scholarly journals Foresight as an instrument of industrial strategic development

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 248-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. V. Bуstrov

The development and implementation of the strategy has long been the focus of scientists and practitioners. But, despite the extensive scientific Arsenal, the tasks facing economic managers do not become easier. In many ways, this situation is due to the fact that in the face of growing uncertainty, which is typical for any, both developed and developing markets, it is increasingly difficult to imagine the «image of the future» and formulate the strategy goals to subordinate the company’s activities to the achievement of these very goals. In a sense, the correct formulation of the problem of long-term development can serve as a foresight, which is used to identify factors that can have an impact on the economy and society in the medium and long term. However, what is the connection of foresight with the setting of goals of the strategy of the industrial enterprise and the choice of mechanisms for the implementation of the chosen strategy – these questions require answers, without which the scientific base of strategic management will not be complete. An attempt is made to find an answer to the question of what hinders industrial development under conditions when the scale of technological modernization is not accompanied by a change in the structure of production. The solution to this problem is proposed to be sought in institutional transformations, on the basis of a theoretical understanding of the laws that determine the technological development of modern industry and the application of the methods of the theory of artificial intelligence systems. The proposed approaches of economic and technological development of territories, states, industries and individual industrial enterprises will allow the most effective financing of investment programs for industrial development.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natalia Nikolaeva ◽  
Nikita Grinev ◽  
Pavel Barabanov ◽  
Elena Kulyuasova ◽  
Nikolay Kulyuasov

"The transition of Russia to sustainable economic growth is impossible without stimulating the use of the achievements of science and education, high technologies, promoting innovative activity as an essential premise for the development of social production and subjects of economic relations. For the state, the promotion of innovation is a priority in the economic policy sector, since it is the level of scientific and technological development that largely determines the long-term strategic advantages of the country, and the prospects for the development of the state largely dependent on the level of innovation development. For a long time, the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation has been implementing the Strategy for Innovative Development of the Russian Federation. It includes 20 key steps and is developed based on the provisions of the concept of long-term development of the Russian Federation. The main results should have been, firstly, an increase in spending on science and innovation, and secondly, an increase in the share of industrial enterprises that introduce innovations in production. It was assumed that their share will increase by 4-5 times by 2020, compared with 2010 year. Not everything has been achieved, and there is a lot to strive for. This study is devoted to the driver of scientific and technological progress - the chemical complex of Russia. The chemical complex plays a significant role in the implementation of the most important socio-economic programs of the country. The study is devoted to the consideration of the most important prospects and key alternatives for the development of the chemical industry related to different areas of innovation. Conclusions will be made on key technologies and products that can change the position of the chemical industry in the global market."


Author(s):  
E. V. Yakovleva ◽  
◽  
A. R. Terentyeva ◽  

Ensuring the economic reliability of industrial enterprises in the modern conditions of technological dynamics is a necessary and indispensable condition for the successful development and functioning of the enterprise in the long term. The results of the study aimed at substantiating the methodological approach to the formation of the mechanism of economic reliability of technological development of industrial enterprises are presented, which determines the theoretical significance and novelty of the results are shown. The basis of the study is general scientific methods of classification, generalization, comparison, analysis


2021 ◽  
pp. 71-79
Author(s):  
Yu. S. Polozhentseva ◽  
M. G. Klevtsova

In the modern conditions of economic development, the development of the industrial complex is being transformed with emphasis on digital technologies and high-tech production. The article considers new principles of the implementation of the state’s economic policy taking into account the challenges of the fourth industrial revolution, as well as the results of the analysis of the main indicators of industrial development, both in the world and in Russia in particular, including the assessment of the current state of innovation and technological activity of the industrial sector of the Russian economy. At the same time the authors pay special attention to the analysis of modern trends in the development of industry in countries with both a high level of high-tech production and a low level. The paper analyses the prospects of Russian industry development to justify the need for technological breakthrough strategies and technological modernization of industrial enterprises. 


Author(s):  
G. S. NIKITIN

The Article is dedicated to research of the ways to achieve Russia’s strategic goals in the sphere of industrial development under the conditions when import substitution has become one of the main governmental policy trends over the recent years. It is shown that the industrial policy should be underpinned by the project management in order to ensure sustainable development of the key sector of the national economy. Systematized are priority methods of long-term support of industrial enterprises aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of domestic products.


Federalism ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 5-25
Author(s):  
O. S. Sukharev

The slowdown in Russia’s economic growth to the “covid crisis”, as well as the possibility of restoring growth and forming a new model of it, are associated with the need to overcome structural constraints. Moreover, the plans for the recovery of the Russian economy note the need not only for a stimulating macroeconomic policy, but also for the implementation of structural changes through technological renewal. However, technological modernization is highly dependent on the existing mode of technological development – the current and future demand for new technologies. The implementation of the country’s technological development strategy requires an assessment of the existing technological structure with a measurement of its reaction to ongoing investments in support of obsolete and emergence of new technologies. Different sectors of the economy and its regions, having a different set of technologies and their structure, show a different level of manufacturability, which is understood as the ratio of the volume of innovative to non-innovative products. The sensitivity of this parameter to investments in new and outdated technologies is also different, which cannot be taken into account in the formation of investment and technological development policies for both individual regions and Russia as a whole. Using structural and regression analysis, this study provides a picture of the structure of the technological Russian economy. It is shown that technological modernization also involves the movement of resources in the sectoral and regional context in order to eliminate structural and technological imbalances in development. Investment policy should be reduced not only to increasing investments, but also to managing their structure in conjunction with replacing old technologies in order to level and improve the overall manufacturability. This will require solving the promising problem of increasing the sensitivity of manufacturability to investments in new technologies. In the long term, this approach will make it possible to single out the modes of regional technological development, not only ranking regions in terms of sensitivity to new and old technologies, but also developing a selective set of regional policy measures.Keywords: “covid crisis”, economic growth, industrialization, investments, structural changes, structural dynamics, technologies, technological effectiveness of the regional economy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (8) ◽  
pp. 58-64
Author(s):  
A. I. Shinkevich ◽  
F. F. Galimulina

The study of theoretical approaches and conceptual analysis helped to clarify the definition of “platformization” from the point of view of network interactions and technological modernization of Russian industry, which formed the basis for the model of institutional interactions platformization, based on the formation of technological alliances that promote innovations, joint value creation by network participants and breakthrough industrial development. On the basis of the dynamic approach, a matrix of positioning of the subjects of the Russian Federation has been constructed, reflecting their distribution in four quadrants, depending on the level and pace of innovative development, and allowing to identify a low share of regions, the regions that demonstrate an intensive increase in innovation activity together with a high rating and a high share of regions that are considered stable weak innovators. The definition of platformization has been formulated in the context of technological development of industry, which distinguishes the use of this category from the “digital” aspect presented in the literature.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (9) ◽  
pp. 741-746
Author(s):  
A. V. Bragina

Aim. The presented study aims to describe the fundamentals of the technological modernization of industrial enterprises that provide an innovative way of economic development.Tasks. The authors substantiate major approaches to the definition of technological modernization of industrial enterprises, making it possible to specify this concept and to propose a classification of its main types; consider the possibility of using end-to-end planning tools when reassessing the need for modernization processes at industrial enterprises.Methods. This study uses general and special methods, including analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, generalization and comparison, logical and comparative analysis, and planning to examine the specific features of implementation of technological modernization of industrial enterprises, particularly using end-to-end planning, and to determine the main types of this process.Results. Questions related to the fundamentals of technological modernization of industrial enterprises are considered. In addition, classification features are proposed to determine its main types and methods of implementation. To expand the levels of modernization management, it is recommendable to use end-to-end planning technologies.Conclusions. Examination of the specific features of technological modernization of industrial enterprises makes it possible not only to improve the equipment of these business entities, but also to gain an understainding of the factors that ensure innovative and technological development, contributing to technological breakthrough and overall economic growth.


2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (2(67)) ◽  
pp. 69-76
Author(s):  
A.V. KARPINSKA ◽  
V.V. LUKASHCHUK ◽  
ANTE RONCEVIC

Topicality. One of the main tasks balanced development industrial enterprises and acceleration of innovative development Ukraine is the transition to an economy based on the productive use of new knowledge. Knowledge itself is a factor in post-industrial development and is an inexhaustible public good, which increases in the process of its use. In such conditions, the creation of proper general economic and institutional factors for the free movement of knowledge, the introduction of information and communication technologies, the effective transformation of new knowledge into new technologies, products and services are very important. Aim and tasks. The aim of the article is to study and assess economic and institutional factors in the context of balanced and innovative development Ukrainian industrial enterprises. Research results. The article deals with the main economic and institutional factors of the environment of industrial enterprises in Ukraine. The complex socio-economic situation in the country is revealed, which causes a shortage of financial resources at the disposal of the Government of Ukraine and regional authorities, and which significantly complicates the process of financial support for innovation development by the state. The possibilities of the country for the formation of a "knowledge economy" are revealed. The main directions of improvement of the general economic and institutional environment for the purpose of balanced and innovative development industrial enterprises. Conclusions. The results of the analysis and assessment of the general economic and institutional prerequisites of balanced and innovative development of industrial enterprises indicate the proper level of all two components of the general economic environment - "freedom of trade" and "fiscal freedom". But unlike them, low-value components such as "state expenditures", "freedom of investment", "financial freedom". Ukraine has extremely low rates of freedom from corruption. As to security and property rights, at the moment, the worst situation is with regard to intellectual property protection and the independence of the judiciary. From the above it can be concluded that the financial system of our country is weak, and its banking and financial sector are not functioning effectively, which in turn does not contribute to the formation of such a general economic environment and institutional, which would financially and lawfully stimulate a balanced and, in particular, innovative technological development entrepreneurship.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (28) ◽  
pp. 465-474
Author(s):  
Ilmir Nusratullin ◽  
Nikolai Sergeev ◽  
Maxim Kuznetsov ◽  
Anastasia Sheina ◽  
Lyudmila Shubtsova

One of the most important sectors of the economy in Russia is industry. In this regard, the state seeks to stimulate the development of innovations in this area. Over the past few years, many industrial sectors in Russia have been in a crisis situation, which is caused by several factors: a decrease in the level of real investment, a decrease in the solvent demand of enterprises-customers and public consumers, and the introduction of financial and economic sanctions in 2014 against Russia by the United States and the European Union countries, as well as the effect of other macroeconomic factors independent of the activities of industrial enterprises. This study aims to identify the main trends in the development of industrial production in Russia in recent years, and an explanation of its causes. This topic is relevant in connection with the foregoing and may be of interest to academic economists studying industry development trends in developing countries. The aim of the study is to analyze the state of industry in Russia from 2015 to 2018 during the period of sanction pressure on the industrial and financial sectors of the Russian economy. Having examined the latest data on the results of the activity of Russian industry as a whole, one can note positive trends in the development of industrial production in Russia despite a number of negative internal and external factors. It is concluded that today, for Russia, the strategic tasks in industrial policy are reduced to overcoming technological backwardness and carrying out technological modernization of industries based on the use of innovative achievements, as well as import substitution for the sectors of the economy that are sensitive to foreign sanctions.


Author(s):  
Liudmila A. Bulavka-Buzgalina

The article shows that at present the processes of total marketization have spread to the sphere of artistic culture, in which more and more the value of a creator and the results of his activity is evaluated in terms of market and capital. It becomes one of the factors of the economy stagnation that lasts for decades, in particular, in Russia. Meanwhile, the existing experience of modernization in the USSR shows that there is a powerful feedback when culture and, in particular, art, become an important factor and conceptual vector of socio-economic and technological modernization. The means for this can be and have been historically long-term strategic development programs linking together technological, scientific, economic, educational and cultural transformations, mass labor enthusiasm, the inclusion of workers in social creativity and other relations and institutions that transform a person from a passive object (an employee, consumer) into an active creator. The history of the USSR gives contradictory examples of such relations formation (the GOELRO plan, etc.).


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