MECHANISMS FOR NEUTRALIZING HYBRID THREATS TO RUSSIAN NATIONAL SECURITY WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF AN INVERSE VECTOR MODEL

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 88-103
Author(s):  
A.S. MAKSIMOV ◽  
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Limited Resource ◽  
Vector Model ◽  
Resource Base ◽  
Strategic Approach ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Hybrid Threats ◽  
Hybrid War ◽  
Vector Approach

The article is devoted to the development of relevant mechanisms for neutralizing hybrid threats based on the author's inverse vector model. The purpose of the study is to demonstrate the possibilities of the vector approach in the development of relevant mechanisms for ensuring Russia's national security in the spiritual and socio-cultural spheres in the context of a hybrid war being waged against it. In preparing the article, the approaches and methods of political science were used. The article proposes the author's inverse vector model and the mechanisms based on it for neutralizing hybrid threats to Russia's national security. The proposed model takes into account the specifics of the hybrid confrontation between the collective West and Russia, the possibilities of a vector approach to the development of hybrid war problems, the limited resource base for full-scale countering hybrid threats in all areas known to specialists. The novelty of the research, the results of which are presented in this article, are the analysis of the applicability of the vector approach to the problem of hybrid war, the development of an inverse vector model and the determination of the possibility of its application to the development of effective mechanisms for countering hybrid threats, its verification, a number of practical recommendations regarding the functional content of the proposed mechanism for neutralization of threats in the spiritual and sociocultural sphere. The findings of the study can contribute to the development of an integrated strategic approach to ensuring Russia's national security in the context of a hybrid confrontation with the West.

THREATS TO NATIONAL SECURITY OF RUSSIA IN THE CONTEXT OF A HYBRID WAR

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 109-130
Author(s):  
A.S. MAKSIMOV ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Synergistic Effect ◽  
National Security ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Information ◽  
Hybrid Threats ◽  
Hybrid War ◽  
Political Economic ◽  
Verbal Model

This article is devoted to identifying and characterizing the threat to national security of Russian Federation in the context of a hybrid war. The main aim of the study is to assume that the huge problem for national security of Russia today is the threat of a hybrid nature. This paper proposes the author's classification of hybrid threats, which made it possible to distinguish five functional groups of threats («triads») ‒ in the spiritual and socio-cultural, military-political, economic, information and international legal spheres. The specificity of the «triads» is that each of the three elements of the «triad» is capable of producing the appearance of the second and third elements of the «triad» and maintaining their activity. A variant of ranking «triads» according to the level of their threat intensity is presented, the rates of their intensification in the short term were determined. According to the author's conclusions, the synchronous activity of the «triads» creates a synergistic effect, exerting a complicated negative impact on the state of national security of Russia. The novelty of the research, the results of which are presented in the article, are the classification of hybrid threats and the verbal model of the functioning of the «triads» of threats. The findings of the study can contribute to the development of effective techniques and strategies for countering hybrid threats to national security of Russia.

scholarly journals “Hybrid Threats” to Russia’s Security: Identification and Counteraction

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 44-71
Author(s):  
S. I. Kodaneva
Keyword(s):  
Roman Empire ◽  
National Security ◽  
Soft Power ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Mutual Influence ◽  
Grey Zone ◽  
Hybrid Warfare ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Hybrid Threats ◽  
Hybrid War

In the scientific literature, it is customary to consider and analyze war exclusively as a violent (conventional) confrontation of subjects of international politics. However, this does not take into account that modern wars are increasingly unfolding in the “grey zone”, that is, outside the framework of international law, they are conducted both in physical and in other dimensions – informational, cybernetic, cultural, cognitive – and mainly by non-military means and with the involvement of irregular formations (rebels, terrorists, etc.). As a result, today’s interstate confrontation is becoming more complex and hybrid, presenting new mechanisms for non-nuclear deterrence.It is important to understand that the inability to recognize the enemy’s ongoing war in time, to determine the direction of the strike destroyed many states, starting with the Roman Empire and ending with the USSR. This determines the relevance and timeliness of this study, which is aimed at analyzing the content of the phenomenon of hybrid war, determining the main methods of its conduct used today and proposing counteraction measures.It should be recognized that in the modern scientific literature there is no single approach to understanding what a hybrid war is, which is quite understandable precisely because of its essence – the variability and complexity of ways of it conducting, as well as flexibility and adaptability to specific circumstances. There are quite a lot of disparate studies on individual components of hybrid war, such as “soft power”, information, economic and cyberwar, “color revolutions”, etc.The subject of this research is the phenomenon of hybrid warfare, its content and specific ways of conducting hybrid warfare. The purpose of this work is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the subject of research, as well as to structure the manifestation that form the phenomenon of hybrid war in its complex, determine their correlation and mutual influence of various methods of conducting hybrid war, as well as to develop specific proposals for countering threats to Russia’s national security.The importance of developing comprehensive strategic approaches aimed primarily at identifying vulnerabilities, as well as including spiritual security as the basis of the entire security system and countering hybrid threats is emphasized.Taking into account the specified subject and purpose, the introduction reveals the relevance of the study of the phenomenon of hybrid war and the danger that this type of interstate confrontation poses for Russia. Then we analyze the concept of hybrid war and its content, as well as the four main ways of conducting it. The results of the analysis are followed by conclusions and proposals on countering threats to Russia’s national security.

scholarly journals Hybrid threats in the national security context of Nepal

Unity Journal ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 96-102
Author(s):  
Padam Kumar Angbo
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Security Policy ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Threat Assessment ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Hybrid Warfare ◽  
Intelligence System ◽  
Zero Tolerance Policy ◽  
Hybrid Threats ◽  
Hybrid War

Of late, hybrid warfare has emerged as a widely contested but practically tested war strategy anticipated in the future. This paper revolves around strategies to deter, mitigate and counter hybrid threats to national security in the context of Nepal. Prevailing geopolitical and geostrategic environments exhibit that different actors, including state and non-state hybrid strategies pose a clear challenge to Nepal's national security interests. Hence, there is a need for a national security strategy to counter hybrid threats which demands fresh thinking, expanding the traditional enemy-centric threat assessment and response. But the general understanding of hybrid warfare is underdeveloped because hybrid means are ambiguous and complex, such as unorthodox, unpredictable and constantly changing. Ultimately, developing and implementing effective national security policy, ensuring political stability, zero tolerance policy on corruption, good governance, economic and resources development, trusted law enforcement, effective stakeholders including security and intelligence system, building resilience are the best ways to prevent a hybrid war before it erupts. This article argues that Nepali Army, as a key responder, too needs to have an updated military doctrine and strategy on its role in countering it.

Science of Ahangyol and Its Importance for Modern Scientific Thought

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 473-478
Author(s):  
Ahmad Gashamoglu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Modern Science ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
New Paradigm ◽  
Islamic Philosophy ◽  
Scientific Thought ◽  
Religious Books ◽  
Strategic Approach ◽  
Scientific Potential ◽  
Made In

The Article briefly discusses the need for generation of the Science of Ahangyol, and this science’s scientific basis, object and subject, category system, scientific research methods and application options. Ahangyol is a universal science and may be useful in any sphere. It may assist in problem solving in peacemaking process and in many areas such as ecology, economics, politics, culture, management and etc. This science stipulates that any activity and any decision made in the life may only and solely be successful when they comply with harmony principles more, which are the principles of existence and activity of the world. A right strategic approach of the Eastern Philosophy and the Middle Age Islamic Philosophy and scientific thought has an important potential. This strategic approach creates opportunities to also consider irrational factors in addition to rational ones comprehensively in scientific researches. The modern scientific thought contributes to implementation of these opportunities. Ahangyol is a science of determination of ways to achieve harmony in any sphere and of creation of special methods to make progress in these ways through assistance of the modern science. Methods of the System Theory, Mathematics, IT, Astronomy, Physics, Biology, Sociology, Statistics and etc. are more extensively applied. Information is given on some of these methods. Moreover, the Science of Ahangyol, which is a new philosophical worldview and a new paradigm contributes to clarification of metaphysic views considerably and discovery of the scientific potential of religious books.

Modeling of Dynamic Loads on the Polished Rod of Pumping Unit in Case of Mulfunction of Rod Pump Operating

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 95-101
Author(s):  
A.S. Topolnikov
Keyword(s):  
Multiphase Flow ◽  
Satisfactory Agreement ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Theoretical Modeling ◽  
Dynamic Loads ◽  
Plunger Pump ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Pumping Unit ◽  
Polished Rod

The paper presents the results of theoretical modeling of joined movement of pump rods and plunger pump and multiphase flow in a well for determination of dynamic loads on the polished rod of pumping unit. The specificity of the proposed model is the possibility of taking into account for complications in rod pump operating, such as leakage in valve steam, presence of gas and emulsion, incorrect fitting of plunger inside the cylinder pump. The satisfactory agreement of results of the model simulation with filed measurements are obtained.

Task Scheduling in cloud using ACO

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuvaraj Natarajan ◽  
Srihari Kannan ◽  
Gaurav Dhiman
Keyword(s):  
Load Balancing ◽  
Task Scheduling ◽  
Limited Resource ◽  
Cloud Environment ◽  
Clear Cut ◽  
Strategic Approach ◽  
User Demand ◽  
Scheduling Strategies ◽  
Cloud Users ◽  
And Task

Background: Cloud computing is a multi-tenant model for computation that offers various features for computing and storage based on user demand. With increasing cloud users, the usage increases that highlights the problem of load balancing with limited resource availability based on dynamic cloud environment. In such cases, task scheduling creates fundamental issue in cloud environment. Introduction: Certain problems such as, inefficiencies in load balancing latency, throughput ratio, proper utilization of the cloud resources, better energy consumption and response time have been observed. These drawbacks can be efficiently resolved through the incorporation of efficient load balancing and task scheduling strategies. Method: In this paper, we develop an efficient co-operative method to solve the most recent approaches against load balancing and task scheduling have been proposed using Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). These approaches enables in the clear cut identification of the problems associated with the load balancing and task scheduling strategies in the cloud environment. Results: The simulation is conducted to find the efficacy of the improved ACO system for load balancing in cloud than the other methods. The result shows that the proposed method obtains reduced execution time, reduced cost and delay. Conclusion: A unique strategic approach is developed in this paper, Load Balancing, which works with the ACO in relation to the cloud workload balancing task through the incorporation of the ACO technique. The strategy for determining the applicant nodes is based on which the load balancing approach would essentially depend. By incorporating two different approaches: the maximum minute rules and the forward-backward ant, this reliability task can be established. This method is intended to articulate the initialization of the pheromone and thus upgrade the relevant cloud-based physical properties.

scholarly journals Modeling Population Spatial-Temporal Distribution Using Taxis Origin and Destination Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3727
Author(s):  
Fatema Rahimi ◽  
Abolghasem Sadeghi-Niaraki ◽  
Mostafa Ghodousi ◽  
Soo-Mi Choi
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Proposed Model

During dangerous circumstances, knowledge about population distribution is essential for urban infrastructure architecture, policy-making, and urban planning with the best Spatial-temporal resolution. The spatial-temporal modeling of the population distribution of the case study was investigated in the present study. In this regard, the number of generated trips and absorbed trips using the taxis pick-up and drop-off location data was calculated first, and the census population was then allocated to each neighborhood. Finally, the Spatial-temporal distribution of the population was calculated using the developed model. In order to evaluate the model, a regression analysis between the census population and the predicted population for the time period between 21:00 to 23:00 was used. Based on the calculation of the number of generated and the absorbed trips, it showed a different spatial distribution for different hours in one day. The spatial pattern of the population distribution during the day was different from the population distribution during the night. The coefficient of determination of the regression analysis for the model (R2) was 0.9998, and the mean squared error was 10.78. The regression analysis showed that the model works well for the nighttime population at the neighborhood level, so the proposed model will be suitable for the day time population.

scholarly journals Prediction of Dead Oil Viscosity: Machine Learning vs. Classical Correlations

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 930
Author(s):  
Fahimeh Hadavimoghaddam ◽  
Mehdi Ostadhassan ◽  
Ehsan Heidaryan ◽  
Mohammad Ali Sadri ◽  
Inna Chapanova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Viscosity Data ◽  
Oil Viscosity ◽  
Pvt Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Engineering Problems ◽  
Functional Forms ◽  
Insight Into

Dead oil viscosity is a critical parameter to solve numerous reservoir engineering problems and one of the most unreliable properties to predict with classical black oil correlations. Determination of dead oil viscosity by experiments is expensive and time-consuming, which means developing an accurate and quick prediction model is required. This paper implements six machine learning models: random forest (RF), lightgbm, XGBoost, multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network, stochastic real-valued (SRV) and SuperLearner to predict dead oil viscosity. More than 2000 pressure–volume–temperature (PVT) data were used for developing and testing these models. A huge range of viscosity data were used, from light intermediate to heavy oil. In this study, we give insight into the performance of different functional forms that have been used in the literature to formulate dead oil viscosity. The results show that the functional form f(γAPI,T), has the best performance, and additional correlating parameters might be unnecessary. Furthermore, SuperLearner outperformed other machine learning (ML) algorithms as well as common correlations that are based on the metric analysis. The SuperLearner model can potentially replace the empirical models for viscosity predictions on a wide range of viscosities (any oil type). Ultimately, the proposed model is capable of simulating the true physical trend of the dead oil viscosity with variations of oil API gravity, temperature and shear rate.

scholarly journals Features of Establishment of the Ukrainian Local Orthodox Church in Conditions of Ongoing Russian Agression

2018 ◽  
pp. 722-732
Author(s):  
Serhii Zdioruk
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Religious Identity ◽  
The State ◽  
Rite Of Passage ◽  
Russian Orthodox ◽  
Orthodox Church ◽  
National Interests ◽  
Hybrid War ◽  
Ukrainian Society ◽  
Modern Russian

The essence and need for the establishment of the Ukrainian Local Orthodox Church are revealed. It shows a direct correlation between the assertion of independence of Ukrainian Orthodoxy from the Moscow Patriarchate and the consolidation of Ukrainian society and the strengthening of national security of Ukraine. A dangerous challenge for the Ukrainian people is that we were forced to realize our ethno-religious identity not through world structures (the Vatican, the Ecumenical Patriarchate, and so on), but through Russian Orthodox fundamentalism, obscurantism, and primitive rite of passage, as a result of the inadequate policy of our guides for decades after the restoration of state independence. The article shows the threats to the national interests and national security of the state created by the activities of the Moscow Patriarchate in Ukraine. Russia now considers the use of inter-Orthodox relations as one of the effective mechanisms against the consolidation of the Ukrainian people for the approval of the Ukrainian local Orthodox Church. It is stated that as a result of the deconsolidation of the Ukrainian Orthodox community, Ukraine will lose the potential of Ukrainian citizens. It is noted that the assertion of the Ukrainian local Orthodox Church is equal to the establishment of the national Church, regardless of other foreign religious centres. The recommendations suggest measures, in particular legislative ones, for the democratic settlement of public-religious and state-Church relations in order to consolidate Ukrainian society. They should help ensure the realization of the national interests of the Ukrainian people in the conditions of modern Russian aggression. Keywords: Ukrainian Local Orthodox Church, national interests of Ukraine, Russian aggression, hybrid war, establishment, international religious relations.

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