ASSESSMENT OF THE LEVEL OF DEBT SECURITY OF UKRAINE AND DIRECTIONS FOR ITS STRENGTHENING

Author(s):  
Maryana Fominykh ◽  
Anzhelika Parfenyuk

The article defines the essence of the concept of "debt security". The main indicators of Ukraine's debt security during 2015-2020 are analyzed and its condition is assessed using the integrated debt security index. The main factors that affect the level of debt security and key issues to ensure a sufficient level of debt security are investigated. It is found that the increase in the size of public debt leads to a reduction of the debt security and causes a number of negative consequences and distortions in the financial system of Ukraine. The main factors that affect the level of debt security and key issues to ensure a sufficient level of debt security are investigated. However, in the strategic perspective, deepening of the financial debt of the state leads to significant disparities in the financial and economic system of the country and increasing the debt burden on the state budget, increasing the threat of default, transferring the debt burden for future generations and increasing social tension in society. Ukraine's debt security is in critical condition and therefore requires the implementation of certain measures and changes. The main task is the effective management of state external and domestic debt and its gradual reduction. It is also necessary to focus more on domestic lending in national currency, as it is more profitable and cheaper to maintain for the state. In order to identify prerequisites for strengthening the debt security and searching the methods to reduce public debt, the development of an optimal strategy of borrowing, debt management and improving of a legal framework on issues of debt security has been suggested.

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Artem HUSIEV

The paper explores the theoretical and methodological basis of the concept of public debt management. The relationship between the problem of public debt and economic development of the country has been revealed. The dynamics of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2010-2019 have been analyzed. The default as a means of state debt policy has been investigated and its main economic consequences are presented. The international experience of managing public debt on the example of Argentina has been analyzed. The economic essence of technical default has been defined and the concept of technical default as a priority direction of Ukraine's state debt policy in the current conditions has been proposed. Public debt is a set of State commitments to internal and external creditors. State debt Management provides for state creation of the concept of debt policy. In economic terms, the main task of debt management is to maintain the level of public debt on a moderate level. In Ukraine, the problem of state indebtedness is particularly relevant after 2014. However, the most acute this problem was at the beginning of 2020 with the beginning of the recession economy and raising the deficit of the State budget. There are three main strategies to address public debt: investing in the country's economic development and timely repayment of liabilities, default and technical default. The strategy of investing in the country's economic development envisages emission of money or additional involvement in order to stimulate economic development, as well as timely payment of debts and interests. This strategy is appropriate in terms of relatively small amounts of public debt. Defaulted involves declaring the state insolvency payment obligations to creditors. Defaulted in the short run means a rapid deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but under certain conditions, there may be positive consequences in the long run. The technical default means the state's inability to pay debts on a certain date if there is a possibility of their payment in the future. In Ukraine today, the optimal decision of the state debt policy is the proclamation of technical default to restructure debts and prevent aggravation of socio-economic crisis in the country.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulyana Vatamanyuk-Zelinska ◽  
◽  
Ivanna Pedchenko ◽  

The article analyzes the meaning of the concept of "public debt" according to the views of domestic and foreign scholars. The essence of this term according to norms of the Budget code of Ukraine is investigated. The activity of public authorities in the management of debt obligations of our state is considered. The state and dynamics of public debt of Ukraine for the period 2015-2019 are studied. The structure of public debt of Ukraine according to its division into external and internal is analyzed, and the shares of external and domestic debt in the total amount of public and state-guaranteed debt are determined. The dynamics of public debt obligations in terms of the amount of public and state-guaranteed debt is shown. The structure of external and internal debts of the state budget of Ukraine to the main creditors and the dynamics of payments for its repayment are described. The dynamics of the ratio of public debt to GDP of Ukraine is calculated and analyzed. The activity of a new state structure – the Debt Agency of Ukraine – in the field of debt management of our state has been studied. It is determined that a significant problem of the state is to ensure the debt burden. Ways to solve the problem of debt burden are proposed, among which an important measure is proposed – to strengthen control over the effective use of borrowed projects. It is determined that the best step in improving the system of management of debt obligations of the state can be stimulated the development of the internal capital market with the involvement of private reorientation from external to internal prevention. In modern conditions, both market economies and developing countries have inherent needs for additional funds to cover the budget deficit. This situation necessitates the constant search for additional sources of financing government liabilities, in particular, such as loans. Thus, the additional funds raised make it possible to increase total expenditures under conditions of lower national income only through a balanced and effective government policy in the field of borrowing. However, the downside of debt obligations is that sooner or later they must be repaid and interest paid for the use of these borrowed funds. The purpose of the study is to determine the structure and dynamics of public debt of Ukraine, as well as the features of its repayment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 34-43
Author(s):  
Igor Lyutyy ◽  
Yuliia Nakonechna ◽  
Liudmyla Demydenko

The article contains a theoretical generalization of the essence and necessity of state borrowing, monitoring of indicators of state and state-guaranteed debt in the conditions of government aspirations and actions in the field of ensuring the sustainability of public finances in Ukraine. The main task of the authors is to monitor the indicators of state and state-guaranteed debt in the context of the need to ensure the sustainability of pub- lic finances of Ukraine. State debt in Ukraine remains a significant factor of macro-financial risk. An important measure to prevent the threat of uncontrolled growth of public debt is to strengthen financial control and the implementation of continuous monitor- ing of its main indicators. The cost of public borrowing and the assessment of the effectiveness of their use as a factor in ensuring the sustainable development of the economy is a constant source of discussion between officials, public organizations, and representatives of scientific analysis centers. The article uses the generally accepted methodology for calculating the main indicators characterizing the state’s debt policy. The method of expert assessments analyzes the condition of the state debt and prospects of its servicing in Ukraine. Statis- tical and analytical methods have been used for the processing of statistical data on the study of the dynamics of indicators of state and state-guaranteed debt in Ukraine. The sources of information were the materials of the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine, the State Treasury Service of Ukraine, as well as the Budget Code of Ukraine, laws and regulations of Ukraine relating to the budget sphere, scientific works of domestic and foreign scientists. This study aims to address the issues of analyzing and evaluating pub- lic debt indicators in the context of improving debt management. The authors propose to use 10 indicators to monitor the state of public debt and make managerial decisions in public finance.


Author(s):  
Oksana Cheberyako ◽  
Oksana Hnatiuk

Relevance of research topic. The constant growth of Ukraine's public debt requires effective management of it. The larger the amount of debt, the harder it is to serve the state, so this topic is especially relevant in the context of those economic situations in which Ukraine has been during the recent years of the hybrid war with Russia and the protracted financial crisis. Formulation of the problem. The social and economic significance of public debt is increasing every year, because it is linked to the country's debt security, which affects the budget capacity of the state. The problem is the search of ways to improve the mechanism of public debt management in the direction of strengthening Ukraine's debt security, which since independence has been living at the expense of IMF loans. Analysis of recent research and publications. The theoretical foundations of state debt and debt security, methodological approaches to its evaluation, the formation of a mechanism for providing debt security and its management were highlighted in the works of O. Baranovsky, D. Boyko, Z. Varnaliy, V. Kozyuk, M. Kubai, O. Cheberyako and other scientists. Selection of unexplored parts of the general problem. Despite the rather deep theoretical study of the issue of debt security of the state, it should be noted that there is a need for its further study taking into account the specifics of the national economic situation and the strategic course of Ukraine on European integration. Setting the task, the purpose of the study. The purpose of the article is to study the state of debt security in Ukraine by analyzing the dynamics of public debt and developing recommendations for raising the level of debt security of the country. A specific goal has necessitated the following tasks: to study the theoretical foundations of state debt and debt security; to analyze the dynamics of changes in the state debt of Ukraine and the state of national debt security; to determine the problems of management of the state debt, which resulted in the existing state of debt security in Ukraine; to propose of ways to optimize public debt to strengthen debt security. Method or methodology for conducting research. During the research historical, analytical-empirical, inductive-deductive, comparative research methods were used to implement the principle of objectivity of scientific presentation, as well as in the determination of the debt condition of Ukraine, tools of economic-mathematical modeling and graphical presentation of research results were used. Presentation of the main material (results of work). The work is disclosed the theoretical foundations of the state debt, shows his place in economic research and the influence on the debt security of the state. The condition of the state debt of Ukraine is analyzed. The features and rationale for strengthening the debt security of Ukraine through the prism of improving the mechanism for managing and servicing the public debt are disclosed. The field of application of results. The results of the study can be used in the theory and practice of public debt management. The assessment of debt indicators and their analysis will be an expedient source of information for developing ways to strengthen Ukraine's debt security. Conclusions according to the article. One of the main components of financial security is debt security. The role of its decisive component - public debt - determines the priority of public debt management and its servicing, which is an important condition for the stability of the financial system of the state and security. Debt security of Ukraine is in an unsatisfactory state, for improvement it is necessary to improve the debt policy of the state and debt management.


Author(s):  
Mariia Aleksandrova ◽  
Vita Dovgaliuk ◽  
Klym Fursov

The article reveals the essence of state debt security and examines the threats to state debt security in the context of minimizing their negative impact and increasing the efficiency of the public debt management system. In determining the essence of state debt security and the study of threats to state debt security in the context of minimizing their negative impact and improving the efficiency of public debt management system, it was determined that debt security is the basis of economic sovereignty, resilience of its financial system to internal and external threats and implementation socio-economic strategy of sustainable development. The study is devoted to identifying the features of the current system of debt security in Ukraine and a set of threats to the growth of debt security in the country. One of the financial instruments of the national economy is loans from international financial organizations, which have a targeted strategic direction of innovation. These borrowings contribute to long-term economic growth. It is the inefficient management of such debt that leads to the disruption of the economic system, in particular to its imbalance and increase its vulnerability to factors of negative foreign economic influence. Therefore, the strategic goal of reducing the threat of negative impact on debt security is to determine the optimal policy for managing both external and internal debt of the state. Again, debt management policy is a condition for the stability and efficiency of the state economy. As a result of the study, the main reasons for the deterioration of Ukraine’s debt security can be identified, in particular: a complex political crisis, military conflict, deep economic recession, the existence of obligations to meet the state’s needs in natural gas and pensions, lack of sufficient political will to reform and apply unpopular measures to stabilize the economic situation. Coordinating the public debt management mechanism with Ukraine’s financial stabilization strategy will provide an opportunity to analyze the financial threats facing Ukraine in the global crisis and develop a common framework for all bodies, public authorities, which represent the external debt of Ukraine. When appropriate measures are taken, public debt coverage will be carried out mainly not by increasing the tax burden, but by economic growth. After studying the state of Ukraine’s debt security, conclusions were drawn on its increase by stabilizing the national currency, optimizing the structure of budget expenditures, stimulating the state domestic market, directing external borrowing to implement investment development programs and developing a promising debt strategy.


Author(s):  
Olena Pikaliuk ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Kovalenko ◽  

One of the main criteria for economic development is the size of the public debt and its dynamics. The article considers the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine. The views of scientists on the essence of public debt and financial security of the state are substantiated. An analysis of the dynamics and structure of public debt of Ukraine for 2014-2019. It is proved that one of the main criteria for economic development is the size of public debt and its dynamics. State budget deficit, attracting and using loans to cover it have led to the formation and significant growth of public debt in Ukraine. The volume of public debt indicates an increase in the debt security of the state, which is a component of financial security. Therefore, the issue of the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine is becoming increasingly relevant. The constant growth and large amounts of debt make it necessary to study it, which will have a positive impact on economic processes that will ensure the stability of the financial system and enhance its security.


Author(s):  
Tamar Makasarashvili ◽  
Tea Khorguashvili ◽  
Giuli Giguashvili ◽  
Aleksandre Sadagashvili

With the development of Internet technologies, cybercrime has also evolved and diversified. Much of the world's economic and business information comes from electronic information, and the need for remote work caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has further increased demand for e-services, which in turn has contributed to increased technology risks, threats, and incidents. The main task of the states is to actively fight against the negative socio-economic, financial, and political consequences caused by the growth of cybercrime. The main purpose of the study is to assess the negative consequences of cybercrime in Georgia, the main threats to information security, to develop recommendations for the prevention of cybercrime, to improve its legal regulation mechanisms. The fight against cybercrime in Georgia is carried out using criminal norms. The law "On Information Security" is in force in the country, Georgia's cyber security strategy has been developed, but this process needs constant development. The main task of the state is to gradually improve the legislation and bring it in line with modern technologies, to ensure close cooperation between the state and society, to raise the awareness of civil society. It is essential to constantly inform the public and companies about cyber threats, as effective prevention is the best form of crime prevention policy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. H. Bondaruk ◽  
O. S. Bondaruk ◽  
N. Yu. Melnychuk

the public debt is deepened, the visions of the public debt as a phenomenon burdening the national economy, found in various schools of economics, are reviewed. It is demonstrated that the high internal and external dept in parallel with the respectively growing expenditure for its service is a pressing problem for Ukraine, calling for an urgent solution. This raises the need for seeking ways to improve the public debt management mechanisms. The article’s objective is to deepen the theoretical and methodological framework for assessment of the public debt in Ukraine and the budget expenditures for its service. It is demonstrated that the public debt in Ukraine results from the public budget deficit, high sovereign borrowing from internal and external sources. The econometric assessment of the time series on budget expenditures for debt service and repayment in Ukraine is given. The analysis of the public debt dynamics in Ukraine shows that not only the increasing volume of public debt and State-guarantee debt, but also the increasing budget expenditures on its service and repayment are dangerous. The high deficit of public budget is persisting, which growth is caused, inter alia, by the payment commitments. The expenditures on service and repayment of public debt constitute a large share in the public budget expenditures. Forecasting calculations made in the article demonstrate the upward tendency in the public budget expenditures on repayment and service of the public debt of Ukraine, thus signaling the growing threats to the budget security of Ukraine. The main factors for the rapidly increased debt burden in Ukraine over the latest years are identified: the considerable devaluation of domestic currency (Hryvnya), sharp drop in GDP, the shrinking internal consumer demand, etc.    It is demonstrated that the risk of the increasing payments for service of public debt is an essential and chronic factor generating problems in public finances and affecting the budget security of Ukraine.  


2021 ◽  
pp. 5-11
Author(s):  
M. E. Kosov

Public debt is an integral part of public finances of various countries, the process of its management, including formation, maintenance and repayment has a powerful impact on the macroeconomic system of the state. The subject of the study is the public debt of the Russian Federation. The article performs a correlation and regression analysis of factors that have a direct impact on the state of the Russia’s public debt under the conditions of the restrictions caused by the Covid-19 coronavirus infection, as well as the consequences of these restrictions. The paper proposes an econometric model that describes a system of indirect macroeconomic factors that are not directly related to the state’s debt policy, but show the strongest influence on the formation of public debt in modern realities and increase the efficiency of its management, as well as reflect the quality of public financial management in general. The author concludes that the demographic burden and the indicator reflecting the ratio of the budget deficit to the total budget revenue have the greatest impact on the effectiveness of public debt management.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oksana Vodolazska ◽  
◽  
Hanna Herman ◽  

Public debt management and servicing is one of the top priorities for the country’s financial policy, and an important condition for the stability of its financial system. Due to the need of solving the problem of the state debt of Ukraine growth and the cost of servicing it, it is urgent to increase the efficiency of methods for managing it. Ineffective management of Ukraine’s government borrowings, which is mainly used to cover the budget deficit, leads to a decrease in the state’s economic security level and an increase in the burden on the budgetary sphere and an aggravation of the debt situation. The maintenance and management of public debt is inextricably linked with the pursuit of a balanced debt policy and minimization of the risks inherent in public debt. The economic and social development of the country, its stability during the period of economic crises and the post-crisis speed of recovery of the national economic system depend on the efficiency and effectiveness of this management. After experiencing a deep economic crisis in 2014–2015, economic growth began to recover in 2016, and the total public debt in relation to GDP also tends to decrease. This was caused by various factors: the deficit of the state budget and balance of payments, heavy dependence on energy imports, ineffective use of attracted loans and the lack of proper debt management. This article analyzes the existing features of the formation of an effective public debt management system in the context of improving the efficiency of Ukrainian debt policy. The proposed measures of an effective management strategy will contribute to the rational use of borrowings and create the necessary conditions for optimizing the debt burden. The main goals of state debt management in Ukraine were analyzed, as well as the world practice of analyzing public expenditure and financial accountability was considered. The existing problems in the state debt management of Ukraine are identified, practical recommendations are provided for future development of the most effective scenario for solving Ukrainian debt problems. The forecast of public debt was calculated on the basis of a linear regression equation model, and the macroeconomic factors that have the biggest impact on the growth rate of public debt were determined.


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