Science and Agrochemistry of the State Agrarian University of the Northern Trans-Urals. In the experiment, various doses of mineral fertilizers were used, ensuring the yield of grain crops from 3.0 to 6.0 t/ha. It was found that the mass of plant-root residues of spring wheat and oats has no significant differences and depends on the level of mineral nutrition. On the natural agricultural background, the mass of plant-root residues is 3.24-3.88 t/ha. Fertilization increases the yield of grain crops to 6.0 t/ha, and also increases the amount of plant-root residues: spring wheat - 4.47; oats – 6.04 t/ha. Increasing the doses of mineral fertilizers reduces the ratio of yield to the mass of plant-root residues from 1:1.6 to 1:1.10 units. It was found that almost half of the root system of spring wheat and oats is located in a layer of 0-10 cm, while the share of roots in a layer of 30-40 cm accounts for no more than 16% of the mass.

SECURITY OF MACRONUTRIENTS SUPPLY AND FORECASTING OF SPRING WHEAT PRODUCTIVITY IN THE REPUBLIC OF TATARSTAN

10.12737/7743 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 120-123
Author(s):  
Давлятшин ◽  
Ilfrit Davlyatshin ◽  
Лукманов ◽  
Anas Lukmanov ◽  
Аввакумов ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Organic Fertilizers ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Good Tool ◽  
Mobile Forms ◽  
The Republic

The article examines the possibility of forecasting the spring wheat the productivity according to the content of mobile forms of phosphorus, potassium, applied amount of mineral and organic fertilizers. Deviation of the projected yield from actual comes to 31%, and the forecasting yield of the moving average drops to 4.6%. During the observation period the spring wheat productivity increased from 11.6 to 18.7 kilogram per hectare, an increase was 7.1 tons per hectare with an average yield of 17.4 tons per hectare. The productivity of spring wheat exhibits a very unstable value, which is evidenced by the high variation coefficient - 43.3%. There is a positive correlation between security soil by phosphorus, potassium and spring wheat yield. It is positive according to phosphorus for the actual and derivative wheat yield, the higher rates of coefficients was according U11. Potassium also has a positive association with yield. However, the correlation coefficients of potassium are higher (0.57-0.0.94), than of phosphorus (0.50-0.84). This fact suggests, that potassium in macroelement is more scarce, than phosphorus. Apparently, this feature of mobile potassium is manifested by solubility characteristics of the potassium compounds in aqueous medium, despite a sufficient amount of its gross shapes in soils. Studies prove once again, that the basis of of productivity formation is security by nutrient macroelements and peculiarities of economic activities. In addition to more accurately actual spring wheat yield it is necessary to attract agro-climatic indicators. The projections data are also a good tool for assessing the economic activity of individual districts, regions, and land users of different levels.

SECURITY OF MACRONUTRIENTS SUPPLY AND FORECASTING OF SPRING WHEAT PRODUCTIVITY IN THE REPUBLIC OF TATARSTAN

10.12737/7742 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 116-119
Author(s):  
Глушко ◽  
Sergey Glushko ◽  
Галиуллин ◽  
Ilfir Galiullin
Keyword(s):  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Organic Fertilizers ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Good Tool ◽  
Mobile Forms ◽  
The Republic

The article examines the possibility of forecasting the spring wheat the productivity according to the content of mobile forms of phosphorus, potassium, applied amount of mineral and organic fertilizers. Deviation of the projected yield from actual comes to 31%, and the forecasting yield of the moving average drops to 4.6%. During the observation period the spring wheat productivity increased from 11.6 to 18.7 kilogram per hectare, an increase was 7.1 tons per hectare with an average yield of 17.4 tons per hectare. The productivity of spring wheat exhibits a very unstable value, which is evidenced by the high variation coefficient - 43.3%. There is a positive correlation between security soil by phosphorus, potassium and spring wheat yield. It is positive according to phosphorus for the actual and derivative wheat yield, the higher rates of coefficients was according U11. Potassium also has a positive association with yield. However, the correlation coefficients of potassium are higher (0.57-0.0.94), than of phosphorus (0.50-0.84). This fact suggests, that potassium in macroelement is more scarce, than phosphorus. Apparently, this feature of mobile potassium is manifested by solubility characteristics of the potassium compounds in aqueous medium, despite a sufficient amount of its gross shapes in soils. Studies prove once again, that the basis of of productivity formation is security by nutrient macroelements and peculiarities of economic activities. In addition to more accurately actual spring wheat yield it is necessary to attract agro-climatic indicators. The projections data are also a good tool for assessing the economic activity of individual districts, regions, and land users of different levels.

scholarly journals Effects of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer on crop yields in a field pea-spring wheat-potato rotation system with calcareous soil in semi-arid environments

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. e1101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chang-An Liu ◽  
Sen Zhang ◽  
Shuai Hua ◽  
Xin Rao
Keyword(s):  
Crop Yield ◽  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Calcareous Soil ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Potato Crop ◽  
Field Pea ◽  
Arid Environments ◽  
Annual Average ◽  
N Treatment ◽  
Semi Arid

The object of the present study was to investigate the yield-affecting mechanisms influenced by N and P applications in rainfed areas with calcareous soil. The experimental treatments were as follows: NF (no fertilizer), N (nitrogen), P (phosphorus), and NP (nitrogen plus phosphorus) in a field pea-spring wheat-potato cropping system. This study was conducted over six years (2003-2008) on China’s semi-arid Loess Plateau. The fertilizer treatments were found to decrease the soil water content more than the NF treatment in each of the growing seasons. The annual average yields of the field pea crops during the entire experimental period were 635, 677, 858, and 1117 kg/ha for the NF, N, P, and NP treatments, respectively. The annual average yields were 673, 547, 966, and 1056 kg/ha for the spring wheat crops for the NF, N, P, and NP treatments, respectively. Also, the annual average yields were 1476, 2120, 1480, and 2424 kg/ha for the potato crops for the NF, N, P, and NP treatments, respectively. In the second cycle of the three-year rotation, the pea and spring wheat yields in the P treatment were 1.2 and 2.8 times higher than that in the N treatment, respectively. Meanwhile, the potato crop yield in the N treatment was 3.1 times higher than that in the P treatment. In conclusion, the P fertilizer was found to increase the yields of the field pea and wheat crops, and the N fertilizer increased the potato crop yield in rainfed areas with calcareous soil.

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