scholarly journals Forecasting the Development of Islamic Bank in Indonesia: Adopting ARIMA Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 190
Author(s):  
Ahmad Syarif

Financial activities that are often carried out by people in developed and developing countries. Banks can collect public funds directly from customers, then distribute them to the public. Islamic banks still have a good reputation in the community so that the assets and third party funds of Islamic commercial banks grow. This is also reinforced by public optimism due to regulation of Banking Synergy in One Ownership for the development of Islamic Banking. The purpose of this study is to forecast the growth of Islamic banking after the implementation of banking synergy regulations in one ownership as an effort to increase the efficiency of the Islamic banking industry. This study used the secondary data all of  the Islamic Banks in Indonesia from Financial Service Authority by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) period 2015-2019 as the estimated data and 2020-2022 as the forecasting data in quarter. This study used two variables, asset and third-party fund, to estimate the best model. The result shows ARIMA (0,1,1) has the small AIC and significant value as best estimation model. The growth of Islamic banks in 2020 will increase by 7.4 % in assets and 7.3 % by the end of 2022 to IDR 437 trillion. Meanwhile, third party funds by the end of 2022 will increase by 8 % with total third party funds of IDR 361 trillion. Banking Synergy in One Ownership Order has the potential to increase the effectiveness and the efficiency of the Islamic Banking Industry at future. 

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 237-262
Author(s):  
Apri Suhartanto

Industri keungan syariah dari tahun ketahun menunjukan tren yang sangat positif. OJK merilis market share perbankan syariah diangka 5%. Salah satu faktor bertahannya perbankan syariah adalah produk pembiayaan. Pembiayaan sebagai jantung dari suatu perbankan. Dan pembiayaan mikro menjadi andalan perbankan dalam menjamah nasabah sampai kepada pelosok desa. Namun, masih kurangnya pendampingan yang dilakukan Bank Umum Syariah menjadikan pembiayaan ini diujung tanduk. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa bagaimana optimalisasi pembiayaan mikro di bank umum syariah dalam pengembangan bisnis UMKM nasabah mikro. Penelitian ini merupakan jenis penulisan deskriptif dengan pendekatan kualitatif. Adapun jenis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder. Teknik pengumpulan data dalam penelitian ini yaitu dengan menggunakan studi pustaka dan dokumenter.Hasil dan pembahasan adalah dengan melakukan teknik COD (Community Orginizing Development) yaitu adanya mentoring bisnis yang dilakukanoleh perbankan syariah itu sendiri atau dengan lembaga mitra bank umum syariah kepada nasabah pembiayaan mikro. Sharia financial industry shows a very positive trend from year to year. FSA (Financial Service Authority) has released Islamic banking market share of 5%. One of the persistence factors of Islamic banking is financing products, which is the heart of banking, and microfinance becomes a mainstay in serving its customer in the countryside. However, the lack of mentoring run by sharia division of convensional banks has made it not well developed. This study was aimed at analyzing the optimization of micro-financing in syaria division of conventional bank in the business development of SMEs micro customers. This is a descriptive qualitative research and the data used in this research were secondary data. Data were collected through literary and documentary study. This research found that the optimalization of micro financing in Islamic banks was done through COD (Organizing Community Development), i.e., the business mentoring done by the Islamic banking itself or by a partner institution of syaria division of conventional bank to microfinance customers.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Arif Rijal Anshori

Banking is a very important part in the economy, one of them as intermediary institutions whose duty to collect funds from the public and then channel them back in the form of financing.This study aims to determine the effect Number of DPK, NPF and SBIS partially to finance portfolio of Islamic banking in Indonesia, and to determine the effect Number of DPK, NPF and SBIS simultaneously to the finance portfolio of Islamic banking in Indonesia.This study proceed from the assumption that (1) the size distribution of the funds offered by Islamic banks is very influenced by the size DPK means that the higher the number of third-party funds collected, the higher also finance portfolio, (2) the higher non-performing financing the worse the quality of banking assets, (3) the higher the bonus level set SBIS Indonesian bank will lower the financing undertaken by the banking Shari'ah. But based on data from Islamic banking statistics from the years 2008-2014 there is a gap between theory and facts on the ground. These assumptions are tested empirically so that the truth can be scientifically recognized. When there is a justification or rejection of these assumptions, then this is a scientific truth that can be considered Islamic banking in Indonesia.Quantitative research methods in this study using research formats explanation, source data used in this research is secondary data, then the type of data used in this research is quantitative data time series, the quarterly data of financing, deposits, NPF and SBIS Islamic banking in Indonesia from 2008 to 2014. Data were then processed by means of statistical analysis using Eviews 7, which comprises the classical assumption of them: normality test, heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity test, autocorrelation test. statistical tests include: regression, t test, F test and R2.The conclusion that can be drawn from this study that partially, DPK variable is positive and significant effect on the financing, NPF variable is negative but not significant effect on the financing, while SBIS is negative and significant effect on the financing. Then simultaneously the number of DPK, NPF and SBIS significant effect on the distribution of funding. Those variables could explain freely by 99.45% and the remaining 0.55% can be explained by other variables not examined.


Author(s):  
Safira Khoirunnisa ◽  
Arson Aliludin

In 2019, COVID-19 starts to become a global emergence and keeps spreading all over the world. It has begun to enter Indonesia in February 2020 and has developed the social restriction and lockdown policy that leads to the decline in the economy. In contrast, the Islamic banking industry has escalated marginally in the past century. As a business entity, Islamic Banking has to maintain its business performance, one of which is by measuring the efficiency of the bank. The aim of this study is to analyse whether the Islamic Banking industry is disrupted by the occurrence of the COVID-19 pandemic, by measuring the efficiency of Islamic Banking. This study uses the Data Envelopment Analysis method with Variable Return to Scale model in output orientation. The variables used are based on the Intermediation approach which are Third Party Funds with Total Assets for the input, and Financing with Operating Income for the output. The samples are from all of the Islamic Banks in Indonesia in 2019-2021 except PT Bank Net Indonesia Syariah (total of 13). After calculating the efficiency, to see whether there is a difference between the Islamic Banks' efficiency before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Mann-Whitney U Test are used. The result of this study is that the Islamic banks in Indonesia have not been efficient both before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic, with a score of 68,12% for before and 69,64% for during pandemic. Moreover, the correlation analysis using the Mann-Whitney U test result indicates that the efficiency score before and during the COVID-19 pandemic has no significant difference. Hence, this illustrates that the occurrence of the COVID-19 pandemic didn’t affect the Islamic Banking industry in Indonesia, particularly on their efficiency.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 79
Author(s):  
Mega Ayu Maharanie ◽  
Sri Herianingrum

The objectives of this research to analyze the influence of capital adequacy as measured by Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), intermediary functions as measured by Non Performing Financing (NPF), financial problems as measured by Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR), and operational cost as measured by BOPO to profitability as measured by Return On Asset (ROA) of Islamic Banking Industry in the period of 2010-2012. The population used for the study is Islamic banks whose financial statements have been published to Bank Indonesia from 2010-2012. The sampling techniques is cencus sampling, so the sample in this study is every unit in a population. The data of this study used secondary data from the website of Bank Indonesia. The method of data analysis which was used is multiple linier regression analysis.From the result of analyse indicate that CAR, NPF, and BOPO variables has significantly affcet in partial toward ROA at level of significant less than 0,05, but only FDR variable has no significantly affect to the ROA. While, CAR, FDR, NPF, and BOPO variables in simultan has no affect to the ROA with a significance level of 0,000.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-61
Author(s):  
Wiwin Yustina ◽  
Tulus Suryanto ◽  
Heni Noviarita ◽  
Erike Anggraeni

The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of Non-Performing Financing, Third Party Funds, Financial To Funding Ratio, Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio and Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer on the liquidity of Islamic Banking listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange List in the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2018 to the 1st and 2nd quarters of 2018. 2019. The research design used is a quantitative approach. The data analyzed is secondary data in the form of quarterly banking financial statements listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange List for the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2018 to 1st and 2nd quarters of 2019, data for each bank. The population in this study were 15 Islamic banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange List during the study period, with a sample of 12 Islamic banks during 4 quarters of observation, so that the final sample was 48 observational data. The results of the study show that the variables of Non Performing Financing, Financial To Funding Ratio have an influence on the liquidity of Islamic banking. While other variables, namely Third Party Funds, Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio and Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer, have no effect on the liquidity of Islamic Banking. Liquidity management in banking institutions is one aspect that becomes a top priority. Liquidity is a condition where banks are able to meet their obligations as they fall due and banks are able to meet the demand for funds by customers. Banks must be able to maintain their liquidity level in a safe and optimal position in accordance with the bank soundness level parameters set by Bank Indonesia.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Nur Syuhada

Strive for innovative Islamic banking in offering products and building a good reputation in following the development of the Islamic financial industry to trigger an increasingly competitive level of competition. Building a good reputation is largely determined by the identity of the company itself. Islamic banking has a higher moral responsibility than conventional banking or other public companies because there are social values ​​and justice that must be met. study This was conducted to reveal that ethical identity significantly influences the financial performance of Islamic banking companies which have restrictions on Islamic commercial banks in Indonesia. This research will be conducted using secondary data in the form of annual reports issued from Islamic banks in Indonesia from 2008-2018 through the websites of each Islamic bank. The population of this study is Sharia banks that are listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange or listed at Bank Indonesia. The update of this study is that this research will replace the measurement variable profitability from ROA to NPM and change the year from 2008-2018 compared to the previous study, using only the period 2010-2013.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Syafiq Mahmadah Hanafi

Market share determines the position of revenue and public utilization of Sharia bank. This research aims to examine the internal and external determinant factors of Indonesia Sharia banking market share. The secondary data were obtained from the Financial Services Authority (OJK) and Bank Indonesia (BI). Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) was used to explore the short and long periods from the influence of variables, including total of offices, customers, third-party saving (DPK), and promotion. The results showed that the total number of Automated Teller Machines (ATM) had a contrastingly different impact. Therefore, this research recommends adding all variables quantitatively.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Puji Sucia Sukmaningrum ◽  
Kashan Pirzada ◽  
Sylva Alif Rusmita ◽  
Fatin Fadhilah Hasib ◽  
Tika Widiastuti ◽  
...  

Objective – Islamic Banks have a distinct advantage that is not only conduct a commercial operation, but to also conduct social operations. Therefore, Islamic Banks plays an important role in developing the Indonesian economy. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of internal and external factors that affect the profitability of Islamic Banks in Indonesia. Methodology/Technique – The methodology of this research is multiple regression. The object of this research is the Islamic banking industry in Indonesia. Internal factors include size, liquidity, asset quality, management, and efficiency ratio. External factors include interest rate and inflation. Return on Assets is used to measure profitability. The monthly data is collected from the financial reports of Islamic Banks between 2011 to 2016. Findings – The findings show that size, liquidity, assets quality, management ratio, interest rate and inflation lead to a greater Return on Assets (profitability) in Islamic Banks in Indonesia. Efficiency however does not have a significant effect on profitability of Islamic Banks in Indonesia. Novelty – Based on the results of this research, it can be concluded that the Islamic banking industry can use those variables to improve the profitability of Islamic banks in the future. In addition, there are two variables that affect the profitability of Islamic banking industry. For the Islamic banking industry should anticipate the movement of inflation and interest to improve the profitability of Islamic banks. Type of Paper: Empirical paper. Keywords: Islamic Banks; Profitability; Internal Factors; External Factors; Indonesia. Reference to this paper should be made as follows: Sukmaningrum, P.S; Pirzada, K; Rusmita, S.A; Hasib, F.F; Widiastuti, T; Hendratmi, A. 2020. Determinants of Islamic Bank Profitability: Evidence from Indonesia, J. Fin. Bank. Review, 5 (1): pp. 01 – 13 https://doi.org/10.35609/jfbr.2020.5.1(1) JEL Classification: G21, G24.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arfianti Novita Anwar

<p>This study aims to analyze the performance of Islamic banks and conventional banks before and after the implementation of Islamic Banking Act 2008. The performance will be measured using CAMEL ratio selected. This research is considered essential in examining the positive contribution of the application of the Act to improve the performance of Islamic banks in Indonesia. By using secondary data, this study compared the performance of Islamic banks with that conventional bank selected as samples during the study period. Data were analyzed using the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test for inter-temporal and Mann-Whitney test for inter-bank. Inter-temporal Tests conducted on Islamic Banking showed that a significant difference was only seen in the NPF ratio of 2 years before and after implementation of Islamic Banking Act. As for conventional banks showed a more diverse ie for 1 year before and after the application of the Law on Islamic Banking there are significant differences for the ROA and ROE, two years before and after implementation of the Law Islamic banking there are significant differences for the CAR, ROA, ROE and NIM and for the overall test a significant difference to CAR, ROA, ROE, NIM and efficiency. Inter-bank testing showed that prior to the application of Islamic Banking Act there are significant differences between conventional banks and Islamic banks to CAR, ROA and efficiency. Furthermore, after the application of Islamic Banking Act there is a significant difference for the CAR and LDR / FDR.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Warto Warto ◽  
R Bambang Budhijana

Compared to conventional banking, the distribution of Islamic banking financing is more optimal, growth is continuous and asset enhancement is very good. This is indicated by the Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) which ranges between 94.88%. This means that a Sharia Bank is able to meet the targets and expectations of Bank Indonesia. Given the lack of Islamic banks and their limited assets, this optimization is certainly influenced by many factors, therefore it is necessary to test the factors that influence the distribution of Islamic banking financing, which includes Third Party Funds (DPK), Non Performing Financing (NPF) and Bank Indonesia Syariah Certificate (SBIS). This study uses the Sharia Commercial Bank and the Sharia Business Unit as a whole as a unit of research object, with the research period from 2009-2019 (in the quarterly period). The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression, while hypothesis testing uses the t-test to test the effect of variables partially, and the F-test to test the effect of variables simultaneously with a significance level of 5% or 0.05. Based on the research, it was found that Third Party Funds (TPF) had a positive and significant effect on the distribution of Islamic Banking financing. Non Performing Financing (NPF) has a positive and insignificant effect on the distribution of bank financing. While Sharia Bank Indonesia Certificates (SBIS) have a negative and significant effect on the distribution of bank financing.


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