scholarly journals Agritourism—A Business Reality of the Moment for Romanian Rural Area’s Sustainability

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6313
Author(s):  
Ramona Ciolac ◽  
Tiberiu Iancu ◽  
Ioan Brad ◽  
Tabita Adamov ◽  
Nicoleta Mateoc-Sîrb
Keyword(s):  
Rural Communities ◽  
Distribution Channels ◽  
Scientific Paper ◽  
Business Owners ◽  
The Future ◽  
Tourism Potential ◽  
The Moment ◽  
Managerial Experience ◽  
Over Time

The agritourism activity can be a characteristic reality of the present, considering rural area’s sustainability, being at the same time a business reality for rural entrepreneurs and a “must have” for rural communities that have tourism potential. It is a form of tourism, through which the tourist can receive a qualitative product at a reasonable price, but also a field that can ensure sustainable development over time, being at the same time environmentally friendly. The purpose of this scientific paper is to identify the aspects that make agritourism “a possible business reality of the moment”, for Romanian rural area’s sustainability. We take into account the following areas: Bran-Moieciu area—considered “the oldest” in terms of agritourism experience, and Apuseni Mountains area, with a great inclination and potential for this activity. The study conducted for these two areas is focused on several aspects: the degree of involvement in agritourism activities, considering the number of years and managerial experience, the analysis of the types of activities/experiences offered by agritourism structures, the identification of the main reasons/motivations for the orientation towards agritourism and the manner in which this field is perceived. Aspects related to the marketing-finance part of the agritourism business are also taken into account: customers, distribution channels, financial sources, shortcomings observed by agritourism business owners and possible action directions so as to improve the activity/agritourism product. Agritourism may be “a possible business reality of the moment” for the studied areas and not only, but in the future, the entrepreneur/farmer must be constantly updated because of the changing situations that appear on the market, be able to make sustainable decisions for his/her own business, which in the future will ensure its viability and obviously its long-term profitability and development, and in the same time rural area’s sustainability.

Thawing the ice: a contemporary solution to Antarctic sovereignty

Polar Record ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 436-447
Author(s):  
Wygene Chong
Keyword(s):  
Primary Reason ◽  
Global Commons ◽  
Governance Framework ◽  
Effective Implementation ◽  
The Future ◽  
Antarctic Treaty ◽  
Territorial Claims ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Over Time

ABSTRACTThe Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) has provided a peaceful framework for governing the continent over many decades, in spite of seven extant territorial claims. However, its method of freezing these claims has been criticised for being short-sighted and ineffective in providing a long-term solution. This paper argues to the contrary. It undertakes a brisk analysis of different categories of alternatives: global commons, absolute sovereignty, restricted sovereignty and shared sovereignty. After dismissing each category for various reasons, it promotes the reform of the existing ATS, in which a long-term vision and modified chairmanship structure provide stronger leadership and more effective implementation. Essentially, it holds that the primary reason there is criticism of the system is because it is not functioning as well as it might be. The paper not only contends that a developed ATS is an achievable aim, but that it could eventually develop into a restricted, shared sovereignty governance framework. That form of governance, which would emerge over time, could be a more durable solution that resolves the competing territorial claims. In this way, the paper charts a potential pathway for the future of Antarctic governance. This path begins, however, with a reformed ATS.

scholarly journals Анализ навигационной аварии с использованием аппарата современной теории катастроф

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
I.A. Yanchin
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic Characteristic ◽  
Catastrophe Theory ◽  
Evolutionary Dynamics ◽  
Geometric Interpretation ◽  
Estimation Technique ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
The Future ◽  
Over Time

В работе рассматривается метод оценки маршрута судна с точки зрения безопасности и оптимальности. Оценка выполняется за счёт вычисления характеристических коэффициентов, которые описывают свойства маршрута, важные для оценки этих качеств. Также в работе даётся описание метода прогнозирования дальнейшего маршрута судна на основе предписанного маршрута рейса и информации о существующем отклонении фактического маршрута от предписанного. На основе прогнозирования дальнейшего маршрута, и с использованием характеристических коэффициентов, становится возможным анализ долгосрочного влияния отклонения фактического маршрута от предписанного. Маршрут рассматривается как динамическая характеристика судна, эволюционирующая с течением времени. Обсуждаются особенности развития маршрута судна при стремлении к стабильному либо катастрофичному состоянию с позиций современной теории катастроф. Геометрическая интерпретация эволюционной динамики предусматривает использование когнитивных образов. В работе приводится анализ произошедшей аварии круизного судна Costa Concordia с использованием предложенного метода с целью исследования влияния изменения маршрута на безопасность рейса. Выполняется сравнение предписанного маршрута с фактическим.The paper presents a method to analyze a ships route in terms of safety and optimality. The route is examined using the characteristic coefficients that represent routes properties essential for assessment of these aspects. The paper also presents a method to estimate the future route based on the prescribed route and the existing discrepancy between the actual route and the prescribed one. With such estimation technique and using the characteristic coefficients it is possible to determine the long-term effects of the discrepancy. The route is considered as a dynamic characteristic of the ship, evolving over time. Peculiarities of the development of the ships route when striving for a stable or catastrophic state from the standpoint of the modern catastrophe theory are discussed. A geometric interpretation of evolutionary dynamics involves the use of cognitive images. As an example, the paper provides analysis of the Costa Concordias accident using the described method in order to determine the effects of the route discrepancy. A comparison is made of the prescribed route with the actual one that the crew planned to move.

Flexible Design of Systems Considering Time-Dependent Reliability

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijitashwa Pandey ◽  
Zissimos P. Mourelatos ◽  
Annette Skowronska
Keyword(s):  
Time Dependent ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Repairable Systems ◽  
Flexible Design ◽  
Change Over Time ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Hydrokinetic Turbine ◽  
The Future ◽  
Over Time

Many repairable systems degrade with time and are subjected to time-varying loads. Their characteristics may change over time considerably, making the assessment of their performance and hence their design difficult. To address this issue, we introduce in this paper the concept of flexible design of repairable systems under time-dependent reliability considerations. In flexible design, the system can be modified in the future to accommodate uncertain events. As a result, regardless of how uncertainty resolves itself, a modification is available that will keep the system close to optimal provided failure events have been properly characterized. We discuss how flexible design of repairable systems requires a fundamentally new approach and demonstrate its advantages using the design of a hydrokinetic turbine. Our results show that long-term metrics are improved when time-dependent characteristics and flexibility are considered together.

scholarly journals Correlations in fertility across generations: can low fertility persist?

2014 ◽  
Vol 281 (1779) ◽  
pp. 20132561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Kolk ◽  
Daniel Cownden ◽  
Magnus Enquist
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Fertility Transition ◽  
Low Fertility ◽  
Major Influence ◽  
The Future ◽  
Intergenerational Correlations ◽  
Over Time ◽  
Future Population

Correlations in family size across generations could have a major influence on human population size in the future. Empirical studies have shown that the associations between the fertility of parents and the fertility of children are substantial and growing over time. Despite their potential long-term consequences, intergenerational fertility correlations have largely been ignored by researchers. We present a model of the fertility transition as a cultural process acting on new lifestyles associated with fertility. Differences in parental and social influences on the acquisition of these lifestyles result in intergenerational correlations in fertility. We show different scenarios for future population size based on models that disregard intergenerational correlations in fertility, models with fertility correlations and a single lifestyle, and models with fertility correlations and multiple lifestyles. We show that intergenerational fertility correlations will result in an increase in fertility over time. However, present low-fertility levels may persist if the rapid introduction of new cultural lifestyles continues into the future.

Is Humanity Destined to Self-Destruct?

1999 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lynton Keith Caldwell
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Cooperative Effort ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Change Over Time ◽  
Long Term Survival ◽  
Sustainable Future ◽  
The Future ◽  
Over Time

As the twentieth century ends, we may identify both constructive and destructive trends that will influence the future of humanity. Which set of trends will dominate the future is uncertain. Attitudes, beliefs, and behaviors all interact to direct the flow of change over time. However, the options and constraints of human life are ultimately fixed by those cosmic elements of the environment over which humans have no control. The modern assumption of a world without end or limits risks collision with that obdurate reality. Facing threats to its long-term survival, humanity is challenged to learn how to build a sustainable future. A successful effort will require a concerted and cooperative effort among all fields of knowledge. This article identifies some of the trends that threaten humanity's future and suggests four lines of action that should be pursued in order to reduce the likelihood that humanity will destroy itself.

scholarly journals Making big decisions for the future

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin James
Keyword(s):  
Policy Change ◽  
Social Cohesion ◽  
Representative Democracy ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Self Interest ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Fiscal Implications ◽  
Over Time

The Treasury’s long-term fiscal projections are designed to inform present-day policy. They draw attention to existing trends and potential future global and national developments in society, demography, politics, technology and the economy, and the fiscal implications of continuing existing policy unchanged through those changes over the next 40 years and beyond. They highlight that the later action is taken to offset an anticipated impact, the greater the policy change may have to be and also potentially the cost, not just in money but also in social cohesion if unusual intergenerational tensions develop as a consequence. But if large adjustments have to be made, even if over time, how might that be done in a representative democracy in which the ultimate decisionmakers, the politicians, are subject to frequent elections in which political folklore tells us the determinant issues are proximate and ‘courageous’ leaders are sacrificed to short-term voter self-interest? 

scholarly journals Improving the quality of care in health systems: towards better strategies

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Dixon
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Quality Of Care ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Critical Mass ◽  
National Level ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Future ◽  
Over Time

AbstractImproving the quality of health care across a nation is complex and hard. Countries often rely on multiple single national level programmes to make progress. But the key is to use a framework to develop a balanced overall strategy, and evaluate the main elements continuously and over time. Achieving that requires having a critical mass of leaders who collectively can see the bigger picture now, envision a roadmap for the future to chart an intelligent course, and course correct regularly. This is a long-term agenda requiring commitment, careful stewardship, different perspectives, trust, and the building of knowledge and experience over time. It is also almost completely at odds with much current policymaking which is short term, reactive and demands hard results. Many countries are making progress. But the rapid introduction of new types of care during the COVID 19 pandemic, such as online and digital, the use of new technologies which could soon revolutionalise the way care is delivered, experienced and evaluated, and the huge pressures on spending on health care in future mean we will have to do better. Achieving system-wide quality of care requires having a critical mass of leaders who collectively can see the bigger picture now, envision a roadmap for the future to chart a balanced intelligent course. For the Israeli health system, the recent IJHPR article by Dreiher et al. will help, but it will be important, in the future, to analyse how Israel measures up on the framework outlined above. This ideally would be supplemented with a survey of key leaders for their assessment, and both would be a regular (say 5 yearly) exercise and would help inform future strategies.

scholarly journals Post Covid-19 Effects on the Future of Students in Higher Education

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dr. Parin Somani ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Literature Search ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Vast Number ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Future ◽  
Teaching Pedagogies ◽  
Over Time

Societies have been affected socially, politically, and economically due to the coronavirus pandemic. Education systems have been disrupted, impacting the future of students and global and consequently societal prospects over time. The aim of this study is to identify the effects of the covid-19 pandemic on the future of students in higher education. This study is carried out by means of a systematic literature review via a thorough literature search. The covid-19 pandemic has had a vast number of effects on students, particularly resulting from the implementation of lockdown measures and social distancing regulations. Mental health, teaching pedagogies, communication and financial stability have all been identified as factors affecting the future of students in higher education. This study had deduced that students face long-term effects as a consequence of the covid-19 pandemic. Thus, carefully devised strategies are required to progress students towards a prosperous future and through them societies at large with benefit.

scholarly journals “Could you give us an idea on what we are all doing here?” the Patient Voice in Cancer Research (PVCR) starting the journey of involvement in Ireland

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Éidín Ní Shé ◽  
Aoife Gordan ◽  
Barbara Hughes ◽  
Tom Hope ◽  
Teresa McNally ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Research ◽  
Cancer Diagnosis ◽  
Good Sense ◽  
The Core ◽  
Patient Voice ◽  
University College ◽  
The Future ◽  
Over Time

Abstract Background Involving patients and their carers in research has become more common, as funders demand evidence of involvement. The ‘Patient Voice in Cancer Research’ (PVCR) is an initiative led by University College Dublin (UCD) in Ireland. It encourages and enables people affected by cancer, and their families to become involved in shaping and informing the future of cancer research across the island of Ireland. Its aim is to identify the questions and needs that matter most to (i) people living with a cancer diagnosis, and (ii) those most likely to improve the relevance of cancer research. The initiative commenced in April 2016. Methods This paper presents a reflective case study of our journey thus far. We outline three key stages of the initiative and share what we have learnt. At the core of PVCR, is a focus on building long-term relationships. Results We have developed over time an inclusive initiative that is built on trust and respect for everyone’s contributions. This work is grounded on collegiality, mixed with a good sense of humour and friendship. Conclusion The development of PVCR has taken time and investment. The benefits and impact of undertaking this work have been immensely rewarding and now require significant focus as we enhance cancer research across the island of Ireland.

scholarly journals Some Assembly Required

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jerome McDonough
Keyword(s):  
Virtual Worlds ◽  
Computer Games ◽  
Digital Preservation ◽  
Document Collection ◽  
The Moment ◽  
Over Time

The semantics of XML markup is a perennial topic of discussion among markup enthusiasts, but these discussions often focus at the level of the meaning of a tag within a document, or within a document collection. Such discussions also have an inherent assumption of looking at the meaning of a tag at the moment. Employment of XML markup and machine ontologies for long-term digital preservation raises question of how meaning of tags may alter over time and how tags meaning may differ depending on the agent interpreting the tag. This paper discusses the Preserving Virtual Worlds project on the preservation of computer games and the semantic issues that arose in trying to use XML and OWL ontologies for long-term digital preservation.

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