scholarly journals Development and Performance of a Web-Based Tool to Adjust Urine Toxicology Testing Frequency: Retrospective Study

10.2196/16069 ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. e16069
Author(s):  
Kenneth B Chapman ◽  
Martijn M Pas ◽  
Diana Abrar ◽  
Wesley Day ◽  
Kris C Vissers ◽  
...  

Background Several pain management guidelines recommend regular urine drug testing (UDT) in patients who are being treated with chronic opioid analgesic therapy (COAT) to monitor compliance and improve safety. Guidelines also recommend more frequent testing in patients who are at high risk of adverse events related to COAT; however, there is no consensus on how to identify high-risk patients or on the testing frequency that should be used. Using previously described clinical risk factors for UDT results that are inconsistent with the prescribed COAT, we developed a web-based tool to adjust drug testing frequency in patients treated with COAT. Objective The objective of this study was to evaluate a risk stratification tool, the UDT Randomizer, to adjust UDT frequency in patients treated with COAT. Methods Patients were stratified using an algorithm based on readily available clinical risk factors into categories of presumed low, moderate, high, and high+ risk of presenting with UDT results inconsistent with the prescribed COAT. The algorithm was integrated in a website to facilitate adoption across practice sites. To test the performance of this algorithm, we performed a retrospective analysis of patients treated with COAT between June 2016 and June 2017. The primary outcome was compliance with the prescribed COAT as defined by UDT results consistent with the prescribed COAT. Results 979 drug tests (867 UDT, 88.6%; 112 oral fluid testing, 11.4%) were performed in 320 patients. An inconsistent drug test result was registered in 76/979 tests (7.8%). The incidences of inconsistent test results across the risk tool categories were 7/160 (4.4%) in the low risk category, 32/349 (9.2%) in the moderate risk category, 28/338 (8.3%) in the high risk category, and 9/132 (6.8%) in the high+ risk category. Generalized estimating equation analysis demonstrated that the moderate risk (odds ratio (OR) 2.1, 95% CI 0.9-5.0; P=.10), high risk (OR 2.0, 95% CI 0.8-5.0; P=.14), and high risk+ (OR 2.0, 95% CI 0.7-5.6; P=.20) categories were associated with a nonsignificantly increased risk of inconsistency vs the low risk category. Conclusions The developed tool stratified patients during individual visits into risk categories of presenting with drug testing results inconsistent with the prescribed COAT; the higher risk categories showed nonsignificantly higher risk compared to the low risk category. Further development of the tool with additional risk factors in a larger cohort may further clarify and enhance its performance.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth B Chapman ◽  
Martijn M Pas ◽  
Diana Abrar ◽  
Wesley Day ◽  
Kris C Vissers ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Several pain management guidelines recommend regular urine drug testing (UDT) in patients who are being treated with chronic opioid analgesic therapy (COAT) to monitor compliance and improve safety. Guidelines also recommend more frequent testing in patients who are at high risk of adverse events related to COAT; however, there is no consensus on how to identify high-risk patients or on the testing frequency that should be used. Using previously described clinical risk factors for UDT results that are inconsistent with the prescribed COAT, we developed a web-based tool to adjust drug testing frequency in patients treated with COAT. OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to evaluate a risk stratification tool, the UDT Randomizer, to adjust UDT frequency in patients treated with COAT. METHODS Patients were stratified using an algorithm based on readily available clinical risk factors into categories of presumed low, moderate, high, and high+ risk of presenting with UDT results inconsistent with the prescribed COAT. The algorithm was integrated in a website to facilitate adoption across practice sites. To test the performance of this algorithm, we performed a retrospective analysis of patients treated with COAT between June 2016 and June 2017. The primary outcome was compliance with the prescribed COAT as defined by UDT results consistent with the prescribed COAT. RESULTS 979 drug tests (867 UDT, 88.6%; 112 oral fluid testing, 11.4%) were performed in 320 patients. An inconsistent drug test result was registered in 76/979 tests (7.8%). The incidences of inconsistent test results across the risk tool categories were 7/160 (4.4%) in the low risk category, 32/349 (9.2%) in the moderate risk category, 28/338 (8.3%) in the high risk category, and 9/132 (6.8%) in the high+ risk category. Generalized estimating equation analysis demonstrated that the moderate risk (odds ratio (OR) 2.1, 95% CI 0.9-5.0; <i>P</i>=.10), high risk (OR 2.0, 95% CI 0.8-5.0; <i>P</i>=.14), and high risk+ (OR 2.0, 95% CI 0.7-5.6; <i>P</i>=.20) categories were associated with a nonsignificantly increased risk of inconsistency vs the low risk category. CONCLUSIONS The developed tool stratified patients during individual visits into risk categories of presenting with drug testing results inconsistent with the prescribed COAT; the higher risk categories showed nonsignificantly higher risk compared to the low risk category. Further development of the tool with additional risk factors in a larger cohort may further clarify and enhance its performance.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 4545-4545
Author(s):  
Massimo Breccia ◽  
Matteo Molica ◽  
Irene Zacheo ◽  
Giuliana Alimena

Abstract Nilotinib is currently approved for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) in chronic (CP) and accelerated phase (AP) after failure of imatinib and in newly diagnosed patients. Atherosclerotic events were retrospectively reported in patients with baseline cardiovascular risk factors during nilotinib treatment. We estimated the risk of developing atherosclerotic events in patients treated with second or first line nilotinib, with a median follow-up of 48 months, by retrospectively applying the SCORE chart proposed by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and evaluating risk factors at baseline (diabetes, obesity, smoking and hypertension). Overall, we enrolled in the study 82 CP patients treated frontline (42 patients, at the dose of 300 mg BID) or after failure of other tyrosine kinase inhibitors (40 patients, treated with 400 mg BID). The SCORE chart is based on the stratification of sex (male vs female), age (from 40 to 65 years), smoker vs non-smoker, systolic pressure (from 120 to 180 mm Hg) and cholesterol (measured in mmol/l, from 150 to 300 mg/dl). For statistical purposes we considered patients subdivided in low, moderate, high and very high risk. There were 48 males and 34 females, median age 51 years (range 22-84). According to WHO classification, 42 patients were classified as normal weight (BMI < 25), 26 patients were overweight (BMI 26- <30) and 14 were obese (BMI > 30). Retrospective classification according to the SCORE chart revealed that 27 patients (33%) were in the low risk category, 30 patients (36%) in the moderate risk category and 24 patients (29%) in the high risk category. As regards risk factors, we revealed that 17 patients (20.7%) had a concomitant type II controlled diabetes (without organ damage), 23 patients (28%) were smokers, 29 patients (35%) were receiving concomitant drugs for hypertension, 15 patients (18%) had concomitant dyslipidaemia. Overall, the cumulative incidence of atherosclerotic events at 48 months was 8.5% (95% CI: 4.55-14.07): none of the low-risk patients according to the SCORE chart experienced atherosclerotic events compared to 10% in the moderate risk and 29% in the high risk category (p=0.002). Atherosclerotic-free survival was 100%, 89% and 69% in the low, moderate and high-risk population, respectively (p=0.001). SCORE chart evaluation at disease baseline could be a valid tool to identify patients at high risk of atherosclerotic events during nilotinib treatment. Disclosures Breccia: novartis: Consultancy; BMS: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy.


2021 ◽  
pp. 097275312110000
Author(s):  
Kanupriya Sharma ◽  
Priya Battu ◽  
Akshay Anand ◽  
Raghuram Nagarathna ◽  
Navneet Kaur ◽  
...  

Background: Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) is a screening tool for quantifying the risk of diabetes mellitus (DM) development in the Indian population. The present study has evaluated the level of risk of developing DM in Chandigarh and Panchkula based on the IDRS score. Methods: As a part of a national diabetes control trial funded by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW) and the Ministry of AYUSH, Government of India, 1,916 participants from the Chandigarh and Panchkula regions were assessed for the risk of developing DM. Risk assessment was done on the basis of the IDRS score which includes age, family history, waist circumference, and physical activity as its contributing factors. Participants with an IDRS score <30 were in the low-risk category, those with 30 to 50 were in the moderate-risk category, and those with >60 were in the high-risk category for DM. Results: Out of the 1,916 screened respondents (59.86% females and 40.14% males), 894 participants (46.65%) were at a high risk for DM (IDRS >60), 764 (39.87%) were at a moderate risk (IDRS = 30–60), and 258 (13.46%) were at a low risk (IDRS <30). Waist circumference contributed to 35.90% of the high-risk category followed by age (19.67%) and physical activity (11.67%). Age and waist circumference also showed a strong correlation with the total IDRS score. Conclusion: The Chandigarh and Panchkula population showed a high tendency to develop DM based on the IDRS score. Modifiable risk factors such as waist circumference and physical activity were the major contributing factors. Apart from the modifiable risk factors, age was also another major contributing risk factor. Based on these outcomes, lifestyle modifications like yoga and exercise can be proposed for this population as a preventive approach to reduce the risk of developing DM and other associated cerebrovascular complications.


PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e11092
Author(s):  
Mutsuaki Edama ◽  
Hiromi Inaba ◽  
Fumi Hoshino ◽  
Saya Natsui ◽  
Sae Maruyama ◽  
...  

Background This study aimed to clarify the relationship between the triad risk assessment score and the sports injury rate in 116 female college athletes (average age, 19.8 ± 1.3 years) in seven sports at the national level of competition; 67 were teenagers, and 49 were in their 20s. Methods Those with menstrual deficiency for >3 months or <6 menses in 12 months were classified as amenorrheic athletes. Low energy availability was defined as adolescent athletes having a body weight <85% of ideal body weight, and for adult athletes in their 20s, a body mass index ≤17.5 kg/m2. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured on the heel of the right leg using an ultrasonic bone densitometer. Low BMD was defined as a BMD Z-score <−1.0. The total score for each athlete was calculated. The cumulative risk assessment was defined as follows: low risk (a total score of 0–1), moderate risk (2–5), and high risk (6). The injury survey recorded injuries referring to the injury survey items used by the International Olympic Committee. Results In swimming, significantly more athletes were in the low-risk category than in the moderate and high-risk categories (p = 0.004). In long-distance athletics, significantly more athletes were in the moderate-risk category than in the low and high-risk categories (p = 0.004). In the moderate and high-risk categories, significantly more athletes were in the injury group, whereas significantly more athletes in the low-risk category were in the non-injury group (p = 0.01). Significantly more athletes at moderate and high-risk categories had bone stress fractures and bursitis than athletes at low risk (p = 0.023). Discussion These results suggest that athletes with relative energy deficiency may have an increased injury risk.


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominic McGovern ◽  
Jennifer Lees ◽  
Dana Kidder ◽  
James Smith ◽  
Jamie Traynor ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Outcomes in ANCA vasculitis remain difficult to predict and therapeutic decision-making can be challenging. We aimed to establish if a renal risk score (RRS) could predict outcomes in this population. Method The Scottish Renal Biopsy Registry is a complete national dataset of all renal biopsies performed in Scotland. Those who had a first renal biopsy between 01/01/2014 and 31/12/2017 with evidence of ANCA vasculitis were included. Demographic data, treatment regimens, episodes of relapse and patient and kidney survival were recorded, retrospectively. The RRS was calculated using the system proposed by Brix et al (1). Each patient was categorised according to % of normal glomeruli (N0 &gt;25%, N1 10 to 25%, N2 &lt;10%), % of tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T0 ≤25%, T1 &gt;25%) and eGFR (CKD-EPI) at time of biopsy (eGFR: G0 &gt;15 mL/min/1.73 m2, G1 ≤15 mL/min/1.73 m2). Individual scores were summated and patients defined as low, medium or high risk. Cox proportional hazard models were created for survival to ESKD, relapse and death, stratified by risk category. Analyses were conducted using R statistical software. Results Two-hundred and forty-six patients with biopsy proven ANCA vasculitis were identified. Fifty percent (n=123), 46% (n=112) and 5% (n=11) were stratified as low, medium and high risk respectively. Fifty-two percent (n=129) were male and mean age at biopsy was 66.7±12.2 years. This was similar across the risk categories. Mean eGFR was lower in the high-risk category (High risk 8.6±6.1 ‘v’ Low risk 45.7±26.0 ml/min/1.73m2, p&lt;0.001) and proteinuria was higher (High risk 405 (IQR 170-767) ‘v’ Low risk 81 (IQR 41-155) mg/mmol, p&lt;0.001). Thirty-seven percent (n=91) were PR3 antigen positive, 2% (n=5) had dual positivity. In the high risk category, 8 (73%) were PR3 or dual positive. Eighteen (n=7%) patients experienced pulmonary haemorrhage; representation similar across all risk categories. Those categorised as medium or high risk were more likely to receive plasma exchange and/or haemodialysis at presentation (p&lt;0.001) compared with the low risk category. Overall, 16% (n=40) of patients relapsed with a trend to higher risk of relapse in the low risk group (27% of these patients, p=0.05). Thirty seven (15%) patients developed ESKD. Cox proportional hazard model for development of ESKD (Figure 1) shows that those in high risk ‘v’ low risk category were more likely to reach ESKD (HR 124.8, 95% CI 26.4-590.3, p&lt;0.001). Patient survival was similar between risk categories. Conclusion A simple RRS, using routinely reported data, in patients with renal biopsy proven ANCA vasculitis can help to predict development of ESKD. It may also be predictive of future relapse in those with a lower RRS, most likely explained by reduced irreversible damage in this group. The RRS could inform monitoring and treatment decisions. Whilst the numbers are small, a unique strength of this data is that it is based on a complete national dataset making it less susceptible to bias from regional variations in diagnostic and therapeutic practice.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 431-431
Author(s):  
Paola Guglielmelli ◽  
Flavia Biamonte ◽  
Arturo Pereira ◽  
Johannah Score ◽  
Carmela Mannarelli ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 431 Background. Primary myelofibrosis (PMF) has the worst prognosis among myeloproliferative neoplasms with median overall survival (OS) of 4.6y in the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) series (Cervantes F, Blood 2009;113:2895) and 6.5y in patients (pts) seen more recently (Cervantes F, JCO, 2012 in press). OS is predicted by the four risk categories of IPSS, dynamic-IPSS and IPSS-plus system, and these scores are used for therapeutic choices particularly allogeneic stem cell transplantation. Nevertheless, pts heterogeneity still remains within these categories, necessitating improved risk stratification. A number of molecular abnormalities have been reported in PMF pts, but their prognostic relevance is incompletely understood, particularly with regard to transformation to leukemia (AL). The aim of this work was to analyze the prognostic impact of known mutations detected close to diagnosis in an international series of 429 pts. Patients and methods. PMF diagnosis had to satisfy the 2008 WHO criteria. Mutations in JAK2V617F, MPLW515, EZH2, ASXL1, TET2, IDH1/2, DNMT3A, CBL, SRSF2 were genotyped in whole blood or granulocytes using allele specific RTQ-PCR, HRM and direct sequencing; all mutations were confirmed at least twice. Missense, nonsense and frameshift mutations were considered; in case of novel mutations, SNPs were excluded by database searching and when feasible by germline DNA genotyping. The prognostic value of the molecular variables with regard to overall survival (OS) was analyzed by Cox regression and adjusted for the IPSS category. The association of molecular features with the risk of progression to AL was investigated in the framework of competing risks by the Fine & Gray regression method. Replicability of the prognostic models for both OS and progression to AL was assessed by replication in 1000 bootstrap samples randomly taken from the original series. Results. Patient median age was 60y. Median follow-up was 3.7y (95% CI, 0.02–27.9), death occurred in 157 pts (32%). Frequency of pts with constitutional symptoms was 28%, splenomegaly 74%, anemia 27%, leukocytosis 8%, >1% blasts 16%, thrombocytopenia 12%. Abnormal karyotype was found in 24% (of 229 evaluated). IPSS risk category: low-risk 35%, Int-1 30%, Int-2 21%, High-risk 14%. Frequency of mutations was: JAK2V617F 59.8% with 49% of pts having <25% allele burden; MPLW515 14%; EZH2 5%; ASXL1 21.3%; TET2 9.5%; IDH1-2 2.4%; DNMT3A 5.6%; CBL 4.3%; SRSF2 8.4%. Survival Model. Median survival was 9.7y (CI, 7.9–12.2), 22y in low-risk, 10y Int-1, 6.2y Int-2, 2.5y high-risk (P<0.0001). We found a strong association between IPSS risk categories and ASXL1 and SRSF2 mutated cases that clustered in the high-risk category (41.5% and 25.4%, respectively, P<0.001). ASXL1 mutations were associated with leukocytosis, blasts and constitutional symptoms; mutations in SRSF2 with older age, leukocytosis and symptoms. No other relevant associations between IPSS and molecular parameters was found. In the final prognostic model, only mutations in ASXL1 (Hazard ratio, HR:2.02; P<0.001) were found to add to IPSS (HR: 2.40; P<0.001) with regards to OS independently of the association of ASXL1 mutations and high-risk category. Within the Int-2/high-risk category, ASXL1 mutations were associated with significantly shorter survival (median survival 2.6 years months for mutated versus 5.8 years for unmutated; P=0.0004). According to bootstrap analysis, ASXL1 mutations were selected as significant predictor for OS in 74.6% of the samples. Leukemia Model. AL occurred in 75 pts (15.2%) after of a median of 3.8y (95%, 0.04–26.5) from diagnosis. Mutations in ASXL1 and IDH1/2 were the only molecular variables associated with higher risk of AL with a SHR of 2.33 (P<0.001) and 3.63 (P=0.008), respectively. Bootstrap validation approach resulted in ASXL1 and IDH1/2 mutations being significant predictors for AL in 60% and 54% of the samples, respectively. Conclusions. In this comprehensive series of mutations profiled in PMF pts, mutations in ASXL1 emerged as a powerful prognostic variable for survival refining prognosis in the Int-2/high risk IPSS categories. ASXL1 and IDH1/2 mutations predicted for death due to AL. Therefore, genotyping for ASXL1 and IDH1-2 mutations at diagnosis may help to tailor therapy for pts with IPSS Int-2/high risk PMF. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandra Chamat-Hedemand ◽  
Niels Eske Bruun ◽  
Lauge Østergaard ◽  
Magnus Arpi ◽  
Emil Fosbøl ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Infective endocarditis (IE) is diagnosed in 7–8% of streptococcal bloodstream infections (BSIs), yet it is unclear when to perform transthoracic (TTE) and transoesophageal echocardiography (TOE) according to different streptococcal species. The aim of this sub-study was to propose a flowchart for the use of echocardiography in streptococcal BSIs. Methods In a population-based setup, we investigated all patients admitted with streptococcal BSIs and crosslinked data with nationwide registries to identify comorbidities and concomitant hospitalization with IE. Streptococcal species were divided in four groups based on the crude risk of being diagnosed with IE (low-risk < 3%, moderate-risk 3–10%, high-risk 10–30% and very high-risk > 30%). Based on number of positive blood culture (BC) bottles and IE risk factors (prosthetic valve, previous IE, native valve disease, and cardiac device), we further stratified cases according to probability of concomitant IE diagnosis to create a flowchart suggesting TTE plus TOE (IE > 10%), TTE (IE 3–10%), or “wait & see” (IE < 3%). Results We included 6393 cases with streptococcal BSIs (mean age 68.1 years [SD 16.2], 52.8% men). BSIs with low-risk streptococci (S. pneumoniae, S. pyogenes, S. intermedius) are not initially recommended echocardiography, unless they have ≥3 positive BC bottles and an IE risk factor. Moderate-risk streptococci (S. agalactiae, S. anginosus, S. constellatus, S. dysgalactiae, S. salivarius, S. thermophilus) are guided to “wait & see” strategy if they neither have a risk factor nor ≥3 positive BC bottles, while a TTE is recommended if they have either ≥3 positive BC bottles or a risk factor. Further, a TTE and TOE are recommended if they present with both. High-risk streptococci (S. mitis/oralis, S. parasanguinis, G. adiacens) are directed to a TTE if they neither have a risk factor nor ≥3 positive BC bottles, but to TTE and TOE if they have either ≥3 positive BC bottles or a risk factor. Very high-risk streptococci (S. gordonii, S. gallolyticus, S. mutans, S. sanguinis) are guided directly to TTE and TOE due to a high baseline IE prevalence. Conclusion In addition to the clinical picture, this flowchart based on streptococcal species, number of positive blood culture bottles, and risk factors, can help guide the use of echocardiography in streptococcal bloodstream infections. Since echocardiography results are not available the findings should be confirmed prospectively with the use of systematic echocardiography.


Author(s):  
Nazia N. Shaik ◽  
Swapna M. Jaswanth ◽  
Shashikala Manjunatha

Background: Diabetes is one of the largest global health emergencies of the 21st century. As per International Federation of Diabetes some 425 million people worldwide are estimated to have diabetes. The prevalence is higher in urban versus rural (10.2% vs 6.9%). India had 72.9 million people living with diabetes of which, 57.9% remained undiagnosed as per the 2017 data. The objectives of the present study were to identify subjects who at risk of developing Diabetes by using Indian diabetes risk score (IDRS) in the Urban field practice area of Rajarajeswari Medical College and Hospital (RRMCH).Methods: A cross sectional study was conducted using a Standard questionnaire of IDRS on 150 individuals aged ≥20 years residing in the Urban field practice area of RRMCH. The subjects with score <30, 30-50, >or =60 were categorized as having low risk, moderate risk and high risk for developing diabetes type-2 respectively.Results: Out of total 150 participants, 36 (24%) were in high-risk category (IDRS≥60), the majority of participants 61 (41%) were in the moderate-risk category (IDRS 30–50) and 53 (35%) participants were found to be at low-risk (<30) for diabetes. Statistical significant asssociation was found between IDRS and gender, literacy status, body mass index (p<0.0000l).Conclusions: It is essential to implement IDRS which is a simple tool for identifying subjects who are at risk for developing diabetes so that proper intervention can be carried out at the earliest to reduce the burden of diabetes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 254-260 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisca Caimari ◽  
Laura Cristina Hernández-Ramírez ◽  
Mary N Dang ◽  
Plamena Gabrovska ◽  
Donato Iacovazzo ◽  
...  

BackgroundPredictive tools to identify patients at risk for gene mutations related to pituitary adenomas are very helpful in clinical practice. We therefore aimed to develop and validate a reliable risk category system for aryl hydrocarbon receptor-interacting protein (AIP) mutations in patients with pituitary adenomas.MethodsAn international cohort of 2227 subjects were consecutively recruited between 2007 and 2016, including patients with pituitary adenomas (familial and sporadic) and their relatives. All probands (n=1429) were screened for AIP mutations, and those diagnosed with a pituitary adenoma prospectively, as part of their clinical screening (n=24), were excluded from the analysis. Univariate analysis was performed comparing patients with and without AIP mutations. Based on a multivariate logistic regression model, six potential factors were identified for the development of a risk category system, classifying the individual risk into low-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk categories. An internal cross-validation test was used to validate the system.Results1405 patients had a pituitary tumour, of which 43% had a positive family history, 55.5% had somatotrophinomas and 81.5% presented with macroadenoma. Overall, 134 patients had an AIP mutation (9.5%). We identified four independent predictors for the presence of an AIP mutation: age of onset providing an odds ratio (OR) of 14.34 for age 0-18 years, family history (OR 10.85), growth hormone excess (OR 9.74) and large tumour size (OR 4.49). In our cohort, 71% of patients were identified as low risk (<5% risk of AIP mutation), 9.2% as moderate risk and 20% as high risk (≥20% risk). Excellent discrimination (c-statistic=0.87) and internal validation were achieved.ConclusionWe propose a user-friendly risk categorisation system that can reliably group patients into high-risk, moderate-risk and low-risk groups for the presence of AIP mutations, thus providing guidance in identifying patients at high risk of carrying an AIP mutation. This risk score is based on a cohort with high prevalence of AIP mutations and should be applied cautiously in other populations.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 404-404
Author(s):  
Guido Finazzi ◽  
Alessandra Carobbio ◽  
Paola Guglielmelli ◽  
Elisa Rumi ◽  
Silvia Salmoiraghi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background An International Prognostic Score for the risk of thrombosis (IPSET-thrombosis) in Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) was developed (Barbui et al. Blood, 2012;120:5128). Risk factors included: age >60 years (1 point), cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (1 point), previous thrombosis (2 points) and the presence of JAK2V617F mutation (2 points). Low, intermediate and high risk categories were identified by scores 0-1; 2; and ≥ 3, respectively. Mutations in the exon 9 of CALreticulin (CALR) gene were recently identified in about 50-60% of patients with JAK2V617F negative ET and associated with a reduced thrombotic risk as compared with JAK2V617F positive patients. Aim To evaluate whether the identification of CALRmutation in patients with ET has any impact on the IPSET-thrombosis score Patients and Methods Under the auspices of AGIMM (AIRC Gruppo Italiano Malattie Mieloproliferative), four Italian centers with recognized experience in myeloproliferative neoplasms participated in the current study. Overall, 1,150 patients who met the 2008 WHO criteria for ET and were molecularly characterized for JAK2V617F, MPLW515L/K and CALR exon 9 mutations were included. The JAK2 and MPL mutations were assessed by real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and by high-resolution melting analysis followed by bidirectional Sanger sequencing. Mutations in exon 9 of CALRwere assessed by bidirectional sequencing or next generation sequencing. Results Presenting features of the study population were: median age 58 years (range 5th-95th percentile 27-82 years; 65% females), median hemoglobin 14.1 g/dL (range 5th-95th percentile 11.8-16.3), median leukocyte count 8.7x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 5.4-14.7), median platelet count 718x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 486-1313). CV risk factors (at least one among smoke, diabetes and hypertension) were present in 568 (49%) patients. Arterial or venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 167 (15%) patients. JAK2V17F, MPLW515L/K and CALRmutations were detected in 744 (65%), 44 (4%) and 164 (14%) patients respectively. The remaining 198 patients (17%) were wild-type for all three mutations. During a median follow-up of 4.1 years (range 0-29), 104 patients developed an arterial or venous thrombotic event, with a total incidence rate of 1.59% patients/year (pt-ys). The IPSET-thrombosis ability to discriminate the thrombotic risk was confirmed. In fact, in the low risk (reference category), the rate was 0.57% pt-ys; in the intermediate risk was 1.60% pt-ys (Hazard Ratio (HR) 3.10, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.55-6.18, p=0.001) and in the high risk group was 2.34% pts-yr (HR 4.59, 95% CI 2.41-8.77 p<0.0001). As to the impact of CALR mutation in the three categories of the IPSET-thrombosis score, we observed that CALR mutated patients were more frequently distributed in the low risk (48%) and intermediate risk (46%) than in the high risk IPSET groups (6%). In univariate analysis, patients carrying CALR mutation had a lower incidence of thrombosis than those with JAK2V617F (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.34-1.09, p=0.093). However, CALR mutated patients were significantly younger (median age 53.5 versus 60.8 years, p=0.001) and presented with less previous thrombosis (8% versus 17%, p=0.005) than JAK2V617F mutated patients. This could explain why in multivariable models, CALR mutation did not retain the association with the risk of thrombosis. This was demonstrated in the whole population (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.30-2.17, p=0.674), as well as in the low risk (HR 1.01, range 0.27-3.81, p=0.987) and intermediate risk categories (HR 1.80, range 0.57-5.72, p=0.317); the high risk category was not evaluable for the low proportion of CALRmutated patients in this group. Conclusions CALR mutation does not have a significant impact on the IPSET-thrombosis prognostic score. The score can be used as it is to predict the risk of thrombosis in molecularly-annotated, WHO-2008 diagnosed ET patients. Disclosures Vannucchi: Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.


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