scholarly journals Aplikasi Persamaan Diferensial Dalam Mengestimasi Jumlah Penduduk dengan Menggunakan Model Eksponensial dan Logistik

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-55
Author(s):  
Nasrun Rozikin ◽  
Ketut Sarjana ◽  
Arjudin Arjudin ◽  
Nurul Hikmah
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Logistic Models ◽  
Exponential Model ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Average Decrease ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The City

This research was aimed to describe the application of differential equations of the population growth model in the City of Mataram, which is an exponential and logistic models for estimating the population of the City of Mataram in 2024. The research method used in this research is descriptive research with a qualitative approach carried out by observation and analyze the subject. The subject of this research was data on the population of the City of Mataram from 2006 to 2019. Meanwhile, to determine the accuracy and validity of the research data, the triangulation of sources was used. The data used comes from the Dispendukcapil and BPS the City of Mataram. The research result, it shows that the exponential model has an accuracy rate of 99,6%, which is very accurate, while for estimating with a logistic model each criterion is very accurate but the confidence level is 97,9%. Estimation results also show that population growth in the city of Mataram in the future will slowdown in its growth every 2 years, with an average decrease of 0.5%.

Conhecimento de Mulheres a Respeito do Exame Papanicolau

UNICIÊNCIAS ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Lívia Cristina Vasconcelos ◽  
Déborah Santos Bueno ◽  
Jéssica Sundare Mendonça Silva ◽  
Rafaela Ferreira Dias Rios ◽  
Raquel Aparecida Pessoa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Pap Test ◽  
Public Health Problem ◽  
Minas Gerais ◽  
Cervix Uteri ◽  
Pap Smears ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The City

O câncer do colo de útero - CCU é considerado um problema de saúde pública mundial, com cerca de 530 mil novos casos por ano e 270 mil mortes em todo o mundo. O objetivo deste estudo foi descrever o conhecimento de mulheres pertencentes a um município do interior de Minas Gerais a respeito da prevenção CCU, por meio do exame Papanicolau. Trata-se de pesquisa descritiva, de abordagem quantitativa realizada em Carmo da Mata, MG, em 2015. A amostra foi composta por 93 mulheres cadastradas nas ESF do município, na faixa etária entre 25 e 64 anos. A coleta de dados foi realizada por meio de um formulário aplicado às participantes. Os dados foram analisados e descritos de forma a identificar os objetivos do estudo. A média de idade das participantes foi de 39 anos. A maioria, 65 (69,9%) têm mais de 8 anos de estudo, são casadas ou vivem em união estável. A maioria (96,7%) relatou ter realizado o Papanicolau no último ano. Quanto ao conhecimento sobre o exame, 78 (83,8%) afirmaram ter conhecido através de profissionais de saúde. No que diz respeito ao conhecimento dos fatores de risco para o câncer de colo uterino, 43 (46,2%) tinham conhecimento correto sobre o tema. Percebeu-se que as mulheres do município estudado têm conhecimento significativo em relação ao exame Papanicolau. A utilização do serviço de saúde para prevenção do CCU e o grau de escolaridade da maioria influencia, positivamente, na percepção da importância dessa prática.Palavras-chave: Colo do Útero. Teste de Papanicolau. Saúde da Mulher.AbstractCervical cancer - CCU, is considered a worldwide public health problem, with nearly 530,000 new cases per year and 270,000 deaths worldwide. The aim of this study was to describe the knowledge of women belonging to a city in the interior of Minas Gerais regarding CCU prevention through Pap smears. It is a descriptive research with a quantitative approach carried out in Carmo da Mata, MG, in 2015. The sample consisted of 93 women registered in the municipality of FHS, aged between 25 and 64 years. Data collection was carried out through a questionnaire applied to the participants. Data were analyzed and described in order to identify the goals of the study. The mean age of participants was 39 years. Most, 65 (69.9%) have more than 8 years of schooling, they are married or in stable relationships. Most (96.7%) reported having performed the Pap test last year. Regarding knowledge about the examination, 78 (83.8%) claimed to have known throughhealth professionals. Regarding knowledge of risk factors for cervical cancer, 43 (46.2%) had correct knowledge on the subject. It is noticed that the women of the city studied have significant knowledge regarding Pap smears. The use of health services for the prevention of cervical cancer and the level of education of most positively influence the perception of the importance of this practice.Keywords: Cervix Uteri. Papanicolau Test. Women’s Health.

scholarly journals MENENTUKAN MODEL PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 54
Author(s):  
Lindo Febdian ◽  
Efendi .
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Exponential Model ◽  
Central Bureau ◽  
Geometry Model ◽  
West Sumatra ◽  
Model Geometry ◽  
Population Growth Models

This research examines the population growth models which is used to estimate the total population of West Sumatra in the future. In this research, we use thesecondary data obtained from BPS (Central Bureau of Statistics). The data are population censuses in 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2010. The models in this study are linier model,geometry model, exponential model and logistic model. Based on the results absoluteerror of the growth models, logistic model with population growth is the best model toproject the population of West Sumatra in 2020.

scholarly journals EFFECTIVE TIME PEMBELAJARAN PENDIDIKAN JASMANI DI SEKOLAH MENENGAH ATAS SE-KOTA PONTIANAK

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Mimi Haetami
Keyword(s):  
High School ◽  
Public Schools ◽  
Physical Education ◽  
Learner Participation ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
Effective Time ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Time Utilization ◽  
The City

ABSTRACT        The study of physical education in schools is often criticized by both the school and community. The presumption that the subject of physical education as a complement, less meaningful learning, so there is the assumption that the subject of physical education is not important. This is a challenge for physical education practitioners in developing and improving the quality of learning better.         In the implementation there are still many problems in the learning of physical  education such as: [1] there is still a lot of time wasted during physical education lesson in progress, so that learning tends to be less meaningful., [2] involvement of students as a whole when lesson is not maximal, so that learners begin to feel bored in learning, [3] Utilization of learning time is still minimal, so the management of the class seemed not ready.       The purpose of this study is expected to know how much time effective in learning physical education in high school in the city of Pontianak. While the method used in this research is descriptive research method with quantitative approach, in the form of survey, with the number of samples of 5 public schools located in the city of Pontianak.        The conclusion of the calculation of the percentage of effective time of learning of learners in high school is found as follows: SMAN 1 with the proportion of time utilization (63.33%) and the total involvement of learners (83.33%); SMAN 2 with the proportion of time utilization (46.67%) and the number of students' involvement (75.00%); SMAN 3 with the proportion of time utilization (44.44%), and the number of students' involvement (85.00%), SMAN 4 proportion of time utilization (44.44%) with the total involvement of learners (61.90%), SMAN 5 with the proportion of time utilization (46.67%), and number of learner participation (45.00%). Keywords: effective time, learning

scholarly journals Taxpayer Compliance in SME's Sector: A Theory of Planned Behavior

2021 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 490-503
Author(s):  
Heni Suryanti Et al.
Keyword(s):  
Data Processing ◽  
Theory Of Planned Behaviour ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Tax Compliance ◽  
Subjective Norms ◽  
Behavioural Control ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Planned Behaviour ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The City

This study aims to identify compliance with paying taxes using the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB).The variables used in this study are the attitude, Subjective norms and behavioural control to measure tax compliance, taxpayer with the subject of research at the Department of Cooperatives and SME's in the City of Depok, West Java. This research used primary data directly from the first party by distributing questionnaires directly to the SME's taxpayer. Data processing used SPSS version 25.0. The results of this research result the data that attitudes, norms and behavioural control Subjective Affect taxpayer compliance. Attitudes and behavioural control have a positive and significant to tax compliance while for subjective norms had a negative andsignificantto tax compliance. This shows that Taxpayers of Depok SME's pay taxes on their own awareness rather than the influence of opinions or suggestions from others.

scholarly journals Analysis of COVID-19 Outbreak in Ecuador Using the Logistic Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 105-118
Author(s):  
Talia Tene ◽  
Marco Guevara ◽  
Jiří Svozilík ◽  
Richard Tene-Fernandez ◽  
Cristian Vacacela Gomez
Keyword(s):  
Latin American ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Logistic Models ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Exponential Model ◽  
Mathematical Approach ◽  
Infected People ◽  
One Year ◽  
Novel Coronavirus ◽  
Long Term Prediction

At the end of 2019, the COVID-19 disease emerged in the city of Wuhan, China, and caused an outbreak of unusual viral pneumonia. Being highly transmissible, this novel coronavirus disease has spread fast all over the world. COVID-19 continues to challenge most developed countries in the search for an effective strategy to either prevent infection or to avoid the spreading of the disease. While several developed countries have managed to contain COVID-19, several countries in Latin America continue to report an increase in the daily number of infected people. Ecuador, particularly, became the epicenter of the COVID-19 outbreak in the region during March and April 2020. In this context, the present study shows a simple mathematical approach to understand the effect of the COVID-19 outbreak in Ecuador (and some Latin American countries such as Brazil, Peru, and Colombia). The proposed method is based on the exponential model, discrete logistic equation, and differential logistic model using one-year data from March 1, 2020, to February 28, 2021. This study presents the estimated growth rate coefficient (λ), the total number of cases (N), and the midpoint of maximum infection (t_0) as well as the variability of the λ coefficient as a function of total cases and time. The exponential model shows a high value of λ=0.185 which decreases to λ=0.014 and λ=0.056 according to the discrete and differential logistic models, respectively. An accurate value of the total number of cases of infected people was found by analyzing the number of daily cases as a function of the total of cases whose value (N~409 K) agrees with the data reported at the end of May 2021, validating the proposed approach. How to use the current mathematical approach for long-term prediction is also discussed here. Most importantly, the proposed method has two important characteristics: (i) the mathematical model is as simple as possible compared to other time-consuming approaches, and (ii) it can be used to study the effect of COVID-19 and predicts its consequences in other countries, allowing revenue new decisions against the COVID-19 disease. Doi: 10.28991/esj-2021-SPER-09 Full Text: PDF

scholarly journals Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pembelian Apartemen Mewah, The Stature Jakarta

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 303
Author(s):  
Anastasia Inesencia
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Home Ownership ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Consumer Property ◽  
Human Needs ◽  
Process Of Urbanization ◽  
Basic Human Needs ◽  
The City

The need for a home is one of the basic human needs. Currently home ownership is not only intended for the fulfillment of basic needs only, but has become an interesting investment alternative in Jakarta, one of the centers of economic growth with the rate of population increase is quite high in Indonesia. Population growth that occurs either naturally or through the process of urbanization led to a growth in demand for residential houses. It is boosting the development of the city of Jakarta Property in good simple house to luxury Property. The research result is consumer property in the city of Jakarta, in buying luxury property prefers factors.

scholarly journals The Students’ Preference on Using TOEFL Applications for Grammar IV Course At Universitas PGRI Wiranegara.

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Barotun Mabaroh ◽  
Dewi Ani Sartika ◽  
Rasyidah Nur Aisyah
Keyword(s):  
Research Result ◽  
Average Score ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
Class A ◽  
Effective Media ◽  
Class B ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Better Than

This study was conducted for discovering the students’ preference of learning Grammar using TOEFL Applications; 1) NST TOEFL Explorer and 2) Genius TOEFL. This research was important in order to evaluate the effective media for learning grammar TOEFL. The researchers used descriptive research which was conducted on 29th March 2019 until 28th May 2019. The subject of this study was the students’ who joined in ICT-Based learning of Grammar IV Course at Universitas PGRI Wiranegara Pasuruan. To get the data, the researchers used some instruments. Those were observation, questionnaire, interview, and documentation. The finding from the questionnaire showed that there were 32% of students class A had choosen NST TOEFL Explorer application, but 68% of them had preferred using Genius TOEFL application. There were 17% of students class B choosen NST TOEFL Explorer application and 83% of students class B had preferred using Genius TOEFL application. From this percentage, it can be shown that Genius TOEFL was more preferred to use for Grammar IV Course in Universitas PGRI Wiranegara Pasuruan. It was also found that the students average score after using NST TOEFL application was 20, whereas they got 65 by using Genius TOEFL. This result did not claim that Genius TOEFL was better than NST TOEFL explorer, but this contributed how an application could enhance the students’ interest in using it for learnig and support their achievement. Future researchers are suggested to justify this research result to formulate best criteria of effective ICT-based media.Keywords: ICT, learning Media, NST TOEFL Explorer, Genius TOEFL, Students’ Preference.

STUDI DESKRIPTIF MINAT CALON GURU SEKOLAH DASAR TERHADAP PENGGUNAAN ALAT PERAGA MATEMATIKA SETELAH PERKULIAHAN MEDIA DAN MODEL PEMBELAJARAN MATEMATIKA SD

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Isna Rafianti ◽  
Etika Khaerunnisa
Keyword(s):  
Elementary Teachers ◽  
Elementary Mathematics ◽  
Mathematics Learning ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Prospective Elementary Teachers ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
Learning Mathematics ◽  
Mathematical Problems ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Object Of Study

This research is motivated by the lack of interest of teachers in the use of props in the process of learning mathematics in elementary school. In accordance with the demands of the curriculum in 2013 and supported by the developed learning theory, learning mathematics is abstract object of study, students need an intermediary that props math-ematics, so that students can more easily understand the concepts that will be pre-sented, and in the end it can deliver students to solve mathematical problems, not only that proposed by the teacher but also the problems in life. The purpose of this study was to determine the interest of prospective elementary teachers on the use of props mathematics after getting lectures media and elementary mathematics learning model. By knowing the interest of prospective elementary teachers will be developed further realization of the state of the subject being studied. The method used is descriptive research, then the instruments used were questionnaires and interviews. The results of this study stated that the interest of prospective elementary teachers on the use of props after attending lectures media and elementary mathematics learning model is high over-all with a percentage of 76.70%.Keywords : Interest, Props Mathematics

TATA RUANG KOTA CIAMIS PASCAPERDAGANGAN DUNIA ABAD KE-19 – 20

PANALUNGTIK ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-60
Author(s):  
Nanang Saptono
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Development Process ◽  
Industrial Area ◽  
Spatial Layout ◽  
Research Data ◽  
City Development ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
Economic Infrastructure ◽  
Ancient Maps ◽  
The City

The capital of Ciamis Regency has experienced several displacements. During the reign of Raden Adipati Aria Kusumadiningrat the development of the capital was encouraged to develop into a city. After the kulturstelsel era, many European capitalists invested in Ciamis. At the beginning of the 20th century economic infrastructure, especially the means of distribution of commodities is much needed. Building economic facilities have sprung up in several locations in Ciamis. Such conditions result in the development of the city. This study aims to get a picture of the spatial layout of Ciamis and the city development process. The research method applied descriptive research. Data collection is done through direct observation in the field and accompanied by the utilization of instrument in the form of ancient maps. In the area of Ciamis City there are still some old building objects that can be used as a spatial bookmark of the city. At a glance the city's development spontaneously, but visible on the basis of existing infrastructure, in the 20th century the city of Ciamis showed a planned city. The growth of Ciamis city is of course influenced by several factors including economic and geographical factors.Keywords: city, layout, planned, industrial area

Museum Preserves in the Sphere of “Cultural Tourism”: Through the Example of the Cultural Preserves of Tatarstan

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 193-198
Author(s):  
Lyudmila S. Timofeeva ◽  
Albina R. Akhmetova ◽  
Liliya R. Galimzyanova ◽  
Roman R. Nizaev ◽  
Svetlana E. Nikitina
Keyword(s):  
19Th Century ◽  
Art Museum ◽  
Medium Size ◽  
Business Elite ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Tourist Center ◽  
Regional Authorities ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
The City

Abstract The article studies the existence experience of historical cities as centers of tourism development as in the case of Elabuga. The city of Elabuga is among the historical cities of Russia. The major role in the development of the city as a tourist center is played by the Elabuga State Historical-Architectural and Art Museum-Reserve. The object of the research in the article is Elabuga as a medium-size historical city. The subject of the research is the activity of the museum-reserve which contributes to the preservation and development of the historical look of Elabuga and increases its attractiveness to tourists. The tourism attractiveness of Elabuga is obtained primarily through the presence of the perfectly preserved historical center of the city with the blocks of integral buildings of the 19th century. The Elabuga State Historical-Architectural and Art Museum-Reserve, which emerged in 1989, is currently an object of historical and cultural heritage of federal importance. Museum-reserves with their significant territories and rich historical, cultural and natural heritage have unique resources for the implementation of large partnership projects. Such projects are not only aimed at attracting a wide range of tourists, but also stimulate interest in the reserve from the business elite, municipal and regional authorities. The most famous example is the Spasskaya Fair which revived in 2008 in Elabuga. It was held in the city since the second half of the 19th century, and was widely known throughout Russia. The process of the revival and successful development of the fair can be viewed as the creation of a special tourist event contributing to the formation of new and currently important tourism products.

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