scholarly journals Geospatial Analysis and Simulation of Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Hazard in Hunza and Shyok Basins of Upper Indus Basin

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Naseem Abbas Gilany ◽  
Javed Iqbal ◽  
Ejaz Hussain
Keyword(s):  
Flood Hazard ◽  
Indus Basin ◽  
Glacial Lake ◽  
Glacial Lakes ◽  
Digital Repository ◽  
Adaptation Measures ◽  
High Discharge ◽  
Upper Indus Basin ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The UIB (Upper Indus Basin) is prone to GLOFs (Glacial Lake Outburst Floods). Physical monitoring of such a large area on regular basis is a challenging task especially when the temporal and spatial extent of the hazard is highly variable. The purpose of this study was to map the potentially dangerous glacial lakes and simulate the associated hazard in the downward settlements using HEC-RAS in the GIS environment using Landsat 7 remote sensing data. The study was conducted in Hunza and Shyok sub-basins of UIB where there are several human settlements which are endangered due to the GLOF hazard. Sudden breaches in the unstable moraine dams adjoining receding glaciers may occur because of rapid and huge accumulation of turbulent water in the glacial lakes. The ASTER DEM (Digital Elevation Model) is utilized to detect flow accumulation of glacial hazard involving slope, elevation, and orientation of the mountain glaciers. The study results revealed that settlements of Hunza and Shyok basins are threatened by the GLOFs hazard. Keeping in view the seasonal growth of the potentially dangerous glacial lakes of Hunza basin, a low discharge of 3500 m3/s from potentially dangerous glacial lake can affect 40 %, whereas, a moderate discharge of 5000 m3/s can affect 60% and a high discharge of 7000 m3/s can affect 80 % of the Shimshal village habitat. In Shyok basin, a low discharge of 100 m3/s from both lakes can affect 20 %, whereas, a moderate discharge of 300 m3/s can affect 30 % and a high discharge of 500 m3/s can affect 40 % of the Barah village habitat. The results of the study can provide a platform for the establishment of an early warning and monitoring system to minimize the impact of future GLOFs. Accurate and comprehensive knowledge of potentially dangerous GLOFs is of utmost importance for risk management. A digital repository of GLOFs can enhance the ability to inform policy makers on the vulnerability, risk mitigation and action/adaptation measures.

scholarly journals Comparative Assessment of Spatial Variability and Trends of Flows and Sediments under the Impact of Climate Change in the Upper Indus Basin

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 730
Author(s):  
Waqas Ul Hussan ◽  
Muhammad Khurram Shahzad ◽  
Frank Seidel ◽  
Anna Costa ◽  
Franz Nestmann
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Kendall Test ◽  
Comparative Assessment ◽  
Indus Basin ◽  
Hydroelectric Power ◽  
Indus River ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Upper Indus Basin ◽  
The Impact

Extensive research of the variability of flows under the impact of climate change has been conducted for the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). However, limited literature is available on the spatial distribution and trends of suspended sediment concentrations (SSC) in the sub-basins of UIB. This study covers the comparative assessment of flows and SSC trends measured at 13 stations in the UIB along with the variability of precipitation and temperatures possibly due to climate change for the past three decades. In the course of this period, the country’s largest reservoir, Tarbela, on the Indus River was depleted rapidly due to heavy sediment influx from the UIB. Sediment management of existing storage and future planned hydraulic structures (to tap 30,000 MW in the region) depends on the correct assessment of SSC, their variation patterns, and trends. In this study, the SSC trends are determined along with trends of discharges, precipitation, and temperatures using the non-parametric Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator. The results reveal that the annual flows and SSC are in a balanced state for the Indus River at Besham Qila, whereas the SSC are significantly reduced ranging from 18.56%–28.20% per decade in the rivers of Gilgit at Alam Bridge, Indus at Kachura, and Brandu at Daggar. The SSC significantly increase ranging from 20.08%–40.72% per decade in the winter together with a significant increase of average air temperature. During summers, the SSC are decreased significantly ranging from 18.63%–27.79% per decade along with flows in the Hindukush and Western–Karakorum regions, which is partly due to the Karakorum climate anomaly, and in rainfall-dominated basins due to rainfall reduction. In Himalayan regions, the SSC are generally increased slightly during summers. These findings will be helpful for understanding the sediment trends associated with flow, precipitation, and temperature variations, and may be used for the operational management of current reservoirs and the design of several hydroelectric power plants that are planned for construction in the UIB.

scholarly journals Glacial Lake Inventory Derived from Landsat 8 OLI in 2016–2018 in China–Pakistan Economic Corridor

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 294
Author(s):  
Da Li ◽  
Donghui Shangguan ◽  
Muhammad Naveed Anjum
Keyword(s):  
Indus Basin ◽  
Glacial Lake ◽  
Formation Mechanisms ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Lateral Moraine ◽  
Glacial Lakes ◽  
Threshold Method ◽  
Water Index ◽  
Supraglacial Lakes ◽  
Normalized Difference Water Index

The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a key hub for trade, is susceptible to glacial lake outburst floods. The distributions and types of glacial lakes in the CPEC are not well documented. In this study, cloud-free imagery acquired using the Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager during 2016–2018 was used to delineate the extent of glacial lakes in the mountainous terrain of the CPEC. In the study domain, 1341 glacial lakes (size ≥ 0.01 km2) with a total area of 109.76 ± 9.82 km2 were delineated through the normalized difference water index threshold method, slope analysis, and a manual rectification process. On the basis of the formation mechanisms and characteristics of glacial lakes, four major classes and eight subclasses of lakes were identified. In all, 492 blocked lakes (162 end moraine-dammed lakes, 17 lateral moraine-dammed lakes, 312 other moraine-dammed lakes, and 1 ice-blocked lake), 723 erosion lakes (123 cirque lakes and 600 other erosion lakes), 86 supraglacial lakes, and 40 other glacial lakes were identified. All lakes were distributed between 2220 and 5119 m a.s.l. At higher latitudes, the predominate lake type changed from moraine-related to erosion. From among the Gez, Taxkorgan, Hunza, Gilgit, and Indus basins, most glacial lakes were located in the Indus Basin. The number and area of glacial lakes were larger on the southern slopes of the Karakoram range.

Conflicting Signals of Climatic Change in the Upper Indus Basin

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (17) ◽  
pp. 4276-4293 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. J. Fowler ◽  
D. R. Archer
Keyword(s):  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Summer Temperature ◽  
Indus Basin ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Seasonal Temperature ◽  
Western Himalayas ◽  
Upper Indus Basin ◽  
Summer Temperatures ◽  
Instrumental Records ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Temperature data for seven instrumental records in the Karakoram and Hindu Kush Mountains of the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) have been analyzed for seasonal and annual trends over the period 1961–2000 and compared with neighboring mountain regions and the Indian subcontinent. Strong contrasts are found between the behavior of winter and summer temperatures and between maximum and minimum temperatures. Winter mean and maximum temperature show significant increases while mean and minimum summer temperatures show consistent decline. Increase in diurnal temperature range (DTR) is consistently observed in all seasons and the annual dataset, a pattern shared by much of the Indian subcontinent but in direct contrast to both GCM projections and the narrowing of DTR seen worldwide. This divergence commenced around the middle of the twentieth century and is thought to result from changes in large-scale circulation patterns and feedback processes associated with the Indian monsoon. The impact of observed seasonal temperature trend on runoff is explored using derived regression relationships. Decreases of ∼20% in summer runoff in the rivers Hunza and Shyok are estimated to have resulted from the observed 1°C fall in mean summer temperature since 1961, with even greater reductions in spring months. The observed downward trend in summer temperature and runoff is consistent with the observed thickening and expansion of Karakoram glaciers, in contrast to widespread decay and retreat in the eastern Himalayas. This suggests that the western Himalayas are showing a different response to global warming than other parts of the globe.

Analyzing glacial lake outburst flood triggers for sustainable disaster risk mitigation: an interpretive structural modelling based approach

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashish Trivedi ◽  
Ankur Chauhan ◽  
Surya Prakash Singh
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Flood Hazard ◽  
Disaster Risk ◽  
Glacial Lake ◽  
Glacial Lakes ◽  
Interpretive Structural Modeling ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Interpretive Structural Model

PurposeClimate change and global warming pose a serious threat to the community as deglaciating environments trigger glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). The Sendai framework underpins the role of disaster risk reduction (DRR) for sustainable development, thereby calling for the development of GLOF hazard and risk assessment procedures. This study aims to delineate the enablers of GLOF risk and establish a contextual relationship between them.Design/methodology/approachThe risk enablers are identified from the extant GLOF literature, and the experts from disaster management area are consulted to explore the underlying contextual relationship among them. An interpretive structural model is developed from the responses to analyze the contextual relationships among the risk enablers.FindingsThe interpretive structural modeling results manifest that seismic activity, temperature and precipitation events, and proximity are key drivers that trigger flash floods from the lakes and an effective assessment of these triggers may contribute significantly to GLOF risk mitigation.Originality/valueThe study models the complex relationship among the risk enablers for a glacial flood hazard that find commonality across all geographic contexts. The findings provide the practitioners of DRR useful insights into these factors and their subsequent impact on others, while conducting hazard assessment of glacial lakes that may contribute to the sustainable development of settlements lying downstream to glacial lakes.

Towards a global assessment of future glacial lakes and related hazards, risks and opportunities

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Holger Frey ◽  
Christian Huggel ◽  
Simon Allen ◽  
Adam Emmer ◽  
Dan Shugar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Assessment ◽  
Census Data ◽  
Mass Movement ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Glacial Lake ◽  
Glacial Lakes ◽  
Adaptation Measures ◽  
Lake Formation ◽  
Hydropower Potential ◽  
The World

<p>The formation of new lakes in areas uncovered by retreating glaciers is a phenomenon that is often accompanying glacier retreat. On the one hand, such glacial lakes constitute a potential source of hazards and risks in the form of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs), but also amplify the potential reach of other mass movements when involved in cascading process chains. On the other hand, these new lakes might provide opportunities as well, as they are attractive elements in changing mountain landscapes and provide a significant water storage and hydropower potential. Here, we present an approach to establish the first global assessment of the characteristics, risks and opportunities provided by the formation of new lakes in glacierized mountain regions. This study is currently in the phase of concept development, in our contribution we present the planned methodological steps and some preliminary results.</p><p>In our approach, we draw on recently published datasets of ice thickness distributions of all glaciers around the world to detect the sites of potential future lake formation and extract general characteristics, such as lake depth and volume, as well as the elevation distribution. In combination with a new global glacial lake inventory, we estimate the total number of glacial lakes for each of the world’s mountain ranges, and contrast the share of already existing glacial lakes with the share of potential future glacial lakes. In combination with a global glacier evolution model (GloGEM), formation dates of these future lakes are estimated, considering different RCPs.</p><p>A major focus will be put on the assessment of regional hazards and risks. By analyzing the topographic potential around all future lakes from digital elevation information and a globally complete glacier inventory (RGI), the susceptibility for mass movement impacts is assessed in a generic way for each lake. Simple flow routing modeling will be used to evaluate the potential downstream impact. In combination with census data and other socio-economic indicators, a preliminary danger or risk assessment can be made in order to identify future hotspots of GLOF risks. In combination with globally available data on glacier runoff contributions to streamflow, regions are identified where more detailed evaluations of the water storage potential provided by such new lakes are of particular relevance.</p><p>The results of this work will allow anticipating hotspots of potential future GLOF hazards and risks at a local to global level. Further, important information to decision makers will be provided for long term planning regarding risk and water resources management as well as climate change adaptation measures and taking advantage of the opportunities provided by the formation of new glacial lakes.</p>

Income Diversification and Bank Efficiency in Vietnam

2017 ◽  
pp. 52-67
Author(s):  
Sang Nguyen Minh
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Operational Efficiency ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Tobit Regression ◽  
Income Diversification ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Impact

This study uses the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) method to estimate the technical efficiency index of 34 Vietnamese commercial banks in the period 2007-2015, and then it analyzes the impact of income diversification on the operational efficiency of Vietnamese commercial banks through a censored regression model - the Tobit regression model. Research results indicate that income diversification has positive effects on the operational efficiency of Vietnamese commercial banks in the research period. Based on study results, in this research some recommendations forpolicy are given to enhance the operational efficiency of Vietnam’s commercial banking system.

Some reflections on social structure: Theoretical and practical aspects

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 1063-1078
Author(s):  
T.N. Skorobogatova ◽  
I.Yu. Marakhovskaya
Keyword(s):  
Service Industry ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
Social Sphere ◽  
The Social ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Internal And External Factors ◽  
The Impact

Subject. This article discusses the role of social infrastructure in the national economy and analyzes the relationship between the notions of Infrastructure, Service Industry and Non-Productive Sphere. Objectives. The article aims to outline a methodology for development of the social infrastructure of Russia's regions. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of statistical and comparative analyses. The Republic of Crimea and Rostov Oblast's social infrastructure development was considered as a case study. Results. The article finds that the level of social infrastructure is determined by a number of internal and external factors. By analyzing and assessing such factors, it is possible to develop promising areas for the social sphere advancement. Conclusions. Assessment and analysis of internal factors largely determined by the region's characteristics, as well as a comprehensive consideration of the impact of external factors will help ensure the competitiveness of the region's economy.

The Impact of Bar Service Operation Practices on Organizational Performance in Indian Hotel Industry

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohinder C. Dhiman ◽  
Abhishek Ghai
Keyword(s):  
Organizational Performance ◽  
Hotel Industry ◽  
Demographic Variables ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Service Operation ◽  
Managerial Implications ◽  
Overall Performance ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Bivariate Test

The paper has a two fold purpose - examine the impact of bar service operation practices (BSOP) on organizational performance (OP) and study the relationship between organizational performance and demographic variables. Based on a survey of 362 bar managers perceptions on the impact of bar service operation practices on organizational performance were assessed by 59 practices and 6 demographic variables. Bivariate test and ANOVA were employed to test the working hypothesis in the study. Results indicated that there is a positive relationship between the bar service operation practices and organizational performance. Further, the results indicate some practical and managerial implications to improve organizational overall performance.

THE IMPACT OF GLACIAL LAKE MADAWASKA ON THE OPENING OF APPALACHIAN ICE COMPLEX

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antoine Morissette ◽  
◽  
Bernard Hetu ◽  
Patrick Lajeunesse
Keyword(s):  
Glacial Lake ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Ice Complex
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document