scholarly journals IBT Journal of Business Studies | Volume. 11 Issue 1 INVESTIGATING THE ROLE OF EXTERNAL TRADE AND EXTERNAL DEBT ON THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF PAKISTAN

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Athar Iqbal ◽  

Purpose- This paper is designed to investigate the effect of External Debt on the economic growth or Pakistan. The study examines effects of Economic indicators such as External Debt, Debt servicing. Export and Import on the economic growth in Pakistan. Methodology/Sampling- The results of the study are based on OLS estimates, The data for External debt. Debt servicing Exports Import and Real GDP growth has been taken for 41 years (1972 to 2013) from the Handbook of Statistics on Pakistan Economy 2010 and missing values have been collected from the library of State Bank of Pakistan. Findings- The study concludes that External Debt has significant positive effect whereas the Debt servicing has negative in The Economic growth. the strong Debt Management is recommended to achieve the economic growth oriented Via External growth Debt . The study also suggests that there is significant positive effect of Export on the economic growth of Pakistan. The study should not find any significant effect of import on the economic growth Practical implication- This study provides empirical evidence for the significance of external trade for the economic growth because it can boast . Where as, external debt could not be suggested because the debt could not be suggested because the debt servicing has negative effect on the economic growth.

10.26458/1814 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-122
Author(s):  
Lawrence Olisaemeka UFOEZE ◽  
Camilus OKUMA, N. ◽  
Clem NWAKOBY ◽  
Udoka Bernard Alajekwu

This study investigated the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on Nigerian economy. The fixed and floating exchange eras were compared to know the exchange rate system in which the economy has fairly better. The time period covered was 1970 to 2012. The study employed the ordinary least square (OLS) multiple regression technique for the analysis. The coefficient of determination (R2), F-test, t-test, beta and Durbin-Watson were used in the interpretation of the results. The resulted revealed that about 85% of the changes in macroeconomic indicators are explained in the fixed exchange era. In the floating exchange era, 99% was explained while the whole periods has 73% explanatory power, hence the floating exchange era (1986 to date) is more effective in explaining economic trend in Nigeria. Also, exchange rate has significant positive effect on GDP during the fixed exchange rate era and negative effect the eras floating and all-time; inflation has insignificant negative effect on GDP during the fixed exchange era; significant effect in floating era and significant negative effect in the all-time period; money supply has insignificant negative effect GDP in fixed exchange era; and significant positive effect during the floating and all-time period; and oil revenue has significant positive effect on the GDP in all the exchange rate regimes (floating, fixed and all-time) in Nigeria.  The study thus conclude that exchange rate movement is a good indicator for monitoring Nigerian economic growth. So far exchange rate has always been a key economic indicator for Nigeria. The floating exchange period has outperformed the fixed exchange rate in terms of contribution inflation, money supply and oil revenue to economic growth. This indicate that the floating exchange rate has been a better economic regime for sustainable economic growth in Nigeria. From the findings, it is evident that oil revenue has positive effect in Nigeria and has remained the mainstay of the economy. It is thus recommended among other things that a positive exchange rate stock should be monitored regularly, so as not to allow those that find exchange rate as an avenue of investment like banks and public carry out their business, which is more devastating to the economy. 


Author(s):  
Merri Anitasari ◽  
Ahmad Soleh

Merri Anitasari, Ahmad Soleh; Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi Bengkulu. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh dari pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di provinsi Bengkulu dengan menggunakan data sekunder periode pengamatan tahun 2001-2012 yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Hasil analisis dengan menggunakan SPSS 16 menunjukkan bahwa pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di provinsi Bengkulu. Jika pemerintah menaikkan pengeluaran pemerintah sebesar 1 miliar rupiah, maka akan dapat meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi sebesar 1,17 % per tahun. Sedangkan pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerah kabupaten/kota menunjukkan bahwa dari jumlah 10 kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Bengkulu, kabupaten Rejang Lebong dan kota Bengkulu yang memiliki hasil bahwa pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerahnya. Kabupaten Bengkulu Utara memiliki pengaruh yang negatif sedangkan 7 kabupaten lainnya memiliki hasil yang positif namun tidak signifikan. Sebagian besar kabupaten di Provinsi Bengkulu dikategorikan sebagai daerah yang baru membangun yang merupakan hasil pemekaran pasca pemberlakuan otonomi daerah. Sehingga dalam jangka pendek pengeluaran pemerintah dianggap belum mampu menstimulus kegiatan sektor-sektor perekonomian serta memacu pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerah tersebut.Merri Anitasari, Ahmad Soleh; Impact of Government Spending on Economic Growth In Bengkulu Province. The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of government spending on economic growth in the province of Bengkulu using secondary data observation period 2001 - 2012 year were obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. Results of analysis using SPSS 16 shows that government spending and significant positive effect on economic growth in the province ofBengkulu. If the government raised government spending by 1 billion dollars, it will be able to boost economic growth by 1.17% per year. While the effect of government spending on economic growth in the district/city showed that of a total of 10 districts cities in Bengkulu province, Rejang Lebong district and Bengkulu City which has the result that government spending and significant positive effect on economic growth in the region. North Bengkulu has a negative effect, while seven other districts have a positive outcome, but not significantly. Most districts in the province of Bengkulu categorized as new building is the result of the division after the implementation of regional autonomy. So in the short-term government spending is considered not able to stimulate activity sectors of the economy and spur economic growth in the area.Key Word: Government Spending, Economic Growth, Bengkulu Province


Telaah Bisnis ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marianus Manek ◽  
Rudi Badrudin

Abstract This study aims to analyze the influence of local revenue and equalization fund on the economic growth and the poverty of regencies/cities in the East Nusa Tenggara Province. Sample in this study consists of 21 regencies/cities in the East Nusa Tenggara Province. The type of data used in this study is secondary data, time series and cross-sectional data of regencies/cities since 2007 to 2016. Data are examined by using SEM-based variant named WarpPLS. The results of this study indicate that the local revenue had significant positive effect on economic growth, local revenue had significant negative effect on poverty, equalization fund had no significant negative effect on economic growth and poverty, and economic growth had no significant nega­tive effect on poverty.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Abd. Rizal ◽  
T. Zulham ◽  
Asmawati Asmawati

Abstract This study aimed to analyze the effect of Macroeconomic variables in the form of Economic Growth, Inflation and interest rate of Bank Indonesia (7-Day Repo rate) on Non Performing Loans (NPL) in Indonesia. This study uses annual time series data from 2000 to 2017 with a total sample of 18 years. The model used is Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) using Eviews 9. Software The results show that in the short run Inflation has a negative effect on Non Performing Loans (NPL) and Inflation in the previous year  (Lag-1) has a significant positive effect whereas in the long run Inflation has a negative effect, maintained inflation at a reasonable limit to foster a good climate for entrepreneurs to be a stimulus so that they are able to fulfill their obligations, in the long run Economic growth has a significant negative effect and interest rates have a significant positive effect. It is hoped that the government can be more careful in setting the 7-Day Repo rate, given the positive response shown to Non Performing Loans (NPL). In addition, the government must also be able to maintain sustainable economic growth given its negative relationship to Non Performing Loans (NPL). It is recommended for further researchers to add other variables such as stock index, exchange rate, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Charge-off policy (PH) of non-performing loans.


Author(s):  
Adomola Felix Adefeya ◽  
Marshal Tomola Obamuyi ◽  
Olawale Femi Kayode ◽  
James Ayodele Owoputi

<p><em>Bank distress poses threats to financial intermediation process with serious detrimental effect on the economy. Despite all attempts made by the supervisory authorities, the problem appears to defy already established approach and the menace still continues to resurface. Hence, the need to investigate the effects of bank distress on the Nigerian economy. The cointegration and error correction mechanism were used to test the data which covers a period of thirty-one  (31) years from 1982 to 2012. The research findings revealed that the ratio of non-performing loans to total loans, and total loans and advances have significant negative effect on economic growth with p-values of 0.0240 and 0.0445 respectively. Also, total bank deposit and cash reserve ratio have significant positive effect on economic growth with p-values of 0.0020 and 0.0374 respectively. The implication of this result is that the Nigerian economy is significantly affected by bank distress. The paper suggests that careful evaluation of loan proposals should always be carried out by banks to determine the viability of the projects and the repayment of the principal sum and its interest ensured to prevent weak asset quality. </em></p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 318
Author(s):  
Yenni Del Rosa

This research aims to analyze how much influences the economic growth, inflation and unemployment poverty the province West Sumatra.  Economic growth, inflation and employment panel data were collected from thr Central Statistics Agency in 2014 – 2018 with saturated sampling technique. Multiple regression equation obtained from this study Y = 179,02 -  0.087 X1 – 0,033X2 + 0,006X3 +  e with a coefficient of determination of 0.949 and a correlation coefficient of 0.866 and adjusted R square 0,549 . After testing the hypothesis turns out the hypothesis is accepted where economic growth and inflation significant negative effect on poverty  and unemployment has no significant positive effect on poverty.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-108
Author(s):  
Annisa Siti Fathonah ◽  
Dadang Hermawan

This study aims to determine and analyze how much influence the bank's internal factors such as Equity, Operational Costs per Operating Income (BOPO), Financing Deposit to Ratio (FDR), Non Performing Financing (NPF) as a mediator and external or macroeconomic factors namely inflation and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on profitability represented by Return on Assets (ROA) at Bank Muamalat Indonesia for the period 2008-2018. The data used in this research are secondary data obtained from the publication of quarterly financial statements from 2008 to quarter 2 of 2018. The method that used in this research is path analysis with SPSS 20.0 as the analytical tool. The results of the study partially test the hypothesis (t-test), in substructure I shows that the capital variable has a significant negative effect on NPF, BOPO and inflation has a significant positive effect on NPF, FDR and GDP do not significantly influence NPF at Bank Muamalat Indonesia. In substructure II partially, Capital, BOPO, significant negative effect on ROA, FDR and NPF has a significant positive effect on ROA, Inflation and GDP does not significantly influence ROA while simultaneously significantly influencing ROA. Based on the sobel test, capital has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, BOPO has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, FDR has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, Inflation has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, while GDP has no significant effect on ROA through NPF.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-35
Author(s):  
Lia Hendrawati ◽  
Said Djamaludin

This study to examine and analyze the effect of liquidity, credit growth, efficiency, and capital adequacy on the Bank’s profitability listed on the IDX partially and simultaneously. The research data are annual data for the 5-year observation period (2009-2013). This research was conducted at 33 banks listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange. Banks Analyzed that met the population criteria were 23 banks. The analytical method used in multiple linier regression. The results showed that liquidity, credit growth, efficiency, and capital adequacy together (simultaneously) significantly influence profitability. Partially,  liquidity has a significant positive effect on profitability, while efficiency has a significant negative effect. Credit growth and capital adequacy have no significant effect on profitability. Liquidity is the variable that has the biggest effect on the Bank’s profitability. 


Wahana ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-72
Author(s):  
Rani Eka Diansari ◽  
Sheftyka Rispin

This study aims to determine the effect of firm size on human resource accounting disclosure, the effect of profitability on human resource accounting disclosure and the effect of company age on human resources accounting disclosure. The population of this study are banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2017 with a sample of 120 samples. The sampling technique uses purposive sampling method. The data used is secondery data. Analytical technique used are descriptive statistical analysis, classical assumption test, multiple linear regression, F test, t test and R2 test. The result of the study concluded that 1.) the value of the company sixe was 2,870 and a significance value of 0,005. This proves that the size of company has a significant positive effect on human resource accounting disclosure, 2.) the profitability value is -0,585 and the significance value is 0,560. This proves that profitability has a negative effect not significant on human resource accounting disclosure and 3.) the value of the company age is 1,616 and the significance value is 0,109. This proves that the age company has no significant positive effect on human resource accounting disclosure.  Keywords: company size, profitability, company age, human resource accounting disclosure


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 401
Author(s):  
Zakiah Husna ◽  
Idris Idris

This study aims to determine the effect of energy consumption and regime on economic growth in Indonesia. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data from 1988-2017, with documentation and library study data collection techniques obtained from relevant institutions and agencies. the variables used are economic growth (GDP), non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption and regime, the research methods used are: (1) Multiple Regression Analysis (OLS), (2) Classical Assumption Test results of research stating that: ( 1) non-renewable energy consumption has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) consumption of renewable energy has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (3) the energy regime has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (4) non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption and energy regime have a significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. so only the energy regime has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia.


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