ANALISIS PENGARUH NILAI SAHAM YANG BEREDAR, STRUKTUR MODAL, RISIKO PASAR, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHAD AP RETITRN SAHAM DI BEJ DENGAN PENDEKATAN MODEL DINAMIS (Studi Kasus Pada Sektor Aneka lndustri Tahun 1996-2002)

2005 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Ari Christianti ◽  
Murti Lestari
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Dynamic Model ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Industry Sector ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Model Approach

The study aims at empirically proving and analyzing the balance model of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM with the multifactor of risks, consisting of: outstanding stocks value, capital structure represented by Debt EquiQ Ratio (DER), market risk as represented by stock market beta, and the interest rate on company return on stock.This research uses a dynamic model approach considering the existence of the weaknessesin a classic linear model. Since the investment is related to investors behavior that need a lag to market change, the use of the dynamic model approach will be better. It is because the dynamic model uses autoregressive approach containing the lag. The dynamic model used here is Partial Adjustment Model (PAM) and Error Correction Model (ECM).  Based on the estimation of the PAM model it is proven that the model is inefficient in finding the evidence confirming the hypothesis. Subsequently,based on the result of the examination of the ECM model it isconcluded that outstanding stocks value has a positive and signiJicant impact in short term and a negative impact in long term. It means that in the short term outstanding stocks value serves as the consideration for investors in making an investment. However in the long term they are likely to believe that the use of smaller internal capital proportion will be more beneficial for them. The capital structure has only a longierm impact on the return on stock. It means that the impact of DER on stock return on miscellaneous industry sector needs the quite long lag to influence the investors in determining stocks return. It indicates that in the long term they believ:e that the use of increasing number of loan will causes the decrease in company liquidity. Consequently, the opportunity for the company to go bankrupt is bigger Beta stock in the study has a negative impact in the long term. Theoretically, it is not consistent with the parameter direction and indicated that beta stock does notserve as an app;r,pviate prory in measuring the rislcs on. miscellaneous industry sector The interest rate has in the long term a negative impact on stocks return and needs the long lag to influence the investors in determining the return on stocks.Keywords: Stock return, outstanding stock value, DER (Debt Equity Ratio), beta, interest rote, ECM (Eruor Correction Model)

scholarly journals Impact of Capital Structure on Firm’s Performance: Focusing on Non-financial Listed Egyptian Firms

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Sakr ◽  
Amina Bedeir
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Total Debt ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
Two Measures ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
Measure Of Performance ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of capital structure decisions on the performance of the firm. The investigation has been performed using a data of 62 listed non-financial Egyptian firms over a period of fourteen years from 2003-2016. This study used two measures for performance the dependent variable which are ROA and ROE, the most common used measures agreed upon on the majority of previous studies. Whereas, for the independent variable “the capital structure, the study uses the three measures of capital structure which are total debt to total assets (TD), total short-term debt to total assets (STD), and total long-term debt to total assets (LTD). The results showed when using ROA as a measure of performance, a significant negative impact of capital structure (TD, STD, and LTD) exists; while in case of using ROE as a measure of performance, there’s a significant negative impact of capital structure only when using STD, otherwise a positive significant impact of capital structure exist.

The Effect of Capital Structure, Size and Revenue Growth on the Effectiveness of Garment Businesses Listed on Vietnam’s Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Do Huy Thuong ◽  
Tran Luu Ngoc ◽  
Nguyen Thi Phuong Hong
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Business Performance ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Revenue Growth ◽  
The Impact

Considering the impact of the capital structure on the effectiveness of businesses is extremely important. Therefore, this study is conducted in order to find the influences of capital structure, firm size and revenue growth on the performance of the garment businesses listed on Vietnam stock market in the period of 2013-2018 with the representation of return on equity (ROE). The research with the use of panel data has shown that the ratio of short-term debt on total assets, the firm size and the revenue growth all have positive impacts on business performance. Meanwhile, the ratio of long-term debt on total assets has a negative impact on the performance of garment businesses at the statistically significant level of 5%.

scholarly journals Impact of Capital Structure on The Financial Performance of Listed Financial Institutions in Nigeria

2022 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard Wilson ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Total Debt ◽  
Detrimental Impact

The influence of capital structure on deposit money bank financial performance was explored in this study. The secondary data was gathered from the annual reports and accounts of the 14 sampled Deposit Money Banks from 2014 to 2018, and generalized least square multiple regression was used to evaluate the secondary data. According to the findings, total debt to total assets, total debt to total equity, and long-term debt to total assets have little bearing on the financial performance of Nigerian banks. The study also discovered that the ratio of short-term debt to total assets has a considerable influence on a bank's financial success. In light of the findings, it is suggested that bank management strive diligently to reduce the short-term debt to total assets component of their capital structure, since this has a detrimental impact on their financial performance. They also have a tendency to enhance the ratio of total debt to total assets since it improves their financial performance. Long-term debt to total assets ratios should be reduced in capital structure components since they have a negative impact on financial performance.

scholarly journals The Influence of Capital Structure on Stock Returns – An Empirical Study on Industrial Companies

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 362
Author(s):  
Mohammed Jamal AlZou’bi ◽  
Ammar Daher Bashatweh ◽  
Laith Faris Abu Khader
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Study ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Industrial Companies ◽  
Total Debt ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to examine the influence of Capital Structure on Stock Returns in Industrial Jordanian companies listed in ASE. The data collected for 60 Industrial companies in the ASE listed during 2014 – 2018. The study concluded that the Long term debt to equity, Short term debt to equity, and total debt to total assets have a positive effect on stock return and the conclusions advise that industrial companies in Jordan must focus on short-term borrowing and reduce the long-term borrowing to avoid the company's inability to afford more interests.

scholarly journals Corruption, Provincial Institutions and Capital Structure: New Evidence From a Transitional Economy

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Trung Thanh
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Robust Tests ◽  
First Time ◽  
New Evidence

Using a unique firm-provincial level panel dataset from 2005 to 2011, this study for the first time investigates the role played by corruption and provincial institutions in determining a company’s capital structure in Vietnam’s legal environment. Contrasting to the majority of previous studies, the results show that corruption has an insignificant influence on a company’s bank loans, consistent with institutional theory. However, the role of corruption is different for types of various capital structures after controlling for both unobservable characteristics and endogeneity problems. More specifically, corruption has significantly positive influence on short-term capital structure, but a negative impact on long-term loans. All of these results hold after a series of robust tests.  

scholarly journals VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP INDEKS SAHAM SYARIAH INDONESIA (PERIODE MEI 2011-SEPTEMBER 2015 DENGAN MODEL ECM)

Media Trend ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 117
Author(s):  
Yudhistira Ardana
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Model Error ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Interest Rate

<em>This study aimed to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on Indonesian Islamic stock index. Macroeconomic variables used is the interest rate of Bank Indonesia (BI-rate), inflation, exchange rate, Bank Indonesia Certificates Sharia (SBIS) and world oil prices. The data used in this research is secondary data during the period May 2011 until September 2015 using a model error correction model (ECM) where the end result is going to measure the effect of macroeconomic variables on Indonesian Sharia Stock Index in the short term and long term.</em>

scholarly journals ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM) PERIODE TAHUN 1994.1–2005.4

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 3
Author(s):  
Firdayetti SE, MSi ◽  
Michel Toni Adrianto
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
National Income ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Interest Rate

<p>The aim of the implementation of this research was to know whether the national income, the interest rate of the fixed deposit, and the interest rate of credit had the influence that was significant or not towards consumption in Indonesia, and whether being gotten by long-term and short relations towards consumption. The methodology that was utilised in this research was the Error Correction Model method (ECM) that from the OLS method, with before carried out steps as follows, that is the test, the integration test and the test of the co-integration approach of the unit root. And the data that was used in this research was the secondary data in a kwartalan manner in the period 1994:1 up to 2005:4. Was based on results of the research that was carried out, then could be concluded that results of the test of the unit root, showed all variable was not yet stationary and just was stationary in the level test of the integration. While results of the co-integration test showed the stationary consumption model so as to be able to be carried out by the test of ECM. And the results of the Error Correction Model test (ECM) showed that in the long term the national income variable had the influence that was significant towards consumption. The interest rate of the Fixed Deposit in the long term and short-term did not have the influence on consumption. The interest rate of Credit in the long term and short-term also did not have the influence that was significant towards consumption.</p><p>Keywords :Real Consumption, Real GDP, Deposit Interest Rate, Credit Interest </p>

HUBUNGAN ANTARA CONSUMPTION ABROAD (MODA 2) DENGAN COMMERCIAL PRESENCE (MODA 3) DI SEKTOR JASA PARIWISATA INDONESIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-62
Author(s):  
Muhammad Fawaiq
Keyword(s):  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Mode 2 ◽  
Variable Mode ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Mode 3

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis hubungan antara Moda 2 dan Moda 3 dalam perdagangan internasional di sektor jasa pariwisata. Metode penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Panel Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Granger. Data yang digunakan adalah data kedatangan wisatawan mancanegara dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) jasa hotel dan restoran tahun 1997-2014 di Bali, Jakarta, Kepulauan Riau dan Sumatera Utara. Daerah-daerah ini berkontribusi sebesar 81,26% dari total kedatangan wisatawan mancanegara di Indonesia dan 68% terhadap total FDI di jasa hotel dan restoran Indonesia. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tidak terdapat hubungan kausalitas jangka pendek antara kedua variabel tetapi terdapat hubungan jangka panjang satu arah yaitu variabel Moda 3 dipengaruhi oleh variabel Moda 2. Hasil pengujian pada gabungan antara jangka panjang dan jangka pendek menujukkan bahwa variabel Moda 3 secara kuat dipengaruhi oleh variabel Moda 2. Dengan demikian diketahui bahwa semakin banyak jumlah wisatawan mancanegara yang datang ke Indonesia maka akan mendorong meningkatnya FDI di jasa hotel dan restoran, tetapi meningkatnya FDI di jasa tersebut tidak signifikan berpengaruh terhadap masuknya jumlah wisatawan mancanegara. This paper examines the relationship between Mode 2 and Mode 3 of international trade in tourism sector. The method used is the Panel Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Granger. The data used in this study were the number of foreign tourist arrivals and the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in some hotels and restaurants during 1997-2014 in Bali, Jakarta, Riau Islands and Nort Sumatera.These regions contributed for 81.26% out of the total tourist arrivals in Indonesia and 68% of the total FDI in the services of hotels and restaurants Indonesia. The results using VECM Granger demonstrated that there was no short-term causality relationship between these two variables but they had a long-term causality relationship that the Moda 3 was affected by the variable mode 2. Test results on a combination of long-term and short-term showed that the variable mode 3 was strongly influenced by variable mode 2. Thus, it is known that the more foreign tourists coming to Indonesia, the more FDI we gained from the service of hotels and restaurants, but this increase does not significantly affect the number of foreign tourists.

scholarly journals The interplay of gender, social context, and long-term unemployment effects on subjective health trajectories

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Altweck ◽  
Stefanie Hahm ◽  
Holger Muehlan ◽  
Tobias Gfesser ◽  
Christine Ulke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Life Satisfaction ◽  
Social Context ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Subjective Health ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Self Rated Health ◽  
Health Trajectories ◽  
Lower Baseline ◽  
Baseline Values

Abstract Background While a strong negative impact of unemployment on health has been established, the present research examined the lesser studied interplay of gender, social context and job loss on health trajectories. Methods Data from the German Socio-Economic Panel was used, which provided a representative sample of 6838 participants. Using latent growth modelling the effects of gender, social context (East vs. West Germans), unemployment (none, short-term or long-term), and their interactions were examined on health (single item measures of self-rated health and life satisfaction respectively). Results Social context in general significantly predicted the trajectories of self-rated health and life satisfaction. Most notably, data analysis revealed that West German women reported significantly lower baseline values of self-rated health following unemployment and did not recover to the levels of their East German counterparts. Only long-term, not short-term unemployment was related to lower baseline values of self-rated health, whereas, in relation to baseline values of life satisfaction, both types of unemployment had a similar negative effect. Conclusions In an economic crisis, individuals who already carry a higher burden, and not only those most directly affected economically, may show the greatest health effects.

العلاقة التبادلية بين سعر الصرف وأسعار الأسهم دراسة تطبيقية في سوق اسطنبول للأوراق المالية للمدة 2005-2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
سعدالله ألنعيمي
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Reciprocal Relationship ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Theoretical Interpretation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The study aims to analyzing the reciprocal relationship between the nominal exchange rate of the Turkish lira versus the U.S. dollar and the stock prices of the companies listed on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) expressed in the general market index for the period from 2005 to 2020 with 192 monthly observations, based on the traditional theory and the theory of portfolio balance model in theoretical interpretation for that relationship, aiming to identify the effect of the exchange rate on stock prices, as well as to analyze the causal relationship between those variables and to identify which of them is the cause or which is the result, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The research found that the exchange rate has a positive effect on stock prices in the long term, despite the emergence of the negative impact in the short term, but the long-term relationship has corrected the course of the short-term relationship with a time period not exceeding one month, in addition to proving that this relationship takes one direction. From the exchange rate towards stock prices, that is, the exchange rate is the reason and stock prices are the result, therefore the results of this research helps investors to predict future trends of stock prices depending on the exchange rate changes, and it also enables the companies, especially those with foreign transactions, to manage price risks the exchange rate in order to avoid its negative impact on its share price, as it represents an obstacle to achieving its main goal of maximizing the share price

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