Sensitivity of Reference Evapotranspiration Computed with FAO CropWat 8.0 Model to Weather Input Variables During Two Irrigation Seasons in Kaduna, Nigeria
The sensitivity analysis of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) CropWat 8.0 model is aimed at determining the dominant variable of the model in the study area. Hence, the sensitivity coefficient and the correlation of the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) in Afaka, Kaduna, Nigeria, with each of the climatic input variables of the model, namely, maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), humidity (H), wind speed (WS) and sunshine hour (SSH), were evaluated. A perturbation method was used in the evaluation and the sensitivity coefficients were obtained in a decreasing order of 0.55, 0.42, 0.22, 0.09 and -0.08 for Tmax, WS, SSH, Tmin and H, respectively. Also, the correlation of ETo with each of the input parameters, irrespective of the others, show the following correlation coefficients, r; SSH (r = 0.8675), Tmax (r = 0.6979), Tmin (r = 0.6226), H (r = 0.19) and WS (r = 0.0742). Hence, radiation and temperature-based estimations of ETo were recommended as useful tools for ETo estimation in the face of limited or scarce data and are adaptable to areas with similar climate characteristics. This would also serve as a theoretical basis for future studies on the response of ETo to climatic change in the study area and other areas with similar climate.