The expectancy bias model of selective associations: The relationship of judgments of CS dangerousness, CS-UCS similarity and prior fear to a priori and a posteriori covariation assessments

1996 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 235-252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Graham C.L. Davey ◽  
Alison L. Dixon
Digithum ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olli Pyyhtinen

The introduction to the special issue taps into discussions about the inseparability of science and fiction. Commencing from the idea that scientific statements are distinguished from fiction only a posteriori, not a priori, the piece asks, how fiction could be used as a theoretical resource in social scientific thinking. Could it inform, enrich, extend, intensify, and challenge the sociological imagination? Besides rejecting any clear-cut separation of social science and fictional and artistic forms, the text seeks to unsettle our certainty as to what counts as “fact” and what as “fiction” in the first place. It also suggests that examining the relationship of sociology and fictional and artistic forms helps us unsettle the institutionalized disciplinary ways of ordering knowledge and thought and that there may be a poetics or fiction to be uncovered in sociological scholarship, as sociology is also a form of storytelling.


Author(s):  
N. Seube

Abstract. This paper introduce a new method for validating the precision of an airborne or a mobile LiDAR data set. The proposed method is based on the knowledge of an a Combined Standard Measurement Uncertainty (CSMU) model which describes LiDAR point covariance matrix and thus uncertainty ellipsoid. The model we consider includes timing errors and most importantly the incidence of the LiDAR beam. After describing the relationship between the beam incidence and other variable uncertainty (especially attitude uncertainty), we show that we can construct a CSMU model giving the covariance of each oint as a function of the relative geometry between the LiDAR beam and the point normal. The validation method we propose consist in comparing the CSMU model (predictive a priori uncertainty) t the Standard Deviation Alog the Surface Normal (SDASN), for all set of quasi planr segments of the point cloud. Whenever the a posteriori (i.e; observed by the SDASN) level of uncertainty is greater than a priori (i.e; expected) level of uncertainty, the point fails the validation test. We illustrate this approach on a dataset acquired by a Microdrones mdLiDAR1000 system.


1999 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 369-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Hollander ◽  
Sandra Peart

Our concern is John Stuart Mill's methodological pronouncements, his actual practice, and the relationship between them. We argue that verification played a key role in Mill's method, both in principle and in practice. Our starting point is the celebrated declaration regarding verification in the essay On the Definition of Political Economy; and on the Method of Investigation Proper to It (1836/ 1967; hereafter Essay): “By the method à priori we mean … reasoning from an assumed hypothesis; which … is the essence of all science which admits of general reasoning at all. To verify the hypothesis itself à posteriori, that is, to examine whether the facts of any actual case are in accordance with it, is no part of the business of science at all, but of the application of science” (Mill 1836/1967, p. 325). The apparent position that the basic economic theory is impervious to predictive failure emerges also in a sharp criticism of the à posteriori method:


1977 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 383-388 ◽  
Author(s):  
David K. B. Nias

Ratings for degree of interest in hobbies, TV programs, reading topics and sports, together with the leisure activities they encouraged in their children, were obtained from 1270 adults. Ten relatively independent factors, with a fair degree of similarity across sex, were arrived at by principal component methods. The analysis was carried out on individual items rather than a priori scores, and the subjects were required to rate only those activities with which they were familiar. The factors were more specific than those identified previously, with normally combined interests such as entertainment and films emerging as separate components. As a first step towards identifying the characteristics of people with different interests, the relationship of each factor to personality and demographic variables was investigated.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. 940-940
Author(s):  
Kristen James ◽  
Erik Gertz ◽  
Catherine Kirschke ◽  
Liping Huang ◽  
Charles Stephensen ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives The hepatic enzyme flavin monooxygenase 3 (FMO3) oxidizes many metabolites including trimethylamine to the atherogenic molecule trimethylamine n-oxide (TMAO). Variants in the open reading frame of the FMO3 gene alter the enzyme's activity; therefore, we genotyped two a priori missense FMO3 SNPs in a cohort of unmedicated healthy adults. We hypothesized that the SNPs might affect the activity of the encoded enzyme leading to reductions in circulating TMAO. FMO3 expression is upregulated by estrogen, thus we also assessed the relationship of the SNPs and TMAO in pre- and postmenopausal women. Methods DNA was extracted from whole blood from 349 subjects (182 women) who were enrolled in a cross-sectional study at the USDA/ARS WHNRC. SNPs rs2266782 (G > A, p.Glu158Lys) and rs2266780 (A > G, p.Glu308Gly) were genotyped using TaqMan SNP genotyping kits and PCR. TMAO was purified from fasted plasma and quantified using high resolution LC-MS. Regression models were built to assess the relationship of the SNPs to TMAO in the full cohort and by self-reported menopausal status in women. Models assessing the full cohort were adjusted for plasma cystatin C and a sex*age interaction, whereas the menopausal analysis was adjusted for cystatin C. Results The cohort's minor allele frequencies were 36.5% and 17.5% for SNPs rs2266782 and rs2266780, respectively, which were consistent with the genome aggregation exome reports. For both SNPs, median TMAO concentrations increased in individuals carrying the risk alleles, however the differences by genotypes were not significant. In women, the AA genotype at rs2266780 was associated with reduced TMAO levels in pre-, but not postmenopausal women (P = 0.01). This effect was not identified in females with AG or GG genotypes, regardless of their menopausal state. Conclusions Effects of the evaluated FMO3 SNPs on TMAO levels were not identified in the full cohort. However, the SNP rs2266780 was associated with reduced TMAO in premenopausal women with the AA genotype but not women with the AG or GG genotypes, nor those who were postmenopausal. This finding reinforces previous observations that risks for cardiovascular diseases increase after menopause in women. Funding Sources The Beef Checkoff, R01HL128572; USDA-ARS 2032–53,000–001–00-D, 2032–51,530–022–00-D, and 2032–51,000-004–00D; NCATS NIH UL1 TR001860.


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Azizatun Nisa

This research is a qualitative research. The aim is finding out the role of reason in understanding laduni knowledge. In this case laduni knowledge is the same as intuition. The relationship of reason and intuition which is essentially always in an interactive condition, first seeing the types of knowledge that can be captured by humans. According to al-Ghazali there are four kinds of levels of existence (being). First. The metaphysical form, according to him, is summarized in the Mahfudh letter. Second, empirical forms in the concrete world (alam syahadah). Third, imaginary (imaginative), and fourth, rational form (al-ma’qulat). The relationship of reason and intuition, al-Ghazali made a parable of people who gained knowledge with reason likened to a child and those who obtained knowledge with intuition were likened to (al-mumayyiz). The parable above implies the existence of a level between the two and does not mean there is a separation between each. If this is related to the theory of the human ratio (al- nafs al-natiqoh) after being able to capture a priori or dharuriyyat knowledge, in turn it shows two abilities, namely, the ability to produce knowledge through understanding (through) feeling . The first is creative-methodical-systematic, while the second is creative-non-systematic-systematic. Thus, it is clear that the nature of both knowledge comes from the same source as the derivative of the soul and therefore both are contained in human intellectuality.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Vannini ◽  
David Nemer ◽  
Ammar Halabi ◽  
Amalia Georgiana Sabiescu ◽  
Salomao David Cumbula

Conflicts among stakeholders are common in Community Informatics (CI) research. They often derive from mismatches of expectations and are exacerbated by communication and intercultural issues. Such mismatches are breaking points that might compromise the relationship of trust among project stakeholders and, ultimately, project outcomes. In CI, reflecting on moments of conflict and mismatch might help researchers attend to assumptions and interpret aspects of the cultural context of the communities they work with, as well as their own. This reflection should, then, contribute to a closer connection among stakeholders and sustainable project outcomes. In this paper, we present the Critical Incidents Analysis (CIA) Framework (Brunello, 2015), a tool that was conceived within the Community and Development Informatics field with the aim to reflect upon incidents and misunderstandings among stakeholders, their different cultural perspectives, and – eventually – deal with project breakdowns. We apply the framework to our own research where we analyse conflicts and mismatches of expectations that arose during the fieldwork conducted by two of the authors. We conclude that the CIA framework, applied “a posteriori” to our cases, was a useful tool to better analyse and report on our research, and to recast incidents as opportunities to enable a deeper understanding and – in some cases – build trust among stakeholders.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 4-9
Author(s):  
Viktor Aulin ◽  
◽  
Dmitrо Golub ◽  
Viktor Bilichenko ◽  
Artem Zamurenko ◽  
...  

The approach to construction of model of a problem situation in transport system is resulted, the block diagram of its algorithm is developed. It is revealed that the transition stage from the problem to the formulation of formal tasks is a problem situation, and the tasks can be solved in different ways, forming a set of strategies. It is noted that in the general case the result of operations is uncertain, which is caused by the uncertainty of the conditions of the operation and the action of factors of different nature. It is revealed that the acquisition of values of indicators that characterize one or another result of the operation is associated with the solution of the problem of modeling operations. The stages of the problem of studying the efficiency of the operation in the transport system are given. A number of assumptions are made about the process of obtaining results, which is associated with the formation of the operation model and obtaining efficiency estimates based on modeling results, as well as the process of analyzing the results, which involves solving the selection problem based on the established efficiency criterion or system of such criteria. It is found that the model of the problem situation in transport systems reflects the relationship of the main elements of the decision-making process and the sequence of formation of partial tasks and is built to cover the problem of decision-making as a whole, to present its main elements to be finalized. about the strategy of the operation. It is shown that the presence of a certain component as an independent element in the model of the problem situation assumes that the set of values of uncertain factors in the development of solutions will be either set externally, or finding these values will be an independent task. A list of actions for solving partial problems based on this model is presented. It is shown that in many practical cases it is observed that the a priori task of one of the main criteria of efficiency leads to the selection of some set of alternatives. Therefore, the choice of the best alternative requires the formation of a compound criterion, which includes both formal and informal prescriptions for making a judgment on the basis of which the selection or return and correction of elements of the model of the problem situation.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (12) ◽  
pp. 2772-2779 ◽  
Author(s):  
BARTON L. WISE ◽  
SERKALEM DEMISSIE ◽  
L. ADRIENNE CUPPLES ◽  
DAVID T. FELSON ◽  
MEI YANG ◽  
...  

Objective.We examined reported associations between radiographic hand osteoarthritis (OA) and single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) in 2 candidate genes associated with OA in other joints: estrogen receptor alpha (ESR1) and beta (ESR2).Methods.In 539 Framingham Offspring Study participants (49% men; mean age 61 ± 9 yrs) joint-specific radiographic hand OA was defined as Kellgren/Lawrence (K/L) scores ≥ 2 in the first carpometacarpal joint (CMC), distal interphalangeal joints (DIP), first-digit interphalangeal joint (IP), or proximal interphalangeal joints (PIP). Four SNP were genotyped for ESR1 (PvuII-rs2234693, XbaI-rs9340799, rs2077647, and rs1801132) and 4 for ESR2 (rs1256031, rs1256034, rs1256059, rs944460). Logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the relationships between genotypes and hand OA, adjusting for age, sex, height, and weight.Results.Radiographic hand OA was identified in at least one investigated joint of DIP (39%), PIP (33%), and first CMC (40%). There was no evidence of association between OA and genotype at any polymorphism. We found no significant association between our OA phenotypes or generalized or severe generalized OA as defined by Ushiyama and heterozygosity for rs2234693 and rs9340799, although in metaanalysis with the former study this heterozygosity remained significantly associated with generalized or severe generalized OA.Conclusion.We found no significant association between hand OA and the investigated polymorphisms of ESR1 or ESR2 despite published reports of association and a priori hypotheses implicating their potential roles. However, we could not absolutely exclude associations with rs2234693, rs9340799, or rs944460.


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