Mathematical Model of Generalized Assessment of the Rating of Similar Objects Based on Statistical Data from the Standpoint of Epidemiological Safety (on the Example of the Incidence of COVID-19 in the Regions of the Volga Federal District)

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 58-71
Author(s):  
V. M. Karaulov ◽  
L. V. Karaulova ◽  
E. V. Karanina

Th e article describes the construction of a generalized assessment of the incidence of COVID-19 in the regions of the Russian Federation. Th e mathematical model includes normalization of relative morbidity indicators, which allows comparing the incidence rate in diff erent regions and the degree of change in morbidity. Based on the developed scale of epidemiological safety and the risk of disease spread, the assessment of the level of disease and the spread of COVID-19 in the subjects of the Volga Federal District is carried out.The relevance of the study is due to the fact that a comparative analysis of the incidence of COVID-19 by region is currently one of the main conditions for identifying factors in the spread/localization of the disease, assessing the eff ectiveness of eff orts and developing a system of measures to counter the spread of the disease.

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 57-62
Author(s):  
M. M. Padrul ◽  
E. V. Cherkasova ◽  
V. V. Skryabina ◽  
S. N. Berseneva

Aim. To compare the maternal mortality (MM) indices in Perm Krai with MM indices in the Russian Federation (RF) and Privolzhskiy Federal District over the past 20 years. Materials and methods. On the basis of official statistical data, intensive indices and image indices, mean multiyear MM indices, 95 % confidence intervals, median, 25 and 75 percentile indices were calculated. The mean multiyear indices are presented as M (mean value) ± SD (standard deviation). Results. According to official statistical data, the mean multiyear (1997–2016) indices of MM coefficient in Perm Krai tend to decline, but they do not reliably differ from the analogous indices in RF. During the last 20 years, there was noted a steady and obvious decrease in MM index on the territory of Perm Krai, especially marked for the last 2 years (2015–2016) that resulted in appearance of statistically significant differences regarding this index in Perm Krai compared to these indices in RF as a whole. Conclusions. Perm Krai is a rather favorable region as far as rendering of medical aid to pregnant, parturient women and puerperas is concerned.


2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
pp. 318-324
Author(s):  
Olga M. Mikailova

Introduction. One of the mechanisms for implementing the state policy targets in achieving wellbeing, improving the quality and duration of active life, reducing mortality, including at working age, is to reduce risks and eliminate factors that contribute to the development of obesity. The aim of the study is a hygienic assessment of the indicator of the primary morbidity of obesity in the population of the Moscow Region, the Central Federal District (CFD), the Russian Federation (RF). Materials and methods. The research materials were the databases of the regional information fund for social and hygienic monitoring of the Moscow Region for 2011-2019 (2020). The study was performed by a retrospective comparative analysis of intensive indicators of the primary morbidity of obesity in three age groups, calculated for 100 thousand cases of the corresponding age. Results. Obesity of the population of the Moscow Region occupies a significant share in the structure of diseases of the endocrine system, eating disorders and metabolic disorders. Among children, the incidence is 34.1% of all diseases of this class, among adolescents - 44.2%, adults-21.4%. The incidence of obesity among all age categories of the population of the Moscow Region is significantly lower than the level of the same indicator for the Central Federal District and for the Russian Federation, excluding the period 2011-2014, when the incidence of adolescents in the Moscow Region was higher or at the level of the indicator values for Russia. In 2019. among the 18 subjects of the Central Federal District, the Moscow Region occupies the 16th rank position in descending order of the value of the indicator of obesity among adolescents and adults for the first time. The lowest indicator for the Central Federal District is established among children. Conclusion. The implementation of the measures of the federal project “Strengthening Public Health” aimed at providing the population with a full, balanced, rational diet will reduce the risk of alimentary diseases, including obesity.


Author(s):  
N. V. Rudakov ◽  
S. N. Shpynov ◽  
N. A. Pen`evskaya ◽  
D. V. Trankvilevsky ◽  
E. V. Yatsmenko ◽  
...  

Objective of the study was to analyze the incidence of Siberian tick-borne typhus (STBT) in the Russian Federation between 2010 and 2019, Astrakhan spotted fever (ASF) and Mediterranean fever (MF) since official registration, and forecast the development of the epidemic process for endemic rickettsioses for 2020. Materials and methods. The analysis of the incidence of STBT, ASF and MF in the Russian Federation over the period of 2010–2019, 2013–2019 and 2014–2019, respectively, in relation to the results of zoological-entomological monitoring. Results and discussion. The average long-term incidence rate of STBT for 2010–2019 in the Russian Federation on the whole was 1.1 0 /0000 (DI95 1.05÷1.08) without trends towards change. The maximum relative incidence of STBT is typical for the Siberian Federal District (SFD) where the average long-term incidence rate for 2010–2019 amounted to 6.28 per 100 thousand of the population. In the second place is the Far Eastern Federal District (FEFD) – 5.17 0 /0000, in third – the Ural Federal District (UFD) – 0.1 0 /0000. When assessing the 10‑year dynamics of the relative incidence of STBT, we have revealed a significant tendency to increase in the FEFD, a tendency to stabilize in the SFD and a significant downward trend – in the UFD. A reliable increasing trend in STBT incidence was detected in the Altai Republic and in the Khabarovsk Territory. Major decline in STBT incidence was observed in the Trans-Baikal territory, Krasnoyarsk territory, Kurgan Region and the Republic of Khakassia. There is a marked tendency to increase in the incidence of MF in the Republic of Crimea. In the Astrakhan Region and the Republic of Kalmykia, there is an expressed tendency towards the reduction in the ASF morbidity rates.


Author(s):  
E. Gerasimova

В работе дан обзор информационного обеспечения, которое может быть использовано для сравнительного анализа социальноэкономического развития регионов, находящихся на трех соподчиненных уровнях административнотерриториального деления Российской Федерации. На основе анализа стратегий пространственного развития субъектов СевероЗападного Федерального округа представлен опыт классификации муниципальных образований по типу социально экономического развития. Дан краткий обзор информационного обеспечения на уровне муниципальных образований в Сотрудничестве Северных Стран (Nordic Cooperation). The paper provides an overview of information support, which can be used for a comparative analysis of socioeconomic development of regions at three levels of subordinated administrativeterritorial division of the Russian Federation. On the basis of the analysis of strategies of spatial development of municipalities of subjects of the Northwest Federal district experience of classification of municipalities by type of social and economic development is presented. A brief overview of information support at the level of municipalities in the countries of the Northern Union (Nordic Countries).


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Проказина ◽  
Natalya Prokazina ◽  
Перевозкин ◽  
Leonid Perevozkin

The article highlights the regional features of demographic development in the Central Federal District of the Russian Federation. The conclusions are based on actual statistical data published on the official websites. Based on the position that one of the medical and demographic problems of social development of the state is the death rate, the level of which depends on the socio-economic development, public welfare, development of health systems, access to health care, the authors found that in the Central Federal District there was the most significant reduction in mortality in the Smolensk, Kostroma and Yaroslavl regions.


The analysis of morbidity and mortality in the Primorsky Krai from malignant neoplasms is presented in the article. A comparative analysis and evaluation of similar indicators in the Russian Federation and the Far Eastern Federal District was performed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 94 (3) ◽  
pp. 13-19
Author(s):  
O. A. Karpova

In article presents the results a comparative analysis of the prevalence and incidence of the skin and subcutaneous tissue diseases in the railway transport workers of the Altay region, of the West-Siberian Railways, of JSC Russian Railways and the local population of the Siberian Federal district, and the Russian Federation.


2020 ◽  
pp. 61-66
Author(s):  
E.N. Koroleva ◽  
Val. V. Mishchenko

The article is devoted to the method of calculating the urban environment quality index on the territory of the Russian Federation. The authors reviewed the existing methodology for calculating the urban environment quality index of cities, and made a comparative analysis of statistical data and sample research materials on this issue. As a result, some discrepancies were found in the calculation of the following indicators: “the share of green areas”, “attractiveness of green areas”, “variety of services in green areas”. The article proposes a method for calculating the indicator: “the share of green areas” and a model for adjusting the following indicators: “attractiveness of green areas”, “variety of services in green areas”. Application of this method and adjustment of indicators will not only lead to changes in the calculation of the urban environment quality index for the city of Barnaul and for other cities of the Russian Federation, but will also allow to “qualitatively” evaluate Russian cities by the level of improvement and comfort of living of residents. Thus, Federal authorities will be able to provide targeted assistance to municipalities in areas where there is an urgent need.


2021 ◽  
Vol 244 ◽  
pp. 01014
Author(s):  
Alsu Fazylova ◽  
Elina Nasyrova ◽  
Liana Faritova ◽  
Alexey Elizaryev

Using statistical data, the dynamics of forest fires in the Volga federal district of the Russian Federation from 2000 to 2020 years is analyzed. The number and area of forest fires were considered as the initial data. At the same time, the total area of forest fire and of burned forests were taken into account separately. It was found that during the period under review, the minimum number of fires was recorded in 2000, and the maximum in 2018. Out of 14 subjects included in the Volga federal district, forest fires in the Republic of Bashkortostan were studied in detail. The dependence of the number of fires by season is established. Using correlation analysis of the statistical data for 2000-2020, the fact of strong dependence between the number of fires in the Volga federal district and forest area covered by fire was established.


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