scholarly journals The reflection of demographic factor in regional programs of sustainable development (on the example of Lipetsk Region)

Author(s):  
Elena Ivanovna Kozlova ◽  
Maksim Andreevich Novak

The demographic trends in social development have a basic foundation with regards to any other trends. Therefore, the management solutions aimed at rising birth rate, increasing longevity of life, and optimization of migration flows become an integral part of the federal and regional development strategies. Growing depopulation of the country actualizes studying of the problem of demographic development. The goal consists in substantiation and determination of the problematic aspects in the priority vectors of demographic development and tools of their implementation included into the Strategy of Socioeconomic Development of Lipetsk Region for the period until 2024. Analysis is conducted on the dynamics of demographic processes in Lipetsk Region for the period from 01.01.2017 to 01.01.2019. The author assesses the possibility of achieving target indicators of the regional development strategy by natural decline in population and size of population of Lipetsk Region of working age. The conclusion is substantiated on the inaccurate determination of regional demographic trends by the authorities in the current cycle; weak response to the regional demographic situation by making management decisions. The author proposes to modify the formulation of the goal of development strategy of Lipetsk Oblasts in demographic sphere.

2006 ◽  
Vol 86 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-114
Author(s):  
Ljiljana Zivkovic ◽  
Nenad Zivkovic

The analysis of demographic factors of the studied area points to the different demographic development models. Uneven economic and regional development of industry caused the regional demographic polarization of the population of Negotin municipality. In relatively short period, the transition has caused spontaneous urbanization and deagrarization. All that influenced the faster tempo of social and demographic processes, especially the migrations towards Negotin, which led to the developmental unevenness and regional polarization to the zone of population concentration (town and the suburban areas). Contrary to the town center, there are depopulation rural areas, with outstanding economic undevelopment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2 (50)) ◽  
pp. 163-183
Author(s):  
Łukasz Karol Bugowski

Research Background: Demography affects human capital, which today is one of the most important factors of regional development. Demographic factors create possibilities or limit the expansion of the knowledge and skills and condition socio-economic activity. In other words, demography can favour or block regional development. Negative demographic trends, in particular referring to the size and structure of the population as well as population growth, are a significant challenge of regional policy. In addition, in the case of regions with a lower level of development, the migration rate is negative, which in turn may limit regional development. As a consequence, the following hypothesis will be verified in the article: demographic processes are a barrier to the development of regions in Eastern Poland.Purpose of the paper: The main objective of the article is to analyze the spatial diversity of demographic phenomena in Eastern Poland, along with the identification of areas with unfavorable demographic developmental conditions. Implementation of the second objective is to carry out the analysis at the level of subregions, not regions, which will allow for more precise analysis of negative demographic phenomena.Methodology/Methods/Data sources: In the article the method of linear ordering of objects using the taxonomic measure of Z. Hellwig's development is used. In addition, a comparative analysis of the main demographic phenomena in 2010, 2013 and 2016 in Eastern Poland was carried out. The main source of data used in the article was the Statistics Poland (Local Data Bank). Findings: The analysis allows to conclude that in 2010-2016 in Eastern Poland an increase in the demographic burden resulting from the aging population was observed. In addition, the migration rate is negative and sub-replacement fertility rate is common in the majority of the subregions. As a consequence, negative demographic phenomena are increasingly limiting human capital and indirectly have a negative impact on regional development. However, the conducted analysis allows to distinguish subregions with positive values of the analyzed indicators, but it refers only to a few regions including a capital of a given voivodeships, and do not significantly affect the negative general demographic trends in Eastern Poland.


2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Alketa Bejko ◽  
Etleva Peta ◽  
Belinda Xarba

The development strategies have a very important role in the sustainable development of the regions. As documents they should serve to guide public policy at the local level in those areas where regions have competitive advantages and to coordinate all available resources to achieve the ultimate goal, the improvement of the quality of community life. Albania is still considered as a country with a significant difference in the development of the regions. In this context and in the new conditions which are created by the new administrative reorganization, preparation of the regional development strategies, and integrated these national strategies are an immediate request. This paper aims to assess the necessity of drafting development strategies, as basic documents that define a general framework of strategic development for every region. Another purpose of the study is the analysis of the process of drafting regional development strategies in general and the District Development Strategy of Gjirokastra in particular. The aim is to assess how is going this process and if there were any problem that may have affected the quality of the strategy. The study was conducted by using the method of primary research and take place in the South region of Albania, in local governments of the district of Gjirokastra, in public institutions and non-profit organizations and various businesses at the local level.


2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
D. V. Petrosyants ◽  
V. V. Zubenko ◽  
P. S. Seleznev ◽  
I. V. Arzhanova

The purpose of the work is an analysis of the current state of the universities of the North Caucasus Federal District from the point of view of creating competitive regional development centers, bearing in mind the Spatial Development Strategy of Russia.The research methodology is based on empirical research methods (observation, comparison, data collection and study), current and prospective analysis and synthesis of theoretical and practical material, multivariate systems analysis, sociology, statistical analysis, etc.Results. In the course of the study, features of the development of the NCFD universities were revealed, various aspects of their activities were analyzed. Detailed mapping of the development of the NCFD universities has been made on a wide range of parameters and indicators. The authors note the lack of intelligible parameters used in the formation of the target admission levels in the universities of the North Caucasus Federal District, the weak connection of these figures with the real economy. The absence of status universities in the North Caucasus Federal District, in particular a flagship university, contributes to the outflow of talented students to central Russian and foreign universities.Application area. The results of this work can be applied in the activities of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation in developing the new university model – “HEIs, providing personnel for basic branches of regional economy” and in planning the target admission levels of universities, setting goals for universities in the region in terms of synchronization their development programs with administrations for the implementation of national projects, programs for the socioeconomic development of the North Caucasus Federal District.Findings. The peculiarities of the socio-political and economic development of the NCFD indicate the difficulties in planning the training of highly skilled specialists for the region. Despite the fact that the “full range” of educational institutions in the North Caucasus Federal District is economically disadvantageous in the short term, the opportunity for young people to receive higher education in their region can be viewed as one of the few really effective channels of self-realization and socialization for a significant part of North Caucasian youth. Insufficient funding, weak involvement of universities in solving the problems of sustainable development of the region do not contribute to the creation and development of universities which can be the real drivers of sustainable and innovative development of the North Caucasus Federal District and competitive scientific and educational centers.


Geoadria ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vuk Tvrtko Opačić

This paper deals with the importance of the spatial, geographic aspect in analyzing ferry traffic, especially on Croatian islands. The importance of ferry traffic is analyzed within the regional development of the European Union as a whole, as well as through some examples from different states. The analytical part of the paper deals with correlation between the ferry traffic and its two most striking indirect consequences that are present on Croatian islands, and those are demographic development and tourism. There is a close, direct connection between ferry traffic and tourism, as well as between ferry traffic and general demographic trends. Since there is no evidence of correlation between the index of seasonal frequency of the ferry lines (direct reflection of tourism) and the index of change in population trends on Croatian islands analyzed in this paper, the conclusion is that tourism, as the main economic activity on Croatian islands, can ease – but not significantly eliminate – depopulation characteristics of the insular part of Croatia. 


2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ona Gražina Rakauskienė ◽  
Olga Ranceva

The phenomenon of international migration is among the most prominent global demographic processes currently taking place and influencing both the economic and social situation worldwide. An intensive emigration is a matter of serious concern for such a small country as Lithuania. Firstly, emigration further exacerbates the current negative demographic indicators (low birth rate, high mortality rate, stagnant average lifespan), which, on the whole, leads to a decrease in the absolute number of the population. Secondly, emigration of persons of working age, leaving behind the population that lacks the capacity for work, reduces the state budget and social security budget revenues. Thirdly, departure of well-educated and competent citizens from the country results in the shrinking of the country’s intellectual potential and diminishing of possibilities of mastering and development of high technologies, innovations and modernisation of the economy. The authors of the article point out the threat posed by emigration to Lithuania’s socioeconomic development and present a comprehensive analysis of the demographic structure of the population: by sex and age, the population ageing tendency, the causes and consequences of emigration. The goal of the article is to raise the issue of emigration from Lithuania and to manifest its impact on the socio-economic development of the country. The object of the article is the extent, dynamics, structure, causes and economic effects of emigration and the problems arising for the economy in the context of emigration.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 98-116
Author(s):  
Evgenia P. Sigareva ◽  
Svetlana Yu. Sivoplyasova ◽  
Julia E. Pletneva

In the article, the authors consider various theories of “risk” in the context of the formation of a new reality, which is characterized by different criteria and degrees of uncertainty. Researchers analyze the works of W. Beck, E. Giddens, M. Douglas, N. Taleb, F. Hoffman and others. The article provides a deep analysis of the risks of Russia’s demographic development in the context of a global pandemic. Based on the results of their own research, based on the data of a set of methods for collecting and analyzing information, the authors of the article come to the following conclusions. The first and then the second wave of depopulation makes the demographic determination of the development of the Russian state a priority, which requires a revision of the paradigm of the economic perspective. Under these conditions, the risk of a decline in the global population will increase many times over. Against the background of the development of negative global and domestic demographic processes and the formation of apocalyptic views on the future, the “pandemic” damage to the population can become only an insignificant contribution to this trend. It is necessary to monitor not only possible risks, but also the reaction of the population to the preventive measures proposed by the state, combating the pandemic, as well as socio-economic support of citizens and entrepreneurs in the difficult conditions of the spread of COVID-19.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Alketa Bejko ◽  
Etleva Peta ◽  
Belinda Xarba

The development strategies have a very important role in the sustainable development of the regions. As documents they should serve to guide public policy at the local level in those areas where regions have competitive advantages and to coordinate all available resources to achieve the ultimate goal, the improvement of the quality of community life. Albania is still considered as a country with a significant difference in the development of the regions. In this context and in the new conditions which are created by the new administrative reorganization, preparation of the regional development strategies, and integrated these national strategies are an immediate request. This paper aims to assess the necessity of drafting development strategies, as basic documents that define a general framework of strategic development for every region. Another purpose of the study is the analysis of the process of drafting regional development strategies in general and the District Development Strategy of Gjirokastra in particular. The aim is to assess how is going this process and if there were any problem that may have affected the quality of the strategy. The study was conducted by using the method of primary research and take place in the South region of Albania, in local governments of the district of Gjirokastra, in public institutions and non-profit organizations and various businesses at the local level.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-113
Author(s):  
Mikhail V. Milchakov

Due to historical features and the heterogeneity of the economic landscape, the regions of Russia are characterized by significant disparities in the level of socioeconomic development. In order to manage regional development, a number of important strategic documents have been adopted, including the Spatial Development Strategy. The tasks of supporting problem regions and developing the largest agglomerations are articulated in these documents. In the context of the pandemic, new challenges have emerged related to slowing economic growth and budget constraints. The article examines the specifics of the formation of individual programs for the socioeconomic development of problem regions, as well as the situation of cities with more than 1 million inhabitants during the pandemic. The author presents proposals for improving the measures included in the Spatial Development Strategy


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Ekaterina R. Barkova

The study explores the peculiarities of demographic processes in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug and the socioeconomic factors determining them. The author tests hypotheses about the relationship of socioeconomic characteristics of the population with fertility and migration basing on data from 13 municipalities of the region for 2011–2017. The analysis reveals a statistically significant relationship between age-specific fertility rate for women aged 15–49 and such indicators as marriage and divorce rates, wages, the proportion of employed in the working-age population, the enrolment of children in preschool education, and the proportion of families who received housing or improved housing conditions among those registered in the housing program. Inbound migration rate is statistically related to wages, as well as to proportion of employed in the total working-age population, while outbound migration rate is linked to proportion of those employed in mining, as well as to indicators characterizing situation in the marriage market.


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