The Banking System in 2016: Real Income is Falling

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Khromov
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
В.В. Мандрон ◽  
А.Ю. Ефименко ◽  
Д.Г. Свиридов

Эффективное развитие механизмов кредитования физических лиц оказывает положительное влияние не только на рынок недвижимости, автомобильную промышленность, потребительский рынок, но и на темпы развития банковской системы, что значительно влияет на рост национальной экономики и улучшает качество жизни населения РФ. Исследование посвящено ключевым тенденциям и проблемам функционирования рынка розничного кредитования в современных условиях. Определены главные проблемы, которые оказывают существенное влияние на организацию рынка розничного кредитования, его объемы и качество. Проведен анализ данных отражающих состояние рынка розничного кредитования на современном этапе. На состояние данного сегмента кредитного рынка оказывает влияние как общее экономическое состояние государства, курс денежно-кредитной политики Банка России, уровень реальных доходов населения, а также форс-мажорные ситуации. В статье дается оценка объема, состава и структуры кредитного портфеля одного из крупнейших финансово-кредитных институтов страны – ПАО «Сбербанк России». Особое внимание уделено кредитованию физических лиц в разрезе отдельных форм и видов кредитных инструментов, отражается связь состояния национальной экономики и качества кредитного портфеля банка. Effective development of mechanisms for lending to individuals has a positive impact not only on the real estate market, automotive industry, consumer market, but the pace of development of the banking system, which greatly affects the growth of the national economy and improves the quality of life of the Russian population. The research is devoted to the key trends and problems of functioning of the retail lending market in modern conditions. The main problems that have a significant impact on the organization of the retail lending market, its volume and quality are identified. The analysis of data reflecting the state of the retail lending market at the present stage is carried out. The state of this segment of the credit market is influenced by the General economic state of the state, the rate of monetary policy of the Bank of Russia, the level of real income of the population, as well as force majeure situations. The article provides an assessment of the volume, composition and structure of the loan portfolio of one of the largest financial and credit institutions in the country-PJSC Sberbank of Russia. Special attention is paid to lending to individuals in the context of individual forms and types of credit instruments, reflecting the relationship between the state of the national economy and the quality of the Bank's loan portfolio.


Author(s):  
Philipp Bagus ◽  
David Howden

In this article we reply to George Selgin’s counterarguments to our article «Fractional Reserve Free Banking: Some Quibbles». Selgin regards holding cash as saving while we focus on the real savings necessary to maintain investment projects. Real savings are unconsumed real income. Variations in real savings are not necessarily equal to variations in cash holdings. We show that a coordinated credit expansion in a fractional reserve free banking (FRFB) system is possible and that precautionary reserves consequently do not pose a necessary limit. We discuss various instances in which a FRFB system may expand credit without a prior increase in real savings. These facets all demonstrate why a fractional reserve banking system —even a free banking one— is inherently unstable, and incentivized to impose a stabilizing central bank. We find that at the root of our disagreements with Selgin lies a different approach to monetary theory. Selgin subscribes to the aggregative equation of exchange, which impedes him from seeing the microeconomic problems that the stabilization of «MV» by a FRFB system causes. Key words: Free banking, fractional reserve, monetary equilibrium, credit expansion, economic cycle. JEL Classification: B53, E32, E42, E5, G18, H11, K39, P3, P34. Resumen: En este artículo respondemos a George Selgin, que a su vez respondió a nuestro artículo «Fractional Reserve Free Banking: Some Quibbles». Selgin considera que los saldos de tesorería son ahorros, mientras nosotros nos fijamos en los ahorros reales necesarios para mantener proyectos de inversion. Ahorros reales son ingresos reales no consumidos. Variaciones en los ahorros reales no necesariamente coinciden con las variaciones en los saldos de tesoreria. Mostramos que una expansión crediticia coordinada es posible en un sistema bancario de reserva fraccionaria (FRFB) y que las reservas prudenciales no constituyen necesariamente un limite a la expansión co - ordinada. Discutimos varios escenarios en los que el sistema FRFB puede expandir los créditos sin un aumento previo en los ahorros reales. Todas estas facetas muestran que un sistema bancario de reservas fraccionarias —incluso uno de banca libre— es inherentemente inestable y produce incentivos para imponer un banco central estabilizador. Mostramos que el origen de nuestras diferencias con Selgin está en un enfoque diferente a la teoría monetaria. Selgin es partidario de la ecuación de intercambio que es muy agregada y que le impide ver los problemas microeconomicas que la estabilización de «MV» por parte del sistema FRFB produce. Palabras clave: Banca libre, reserva fraccionaria, equilibrio monetario, expansión crediticia, ciclo económico. Clasificación JEL: B53, E32, E42, E5, G18, H11, K39, P3, P34.


Author(s):  
Syed Muhammad Abdul Rehman Shah

The transmission mechanism of monetary policy is explained through the relationshipsbetween a change in money supply and the level of real income. Monetary policytransmits to the real sector through several different channels. Such channels includethe interest rate channel, the exchange rate channel, the asset-pricing channel, the creditsupply channel, and the bank balance sheet channel. This paper empirically investigatesthe credit supply channel of monetary policy and explores the differential impact ofmonetary policy on credit supply of Islamic banks in Pakistan versus Malaysia. Therobust two-step System-Generalize Method of Moments (GMM) estimator is appliedon an unbalanced panel dataset over the period 2005-2016. While estimating the effectsof three alternative measures of monetary policy on banks’ credit supply, several bankspecificvariables are included in the specification as control variables. We providestrong evidence on the existence of credit supply channel in the baseline models forboth countries and differential impact of monetary policy through Islamic banks inPakistan versus Malaysia in the extended models. Our findings suggest that there isa vital need to consider the nature of Islamic banks while devising the instrumentsof an effective monetary policy in countries with dual banking system like Pakistan,Malaysia, Indonesia, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and others.


2020 ◽  
pp. 85-93
Author(s):  
Stepan Davymuka ◽  
Liliya Klyuchnyk

The investment capacity of the households of any country is the decisive factor of increasing the wellbeing of each person, population, and socio-economic system of a state in general. Growing nominal and real income of population and creation of respective financial resources that secure their transformation into the investment resource are the major preconditions of improvement of the households’ investment opportunities. Households become increasingly active savers and perspective investors for the domestic economy as they invest temporary free funds in various financial tools. The article examines the study of households, their financial behavior and interests, as increasing the welfare of each individual strengthens the entire socio-economic system of the state. The question of the peculiarities of the formation of financial resources in the conditions of market relations in Ukraine is outlined. Factors influencing their state of formation are determined. The role of household savings in the development of the economy is substantiated, the classification of savings depending on the nature of mobilization is considered. The dynamics of savings attracted by the banking system of Ukraine is analyzed. The situation with deposits of domestic households is outlined, and the dependence of investment decisions of households on the general political and economic situation in the country is demonstrated. Emphasis is placed on non-bank credit institutions, in particular on credit unions and private pension funds, life insurance contracts. The popularity of unorganized savings of households in Ukraine is proved, which is due to the lack of public confidence in financial institutions. The author proposes directions to motivate the savings of households in Ukraine in order to increase the productivity of their operation.


2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleksandr Trydid ◽  
Natalia Pogorelenko ◽  
Borys Samorodov

2017 ◽  
pp. 123-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ageeva ◽  
A. Mishura

We examine the spatial distribution of banks in Russian regions to identify the factors that affect changing territorial architecture of the banking system. The object of the study is dynamics of the number of commercial banks and their branches in 1991-2016. Besides the well-known tendency of concentration of the banking business in Moscow and reducing the number of banks in other regions we analyzed situation in the federal districts taking as an example the Siberian Federal District. This approach allowed us to formulate hypotheses about the causes of differences in the availability of banking institutions in Russian regions.


2009 ◽  
pp. 4-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Gref ◽  
K. Yudaeva

Problems in the financial sector were at the core of the current economic crisis. Therefore, economic recovery will only become sustainable after taking care of the major weaknesses in the financial sector. This conclusion is relevant both for the US and UK - the two countries where crisis has started, and for other economies which financial institutions turned out to be fragile in the face of the swings in the risk appetite. Russia is one of the countries where the crisis has revealed serious deficiency in the financial sector. Our study of 11 banking crises during the last 25-30 years shows that sustainable economic recovery and decrease in the dependence on commodity prices will be virtually impossible without cleaning of balance sheets and capitalization of the financial sector.


2010 ◽  
pp. 61-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Solntsev ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
M. Mamonov

The article analyzes factors that affect growth of the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio of Russian banks and proposes approaches for this share forecasting on the basis of dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. It also deals with methodological issues of remote stress-test of lending agencies. Using the results of conducted stress-test of Russian banks the authors assess their perspective capital needs in 2010 and estimate the share of government assistance in capital injections. Furthermore, the authors define the scale of vulnerable banks groups in the Russian banking sector.


2009 ◽  
pp. 4-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Zamaraev ◽  
A. Kiyutsevskaya ◽  
A. Nazarova ◽  
E. Sukhanov

The article analyzes the current economic conditions in Russia. Succession, distribution and the transmission mechanism of the world financial and economic crisis to the Russian economy are considered in this article as well as the changes in the banking system, share and housing markets. Production, consumption and investment on the boundary of 2008-2009 are described. The conclusion about the basic change of conditions of national economy development is presented.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document