scholarly journals COVID-19 simulation study—the effect of strict non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on controlling the spread of COVID-19

PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e11172
Author(s):  
Amal Alzu’bi ◽  
Sanaa Abu Alasal ◽  
Khalid A. Kheirallah ◽  
Valerie Watzlaf
Keyword(s):  
Local Community ◽  
Preventive Measures ◽  
Short Interval ◽  
Herd Immunity ◽  
Population Movements ◽  
Hypothetical System ◽  
The Government ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Pharmaceutical Interventions

Background From the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 infection has changed our lives in many aspects and introduced limitations in the way people interact and communicate. In this paper, we are evaluating the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) in limiting the spread of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 pandemic during a wedding ceremony from Irbid, Northern Jordan. Agent-based modeling was used in a real wedding event that occurred at the beginning of the spread of the pandemic in Jordan. Two infected nationals of Jordan, who arrived in Jordan about a week before the event, initiated the spread of the pandemic within the contact community. Methods In this work, a strict national NPI that the government implemented is developed by using an abstract model with certain characteristics similar to the Jordanian community. Thus, the Jordanian community is represented in terms of ages, occupations, and population movements. After that, the extent of the impact of the NPI measures on the local community is measured. Results We observed the deterioration of the state of society while the epidemic is spreading among individuals in the absence of preventive measures. Also, the results show that the herd immunity case was an epidemic, with a high level of spread among the community with 918 cases during a short interval of time. On the other hand, the preventive measures scenario shows a totally controlled spread with only 74 cases applied on the same interval of time. Furthermore, a convergence in the actual results of the real system with the hypothetical system were detected in the case of applying the strict NPI measures. Finally, strict NPI at the community level following social gatherings seem to be effective measures to control the spread of the COVID- 19 pandemic.

The Impact of the Nicaragua Case on Matters of Evidence and Fact-Finding

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-156
Author(s):  
PAUL S. REICHLER
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Armed Conflict ◽  
The United States ◽  
Pulp Mills ◽  
Government Officials ◽  
The Government ◽  
Fact Finding ◽  
Day To Day Operations ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe Nicaragua case demonstrates the Court's competence in receiving and interpreting evidence, and in making reasoned findings of fact, even in the most complicated evidentiary context, as is often presented in cases involving use of force and armed conflict. The Court applied well-established standards for evaluating the conflicting evidence presented to it. In particular, the Court determined that greater weight should be given to statements against interest made by high-level government officials than to a state's self-serving declarations. The Court also determined that statements by disinterested witnesses with first-hand knowledge should receive greater weight than mere statements of opinion or press reports. In applying these guidelines, the Court found, correctly, that (i) the United States had used military and paramilitary force against Nicaragua both directly and indirectly, by organizing, financing, arming, and training the Contra guerrillas to attack Nicaragua; (ii) the evidence did not support a finding that the United States exercised direct control over the Contras’ day-to-day operations; and (iii) there was no evidence that Nicaragua supplied arms to guerrillas fighting against the government of El Salvador during the relevant period, or carried out an armed attack against that state. While Judge Schwebel's dissent criticized the last of these findings, in fact, the evidence fully supported the Court's conclusion. In subsequent decisions during the past 25 years, the Court has continued to rely on the approach to evidence first elaborated in the Nicaragua case and has continued to demonstrate its competence as a finder of fact, including in cases involving armed conflict (Bosnia Genocide) and complex scientific and technical issues (Pulp Mills).

scholarly journals Implications of ownership identity and insider’s supremacy on the economic performance of the listed companies

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 399-411
Author(s):  
Qaiser Rafique Yasser ◽  
Abdullah Al-Mamun
Keyword(s):  
Firm Performance ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Theoretic Approach ◽  
Main Research ◽  
The Government ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

We adopt a multi-theoretic approach to investigate a previously unexplored phenomenon in extant literature, namely the differential impact of ownership identity and director dominate shareholding on the performance of emerging market firms. The main research question addressed is, whether the impact of this relationship is conditional on the identity of the block investor. First, the relationship between overall block ownership and firm performance is tested by employing multiple regressions on 500 firm-year observations for the period from 2007 to 2011. Then, the block ownership is classified as the state, individuals, insiders, financial institutions, corporate and foreign investors and the influence of these identities on firm performance is examined. It was found that only the ownership categories such as the government, institutions and foreign ownership have positive influence on the firm performance. The results also indicate that high level of insider ownership also negatively associated with the firm performance. The main contribution of this paper is the examination of the relationship between block ownership and firm performance from the perspective of the identity of investors

scholarly journals PENGEMBANGAN KLASTER AGROINDUSTRI DI DESA GONDANGAN KECAMATAN JOGONALAN KLATEN

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 84
Author(s):  
Ida Susi D ◽  
Didik I ◽  
Asih Marini W
Keyword(s):  
Rural Areas ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Industry Cluster ◽  
The Public ◽  
High Participation ◽  
The Government ◽  
High Level

SMEs snacks in Gondangan village has the potential to be developed. The village has the potential to be Gondangan Agro-industry region, although it is still much that needs to be repaired and prepared.This study aims to determine the attitude of the public about the development of SMEs in rural areas Gondangan into Agro-industry clusters and how community participation in the development of SMEs in rural areas Gondangan to be Agroindustri. Respondents in this study were the leaders and local community leaders, citizens, snack home industry in the region.This study is a descriptive study with a qualitative approach. The data of this study is primary data and secondary data consists of qualitative and quantitative data. Primary data were obtained with the interview and focus group discussion.The results showed that the attitude of the public, snack ho,e industri actor and local governments support the development of the region as an area of Agro-Industry cluster. In terms of participation, the government showed a high participation and support by facilitating a variety of activities to realize the region of Agro-Industry cluster, while the snacks businessman as the main actor of Agro-industry development of the area did not show a high level of participation.

scholarly journals Dampak Perkembangan Pariwisata Terhadap Kondisi Sosial Ekonomi Masyarakat Di Pulau Nusa Lembongan

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 177
Author(s):  
Budi Shantika ◽  
I Gusti Agung Oka Mahagangga
Keyword(s):  
Local Community ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Community Ownership ◽  
Data Source ◽  
The Government ◽  
Tourism Service ◽  
And Control ◽  
The Impact

This research was conducted based on the condition of the development of tourism on the island of Nusa Lembongan, aiming to find out the impact brought about by socio-economic conditions against the tourism society.This study uses qualitative and quantitative approach with mix method, the primary data source that are obtained by observations and direct interviews and secondary data. The sampling technique used was purposive sampling techniques and data analysis using the method of case study. This study shows tourism provides impact on society and the government on the island of Nusa Lembongan are seen from eight aspect among others : impact increasing of foreign exchange, impact toward local community income that increasing before tourism exist, impact toward higher prices than the real prices, impact toward employment for opportunity to local community, ownership and control of tourism accommodation, the distribution of benefits and advantage against indigenous village, development in general are seen from 4A tourism and government income of tax viewed from PHR. Advice can be given to government and businessman and tourism service on the island of Nusa Lembongan in the order of future improve the facilities, infrastructure supporting tourism, reinforce the rules on the division of the proceeds against the indigenous villages, improving access and employment for local community on the island of Nusa Lembongan.   Key Words              : Tourism, Nusa Lembongan Island, Impact

scholarly journals THE SCALE OF THE SPREAD OF COVID-19 IN GEORGIA AND EFFECTIVENESS OF PREVENTIVE MEASURES IMPLIMENTED BY THE GOVERNMENT – WHAT DO MODELS SAY?

2020 ◽  
pp. 49-57
Author(s):  
IURI ANANIASHVILI ◽  
LEVAN GAPRINDASHVILI
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Preventive Measures ◽  
Herd Immunity ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Data Limitations ◽  
The Government ◽  
Different Characteristics

. In this article we present forecasts of the spread of COVID-19 virus, obtained by econometric and machine learning methods. Furthermore, by employing modelling method, we estimate effectiveness of preventive measures implemented by the government. Each of the models discussed in this article is modelling different characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic’s trajectory: peak and end date, number of daily infections over different forecasting horizons, total number of infection cases. All these provide quite clear picture to the interested reader of the future threats posed by COVID-19. In terms of existing models and data, our research indicates that phenomenological models do well in forecasting the trend, duration and total infections of the COVID- 19 epidemic, but make serious mistakes in forecasting the number of daily infections. Machine learning models, deliver more accurate short –term forecast of daily infections, but due to data limitations, they struggle to make long-term forecasts. Compartmental models are the best choice for modelling the measures implemented by the government for preventing the spread of COVID-19 and determining optimal level of restrictions. These models show that until achieving herd immunity (i.e. without any epidemiological or government implemented measures), approximate number of people infected with COVID-19 would be 3 million, but due to preventive measures, expected total number of infections has reduced to several thousand (1555-3189) people. This unequivocally indicates the effectiveness of the preventive measures.

scholarly journals DINAMIKA KONFLIK MASYARAKAT DAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP DAMPAK PERTAMBANGAN BATU BARA DI KOTA SAMARINDA

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 213-223
Author(s):  
Sry Reski Mulka
Keyword(s):  
Coal Mining ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Mineral Resources ◽  
Ecological Impacts ◽  
City Government ◽  
Mining Activities ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

With the availability of mineral resources in the form of coal in the city of Samarinda, it is an advantage for the city government in increasing regional income in the form of taxes and royalties, but with the existence of coal mining activities that have obtained an operating permit from the Samarinda City Government, it has triggered a conflict between the Samarinda City Government. with the local community. This conflict-related relationship cannot be separated from the ecological impacts caused by coal mining activities, in which the government has no commitment to maintaining the quality of the community's environment. In this study, the author wants to analyze how the dynamics of the conflict that occurs between civil society and the Samarinda City Government related to coal mining activities in Samarinda City. In the preparation of this study the authors used qualitative methods. he result of the research is that there is public distrust of the Derah Government in establishing relationships, in the aspect of negotiating the principle that there are differences in views between the government and residents regarding land management, and the needs of residents who are hindered due to the impact of coal mining.

scholarly journals The Shadow Pandemic: Examining the Impact of COVID-19 on Zimbabwean Informal Sector in Chiredzi District

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Bismark Mutizwa
Keyword(s):  
Informal Sector ◽  
Informal Economy ◽  
Preventive Measures ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Illustrative Case ◽  
Government Grants ◽  
Remedial Actions ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Informal Traders

COVID-19 has disrupted the business sector globally, ushering developed and developing economies into an unprecedented recession beyond anything experienced in nearly a century. Governments across the globe have adopted a myriad of preventive measures. These remedial actions vary from one country to the other. Nonetheless, in Zimbabwe the government gave a blind eye on the informal sector as evidenced by the adopted preventive measures which neglected the plight of informal traders. To this end, this research interrogates the shadow pandemic in the Zimbabwean informal sector using Chiredzi District as an illustrative case study. Documentary review and key informed interviews were at the core of research methodology. The study found out that informal economy businesses are excluded from government grants, closure of businesses, failure to pay rentals, disruption of the supply chain, psychological impact and family dysfunctional are the quandaries causing a shadow pandemic. Inclusion of informal economy businesses in policies and government grants, government should negotiate with landlords, informal traders should be allowed to operate and inclusive social nets are the possible remedial actions that the government can adopted.

scholarly journals The Fear of Covid-19 among Malaysian Youths

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dr. Mohd Nazrul Bin Azizi ◽  
Dr. Nurul Syuhaida binti Abdul Razak
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Preventive Measures ◽  
Preventive Measure ◽  
Health Level ◽  
The People ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The strike of Covid-19 has affected the mental health level among people. Therefore, this study aims to discover the level of fear towards the spread of this disease among Malaysians. A set of questionnaire was developed and distributed among 3000 respondents consisted of youths aged 15-35 years old. The data was analysed based on the percentage and illustrated in the form of pie charts. The research found that majority of the respondents agreed that the spread of Covid-19 has triggered their fear. Other related items also were measured including the reactions when the fear strikes as well as the need to gain more knowledge regarding the spread of Covid-19, such as the latest red zone areas and the preventive measures. The findings of this research will let the people aware of the impact of Covid-19 towards mental health and help the government to identify people’s knowledge, especially on the preventive measure. Therefore, more strategies can be designed to help people save themselves from getting infected.

scholarly journals Assessing the Impact of Out-of-Pocket Expenditures for Prevention of COVID-19 Infection on Households: Evidence From Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Vol 58 ◽  
pp. 004695802110624
Author(s):  
Hafiz Jaafar ◽  
Nur Amalina Abd Laziz ◽  
Muslimah Ithnin ◽  
Amirah Azzeri
Keyword(s):  
Cost Sharing ◽  
Household Income ◽  
Public Universities ◽  
Preventive Measures ◽  
Financial Burden ◽  
Descriptive Study ◽  
Economic Implications ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

COVID-19 infection resulted in significant economic implications to patients as well as a considerable financial burden to the general population for preventive measures. A descriptive study was conducted among staff at one of the public universities in Malaysia to estimate the monthly out-of-pocket expenditures for preventive measures used for COVID-19 infection. The study tool includes questions on household out-of-pocket expenditure and the measurements of the impact of the expenditure on household income. It was found that the average cumulative monthly expenditures related to the preventive measures were US$ 45.90 (Ringgit Malaysia 187.77), which was 4.3% of the household income. The highest expenditures were for traditional and complementary medicine followed by nutraceutical/supplements and disposable facemask. 8% of the households in this study incurred more than ten per cents of their monthly household income for expenditures related to COVID-19 preventive measures. Several households are experiencing substantial financial implications for preventive measures related to COVID-19 infection. This study highlights the out-of-pocket expenditures incurred for preventive measures were substantial for certain households. Effective initiatives from the government on providing subsidized protective personal equipment and a cost-sharing approach could help to alleviate the household financial burden.

scholarly journals Presepsi Masyarakat Terhadap Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam Di Daerah Aliran Sungai

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-17
Author(s):  
Messalina L Salampessy ◽  
Aisyah ◽  
Indra G Febryano
Keyword(s):  
Resource Management ◽  
Natural Resource Management ◽  
Natural Resource ◽  
Public Perception ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Community Perception ◽  
Qualitative Descriptive ◽  
The Government ◽  
High Level ◽  
Depth Interviews

Presepsi masyarakat  terhadap konservasi Daerah aliran sungai (DAS) sangat menentukan kelestarian fungsi DAS tersebut. Interaksi masyarakat dalam pemanfaatan potensi lahan disekitar Das, tentunya akan memberikan pengaruh terhadp berbagai persepsi masyarakat setempat bahkan berimplikasi bagi kelestarian fungsi Kawasan Das. Penelitian dilakukan dengan tujuan untuk menguraikan tingkat persepsi  masyarakat terhadap aktivitas pengelolaan sumber daya alam di sekitar Das. Analisis penelitian ini dilakukan dengan metode deskriptif kualitatif. Data dikumpulkan melalui kuisioner, wawancara mendalam dan observasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tingkat persepsi masyarakat  terhadap pengelolaan sumberdaya alam di sekitar DAS termasuk dalam tingkat sedang yaitu 40%, tingkat rendah 20 dan tingkat tinggi 40%. Pemerintah dan berbagai pihak sangat dibutuhkan untuk peningkatan pemahaman dan peran serta masyarakat bagi pengelolaan sumberdaya Das untuk kelestarian fungsi DAS.   The community perception of conservation of watershed greatly determines the sustainability of the watershed function. Community interaction in utilizing of the land will have an influence on various perceptions of the local community and even have implications for the sustainability of the functions of the Das Area. The study was conducted with the aim of describing the level of public perception of watershed natural resource management activities. The analysis of this study was carried out by qualitative descriptive method. Data was collected through questionnaires, in-depth interviews, and observations. The results showed that the level of community perception of watershed natural resource management was at a moderate level of 40%, a low level of 20 and a high level of 40%. The government and various parties are urgently needed to increase understanding and participation of the community in watersheds managing resources for the sustainability of watershed functions.

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