scholarly journals Prediction of yellow lupin yield (Lupinus luteus L.) for northern Poland using weather-crop model

Author(s):  
Krystyna Grabowska ◽  
Leszek Kuchar ◽  
Aneta Dymerska

Abstract Prediction of yellow lupin yield (Lupinus luteus L.) for northern Poland using weather- -crop model. The paper presents an analysis of the impact of meteorological factors (solar radiation, maximum, minimum and mean temperature, precipitation) on the development and yield of yellow lupin Parys cultivar in the northern Poland in the years 1987-2008. Using multiple regression methods (linear and quadratic function) created regression equations that were estimated using the coefficients of determination (R2, R2 adj and R2 pred - using the Cross Validation procedure). Selected regression equation used to estimate the yield of yellow lupin, using generated - by means of model WGENK - daily values of global radiation, maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, and climate change scenario GISS Model E for Central Europe. Examined dependencies weather-yield of lupine seeds (cultivar Parys) allowed the application of the chosen model to forecast yields from the time when the values are independent variables in the model by the end of the growing season. The comparison of distributions of actual and simulated yields shows that real yields are slightly (by 0.06 t·ha-1) higher than those generated for 2 × CO2 conditions.

2000 ◽  
Vol 51 (6) ◽  
pp. 721 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Davies ◽  
D. W. Turner ◽  
M. Dracup

This study determined whether the tolerance of yellow lupin to waterlogging, observed in experiments in controlled environments, occurs under field conditions. Of particular interest is the impact of waterlogging on the distribution of roots because lupin is exposed to terminal drought in the south of Western Australia, which in itself can have a profound effect on yield. A field experiment was undertaken in the central grain-growing region of Western Australia near Beverley using hydraulically isolated plots to impose and remove waterlogging in a duplex soil. The responses of root and shoot growth of narrow-leafed and yellow lupin to waterlogging in the field were similar to those observed in the controlled environment experiments. In the field experiment, waterlogging had no effect on seed yield of yellow lupin but reduced it by 61% in narrow-leafed lupin. Waterlogging more than halved the dry weight of narrow-leafed lupin but reduced it by only 19% in yellow lupin. In yellow lupin, yield was 3.4 t/ha with waterlogging and 3.8 t/ha without waterlogging, compared with 1.4 t/ha with waterlogging and 3.5 t/ha without waterlogging in narrow-leafed lupin. Waterlogging had no effect on the harvest index of yellow lupin (0.26) but reduced it from 0.36 to 0.31 in narrow-leafed lupin. The larger effect of waterlogging on the yield of narrow-leafed lupin was mainly attributable to fewer pods. Net root growth ceased during waterlogging in both species. After waterlogging, roots of yellow lupin grew at a similar rate to the controls, whereas roots of narrow-leafed lupin grew at a much slower rate than the controls. Waterlogging halved the root density of yellow lupin at 25 cm depth and almost eliminated the roots of narrow-leafed lupin at this depth. After waterlogging, root production in the surface 10 cm increased to about 0.5 cm/cm 3 in yellow lupin but to 0.2 cm/cm 3 in narrow-leafed lupin. At depth (>20 cm), roots of waterlogged yellow lupin continued to grow while those of waterlogged narrow-leafed lupin grew little, if at all. Yellow lupin tolerated waterlogging in the field better than narrow-leafed lupin because it re-established its root system at depth after waterlogging was removed and it produced more fertile pods.


2003 ◽  
Vol 43 (11) ◽  
pp. 1357 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. A. Berlandier ◽  
M. W. Sweetingham

The impact of infestation by bluegreen aphid, Acyrthosiphon kondoi, cowpea aphid, Aphis craccivora, and/or green peach aphid, Myzus persicae, on grain production of narrow-leafed lupin (Lupinus angustifolius) and yellow lupin (Lupinus luteus) was assessed at 4 sites in the Western Australian grainbelt. Yield losses caused by naturally occurring aphids on 4 cultivars of narrow-leafed and 2 cultivars of yellow lupins were measured by applying the systemic insecticide imidacloprid as a seed dressing and/or as foliar sprays throughout the plant growth phase and compared with untreated control plots. The extent of damage caused by aphids varied greatly but was significantly influenced by lupin cultivar, and yields for the same treatment combination varied between geographical locations. Bluegreen aphid was the most abundant species wherever large colonies of aphids developed. Yellow lupin Wodjil was the most infested and suffered severe losses in grain yield, whereas narrow-leafed lupin Kalya was largely resistant to aphids and there were negligible losses in grain production from plots not treated for aphids. In a fifth experiment, a single foliar spray of the insecticide pirimicarb controlled abundant aphids and increased yield by as much as 95% (0.65 t/ha) in Wodjil. Lupin growers need to be aware of the potential losses aphids can cause and that applying foliar insecticidal sprays to susceptible cultivars can prevent such losses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (7) ◽  
pp. 91-99
Author(s):  
E. V. KOSTYRIN ◽  
◽  
M. S. SINODSKAYA ◽  

The article analyzes the impact of certain factors on the volume of investments in the environment. Regression equations describing the relationship between the volume of investment in the environment and each of the influencing factors are constructed, the coefficients of the Pearson pair correlation between the dependent variable and the influencing factors, as well as pairwise between the influencing factors, are calculated. The average approximation error for each regression equation is determined. A correlation matrix is constructed and a conclusion is made. The developed econometric model is implemented in the program of separate collection of municipal solid waste (MSW) in Moscow. The efficiency of the model of investment management in the environment is evaluated on the example of the growth of planned investments in the activities of companies specializing in the export and processing of solid waste.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1153
Author(s):  
Shih-Jung Wang ◽  
Cheng-Haw Lee ◽  
Chen-Feng Yeh ◽  
Yong Fern Choo ◽  
Hung-Wei Tseng

Climate change can directly or indirectly influence groundwater resources. The mechanisms of this influence are complex and not easily quantified. Understanding the effect of climate change on groundwater systems can help governments adopt suitable strategies for water resources. The baseflow concept can be used to relate climate conditions to groundwater systems for assessing the climate change impact on groundwater resources. This study applies the stable baseflow concept to the estimation of the groundwater recharge in ten groundwater regions in Taiwan, under historical and climate scenario conditions. The recharge rates at the main river gauge stations in the groundwater regions were assessed using historical data. Regression equations between rainfall and groundwater recharge quantities were developed for the ten groundwater regions. The assessment results can be used for recharge evaluation in Taiwan. The climate change estimation results show that climate change would increase groundwater recharge by 32.6% or decrease it by 28.9% on average under the climate scenarios, with respect to the baseline quantity in Taiwan. The impact of climate change on groundwater systems may be positive. This study proposes a method for assessing the impact of climate change on groundwater systems. The assessment results provide important information for strategy development in groundwater resources management.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saeed Shojaei ◽  
Zahra Kalantari ◽  
Jesús Rodrigo-Comino

AbstractSoil degradation due to erosion is a significant worldwide problem at different spatial (from pedon to watershed) and temporal scales. All stages and factors in the erosion process must be detected and evaluated to reduce this environmental issue and protect existing fertile soils and natural ecosystems. Laboratory studies using rainfall simulators allow single factors and interactive effects to be investigated under controlled conditions during extreme rainfall events. In this study, three main factors (rainfall intensity, inclination, and rainfall duration) were assessed to obtain empirical data for modeling water erosion during single rainfall events. Each factor was divided into three levels (− 1, 0, + 1), which were applied in different combinations using a rainfall simulator on beds (6 × 1 m) filled with soil from a study plot located in the arid Sistan region, Iran. The rainfall duration levels tested were 3, 5, and 7 min, the rainfall intensity levels were 30, 60, and 90 mm/h, and the inclination levels were 5, 15, and 25%. The results showed that the highest rainfall intensity tested (90 mm/h) for the longest duration (7 min) caused the highest runoff (62 mm3/s) and soil loss (1580 g/m2/h). Based on the empirical results, a quadratic function was the best mathematical model (R2 = 0.90) for predicting runoff (Q) and soil loss. Single-factor analysis revealed that rainfall intensity was more influential for runoff production than changes in time and inclination, while rainfall duration was the most influential single factor for soil loss. Modeling and three-dimensional depictions of the data revealed that sediment production was high and runoff production lower at the beginning of the experiment, but this trend was reversed over time as the soil became saturated. These results indicate that avoiding the initial stage of erosion is critical, so all soil protection measures should be taken to reduce the impact at this stage. The final stages of erosion appeared too complicated to be modeled, because different factors showed differing effects on erosion.


2002 ◽  
Vol 57 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 811-816 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasufumi Katagiri ◽  
Yasuyuki Hashidoko ◽  
Satoshi Tahara

Quantification of the flavonoids in yellow lupin (Lupinus luteus; Leguminosae) seedlings revealed that a flavone glucoside, 7-O-β-(2-O-β-rhamnosyl)glucosyl-4′,5,7-trihydroxyflavone (apigenine 7-O-β-neohesperidoside), is rich in the epicotyl and cotyledon. In hypocotyls and roots, 8-C-β-glucosyl-4′,5,7-trihydroxyisoflavone (genistein 8-C-β-glucoside) was a predominant flavonoid constituent. The roles of the localized flavonoids are briefly discussed relating to defense against biotic and abiotic external stresses.


Stroke ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Henry I Bussey ◽  
Edith Nutescu

PURPOSE: To assess the impact of International Normalized Ratio (INR) self testing and online remote monitoring and management (STORM2) on clinical events and costs vs. traditional warfarin management and the new oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Seven STORM2 trials had a weighted mean INR time in the target range (TTR) of 77.2%. Thromboembolism (TE) and major bleeding (MB) rates at 30%, 45%, 55%, 65%, and 75% TTR were calculated using linear regression equations from a systematic review of 38 AF studies. MB = 10.104 - 0.120x[TTR], (p = 0.004) and TE = 8.313 - 0.098x[TTR], (p = 0.03). MB and TE rates were sub-divided based on the distribution in the NOAC trials. TTR-based mortality was calculated based on a 6%/yr rate multiplied by the adjusted relative risks from a data base analysis of approximately 38,000 AF patients. Projected event rates at 75% TTR, expressed as number per 1,000 patient-years, were compared to event rates at lower TTR ranges and to rates reported in the NOAC trials. Differences in major event rates were used to calculate cost avoidance. RESULTS: Projected event rates with STORM2 (TTR of 75%) when compared to “conventional ” TTR of 55% to 65% were 64% to 71% lower for MB, 47% to 64% lower for TE, and 47% to 57% lower for mortality. Compared to the NOAC study results, the projected rates were 48% to 70% lower for MB, 41% to 66% lower for TE, and 40% to 53% lower for mortality. Projected cost avoidance was $10.4 million vs. a TTR of < 30%, $2.2 million vs. a TTR of 65%; and from $1.4 to $3.1 million vs the NOACs. Costs of “other” MB and TE , drug costs, and monitoring costs were not included in the estimates. CONCLUSIONS: STORM2 management of warfarin is projected to produce a 50% or greater reduction in major event rates with a cost avoidance of $1.4 to $10.4 million per 1,000 patients per year. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: STORM2 management may transform the safety and efficacy of anticoagulation for the millions of people with AF while substantially reducing costs. These findings warrant randomized, prospective trials in AF and other indications for anticoagulation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Stähle ◽  
Monika Mayer ◽  
Christian Schmidt ◽  
Jessica Kult ◽  
Vinzent Klaus ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;As the production of ozone in surface air is determined by ambient temperature and by the prevalent chemical regime, a very different temperature dependence of ozone production emerges for nitrogen oxides (NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;) and volatile organic compounds (VOC) limited regions. In this study we evaluated the temperature sensitivity of ozone production for rural, suburban as well as urban sites in Austria on seasonal basis. The analysis is based on 30 years of observational data from Austrian monitoring networks for the time period 1990 &amp;#8211; 2019. Reductions in precursor emissions as observed in 2020 in Austria due to the pandemic will be used to test the obtained results. Surface ozone, NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;, daily sums of global radiation and minimum daily temperature are used as covariates in our study. The observed NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; to VOC ratio at individual sites is variable over time due to changes in precursor emissions and/or the variability of meteorological parameters such as mixing layer height. At the site level we relate the temperature sensitivity of ozone production to the daily mean NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; mixing ratio and the daily minimum temperature. This information allows us to determine the impact of past/future temperature changes on surface ozone abundance in the context of reductions of NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; emissions and changing methane backgrounds.&lt;/p&gt;


2020 ◽  
Vol 992 ◽  
pp. 658-662
Author(s):  
M.A. Mokeev ◽  
L.A. Urkhanova ◽  
A.N. Khagleev ◽  
Denis B. Solovev

Mechanical, chemical and plasma treatment are the main kind of treatment of polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) films. Each method is different from each other by the adhesive force: the value of the wetting angle. Mechanical treatment allows different particles to permeate into the structure of the polymer. Chemical treatment creates new functional groups on the polymer surface, but this method is toxic and dangerous. Plasma treatment, in a glow discharge non-thermal plasma, is a more ecological and practical method. The experiment showed that the plasma treatment successfully increases the adhesion, this has been proven by infrared spectroscopy and scanning electron microscopy. According to the obtained data of the wetting angle, the regression equation was derived. A graphical model is constructed by regression equations allows you to determine the main processing factor and choose the optimal values of treatment.


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 2423-2434 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. H. Samset ◽  
G. Myhre ◽  
M. Schulz ◽  
Y. Balkanski ◽  
S. Bauer ◽  
...  

Abstract. The impact of black carbon (BC) aerosols on the global radiation balance is not well constrained. Here twelve global aerosol models are used to show that at least 20% of the present uncertainty in modeled BC direct radiative forcing (RF) is due to diversity in the simulated vertical profile of BC mass. Results are from phases 1 and 2 of the global aerosol model intercomparison project (AeroCom). Additionally, a significant fraction of the variability is shown to come from high altitudes, as, globally, more than 40% of the total BC RF is exerted above 5 km. BC emission regions and areas with transported BC are found to have differing characteristics. These insights into the importance of the vertical profile of BC lead us to suggest that observational studies are needed to better characterize the global distribution of BC, including in the upper troposphere.


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