scholarly journals Characteristics of the reproductive behaviour of the population in Iran and Russia during the Pandemic period COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (10) ◽  
pp. 1163-1170
Author(s):  
Sergey V. Ryazantsev ◽  
Tamara K. Rostovskaya ◽  
Olga A. Zolotareva
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Reproductive Behaviour ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Sociological Research ◽  
Population Total ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Demographic Policy

Introduction. The urgent issue of the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic, which negatively affected the demographic development of the world’s countries, is the search for new effective mechanisms for the development of demographic potential, which is not possible without appropriate justification monitoring data. The aim of the study is to analyze trends in demographic processes and assess the reproductive behavior of the population of Russia and Iran, as well as develop recommendations in the field of monitoring demographic processes, taking into account the need to study their changes as a result of the spread of COVID-19, which seems significant for determining effective directions and measures of demographic policy in terms of increasing the birth rate in Russia and Iran in the post-pandemic period. Materials and methods. The article is based on the data of the official national statistics of the countries (the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation and the Statistical Center of the Islamic Republic of Iran), the international database of the UN Population Division, and sociological information. The general research period is determined by the boundaries from 2000 to 2019. To assess the determination of reproductive behaviour in Russia and Iran, general statistical methods of data analysis were used (for example, indicators of structure, dynamics, implementation of the plan), unique methods of demographic statistics (construction of age and sex pyramids of the population, total fertility rate, and others), methods of sociological research (results are presented as All-Russian sociological research “Demographic well-being of Russians”, conducted with the participation of the authors in 2019-2020 on the territory of 10 constituent entities of Russia). Results. An assessment of fertility trends in Russia and Iran is given, general and specific traits of the character and mechanisms of reproductive behaviour are identified. The substantiation of the improvement of directions and measures of demographic policy is given, taking into account the assessment of its effectiveness. In Russia, it was aimed at increasing the birth rate. In Iran, on the contrary, at decreasing it. In both countries, the policy was very effective - in Russia in 2007-2016. the birth rate for second and subsequent births increased significantly in Iran in the late 1980s-1990s. The decline in fertility was one of the largest in the world. If in Iran the birth rate is now close to the level of simple reproduction of the population (in 2017, the total fertility rate was 2.12), then in Russia, especially after the decline since 2017. In this case, it is far from this level. Conclusion. The article substantiates the need to improve scientific monitoring of the demographic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Trends and Differentials in Moslem fertility

1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa H. Nagi
Keyword(s):  
Family Planning ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Decline ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Reproductive Behaviour ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Percentage Change ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Fertility Differentials

SummaryThis paper examines data on fertility levels in 33 Moslem countries between 1960 and 1980. Fertility measures include crude birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific birth rate, and the percentage change in them between 1960 and 1980.The analysis focuses on: (1) the current status of Moslem fertility in comparison to non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) the emerging fertility differentials among Moslem countries; (3) how much of the recent fertility declines in some Moslem countries is associated with modernization variables and with family planning efforts.The results indicate that: (1) Moslem fertility remains universally high and is generally higher than in non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) very few Moslem countries have succeeded in bringing down their level of fertility to justify a search for the predictors of Moslem fertility levels; (3) in spite of a sufficient range of variations in the economic and social correlates of fertility, the corresponding fertility variables in these countries do not suggest that the reproductive behaviour of Moslem women has reacted to such variations; (4) efforts directed towards stronger family planning programmes are clearly related to fertility decline.

MODERN DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN MONGOLIA

2020 ◽  
pp. 36-44
Author(s):  
Munkhbayar Byambadash ◽  
◽  
Irina V. Imideeva ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Main Attention ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
General Scientific ◽  
Transformation Processes ◽  
Demographic Policy

The purpose of this article is to find ways to improve the demographic situation in Mongolia. The paper analyzed the population size, the dynamics of the birth rate for 2019–2020, the socio-economic development of the state, determined the cause-and-effect relationships between changes in demographic processes and the search for ways to improve the well-being of the population of Mongolia.The main attention in the study was paid to socio-economic, general scientific and historical approaches to the study of the demographic situation, methods of comparative and statistical analysis were used.The article presents studies of transformation processes in the demographic situation, the search for solutions to the identified problems of demographic policy in Mongolia. the direct relationship between the growth rates of the country’s economic development and its demographic state is revealed, the trends of changing the demographic situation are determined.

A New Look at the Asian Fertility Transition (Distinguishedl Lecture)

1996 ◽  
Vol 35 (4I) ◽  
pp. 385-398 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Caldwell
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Fertility Transition ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Asian Women ◽  
Population Replacement ◽  
Planning Meeting ◽  
Annual Birth Rate

The significance of the Asian fertility transition can hardly be overestimated. The relatively sanguine view of population growth expressed at the 1994 International Conference for Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo was possible only because of the demographic events in Asia over the last 30 years. In 1965 Asian women were still bearing about six children. Even at current rates, today’s young women will give birth to half as many. This measure, namely the average number of live births over a reproductive lifetime, is called the total fertility rate. It has to be above 2— considerably above if mortality is still high—to achieve long-term population replacement. By 1995 East Asia, taken as a whole, exhibited a total fertility rate of 1.9. Elsewhere, Singapore was below long-term replacement, Thailand had just achieved it, and Sri Lanka was only a little above. The role of Asia in the global fertility transition is shown by estimates I made a few years ago for a World Bank Planning Meeting covering the first quarter of a century of the Asian transition [Caldwell (1993), p. 300]. Between 1965 and 1988 the world’s annual birth rate fell by 22 percent. In 1988 there would have been 40 million more births if there had been no decline from 1965 fertility levels. Of that total decline in the world’s births, almost 80 percent had been contributed by Asia, compared with only 10 percent by Latin America, nothing by Africa, and, unexpectedly, 10 percent by the high-income countries of the West. Indeed, 60 percent of the decline was produced by two countries, China and India, even though they constitute only 38 percent of the world’s population. They accounted, between them, for over threequarters of Asia’s fall in births.

Determinants of fertility in Russian families

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (6) ◽  
pp. 104-123
Author(s):  
Kamilya Sakhbetdinova
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
World Values Survey ◽  
Level Of Education ◽  
Number Of Children ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Sociocultural Attitudes ◽  
The Family ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Demographic Policy

Competent demographic policy implies an understanding by the state of the economic, social, and demographic processes taking place in society. In earlier Russian and foreign studies, the authors found a number of fertility factors, however, the direction of influence of such determinants could be opposite. Aware of the special influence of sociocultural attitudes and values of the population on the number of children in a family, the author made an attempt to identify the determinants of fertility based on an empirical study of the World Values Survey. Using statistical and econometric methods, models that reflect the determinants of fertility in modern Russia were constructed. This work revealed a positive effect on the birth rate of religiosity, traditional views and the importance of the family for the respondent. Inversely related to the number of children in a family such factors as the level of education of the population and the value of leisure.

scholarly journals INSTITUTIONAL SUPPORT FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF STATE DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY IN UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 32-38
Author(s):  
Dragan Ivan Dragan Ivan ◽  
Dolinchenko Olga Dolinchenko Olga
Keyword(s):  
Local Governments ◽  
Institutional Support ◽  
State Regulation ◽  
Single Subject ◽  
Sociological Research ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Influence Strategy ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Interregional Cooperation ◽  
Demographic Policy

The article substantiates the theoretical provisions for improving the implementation of state demographic policy based on the development of its institutional support. It is proposed to create a single subject of organizational and economic influence on demographic development. The concept of activity of such subject on blocks is specified: the purposes and tasks, principles of activity, sources of financing, a product of activity (strategy of the state regulation of demographic development of region, the program of its realization), expected result. The main tasks of the Regional Commission for Demographic Development should be: ensuring cooperation between state executive bodies, local governments, public organizations; conducting demographic examination of regulations, socio-economic programs to identify possible demographic factors and the consequences of management decisions at the regional and local levels that may affect the demographic development of the region, or relate to those aspects of regional development that depend on demographic processes; monitoring of the demographic situation in the districts and cities of the region, analysis of the practice of implementation of demographic policy in the region, evaluation of the effectiveness of the measures taken; preparation of proposals for improving policies in the field of stimulating the birth rate, reducing mortality and regulating migration processes; organization of sociological research on the implementation of demographic policy measures; holding meetings, conferences, seminars on issues related to the development and implementation of state regulation of demographic development; interregional cooperation on the regulation of demographic processes. Keywords: state demographic policy, state regulation, institutional support, development of the region, mechanisms of influence, strategy.

scholarly journals Smart Fert: Aplikasi Praktis, Valid, dan Mudah Untuk Mengukur Indikator Fertilitas di Era Otonomi Daerah

Populasi ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Lutfi Agus Salim ◽  
Lutfan Lazuardi ◽  
Kuntoro Kuntoro
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Visual Basic ◽  
Reproductive Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
General Fertility Rate

Indikator fertilitas, seperti Crude Birth Rate (CBR), Total Fertility Rate (TFR), General Fertility Rate (GFR), dan Gross Reproductive Rate (GRR), untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk setiap tahun di level kabupaten/kota sejak otonomi daerah sering tidak tersedia. Aplikasi sistem informasi fertilitas Smart Fert sebagai alat untuk mengukur indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diaplikasikan sangat layak untuk dikembangkan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengembangkan aplikasi Smart Fert serta menguji hasil perhitungan indikator fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert dibandingkan dengan perhitungan dari hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Penelitian ini merancang aplikasi Smart Fert berbasis bahasa visual basic. Untuk mengukur ketepatan dan kevalidan hasil perhitungan fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert, maka hasilnya dibandingkan dengan standar yang baik, yaitu hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hasil perhitungan fertilitas dengan aplikasi Smart Fert tidak menunjukkan perbedaan signifikan dengan hasil metode langsung Sensus Penduduk 2010. Dengan demikian, aplikasi Smart Fert dapat dipakai sebagai alat penghitung indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diimplementasikan untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk di tingkat kabupaten/kota.

Falling Birth Rates and Rural Depopulation

2020 ◽  
pp. 97-111
Author(s):  
Barbara Bennett Woodhouse
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Replacement Rate ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Rural Depopulation ◽  
The Village

Chapter five moves from ethnography at the village level to examine the demographics of declining fertility and rural depopulation plaguing many affluent nations. A failure of generational renewal threatens the well-being of individuals, communities and societies. With the story of a child who is the last child in his remote Italian village, the author illustrates the critical importance of children to each other and to their communities. After introducing demographic concepts such as birth rate and replacement rate, total fertility rate and replacement rate fertility, the book discusses the low birth rate crisis in Italy where the population is declining at an unsustainable rate. It examines factors affecting birth rates, including adolescent fertility rate, mother’s marital status, percentage of women in the workforce, and gendered division of domestic labour. In comparison with Italy, US birth rates have been relatively robust; however, after the Great Recession US birth rates declined steadily and are now well below replacement rate. The chapter closes with discussion of the interplay between politics and demographics, including rules on birth right citizenship, the role of immigration in rejuvenating populations, and the misuse of demographic data to fuel anti-immigrant, sectarian, and racial conflict.

scholarly journals Implementasi Model Perhitungan Perkiraan Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Berdasarkan Efektifitas Penggunaan Alat Kontrasepsi di Provinsi Jawa Barat

Matematika ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gani Gunawan ◽  
Eti Kurniati ◽  
Icih Sukarsih
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Method ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Calculation Model ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Census ◽  
West Java

Abstrak. Perhitungan jumlah penduduk dapat dilakukan secara langsung melalui suatu sensus penduduk. Salah satu faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi jumlah penduduk pada suatu wilayah adalah tingkat kelahiran atau angka fertilitas. Namun hasil pendataan yang dilakukan pada umumnya hanya memberikan informasi jumlah penduduk yang hidup pada saat sensus diadakan dan tidak mencatat secara lengkap jumlah bayi lahir hidup yang kemudian meninggal pada waktu sensus. Hal tersebut menyebabkan perhitungan angka fertilitas secara langsung tidak mungkin dilakukan, sehingga diperlukan suatu metode Matematika yang secara tak langsung dapat digunakan untuk menghitung angka fertilitas di suatu wilayah. Dalam makalah ini akan diperlihatkan suatu cara perhitungan kelahiran atau fertilitas secara tidak langsung, dimana cara ini dapat menentukan angka kelahiran tercegah sebagai indikator keberhasilan pengendalian jumlah penduduk melalui program Keluarga Berencana (KB), sehingga melalui perhitungan  ini  dapat ditentukan angka fertilitas total yang didasarkan pada efektifitas penggunaan alat kontrasepsi.Kata Kunci : keluarga berencana (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)Abstract. (Implementation of the Calculation Model for Estimated Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Based on the Effectiveness Use of Contraception in West Java Province) The calculation of the population can be done directly through a population census. One factor that can affect the population in a region is the birth rate or fertility rate. However, the results of data collection carried out, in general only provide information on the number of people living at the time the census is held, and not complete records of the number of live-born babies who later died during the census. This has made it impossible to calculate the fertility rate directly, so a Mathematical method is needed that can indirectly be used to calculate the fertility rate in an area. This paper will show a method of calculating birth or fertility indirectly, where this method can determine the preventable birth rate as an indicator of the success of controlling population through Family Planning (KB) programs, so that through this calculation can be determined the total fertility rate based on effectiveness use of contraceptives.Keywords : family planning (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document