scholarly journals Characteristics of Historical Precipitation in High Mountain Asia Based on a 15-Year High Resolution Dynamical Downscaling

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 355
Author(s):  
Collin Riley ◽  
Summer Rupper ◽  
James W. Steenburgh ◽  
Courtenay Strong ◽  
Adam K. Kochanski ◽  
...  

The mountains of High Mountain Asia serve as an important source of water for roughly one billion people living downstream. This research uses 15 years of dynamically downscaled precipitation produced by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to delineate contrasts in precipitation characteristics and events between regions dominated by the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) versus westerly disturbances during the cool season (December to March). Cluster analysis reveals a more complex spatial pattern than indicated by some previous studies and illustrates the increasing importance of westerly disturbances at higher elevations. Although prior research suggests that a small number of westerly disturbances dominate precipitation in the western Himalaya and Karakoram, the WRF-downscaled precipitation is less dominated by infrequent large events. Integrated vapor transport (IVT) and precipitation are tightly coupled in both regions during the cool season, with precipitation maximizing for IVT from the south-southwest over the Karakoram and southeast-southwest over the western Himalaya. During the ISM, Karakoram precipitation is not strongly related to IVT direction, whereas over the western Himalaya, primary and secondary precipitation maxima occur for flow from the west-southwest and northwest, respectively. These differences in the drivers and timing of precipitation have implications for hydrology, glacier mass balance, snow accumulation, and their sensitivity to climate variability and change.

2017 ◽  
Vol 63 (240) ◽  
pp. 618-628 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARKUS ENGELHARDT ◽  
AL. RAMANATHAN ◽  
TRUDE EIDHAMMER ◽  
PANKAJ KUMAR ◽  
OSKAR LANDGREN ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTGlacier mass balance and runoff are simulated from 1955 to 2014 for the catchment (46% glacier cover) containing Chhota Shigri Glacier (Western Himalaya) using gridded data from three regional climate models: (1) the Rossby Centre regional atmospheric climate model v.4 (RCA4); (2) the REgional atmosphere MOdel (REMO); and (3) the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). The input data are downscaled to the simulation grid (300 m) and calibrated with point measurements of temperature and precipitation. Additional input is daily potential global radiation calculated using a DEM at a resolution of 30 m. The mass-balance model calculates daily snow accumulation, melt and runoff. The model parameters are calibrated with available mass-balance measurements and results are validated with geodetic measurements, other mass-balance model results and run-off measurements. Simulated annual mass balances slightly decreased from −0.3 m w.e. a−1 (1955–99) to −0.6 m w.e. a−1 for 2000–14. For the same periods, mean runoff increased from 2.0 m3 s−1 (1955–99) to 2.4 m3 s−1 (2000–14) with glacier melt contributing about one-third to the runoff. Monthly runoff increases are greatest in July, due to both increased snow and glacier melt, whereas slightly decreased snowmelt in August and September was more than compensated by increased glacier melt.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (10) ◽  
pp. 1565-1581 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. N. J. Bonekamp ◽  
E. Collier ◽  
W. W. Immerzeel

Abstract Frequently used gridded meteorological datasets poorly represent precipitation in the Himalayas because of their relatively low spatial resolution and the associated representation of the complex topography. Dynamical downscaling using high-resolution atmospheric models may improve the accuracy and quality of the precipitation fields. However, most physical parameterization schemes are designed for a spatial resolution coarser than 1 km. In this study the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model is used to determine which resolution is required to most accurately simulate monsoon and winter precipitation, 2-m temperature, and wind fields in the Nepalese Himalayas. Four model nests are set up with spatial resolutions of 25, 5, 1, and 0.5 km, respectively, and a typical 10-day period in summer and winter in 2014 are simulated. The model output is compared with observational data obtained from automatic weather stations, pluviometers, and tipping buckets in the Langtang catchment. Results show that, despite issues with the quality of the observational data due to undercatch of snowfall, the highest resolution of 500 m does provide the best match with the observations and gives the most plausible spatial distribution of precipitation. The quality of the wind and temperature fields is also improved, whereby the cold temperature bias is decreased. Our results further elucidate the performance of WRF at high resolution and demonstrate the importance of accurate surface boundary conditions and spinup time for simulating precipitation. Furthermore, they suggest that future modeling studies of High Mountain Asia should consider a subkilometer grid for accurately estimating local meteorological variability.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-69
Author(s):  
Pratima Pandey ◽  
S. Nawaz Ali ◽  
Vikram Sharma ◽  
Prashant K. Champati Ray

Thermokarst (Thaw) lakes are landforms found in topographic depressions created by thawing ground ice in permafrost zones. They play an important role in the regulation of climatic functions. These lakes are a manifestation of warming surface temperatures that accelerates the ice-rich permafrost to degrade by creating marshy hollows/ponds. In the current global warming scenario, the thermokarst lakes in the high mountain regions (Himalaya) are expected to grow further. This accelerate permafrost thawing which will affect the carbon cycle, hydrology and local ecosystems. This phenomenon has attracted huge scientific attention because it has led to a rapid mass change of glaciers in the region, including extensive changes occurring on peri-glacial environments. The most striking fact is the release of an enormous amount of greenhouse gases, including methane, carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide that is locked in these lakes. The present study delves into the thermokarst lakes in the upper reaches of Chandra Valley and Western Himalaya. The study also aims at designating the impact of their changes on the ecosystem, particularly their influence on the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Atanu Bhattacharya ◽  
Tobias Bolch ◽  
Kriti Mukherjee ◽  
Owen King ◽  
Brian Menounos ◽  
...  

AbstractKnowledge about the long-term response of High Mountain Asian glaciers to climatic variations is paramount because of their important role in sustaining Asian river flow. Here, a satellite-based time series of glacier mass balance for seven climatically different regions across High Mountain Asia since the 1960s shows that glacier mass loss rates have persistently increased at most sites. Regional glacier mass budgets ranged from −0.40 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Central and Northern Tien Shan to −0.06 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Eastern Pamir, with considerable temporal and spatial variability. Highest rates of mass loss occurred in Central Himalaya and Northern Tien Shan after 2015 and even in regions where glaciers were previously in balance with climate, such as Eastern Pamir, mass losses prevailed in recent years. An increase in summer temperature explains the long-term trend in mass loss and now appears to drive mass loss even in regions formerly sensitive to both temperature and precipitation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 58 (75pt2) ◽  
pp. 99-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayli Atul Tawde ◽  
Anil V. Kulkarni ◽  
Govindasamy Bala

ABSTRACTAn improved understanding of fresh water stored in the Himalaya is crucial for water resource management in South Asia and can be inferred from glacier mass-balance estimates. However, field investigations in the rugged Himalaya are limited to a few individual glaciers and short duration. Therefore, we have recently developed an approach that combines satellite-derived snowlines, a temperature-index melt model and the accumulation-area ratio method to estimate annual mass balance of glaciers at basin scale and for a long period. In this investigation, the mass balance of 146 glaciers in the Chandra basin, western Himalaya, is estimated from 1984 to 2012. We estimate the trend in equilibrium line altitude of the basin as +113 m decade−1and the mean mass balance as −0.61 ± 0.46 m w.e. a−1. Our basin-wide mass-balance estimates are in agreement with the geodetic method during 1999–2012. Sensitivity analysis suggests that a 20% increase in precipitation can offset changes in mass balance for a 1 °C temperature rise. A water loss of 18% of the total basin volume is estimated, and 67% for small and low-altitude glaciers during 1984–2012, indicating a looming water scarcity crisis for villages in this valley.


2012 ◽  
Vol 140 (10) ◽  
pp. 3259-3277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunxi Zhang ◽  
Yuqing Wang ◽  
Axel Lauer ◽  
Kevin Hamilton

Abstract The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model V3.3 has been configured for the Hawaiian Islands as a regional climate model for the region (HRCM). This paper documents the model configuration and presents a preliminary evaluation based on a continuous 1-yr simulation forced by observed boundary conditions with 3-km horizontal grid spacing in the inner nested domain. The simulated vertical structure of the temperature and humidity are compared with twice-daily radiosonde observations at two stations. Generally the trade wind inversion (TWI) height and occurrence days are well represented. The simulation over the islands is compared with observations from nine surface climatological stations and a dense network of precipitation stations. The model simulation has generally small biases in the simulated surface temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed. The model realistically simulated the magnitude and geographical distribution of the mean rainfall over the Hawaiian Islands. In addition, the model simulation reproduced reasonably well the individual heavy rainfall events as seen from the time series of pentad mean rainfall averaged over island scales. Also the model reproduced the geographical variation of the mean diurnal rainfall cycle even though the observed diurnal cycle displays quite different features over different islands. Comparison with results obtained using the land surface dataset from the official release of the WRF model confirmed that the newly implemented land surface dataset generally improved the simulation of surface variables. These results demonstrate that the WRF can be a useful tool for dynamical downscaling of regional climate over the Hawaiian Islands.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (14) ◽  
pp. 2297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingyang Lv ◽  
Huadong Guo ◽  
Jin Yan ◽  
Kunpeng Wu ◽  
Guang Liu ◽  
...  

The Karakoram has had an overall slight positive glacier mass balance since the end of 20th century, which is anomalous given that most other regions in High Mountain Asia have had negative changes. A large number of advancing, retreating, and surging glaciers are heterogeneously mixed in the Karakoram increasing the difficulties and inaccuracies to identify glacier surges. We found two adjacent glaciers in the eastern Karakoram behaving differently from 1995 to 2019: one was surging and the other was advancing. In order to figure out the differences existing between them and the potential controls on surges in this region, we collected satellite images from Landsat series, ASTER, and Google Earth, along with two sets of digital elevation model. Utilizing visual interpretation, feature tracking of optical images, and differencing between digital elevation models, three major differences were observed: (1) the evolution profiles of the terminus positions occupied different change patterns; (2) the surging glacier experienced a dramatic fluctuation in the surface velocities during and after the event, while the advancing glacier flowed in a stable mode; and (3) surface elevation of the surging glacier decreased in the reservoir and increased in the receiving zone. However, the advancing glacier only had an obvious elevation increase over its terminus part. These differences can be regarded as standards for surge identification in mountain ranges. After combining the differences with regional meteorological conditions, we suggested that changes of thermal and hydrological conditions could play a role in the surge occurrence, in addition, geomorphological characteristics and increasing warming climate might also be part of it. This research strongly contributes to the literatures of glacial motion and glacier mass change in the eastern Karakoram through remote sensing.


1954 ◽  
Vol 2 (15) ◽  
pp. 342-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. H. Ward ◽  
P. D. Baird

Abstract The Penny Ice Cap on the Cumberland Peninsula of Baffin Island, N.W.T., Canada, was studied during the summer of 1953. This ice cap has an area of some 5900 sq. km. and rests on a 2000 m. high mountain range. It has ten major outflowing glaciers, three of which reach the sea in fjords. The progress of snow accumulation and ablation and the net annual loss or gain of water at various altitudes on the ice cap are recorded. The firn line is at about 1550 m. and the outflowing glaciers are noticeably retreating.


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