scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS FERTILITAS DENGAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI SUMATERA BARAT

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Robby Saputra ◽  
Sri Ulfa Sentosa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
West Sumatra ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Auto Regression

Abstract: This study aims to determine the causal relationship between fertility, economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra. This type of research is descriptive and associative research. The data used are secondary data in the form of panel data from 2010 to 2017. The research methods used are: (1) Vector Auto Regression Analysis, (2) Granger Causality Test. The results showed that (1) There was no causality relationship between fertility and economic growth in West Sumatra, but there was a direct relationship between fertility and economic growth. (2) There is no causality relationship between fertility and poverty in West Sumatra, but there is a direct relationship between poverty and fertility. (3) There is no causal relationship between economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra, but there is a direct relationship between poverty and economic growth.Keywords: Fertility, Economic Growth, Poverty

scholarly journals VECTOR AUTO REGRESSION ANALYSIS BETWEEN EXPORT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND JOB OPPORTUNITY IN BANGKA BELITUNG ISLANDS PROVINCE

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 677-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devi Valeriani ◽  
Desy Yuliana Dalimunthe ◽  
Ayu Wulandari ◽  
M. Fikri Ashar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Performance Improvements ◽  
Job Opportunities ◽  
Job Opportunity ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Auto Regression

Purpose of the study: The economic performance of Bangka Belitung Islands province has increased during the period of 2007-2016. This is marked by the increasing growth rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) measured at the constant price of 68 percent. These performance improvements should be accompanied by efforts to create job opportunities (for instance, by increasing exports) to boost the economic growth. The objective of the study was to examine and analyze the causality relationship between job opportunities, exports, and economic growth in the Bangka Belitung Islands province. Methodology: This research used secondary data with Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis tool. Main Findings: The test results indicated that job opportunities and exports are affected by job opportunity in the previous year (t-1). Furthermore, the results of the study show that in comparison to exports, job opportunity contributes more towards the economic growth. Implications: This study implies that government may provide non-export oriented job opportunities in the province of Bangka Belitung Islands.

scholarly journals KAUSALITAS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI,KEMISKINAN,PENDIDIKAN DAN DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN DI PULAU SUMATERA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Syafika Adriani ◽  
Sri Ulfa Sentosa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Income Distribution ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Model ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
Distribution Of Income ◽  
Education And Economic Growth

Abstrack :This study aims to determine the causality relationship between Economic Growth, Poverty, Education and Distribution of Income on the island of Sumatra by using a panel model Vector Autoregresion panel (PVAR) from 2013 to 2017. The research methods used are: (1) Analysis of the Vector Regression Panel , (2) Granger Causality Test. The results showed that (1) there was no causality or one-sided relationship between economic growth and poverty on the island of Sumatera, (2) there was no causality relationship between poverty and income distribution in Sumatera Island, but there was a one-way relationship between poverty and income distribution. (3) There is no causal relationship or one-way relationship between income distribution and education on the island of Sumatera (4) There is no causal relationship between education and economic growth, but there is a one-way relationship between education and economic growth on the island of Sumatera. (5) There is no causality or one direction relationship between growth and income distribution on the island of Sumatera. (6) There is no causal relationship between education and poverty, but there is a one-way relationship of poverty to education on the island of SumateraKeywords: Economic Growth, Poverty, education, Income Distribution

scholarly journals Testing for Panel Granger Causality Relationship between international R&D cooperation and Economic Growth

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 1176-1197
Author(s):  
Tareki Sadraou ◽  
Tarek Ben Al
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Test ◽  
Panel Granger Causality ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Causality Hypothesis

In this paper we investigate the causal relationship between R&D cooperation and economic growth. We use an innovative econometric method which is based on a panel test of the Granger non causality hypothesis. We implement various tests with a sample of 32 industrial and developing countries over the 1970-2012 periods. The results provide support for a robust causality relationship from economic growth to the R&D cooperation. On the contrary, the non causality hypothesis from R&D cooperation to economic growth can't be rejected in most of the cases. However, these results only imply that, if such a relationship exists, it can't be easily identified in a simply bi-variate Granger causality test.

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS STUNTING, PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dedek Aulia Damayanti ◽  
Sri Ulfa Sentosa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Inductive Analysis

This study intends to look at the causality relationship between stunting, economic growth, and poverty in Indonesia. the type of data used is secondary data in the form of panel data from 2011 to 2018. Analysis of the data used is descriptive analysis and inductive analysis. In inductive analysis there are several tests, namely (1) Root Root Test (Unit Root Test), (2) Cointegration Test, (3) Optimum Lag Test, (4) Granger Causality Test, (5) Stability Test, (6) Impulse Response Finction Test, (7) Variance Decomposition Test. The results of this study show that: (1) There is a significant relationship exists between stunting and economic growth. (2) There is no significant relationship between economic growth and poverty. (3) there is a significant relationship between poverty and stunting in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Relationship Economic Growth with Foreign Direct Investment

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-68
Author(s):  
Prince Charles Heston Runtunuwu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The One

This study aims to determine the one-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth, a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and foreign investment, and a two-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth in Indonesia. This was conducted in Indonesia, the data are secondary data taken using the method time series from 1971 to 2018 from the official websites, the Investment Coordinating Board, and literature sources, Foreign Investment and Gross Domestic Product. (1) in the long run the Economic Growth variable has a significant effect on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and (2) the Foreign Direct Investment variable has a significant effect on Economic Growth; (3) in the short term, the Economic Growth variable has an influence on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and the Foreign Direct Investment variable has an influence on Economic Growth. It is possible to have a better long-term relationship, bringing positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia when investment in Indonesia increases. Conversely, when economic growth decreases, it means that foreign investment is also low. Granger Causality test, shows a two-way causality relationship between Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment and vice versa. It is necessary to maintain growth to attract foreign direct investment, as well as foreign investment. Investment climate needs to be improved enabling to invest in Indonesia.

Hubungan kausalitas ekspor batubara dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Jambi

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-30
Author(s):  
Iis Puji Wahyuni ◽  
Amri Amir ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
Simple Regression Analysis ◽  
Quantitative Descriptive ◽  
Simple Regression ◽  
Average Development

In this study aims to (1) know the development of economic growth and know the development of coal exports (2) find out the causality of coal exports with the economic growth of Jambi Province. The data used in this study are secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Jambi Province. To answer these objectives, this study uses a type of quantitative descriptive research with an analysis model for the first and second problems using simple regression analysis and granger causality test. The results of the study show that (1) the average development of economic growth in Jambi Province in 2004-2018 was 6.15 percent; (2) the average development of coal exports is 149.64 percent, and (3) partially coal exports do not have a causal relationship to the economic growth of Jambi Province  Keywords: Economic growth, Coal exports

scholarly journals Financial Development and Economic Growth: Time Series Analysis of Economy of Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 59
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shoukat Malik ◽  
Raisham Hayee ◽  
Raima Adeel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Growth Time ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stationary Level

This study aims in understanding the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth. This research used annual data and applied dickey fuller test and granger causality test in order to understand stationary level and causation in variables. The results of this test give support to first hypothesis that financial development causes economic growth. While no evidence was found on the support of our second hypothesis i.e. economic growth is causing financial development.

scholarly journals ODA and Provincial Economic Growth in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Dang Ngoc Duc ◽  
Do Thi Ngoc Lan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Case Studies ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Focal Point ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test

The focal point of this paper is focused on assessing the causal relationship between ODA and economic growth in the localities of Vietnam. This research uses panel data of ODA and GDP from 63 provinces of Vietnam by using Granger Causality test. The results showed that ODA has a causal effect on economic growth (GDP) and vice versa, economic growth decides to attract ODA in provinces in Vietnam. This result complements studies on the causal relationship between ODA and economic growth using new empirical evidence through case studies in the provinces of Vietnam.

scholarly journals Leveraged Bootstrap Test of Volatility: A Novel Approach to the Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Puzzle

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kuo-Hao Lee ◽  
Jonathan Ohn ◽  
Evren Eryilmaz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Energy Industry ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Bootstrap Test ◽  
Novel Approach

The main purpose of this research is to examine the causal relationship between the Energy industry and nine other industries by use of volatility instead of returns. Existing literatures find a causal relationship by use of stock returns, however, we find that using volatility reveals a causal relationship that might not otherwise be revealed through returns alone. Since the existing literature shows that volatility of stock prices is informative, we apply a Granger causality test by use of a leveraged bootstrap test developed by Hacker and Hatemi (2006) to investigate the causal behavior of the volatility. Our results show that volatility of the Energy industry causes volatility in two other industries- Industrials and Health Care. Also, the Energy industry market is affected by the Materials, Consumer Staples and Utilities industries. This finding is substantially different from the findings of previous research, and provides a novel approach to analyzing and solving the energy consumption and economic growth puzzle.

A Study on Liaoning Ports Competition and Cooperation

2011 ◽  
Vol 181-182 ◽  
pp. 1050-1053 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin Lin Ma ◽  
Li Juan Qian
Keyword(s):  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
The Other ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Competition And Cooperation ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Cooperation Relationship ◽  
Dalian Port ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Auto Regression

Relationship of competition and cooperation among ports is a hot point in studying ports relationship. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the competition and cooperation relationship among Liaoning ports. This paper applies the Vector Auto-Regression Model for analyzing the relationship. According to the modeling, it is found that Dalian Port competes with Yingkou Port and Jinzhou Port, while cooperates with Dandong Ports. From the Granger Causality test, it shows that Dalian Port causes the other three ports.

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