scholarly journals A Comparative Study on Energy Consumption Forecast Methods for Electric Propulsion Ship

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Ji-Yoon Kim ◽  
Jong-Hak Lee ◽  
Ji-Hyun Oh ◽  
Jin-Seok Oh
Keyword(s):  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Electric Propulsion ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Route Optimization ◽  
Fuel Oil ◽  
Data Sampling ◽  
Oil Consumption ◽  
Combination Methods ◽  
Power Load

Efficient vessel operation may reduce operational costs and increase profitability. This is in line with the direction pursued by many marine industry stakeholders such as vessel operators, regulatory authorities, and policymakers. It is also financially justifiable, as fuel oil consumption (FOC) maintenance costs are reduced by forecasting the energy consumption of electric propulsion vessels. Although recent technological advances demand technology for electric propulsion vessel electric power load forecasting, related studies are scarce. Moreover, previous studies that forecasted the loads excluded various factors related to electric propulsion vessels and failed to reflect the high variability of loads. Therefore, this study aims to examine the efficiency of various multialgorithms regarding methods of forecasting electric propulsion vessel energy consumption from various data sampling frequencies. For this purpose, there are numerous machine learning algorithm sets based on convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) combination methods. The methodology developed in this study is expected to be utilized in training the optimal energy consumption forecasting model, which will support tracking of degraded performance in vessels, optimize transportation, reflect emissions accurately, and be applied ultimately as a basis for route optimization purposes.

scholarly journals Energy Consumption Prediction Using Deep Learning Technique

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 166
Author(s):  
Maha Alanbar ◽  
Amal Alfarraj ◽  
Manal Alghieth
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Deep Learning Algorithm ◽  
Technological Advances ◽  
Energy Consumption Prediction ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Consumption Prediction

<p class="0abstract"><span class="Hyperlink0">In the present era, due to technological advances, the problem of energy consumption has become one of the most important problems for its environmental and economic impact. Educational buildings are one of the highest energy consuming institutions. Therefore, one has to direct the individual and society to reach the ideal usage of energy. One of the possible methods to do that is to prediction energy consumption. This study proposes an energy consumption prediction model using deep learning algorithm. To evaluate its performance, College of Computer (CoC) at Qassim University was selected to analyze the elements in the college that affect high energy consumption and data were collected from the Saudi Electricity Company of daily for 13 years. This research applied Long short term memory (LSTM) technique for medium-term prediction of energy consumption. The performance of the proposed model has been measured by evaluation metrics and achieved low Root mean square error (RMSE) which means higher accuracy of the model compared to relative studies. Consequently, this research provides a recommendation for educational organizations to reach optimal energy consumption.</span></p>

scholarly journals Forecast of Energy Consumption Based on FGM(1, 1) Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Haijun Chen ◽  
Yanzeng Tong ◽  
Lifeng Wu
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Fuel Oil ◽  
Annual Growth ◽  
Annual Growth Rate ◽  
Oil Consumption ◽  
Coal Consumption ◽  
Gasoline Consumption ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption

The normal supply of energy is related to the stable development of the economy and society. Forecasting energy consumption helps prepare for the normal supply of energy. In the study of energy consumption forecasting, different scholars have used different forecasting models. This paper uses five-year energy consumption data in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and uses the grey fractional FGM(1, 1) model to analyze the next six years. Then, the energy consumption of three places is predicted. The advantage of the grey score FGM(1, 1) model is that it can get more accurate prediction results based on a small amount of information. In this study, relatively outdated information affects the accuracy of prediction results. However, other prediction models have great limitations on data. Choosing the grey number fractional model for prediction research can get a more reasonable prediction result. We use the FGM(1, 1) model to make predictions and get the prediction results. In Beijing, the growth rate of natural gas consumption has slowed down and will be basically stable by 2023. The average annual deceleration of coal consumption is 32%. The average annual deceleration of coke consumption is 10%. Crude oil consumption decreased by 6.3% annually. Gasoline consumption is slowly increasing. The consumption of kerosene increased about 8% annually. Diesel consumption is slowly decreasing. Fuel oil consumption is reduced by 17% annually. The average annual growth rate of power consumption exceeds 6%. In Tianjin, the annual growth rate of natural gas consumption is about 5%. Coal consumption is reduced by about 8% every year. The average annual deceleration of coke consumption is 7%. Crude oil consumption decreased by 2.4% annually. Gasoline consumption is slowly decreasing. The consumption of kerosene has increased by about 20% annually. Diesel consumption is slowly decreasing. Fuel oil consumption is reduced by 20% annually. Electricity consumption is slowly increasing. In Hebei Province, the annual growth rate of natural gas consumption is about 15%. Annual coal consumption is reduced by about 3%. Coke consumption remained stable. Crude oil consumption is reduced by 3% annually. Gasoline consumption is slowly increasing, and kerosene consumption has increased by about 31% annually. Diesel consumption is reduced by about 3% annually. Fuel oil consumption remained stable. Electricity consumption is slowly increasing.

scholarly journals A Hybrid LSTM-Based Ensemble Learning Approach for China Coastal Bulk Coal Freight Index Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Wei Xiao ◽  
Chuan Xu ◽  
Hongling Liu ◽  
Xiaobo Liu
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Freight Rate ◽  
Fuel Oil ◽  
Spot Prices ◽  
Thermal Coal

China Coastal Bulk Coal Freight Index (CBCFI) reflects how the coastal coal transporting market’s freight rates in China are fluctuated, significantly impacting the enterprise’s strategic decisions and risk-avoiding. Though trend analysis on freight rate has been extensively conducted, the property of the shipping market, i.e., it varies over time and is not stable, causes CBCFI to be hard to be accurately predicted. A novel hybrid approach is developed in the paper, integrating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensemble learning techniques to forecast CBCFI. The hybrid LSTM-based ensemble learning (LSTM-EL) approach predicts the CBCFI by extracting the time-dependent information in the original data and incorporating CBCFI-related data, e.g., domestic and overseas thermal coal spot prices, coal inventory, the prices of fuel oil, and crude oil. To demonstrate the applicability and generality of the proposed approach, different time-scale datasets (e.g., daily, weekly, and monthly) in a rolling forecasting experiment are conducted. Empirical results show that domestic and overseas thermal coal spot prices and crude oil prices have great influences on daily, weekly, and monthly CBCFI values. And in daily, weekly, and monthly forecasting cases, the LSMT-EL approaches have higher prediction accuracy and a greater trend complying ratio than the relevant single ensemble learning algorithm. The hybrid method outperforms others when it works with information involving a dramatic market recession, elucidating CBCFI’s predictable ability. The present work is of high significance to general commerce, commerce-related, and hedging strategic procedures within the coastal shipping market.

scholarly journals A Novel Load Forecasting Approach Based on Smart Meter Data Using Advance Preprocessing and Hybrid Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2742
Author(s):  
Fatih Ünal ◽  
Abdulaziz Almalaq ◽  
Sami Ekici
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Unified Framework ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Planning And Scheduling ◽  
Short Term Load Forecasting

Short-term load forecasting models play a critical role in distribution companies in making effective decisions in their planning and scheduling for production and load balancing. Unlike aggregated load forecasting at the distribution level or substations, forecasting load profiles of many end-users at the customer-level, thanks to smart meters, is a complicated problem due to the high variability and uncertainty of load consumptions as well as customer privacy issues. In terms of customers’ short-term load forecasting, these models include a high level of nonlinearity between input data and output predictions, demanding more robustness, higher prediction accuracy, and generalizability. In this paper, we develop an advanced preprocessing technique coupled with a hybrid sequential learning-based energy forecasting model that employs a convolution neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) within a unified framework for accurate energy consumption prediction. The energy consumption outliers and feature clustering are extracted at the advanced preprocessing stage. The novel hybrid deep learning approach based on data features coding and decoding is implemented in the prediction stage. The proposed approach is tested and validated using real-world datasets in Turkey, and the results outperformed the traditional prediction models compared in this paper.

scholarly journals Research on Task-Oriented Computation Offloading Decision in Space-Air-Ground Integrated Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 128
Author(s):  
Jun Liu ◽  
Xiaohui Lian ◽  
Chang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Decision Process ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Transition Process ◽  
Computation Offloading ◽  
Processing Efficiency ◽  
Integrated Network ◽  
Decision Scheme ◽  
Task Offloading

In Space–Air–Ground Integrated Networks (SAGIN), computation offloading technology is a new way to improve the processing efficiency of node tasks and improve the limitation of computing storage resources. To solve the problem of large delay and energy consumption cost of task computation offloading, which caused by the complex and variable network offloading environment and a large amount of offloading tasks, a computation offloading decision scheme based on Markov and Deep Q Networks (DQN) is proposed. First, we select the optimal offloading network based on the characteristics of the movement of the task offloading process in the network. Then, the task offloading process is transformed into a Markov state transition process to build a model of the computational offloading decision process. Finally, the delay and energy consumption weights are introduced into the DQN algorithm to update the computation offloading decision process, and the optimal offloading decision under the low cost is achieved according to the task attributes. The simulation results show that compared with the traditional Lyapunov-based offloading decision scheme and the classical Q-learning algorithm, the delay and energy consumption are respectively reduced by 68.33% and 11.21%, under equal weights when the offloading task volume exceeds 500 Mbit. Moreover, compared with offloading to edge nodes or backbone nodes of the network alone, the proposed mixed offloading model can satisfy more than 100 task requests with low energy consumption and low delay. It can be seen that the computation offloading decision proposed in this paper can effectively reduce the delay and energy consumption during the task computation offloading in the Space–Air–Ground Integrated Network environment, and can select the optimal offloading sites to execute the tasks according to the characteristics of the task itself.

scholarly journals Forecasting Energy Consumption of Wastewater Treatment Plants with a Transfer Learning Approach for Sustainable Cities

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1149
Author(s):  
Pedro Oliveira ◽  
Bruno Fernandes ◽  
Cesar Analide ◽  
Paulo Novais
Keyword(s):  
Wastewater Treatment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Transfer Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Wastewater Treatment Plants ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Sustainable Cities ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Gated Recurrent Units

A major challenge of today’s society is to make large urban centres more sustainable. Improving the energy efficiency of the various infrastructures that make up cities is one aspect being considered when improving their sustainability, with Wastewater Treatment Plants (WWTPs) being one of them. Consequently, this study aims to conceive, tune, and evaluate a set of candidate deep learning models with the goal being to forecast the energy consumption of a WWTP, following a recursive multi-step approach. Three distinct types of models were experimented, in particular, Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTMs), Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs), and uni-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Uni- and multi-variate settings were evaluated, as well as different methods for handling outliers. Promising forecasting results were obtained by CNN-based models, being this difference statistically significant when compared to LSTMs and GRUs, with the best model presenting an approximate overall error of 630 kWh when on a multi-variate setting. Finally, to overcome the problem of data scarcity in WWTPs, transfer learning processes were implemented, with promising results being achieved when using a pre-trained uni-variate CNN model, with the overall error reducing to 325 kWh.

scholarly journals Investigating Theoretical PV Energy Generation Patterns with Their Relation to the Power Load Curve in Poland

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jakub Jurasz ◽  
Jerzy Mikulik
Keyword(s):  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Hard Coal ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Load Curve ◽  
Fuel Feed ◽  
Power Load ◽  
Gross Energy

Polish energy sector is (almost from its origin) dominated by fossil fuel feed power. This situation results from an abundance of relatively cheap coal (hard and lignite). Brown coal due to its nature is the cheapest energy source in Poland. However, hard coal which fuels 60% of polish power plants is picking up on prices and is susceptible to the coal imported from neighboring countries. Forced by the European Union (EU) regulations, Poland is struggling at achieving its goal of reaching 15% of energy consumption from renewable energy sources (RES) by 2020. Over the year 2015, RES covered 11.3% of gross energy consumption but this generation was dominated by solid biomass (over 80%). The aim of this paper was to answer the following research questions: What is the relation of irradiation values to the power load on a yearly and daily basis? and how should photovoltaics (PV) be integrated in the polish power system? Conducted analysis allowed us to state that there exists a negative correlation between power demand and irradiation values on a yearly basis, but this is likely to change in the future. Secondly, on average, daily values of irradiation tend to follow power load curve over the first hours of the day.

scholarly journals Real-Time AI-Based Informational Decision-Making Support System Utilizing Dynamic Text Sources

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 6237
Author(s):  
Azharul Islam ◽  
KyungHi Chang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Support System ◽  
Classification Accuracy ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Unstructured Data ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Descent ◽  
Decision Making Support

Unstructured data from the internet constitute large sources of information, which need to be formatted in a user-friendly way. This research develops a model that classifies unstructured data from data mining into labeled data, and builds an informational and decision-making support system (DMSS). We often have assortments of information collected by mining data from various sources, where the key challenge is to extract valuable information. We observe substantial classification accuracy enhancement for our datasets with both machine learning and deep learning algorithms. The highest classification accuracy (99% in training, 96% in testing) was achieved from a Covid corpus which is processed by using a long short-term memory (LSTM). Furthermore, we conducted tests on large datasets relevant to the Disaster corpus, with an LSTM classification accuracy of 98%. In addition, random forest (RF), a machine learning algorithm, provides a reasonable 84% accuracy. This research’s main objective is to increase the application’s robustness by integrating intelligence into the developed DMSS, which provides insight into the user’s intent, despite dealing with a noisy dataset. Our designed model selects the random forest and stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms’ F1 score, where the RF method outperforms by improving accuracy by 2% (to 83% from 81%) compared with a conventional method.

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