scholarly journals Prediction of Friction Degradation in Highways with Linear Mixed Models

Coatings ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 187
Author(s):  
Adriana Santos ◽  
Elisabete F. Freitas ◽  
Susana Faria ◽  
Joel R. M. Oliveira ◽  
Ana Maria A. C. Rocha

The development of a linear mixed model to describe the degradation of friction on flexible road pavements to be included in pavement management systems is the aim of this study. It also aims at showing that, at the network level, factors such as temperature, rainfall, hypsometry, type of layer, and geometric alignment features may influence the degradation of friction throughout time. A dataset from six districts of Portugal with 7204 sections was made available by the Ascendi Concession highway network. Linear mixed models with random effects in the intercept were developed for the two-level and three-level datasets involving time, section and district. While the three-level models are region-specific, the two-level models offer the possibility to be adopted to other areas. For both levels, two approaches were made: One integrating into the model only the variables inherent to traffic and climate conditions and the other including also the factors intrinsic to the highway characteristics. The prediction accuracy of the model was improved when the variables hypsometry, geometrical features, and type of layer were considered. Therefore, accurate predictions for friction evolution throughout time are available to assist the network manager to optimize the overall level of road safety.

2015 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 1373-1388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Liu ◽  
Norberto Pantoja-Galicia ◽  
Bo Zhang ◽  
Richard M Kotz ◽  
Gene Pennello ◽  
...  

Diagnostic tests are often compared in multi-reader multi-case (MRMC) studies in which a number of cases (subjects with or without the disease in question) are examined by several readers using all tests to be compared. One of the commonly used methods for analyzing MRMC data is the Obuchowski–Rockette (OR) method, which assumes that the true area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for each combination of reader and test follows a linear mixed model with fixed effects for test and random effects for reader and the reader–test interaction. This article proposes generalized linear mixed models which generalize the OR model by incorporating a range-appropriate link function that constrains the true AUCs to the unit interval. The proposed models can be estimated by maximizing a pseudo-likelihood based on the approximate normality of AUC estimates. A Monte Carlo expectation-maximization algorithm can be used to maximize the pseudo-likelihood, and a non-parametric bootstrap procedure can be used for inference. The proposed method is evaluated in a simulation study and applied to an MRMC study of breast cancer detection.


Gerontology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (5) ◽  
pp. 430-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erwin Stolz ◽  
Hannes Mayerl ◽  
Éva Rásky ◽  
Wolfgang Freidl

Background: Frailty constitutes an important risk factor for adverse outcomes among older adults. In longitudinal studies on frailty, selective sample attrition may threaten the validity of results. Objective: To assess the impact of sample attrition on frailty index trajectories and gaps related to socio-economic status (education) therein among older adults in Europe. Methods: A total of 64,143 observations from 21,044 respondents (50+) from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe across 12 years of follow-up (2004–2015) and subject to substantial sample attrition (59%) were analysed. We compared results of a standard linear mixed model assuming missing at random (MAR) sample attrition with a joint model assuming missing not at random sample attrition. Results: Estimated frailty trajectories of both the mixed and joint models were identical up to an age of 80 years, above which modest underestimation occurred when a standard linear mixed model was used rather than a joint model. The latter effect was larger for men than women. Substantial education-based inequality in frailty continued throughout old age in both the mixed and joint models. Conclusion: Linear mixed models assuming MAR sample attrition provided good estimates of frailty trajectories up until high age. Thus, the validity of existing studies estimating frailty trajectories based on standard linear mixed models seems not threatened by substantial sample attrition.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carl Kadie ◽  
David Heckerman

AbstractWe have developed Ludicrous Speed Linear Mixed Models, a version of FaST-LMM optimized for the cloud. The approach can perform a genome-wide association analysis on a dataset of one million SNPs across one million individuals at a cost of about 868 CPU days with an elapsed time on the order of two weeks. A Python implementation is available at https://fastlmm.github.io/.SignificanceIdentifying SNP-phenotype correlations using GWAS is difficult because effect sizes are so small for common, complex diseases. To address this issue, institutions are creating extremely large cohorts with sample sizes on the order of one million. Unfortunately, such cohorts are likely to contain confounding factors such as population structure and family/cryptic relatedness. The linear mixed model (LMM) can often correct for such confounding factors, but is too slow to use even with algebraic speedups known as FaST-LMM. We present a cloud implementation of FaST-LMM, called Ludicrous Speed LMM, that can process one million samples and one million test SNPs in a reasonable amount of time and at a reasonable cost.


Author(s):  
Osval Antonio Montesinos López ◽  
Abelardo Montesinos López ◽  
Jose Crossa

AbstractThe linear mixed model framework is explained in detail in this chapter. We explore three methods of parameter estimation (maximum likelihood, EM algorithm, and REML) and illustrate how genomic-enabled predictions are performed under this framework. We illustrate the use of linear mixed models by using the predictor several components such as environments, genotypes, and genotype × environment interaction. Also, the linear mixed model is illustrated under a multi-trait framework that is important in the prediction performance when the degree of correlation between traits is moderate or large. We illustrate the use of single-trait and multi-trait linear mixed models and provide the R codes for performing the analyses.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Sultan ◽  
Ritbano Ahmed

Abstract The linear mixed model is one of the common models used to analyze the longitudinal data;it may comprise of separate (Univariate), joint Bivariate, and joint Multivariate linear mixed model, which is predicted on the number of response variables incorporated in the analysis. Adjusting for correlation matrix and covariance matrix between and within subjects is one reason why modern longitudinal data analysis techniques are deemed more appropriate than some of the previous methods of analysis. Some studies assume that the correlation between observation is zero. However, it is unlikely that repeated measurements on the same individual Will actually be independent. To that end, comparing the different linear mixed models identifying the appropriate model demonstrates that the evolution of patients with congestive heart failure is necessary.In this study the separate, bivariate, and multivariate linear mixed models were compared with different covariance and correlation structures. Finally, a multivariate linear mixed model with autoregressive order one correlation structure and unstructured covariance structure for random effects, to consider within and between patient's variations, was considered as a best model to depict the evolution of patients with congestive heart failure.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chongliang Luo ◽  
Md. Nazmul Islam ◽  
Natalie E. Sheils ◽  
Jenna M Reps ◽  
John Buresh ◽  
...  

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are commonly used in many areas including epidemiology for analyzing multi-site data with heterogeneous site-specific random effects. However, due to the regulation of protecting patients' privacy, sensitive individual patient data (IPD) are usually not allowed to be shared across sites. In this paper we propose a novel algorithm for distributed linear mixed models (DLMMs). Our proposed DLMM algorithm can achieve exactly the same results as if we had pooled IPD from all sites, hence the lossless property. The DLMM algorithm requires each site to contribute some aggregated data (AD) in only one iteration. We apply the proposed DLMM algorithm to analyze the association of length of stay of COVID-19 hospitalization with demographic and clinical characteristics using the administrative claims database from the UnitedHealth Group Clinical Research Database.


2020 ◽  
Vol 641 ◽  
pp. 159-175
Author(s):  
J Runnebaum ◽  
KR Tanaka ◽  
L Guan ◽  
J Cao ◽  
L O’Brien ◽  
...  

Bycatch remains a global problem in managing sustainable fisheries. A critical aspect of management is understanding the timing and spatial extent of bycatch. Fisheries management often relies on observed bycatch data, which are not always available due to a lack of reporting or observer coverage. Alternatively, analyzing the overlap in suitable habitat for the target and non-target species can provide a spatial management tool to understand where bycatch interactions are likely to occur. Potential bycatch hotspots based on suitable habitat were predicted for cusk Brosme brosme incidentally caught in the Gulf of Maine American lobster Homarus americanus fishery. Data from multiple fisheries-independent surveys were combined in a delta-generalized linear mixed model to generate spatially explicit density estimates for use in an independent habitat suitability index. The habitat suitability indices for American lobster and cusk were then compared to predict potential bycatch hotspot locations. Suitable habitat for American lobster has increased between 1980 and 2013 while suitable habitat for cusk decreased throughout most of the Gulf of Maine, except for Georges Basin and the Great South Channel. The proportion of overlap in suitable habitat varied interannually but decreased slightly in the spring and remained relatively stable in the fall over the time series. As Gulf of Maine temperatures continue to increase, the interactions between American lobster and cusk are predicted to decline as cusk habitat continues to constrict. This framework can contribute to fisheries managers’ understanding of changes in habitat overlap as climate conditions continue to change and alter where bycatch interactions could occur.


2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Garrido ◽  
Jun Zhou

AbstractGeneralized linear models (GLMs) are gaining popularity as a statistical analysis method for insurance data. For segmented portfolios, as in car insurance, the question of credibility arises naturally; how many observations are needed in a risk class before the GLM estimators can be considered credible? In this paper we study the limited fluctuations credibility of the GLM estimators as well as in the extended case of generalized linear mixed model (GLMMs). We show how credibility depends on the sample size, the distribution of covariates and the link function. This provides a mechanism to obtain confidence intervals for the GLM and GLMM estimators.


Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Cabrera ◽  
Andreas Fries ◽  
Patrick Hildebrandt ◽  
Sven Günter ◽  
Reinhard Mosandl

Research Highlights: This study determined that treatment “release from competitors” causes different reactions in selected timber species respective to diametrical growth, in which the initial size of the tree (diametric class) is important. Also, the growth habit and phenological traits (defoliation) of the species must be considered, which may have an influence on growth after release. Background and Objectives: The objective of the study was to analyze the diametric growth of nine timber species after their release to answer the following questions: (i) Can the diametric growth of the selected timber species be increased by release? (ii) Does the release cause different responses among the tree species? (iii) Are other factors important, such as the initial diameter at breast height (DBH) or the general climate conditions? Materials and Methods: Four-hundred and eighty-eight trees belonging to nine timber species were selected and monitored over a three-year period. Release was applied to 197 trees, whereas 251 trees served as control trees to evaluate the response of diametrical growth. To determine the response of the trees, a linear mixed model (GLMM, R package: LMER4) was used, which was adjusted by a one-way ANOVA test. Results: All species showed a similar annual cycle respective to diametric increases, which is due to the per-humid climate in the area. Precipitation is secondary for the diametric growth because sufficient rainfall occurs throughout year. What is more important, however, are variations in temperature. However, the species responded differently to release. This is because the initial DBH and growth habit are more important factors. Therefore, the species could be classified into three specific groups: Positive, negative and no response to release. Conclusions: Species which prefer open sites responded positively to release, while shade tolerant species and species with pronounced phenological traits responded negatively. The initial DBH was also an important factor for diametric increases. This is because trees of class I (20 cm to 30 cm DBH) responded positively to the treatment, whereas for bigger or older individuals, the differences decreased or became negative.


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