scholarly journals VECTOR AUTO REGRESSION ANALYSIS BETWEEN EXPORT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND JOB OPPORTUNITY IN BANGKA BELITUNG ISLANDS PROVINCE

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 677-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devi Valeriani ◽  
Desy Yuliana Dalimunthe ◽  
Ayu Wulandari ◽  
M. Fikri Ashar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Performance Improvements ◽  
Job Opportunities ◽  
Job Opportunity ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Auto Regression

Purpose of the study: The economic performance of Bangka Belitung Islands province has increased during the period of 2007-2016. This is marked by the increasing growth rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) measured at the constant price of 68 percent. These performance improvements should be accompanied by efforts to create job opportunities (for instance, by increasing exports) to boost the economic growth. The objective of the study was to examine and analyze the causality relationship between job opportunities, exports, and economic growth in the Bangka Belitung Islands province. Methodology: This research used secondary data with Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis tool. Main Findings: The test results indicated that job opportunities and exports are affected by job opportunity in the previous year (t-1). Furthermore, the results of the study show that in comparison to exports, job opportunity contributes more towards the economic growth. Implications: This study implies that government may provide non-export oriented job opportunities in the province of Bangka Belitung Islands.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS FERTILITAS DENGAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI SUMATERA BARAT

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Robby Saputra ◽  
Sri Ulfa Sentosa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
West Sumatra ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Auto Regression

Abstract: This study aims to determine the causal relationship between fertility, economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra. This type of research is descriptive and associative research. The data used are secondary data in the form of panel data from 2010 to 2017. The research methods used are: (1) Vector Auto Regression Analysis, (2) Granger Causality Test. The results showed that (1) There was no causality relationship between fertility and economic growth in West Sumatra, but there was a direct relationship between fertility and economic growth. (2) There is no causality relationship between fertility and poverty in West Sumatra, but there is a direct relationship between poverty and fertility. (3) There is no causal relationship between economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra, but there is a direct relationship between poverty and economic growth.Keywords: Fertility, Economic Growth, Poverty

Labor Demand and the Elasticity of Job Opportunity: Evidence from Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 59-66
Author(s):  
Jamaliah Jamaliah ◽  
Rosyadi Rosyadi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Labor Policy ◽  
Employment Policy ◽  
Labor Flexibility ◽  
Rate Of Absorption ◽  
Job Opportunity ◽  
Employment Elasticity

Objective - Labor is one of the most important factors in production activities. Increased human effort in the production process will increase output, productivity and promote economic growth. This research aims to analyze the condition and potential of labor demand in Pontianak City, analyze job opportunities in Pontianak City and formulate a strategy of labor policy in Pontianak City. Methodology/Technique - The method used is descriptive with quantitative analysis which a qualitative interpretation. The data used is secondary data and related documents for data enrichment. Findings - The results show that: labor demand is showing an increasing trend year by year, increasing employment absorption from 233,788 in 2010 to 244,236 in 2014. The rate of absorption growth occurs primarily in the agriculture, building and transportation industries. Employment elasticity in Pontianak City is relatively low at only 0.02% which means the growth of labor absorption is smaller than the increase of economic growth. Novelty - This research shows that employment policy strategies in Pontianak City need to increase the role of Training Center (BLK), the enrichment of nutrition improvement and sustainability, encourage investment, increase competitiveness through increasing labor productivity and increase labor flexibility to the rules among other things. Type of Paper: Empirical. Keywords: Employment Demand; Employment Elasticity; Employment Policy Strategy. JEL Classification: J20, J21, J29.

scholarly journals PENGARUH HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA (MODERASI VARIABEL MONETER)

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilda Novita Sari ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Data Analysis Tool ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).

scholarly journals Study of Forest Land Function Transfer and its Role in Labour Absorption, Economic Growth and Increase in Human Development Index in West Kalimantan

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rolando Mangatas ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Oil Palm ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Rubber Plantation ◽  
Average Life Span ◽  
West Kalimantan ◽  
Job Opportunities ◽  
Job Opportunity ◽  
Privately Owned

Timber forests have many functions and play an essential role in human life. This means that the existence of timber forests provides many benefits for human life. Economic development activities actively implemented throughout the province of West Kalimantan have resulted in more and more areas of timber forest and rubber plantation areas being converted into oil palm plantations. The rampant development of oil palm plantations carried out by investors and those carried out independently by each resident, in essence, provides a significant enough job opportunity for the population in each area that continues to grow. Job opportunities created through economic development offer opportunities to every working population to earn income, fulfilling various life needs is mainly directed to fulfilling family nutritional consumption. If the family's nutrition is guaranteed, then the average life span of the population can be longer. In addition to meeting his family's needs, this income can also be used to finance children's education belonging to the school-age group. If the income earned by each family is large enough, then the family should be able to live in prosperity. This means that timber forest and rubber plantation areas privately owned by the community have been converted into oil palm plantations, significantly contributing to the economic growth of districts/cities in West Kalimantan province and improving the community's welfare.

scholarly journals Relationship Economic Growth with Foreign Direct Investment

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-68
Author(s):  
Prince Charles Heston Runtunuwu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The One

This study aims to determine the one-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth, a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and foreign investment, and a two-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth in Indonesia. This was conducted in Indonesia, the data are secondary data taken using the method time series from 1971 to 2018 from the official websites, the Investment Coordinating Board, and literature sources, Foreign Investment and Gross Domestic Product. (1) in the long run the Economic Growth variable has a significant effect on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and (2) the Foreign Direct Investment variable has a significant effect on Economic Growth; (3) in the short term, the Economic Growth variable has an influence on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and the Foreign Direct Investment variable has an influence on Economic Growth. It is possible to have a better long-term relationship, bringing positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia when investment in Indonesia increases. Conversely, when economic growth decreases, it means that foreign investment is also low. Granger Causality test, shows a two-way causality relationship between Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment and vice versa. It is necessary to maintain growth to attract foreign direct investment, as well as foreign investment. Investment climate needs to be improved enabling to invest in Indonesia.

scholarly journals ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYALURAN PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, NISBAH BAGI HASIL DEPOSITOMUDHARABAH, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAPPERTUMBUHAN DEPOSITO MUDHARABAH DI BANK SYARIAH MANDIRI PERIODE 2006:01-2011:12

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 73
Author(s):  
Iqra Aulia
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Dynamic Impact ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Var Analysis ◽  
Disturbance Factor ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Auto Regression

<p>Vector Auto Regression (VAR) is an analysis or statistic method which can be used to predict time series variable and to analyst dynamic impact of disturbance factor in the variable system. In addition, VAR analysis is very usefull to assess the interrelationship between economics variable. This research through the following test phases: unit root test, optimal lag test, granger causality test, and form a vector auto regression model (VAR). The data used in this research is interest rate (i), profit low sharing of mudharabah deposits (nBH), economic growth (gGDP, growth of mudharabah deposits volume (gVM) in the period 2006:01-2011:12. The effectiveness was measured by two indicators. This study used secondary data issued by Syariah Mandiri Bank &amp; Bank Indonesia. The result of the study shows that response velocity of variable in growth of mudharabah deposits volume (gVM) towards shock instrument of interest rate(i) until reach the final target about 4 months. Thus we can conclude that growth of mudharabah deosits volume through Interest Rate is not effective in Indonesia period of 2006:01-2011:12. Keyword: Vector Auto Regression (VAR), growth of mudharabah deposits volume (gVM), The Interest Rate.</p>

scholarly journals Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Daerah Provinsi Jambi

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Nurdin Nurdin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Regression Equation ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Working Population ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Investment Capital

This study uses secondary data collected by the object of research in Jambi Province in the form of factors affecting the economic growth of Jambi Province sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). Data were collected during the period 2004 to 2015. The purpose of this study is to analyze and know what factors affect the economic growth of Jambi Province period 2004-2015. The analytical tool used is this research using econometric analysis tool with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method with multiple linear regression equation through the aid of SPSS software program. 21:00. Based on the discussion of data analysis results in this study, it can be concluded the result of R-squared calculation shown in the above equation obtained R2 value of 0.989. This shows that about 98.90 percent of the upturned economic growth (Yt) in Jambi Province is influenced by investment variable (X1t), capital expenditure (X2t), working population (X3t), unemployment (X4t) and poverty (X5t). While the remaining 1.10 percent, explained by other variables that are not included into the regression equation. Keywords: Economic Growth, Investment, Capital Expenditure, Working Population, Unemployment And Poverty

scholarly journals Pengaruh belanja modal dan penanaman modal dalam negeri terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jambi

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-134
Author(s):  
Haikal Redho Fitrah ◽  
Syaparudin Syaparudin ◽  
Emilia Emilia
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Capital Expenditures ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
Regression Test ◽  
Research Analysis

This study aims to: 1) analyze the development of Capital Expenditure, PMDN and Regency and City Economic Growth in Jambi Province; 2) To find out and analyze the effect of Capital Expenditures and Domestic Investment on the Regency and City Economic Growth in Jambi Province. The research analysis tool uses panel data regression analysis tools. Based on the regression test results, the data of the simultaneous data shows that capital expenditure and PMDN have a significant effect on the economic growth of regencies/cities in Jambi Province. While partially leading the two independent variables, only PMDN affects economic growth in Jambi Province districts/cities, while capital expenditure does not affect economic growth in Jambi Province districts/cities during 2011-2017. Keywords: Capital expenditure, PMDN, Economic growth

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA IHSG, INDEKS DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH/US$

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 229
Author(s):  
Khairina Natsir ◽  
Yusbardini Yusbardini ◽  
Nurainun Bangun
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Dow Jones Industrial Average ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menginvestigasi hubungan kausalitas antara IHSG, nilai tukar rupiah/US$  dan Indeks Global yang diwakili oleh Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Average. Penelitian mengambil sampel nilai-nilai variabel yang diteliti dengan periode data bulanan dalam periode Juli 2005-Desember 2018. Alat analisis menggunakan uji Engle-Granger untuk menginvestigasi  hubungan kausalitas.  Hasil Uji kausalitas Granger memperlihatkan terdapat hubungan dua arah atau saling mempengaruhi antara IHSG dengan nilai rupiah/US$. Selain itu ditemukan pula bahwa pergerakan Indeks Dow Jones Industrial  secara signifikan mempengaruhi kepada pergerakan IHSG dan nilai tukar rupiah/US$, tetapi sebaliknya pergerakan yang terjadi pada IHSG dan nilai tukar tidak mampu mempengaruhi gerakan indeks Dow Jones Industrial. Hasil Uji kointegrasi Johansen memperlihatkan bahwa semua variabel penelitian mempunyai  hubungan keseimbangan jangka panjang yang signifikan. This study aims to investigate the causality relationship between the CSPI, the exchange rate of rupiah / US $ and the Global Index represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The study sampled variable values studied with monthly data periods in the period July 2005-December 2018. The analysis tool uses the Engle-Granger test to investigate causality relationships. Granger causality test results show there is a two-way relationship or influence each other between the CSPI with the value of rupiah / US $. In addition it was also found that the movement of the Dow Jones Industrial Index significantly affected the movement of the JCI and the exchange rate of the rupiah / US $, but conversely the movements that occurred on the JCI and the exchange rate were unable to influence the movement of the Dow Jones Industrial index. Johansen's cointegration test results show that all research variables have a significant long-term balance relationship.

scholarly journals Kemampuan fiskal daerah dan pengaruh belanja daerah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kabupaten Tanjung Jabung Barat

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-42
Author(s):  
Rahmad Suhendra ◽  
Muhammad Safri ◽  
Adi Bhakti
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
Interval Scale ◽  
The West ◽  
Financial Independence ◽  
Fiscal Capacity ◽  
Direct Expenditure

The purpose of this study was to determine and analyze 1) the proportion of regional expenditure in Tanjung Jabung Barat Regency; 2) regional fiscal capacity in West Tanjung Jabung Regency; 3) the ratio of regional financial independence of West Tanjung Jabung Regency; 4) the financial performance of the regional government of West Tanjung Jabung Regency and 5) the influence of regional spending on economic growth in the West Tanjung Jabung Regency. The data used in this study are secondary data. The analysis tool used is multiple linear regression. The results showed that the proportion of indirect expenditure to regional expenditure tended to decrease, while the proportion of direct expenditure to regional expenditure had an increase. The fiscal capacity of Tanjung Jabung Barat Regency for 11 years is still very lacking at the interval scale. The regional financial independence of West Tanjung Jabung Regency is in the low criteria. The regional financial performance of Tanjung Jabung Barat Regency is in the low and very low criteria. Regional expenditure influences economic growth in West Tanjung Jabung Regency. Keywords: Fiscal, Financial, Performance

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