scholarly journals Pengaruh Krisis Ekonomi Terhadap Fungsi Konsumsi Rumah Tangga di Indonesia Penerapan: Absolute Income Hypothesis

Author(s):  
Birgitta Dian Saraswati ◽  
M. Khusaini

This study aimed to identify how household consumption is influenced by economic crises in 1997 according to Keynes absolute income hypothesis. Using Chow Test and Partial Adjustment Models, the result show that the economic crisis in 1997 resulted in a structural change in household consumption in Indonesia clearly visible from MPC value before the economic crisis is bigger than the MPC after the crisis. The economic crisis has an effect on household consumption in Indonesia in both the short term and in the long term.  

Author(s):  
Fitria Dewi Raswatie

The agricultural sector has an important role in developing economy as a contribution for the national Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Thus, it iimportant to see agricultural export related to agricultural GDP. Structural change caused by economic crisis is also important to be observed in terms of its influence toward variables in the agricultural sector. This research functions to: (1) Analyze short term and long term relations between agricultural export and GDP of the agricultural sector and other variables in Indonesia’s agricultural sector; (2) Analyze structural in Indonesia’s agricultural sector. The method used is ECM model and Chow Test. Agricultural GDP has a different relation towards agricultural export in short term and long term. Then, there was a structural change caused by economic crisis in 1997. Estimation result after added by monetary crisis dummy in 1997 shows that in short term, agricultural GDP one year previously, agricultural TFP, agricultural domestic price, agricultural export price, agricultural domestic price one year previously, and economic crisis dummy of 1997 have significant influences toward agricultural export. Analysis of the new ECM result (short term) showst that the parameter coefficient signs of the following variables: agricultural GDP, agricultural TFP, agricultural domestic price, agricultural export price, in accordance with the hypothesis are variables with a one year lag. There is a lag of agricultural export in response to the influencing variables.


Author(s):  
V. Kulakova

The article is devoted to the socio-economic policy pursued by Barak Obama who had won elections and entered the presidential office in the midst of the strongest economic crisis. The author considers in depth each of the new administration's strategy directions in taking simultaneously both short-term measures necessary for the fastest crisis recovery and actions aimed at laying the foundation for the future long-term prosperity of the country. The feature of the current stage is the elevation of social policy to the rank of national priorities, and the crisis does not abolish it.


Significance However, while US policies are a pull-factor for migrants, recent domestic problems also provide powerful reasons to leave Cuba, which has fallen into the worst economic crisis since the 1990s. Impacts Reversing the decline of domestic production will require a deepening of market reforms. However, short-term political concerns over rising discontent will encourage a return to price controls. That will rekindle the black market and undermine the credibility of long-term reform plans.


Author(s):  
Ahmad Asrin

The aims of this study to find out anti-corruption education urgence for state Islamic religious teachers. This study use Qualitative Research Methods. The result show that Corruption is seen as an extra ordinary crime, therefore it requires extraordinary efforts to eradicate it. Efforts to eradicate corruption which consists of two major parts, namely prosecution and prevention will never be optimally successful if only carried out by the government without involving public participation. Therefore it is not an exaggeration if students - as an important part of society who are the inheritors of the future - are expected to be actively involved in efforts to eradicate corruption in Indonesia. Of course, these efforts are still a discourse and the benefits will not be felt in the short term, but in the long term this discourse is believed to be fruitful. If higher education starts, especially PTKIN, it will inspire others, and one day it comes to efforts to draft a legal product with anti-corruption nuances that can be initiated in PTKIN, such as the Bill, Ranperda and the like. Hopefully PTKIN can play a more significant role in the future. Thus, corruption can be minimized and even eliminated from this beloved country, including through optimizing the role of PTKIN.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juhani Lehto ◽  
Karsten Vrangbæk ◽  
Ulrika Winblad

AbstractDenmark, Finland and Sweden have experienced two major recessions during the last 25 years. The adjustments to the earlier crisis in the late 1980s (Denmark) and early 1990s (Finland and Sweden) resembled the policies in many other European countries during the present crisis. The analysis of relationship of deep economic crises and growth period between them to the health system policies and institutions in the three countries from the 1980s to 2013 is based on a categorisation of reactions to external shocks as path conforming or path breaking. The results of the empirical long-term trends show that the reactions to deep recessions have been mainly temporary adjustments and acceleration of changes already prepared before economic crisis. The economic crisis in the three countries has not been ‘good enough’ to enable paradigmatic changes in the Nordic public, decentralised and equity-oriented health systems. Changes such as the slow privatisation in care funding and production and the adoption of new management practices indicate an ongoing paradigmatic change related to longer-term societal, ideological and political developments rather than directly to economic crises or growth.


1995 ◽  
pp. 9-26
Author(s):  
Manuel Del Valle ◽  

It analyzes the structural change in the context of the price band in the Andean Pact in order to advance proposals for the reform of Decision 37.1 so that it can consider the systematic and sustained changes in the international product market. The focus of the work is statistical, since the system is updated using moving averages and statistical criteria. Thirteen time series used in the price band system are analyzed and univariate models are proposed for each one of them. Furthermore, a rule is proposed to define the structural change, and the univariate models obtained are used to prove said rule using Monte Carlo test for the thirteen products. It is concluded that the price band system can be useful to face short-term fluctuations in international prices, as well as long-term adjustments, but it is not prepared to solve problems generated by structural changes, so it can be modified to consider this issue, but the basic principle of the system should be maintained.


Author(s):  
Utku Altunöz

The relationship between income and consumption is one of the most important subjects of economics that became the subjects of many study. In this study, Absolute Income Theory of Keynes for Turkey is predicted by using the data in period 1987 – 2012 and the method of cointegration. Before the econometric analysis, the function of consumption, consumption theories, studies involving these theories and its critics were examined. After that, variables were examined the unit root situations. Two variables do not take action together and it is seen that they do not affect each other when the long term relations and the short term dynamics are examined.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (518) ◽  
pp. 162-170
Author(s):  
I. R. Сhuy ◽  
◽  
T. Y. Andreikiv ◽  
I. Y. Mutyan ◽  
◽  
...  

The article is aimed at examining the essence of financial sustainability and financial reliability of consumer cooperation enterprises in Ukraine. The structure, sources of formation, directions of use and efficiency of use of financial resources in consumer cooperation are considered. To study the coefficients of financial sustainability, the division of capital by sources of formation and terms of use is provided. To assess long-term financial sustainability, the following indicators are proposed: working capital level; coefficients of financial independence, long-term financial independence, provision of own circulating capital; level of financial reliability. In the process of analyzing the capital structure of Ukrainian enterprises in general and consumer cooperation in particular, is identified: higher financial sustainability of enterprises and organizations of consumer cooperation; lower dependence on short-term loans and other funds attracted for the short term; higher level of working capital and profitability of activities, despite the financial and economic crisis of 2014-2015. Prospects for further research in this direction are to determine the levels and indicators of financial equilibrium of enterprises, in particular, the balance of positive and negative cash flows by volume, and the optimal combination of the levels of both profitability and risk.


2019 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Şenol Demirci ◽  
Murat Konca ◽  
Birol Yetim ◽  
Gülnur İlgün

Background: Suicide events observed in various groups, community or countries, especially in the periods of economic recession. It is thought that suicide cases increase when people’s income decreases dramatically and they lose their jobs. Aim/Objective: In this study, it was aimed to investigate whether the 2008 economic crisis had any effect on suicides in the United States. Methods: Autoregressive distributed lag method was used. For the purpose of the study, the number of suicide-related deaths was taken as the dependent variable, while unemployment rates and 2008 economic crisis were taken as independent variables. Findings: The short-term and long-term relationships obtained within the scope of the study indicated that the 2008 economic crisis had a statistically significant effect on suicide cases in the United States. Results and Conclusion: It can be said that the results of this study are consistent with the information which emphasizes that economic crises increase suicide cases in the literature.


2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-102
Author(s):  
Lumadya Adi ◽  
Wiwik Budiarti

 The purpose of the study: 1 Testing the effect of interest rates in the short term and the long-term domestic savings in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. 2 Testing the influence of national income in the short term and the long-term domestic savings in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. Analysis tool is a dynamic econometric model of the Partial Adjustment Model (PAM). This model applies when the independent variable is the lag of the dependent variable and must be positive and  statistically significant. The results of the analysis as follows:  1. For Indonesia, short-term and long-term national income significantly influence domestic savings  2. For Indonesia, the short-term and long-term interest rate has no significant effect on domestic savings.  3. For Malaysia, the national income in the short term a significant effect on domestic savings, but can not be used long-term model.  4. For Malaysia, the short-term interest rates have a significant effect on domestic savings, but can not be used long-term model.  5. For Thailand, in the short-term and long-term national income no significant effect on domestic savings. 6. For Thailand, in the short term and long term interest rates have a significant effect on domestic savings.


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