scholarly journals Aviation Risk Assessment in the Context of Uncertainty

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 237-242
Author(s):  
Casandra Venera PIETREANU ◽  
Sorin Eugen ZAHARIA ◽  
Valentin Marian IORDACHE

The paper analysis a subject insufficiently addressed or even misunderstood (i.e. uncertainty) in relation to describing aviation safety, financial or social risks. In the context of Covid-19 pandemic, uncertainty becomes a habit and the aviation industry has to confront and mitigate it. The study outlines the characteristics of risks under uncertainty, conditions for triggering risks and the importance of proper understanding of notions as an instrument for collaborative decision making and managerial success. After reviewing various studies, the authors differentiate the informally use of the two terms from the academic (formal) one and highlight the distinction between real and perceived risk influenced by uncertainty. Finally, a research on the limitations of different performance related indicators while dealing with unclear, imprecise or incomplete knowledge is achieved.

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sujood - ◽  
Sheeba Hamid ◽  
Naseem Bano

Purpose This paper aims to examine travelers` behavioral intention of traveling in the period of coronavirus by employing the theory of planned behavior. The framework incorporates attitude, subjective norms, perceived behavioral control and a very crucial construct, i.e. perceived risk, as per the current critical scenario of COVID-19. Design/methodology/approach Data was collected using a survey instrument on the internet by posting the questionnaire link over social network web pages of online traveling websites. The data was analyzed using structural equations modeling with AMOS 22.0 and SPSS software, and the proposed hypotheses were statistically tested. The sample under consideration constitutes 417 responses. Findings Empirical findings suggest that attitude, perceived behavioral control and perceived risk are significant for predicting behavioral intention while subjective norms do not. And these variables explained about 35 percent of the variance in behavioral intention of traveling in the period of coronavirus. Research limitations/implications This study can benefit travelers, tourism and hospitality industry, governments, aviation industry and other relevant organizations as this paper offers the latest updates and essential information regarding traveler`s intention of traveling in the period of coronavirus. The study mainly focuses on India, so the generalizations of results to other countries are unwanted. Originality/value The primary value of this paper is that it tested the theory of planned behavior by incorporating perceived risk in the context of COVID-19. To the best of authors’ knowledge, in Indian context, there is no study which has tested the TPB by adding perceived risk in explaining the Indian citizens’ behavioral intention of traveling in the period of Coronavirus.


2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 4-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felix Tang ◽  
Vane-Ing Tian ◽  
Judy Zaichkowsky

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to create a framework for broadly understanding categories and motivations behind purchasing different counterfeit products. Design/methodology/approach – Focus groups provided qualitative data from 509 counterfeit purchases incidents by 95 informants. Findings – The most frequently mentioned motivation was the utility (35 percent) received from the good over the genuine article. The second, but negative, motivation was the perceived risk involved in the purchase (22 percent), whether it is physical or social risk. Social norms, confusion, and ethical concerns each represented about 10 percent of the motivations toward the purchase of counterfeit items. The least mentioned motivations to purchase, at less than 4 percent each, were culture, habit, and desire to explore. These factors were evident across a variety of 15 product categories, headed by electronics, such as DVDs and computer software. Practical implications – Through targeting negative motivations, such as perceived physical and social risks, businesses can devise strategies from a demand side perspective to overcome the problem of counterfeit consumption. Originality/value – Qualitative responses, over many product categories, provide a unique overview to the perception of counterfeit consumption. The finding that consumer ethics may depend on whether the activity benefits the society as a whole is worthy of additional discussion. The authors learn that when consumers thought their counterfeit consumption caused little or no harm, they do not see much ethical concern in their actions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 2070
Author(s):  
Wildan Nugraha ◽  
Direstu Amalia

The Covid-19 pandemic that is currently happening has become a scourge for the community and has had a quite wide impact on almost all industrial sectors, especially in the aviation industry. Government directions that require individuals to carry out social and physical distancing have made noteworthy changes to the flight forms and methods. The aim of this research is to assess the effect of implementing policies or regulations issued by the government regarding the handling of Covid-19 on aviation safety, especially in the airport operations sector. The approach of this research is descriptive qualitative, while data collection uses interview techniques and distributing questionnaires to airport personnel and airport management. This study resulted in findings that the aspect of aviation safety, especially for users of air transportation services, remains a top priority for airport operators even though during the Covid-19 pandemic, this is evidenced by the application of Biosafety Management and Biosecurity Management in the implementation of flight operations at airports. however, it is necessary to establish good collaboration and coordination with operators between modes of transportation other than aircraft in the airport area to prioritize the safety of users of transportation services by implementing health protocols.


2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 680-690
Author(s):  
C.O. Akanni ◽  
A.M. Hassan ◽  
T.C. Osuji

The frequency of delay, diversion and outright cancellation occasioned by poor weather has affected the Nigerian aviation industry and serious safety implication.This study therefore examines the influence of weather conditions on aviation safety in Nigeria. Secondary data basically from Nigeria Meteorological Agency such as information on thunderstorm, fog occurrence and rainfall from 2004 to 2013 and data obtained from Federal Airport Authority of Nigeria on air accident induced by extreme weather within the same period were analysed using Multiple Regression Analysis. Results show that low visibility as a result of fog occurrence causes four (4) air traffic accidents more than other weather conditions and that Lagos experienced two (2) air accidents more than other airports during the period under study.  So also the value of R2 shows a value of 77.8% which implies that there is variation in the dependent variable (Airport Operation) which can be predicted by independent variables (Weather conditions). The F-statistic value of 62.892 is also found to be statistically significant at 5% (p<0.05) which shows that weather condition has significant influence on aviation safety. Baseline studies on flight operation, government intervention in aviation industry, maintenance culture were recommended.Keywords: Fog, Thunderstorm, Rainfall, Safety, Accident


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Michał Wojciech Lutek

<p><strong></strong>The article aims to show selected issues related to safety management system with particular reference to its legal aspects. It is composed of seven parts. The first one outlines the general overview on the problem of aviation safety. In the following passage, substance of safety management in civil aviation is presented. Third part describes key factors determining safety in aviation. In the fourth subtitle, selected issues regarding international regulations concerning safety management systems are discussed with reference to Chicago Convention and Annex 19 which established detailed arrangements for safety management. Subsequently, the author describes the EU legislation related to subject matter as well as major institution in charge of ensuring safety like European Aviation Safety Agency. The las but one subtitle refers to some legal aspects of safety management in civil aviation in Polish law. The summary contains conclusions drawn from the analysis of the both international and polish regulations.</p><p><strong>Purpose</strong> - The paper’s main purpose is to present legal framework of aviation safety management at the level of international, European and polish law. The author also investigates the role of legal regulations in the process of keeping aviation safe with reference to other factors which have a negative influence on aviation safety. </p><p><strong>Design/Methodology/Approach </strong>- A comprehensive analysis of legislation was conducted along with literature review including international publications focused both on the area of management and law. The reference list was selected in such way to show an objective and impartial approach to the subject matter.</p><p><strong>Findings </strong>- The laws regarding safety management in aviation are subject to harmonization but we can observe that the regulations are becoming more and more technical and complex.</p><p><strong>Research limitations/implications </strong>- The limitations of this paper lie in the lack of review of the studies of practical part of the safety management system regulations.</p><p><strong>Practical implications</strong>-The review shows a profound review of legislation which may be used by both managers and lawyer from aviation industry. Moreover, some statistical data is provided in order to emphasize the importance of safety management in the current world.</p><p><strong>Originality/Value</strong>-The article presents analysis carried at three levels of legal regulations, i.e. international, European and local (Polish) which is the best way to show similarities and point out differences. </p><br />


Author(s):  
Lê Quốc Nghi ◽  
Nguyễn Thị Lài ◽  
Nguyễn Viết Bằng

According to the Vietnam National Administration of Tourism (2018), the number of travellers revisit to Vietnam in general and Binh Thuan in particular is only about 40%. Price increases in peak season, polluted environment, etc. affected the tourists' perceived risk at destination. Therefore, this research is done for the purposes of: (1) Identifying perceived risk componants; (2) Measuring the impact of those perceived risks on traveller 's revisit intention at Binh Thuan province; (3) Proposed implications for local industry managers and business managers to apply in order to increase tourists' intention to return to Binh Thuan in the near future. The research uses both qualitative and quantitative research methods. Qualitative research was conducted through focus group discussions. The quantitative study was conducted through interviews with 278 tourists. Research results show that: revisit intention is affected by 04 components of perceived risk: financial risk (-0.547); operational risk (-0,346); psychological - social risks (- 0.274); and, physical risk (-0,248). However, the study also has some certain limitations: firstly, the study conducted a survey during the peak tourist season in Binh Thuan. Secondly, the study only conducted a sample of 278 tourists, so it did not fully represent the research crowd.


Author(s):  
Jorge M. Herrera ◽  
Bijan Vasigh

Differences in aviation safety records around the world should be minimal or nonexistent considering the global nature of aviation. However, significant differences exist and the reasons for those require the attention of governments, regulatory agencies, aircraft manufacturers, airlines and the flying public. One concern is that aircraft are increasingly used beyond their designed economic life. This study focuses on the relationship between aging aircraft and the country where the aircraft was registered. Findings support the idea that in general, the frequency of accidents increases with the age of an aircraft. The study also revealed that there is a correlation between the number of accidents, their severity and aircraft manufacturers. The aircraft’s phase of flight was also related to the number of accidents, with the Approach/Landing phase having the greatest number of accidents. The FAA and JAA have been influential in the development and dissemination of safety programs around the world. However, their efforts have not yet resulted in a world-wide standardization of safety and maintenance programs. This may be an indication that while an aircraft may be a global product, the aviation industry lags behind in becoming a global industry.


2018 ◽  
Vol 236 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Maria Kovacova ◽  
Antonio Licu ◽  
Tom Lintner

The aviation safety community has traditionally measured safety performance through the lens of undesirable events – the historic recording, investigating and trending of the failures in the system. While this approach gives great insight into what has happened and why, it is of questionable value in determining what, where and when the next incident will occur. With the advent of the Aerospace Performance Factor or APF, aviation is taking a giant step toward a decision management solution that answers these questions and paves the way toward a revolution in safety performance measurement. The APF methodology is designed to expand the view of what information contributes to the aviation safety picture. The APF paints a broad landscape of organizational effectiveness by fusing weighted data from sources not traditionally included in the safety discussion, and then presenting the information in a way that assists aviation leaders in making better risked‐based decisions. This paper will discuss the APF from its to the progress of the initial and ongoing APF operational implementation, to its potential as a risk‐forecasting tool for the aviation industry.


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