Candidate selection methods and electoral performance in comparative perspective

2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-84
Author(s):  
Giulia Vicentini
Keyword(s):  
Positive Impact ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Candidate Selection ◽  
Primary Elections ◽  
Selection Methods ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Weak Negative Correlation ◽  
Data Source ◽  
Electoral Performance

AbstractThe purpose of the article is try to assess whether inclusive procedures of selection are more likely to appoint a candidate who can be competitive in the general elections compared with less inclusive ones. Accordingly, I took into account nomination processes (NPs) to select/appoint the prime ministerial/presidential candidate for general elections held in four Western European countries (France, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom) over approximately the last two decades. Using an original data source and innovative indicators, I assessed the inclusiveness of each NP and the party/candidate’s performance in the following general election in order to look for a possible relation. The outcome shows a very weak negative correlation between the two variables. Thus, while it does not appear that inclusive systems of selection have a clear positive impact at the electoral level, it is likewise hard to maintain that systems such as primary elections cause electoral failure.

scholarly journals Le primarie del Centro-Sinistra del 25 novembre e del 2 dicembre 2012: un'analisi descrittiva con dati aggregati

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-28
Author(s):  
Vincenzo Emanuele ◽  
Stefano Rombi
Keyword(s):  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Selection Rule ◽  
Candidate Selection ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Primary Elections ◽  
Quantitative Methodology ◽  
Media Impact ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Similarities And Differences ◽  
Shed Light

Despite primary elections in Italy continue to be asymmetric – i.e. carried out only by the center-left coalition – their ability to involve the electorate and their growing media impact make it a powerful democratic tool. In this article we study the 2012 Italian primary elections, held by the center-left coalition in order to select the prime ministerial candidatefor the 2013 general elections. In particular, we will shed light on three dimensions: turnout, electoral results and competitiveness. We will also take into account the role played by the new candidate selection rule – the two-round system – which will allow us to collect a lot of information about the voting behavior of the selectorate. What has been the turnout level in the2012 Italian primary elections? Which similarities and differences can be found in the patterns of participation between the first and the second round? Which factors may explain the territorial differences in turnout levels? What have been the territorial patterns of voting behavior for the main candidates? The 2012 primary elections have been more or less competitive with respect to the previous Italian national primaries? We will try to address these questions through the use of a mainly quantitative methodology with aggregate data.

Primaries, Conventions, and Other Methods for Nominating Candidates

2019 ◽  
pp. 432-451
Author(s):  
Gilles Serra
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Recent Literature ◽  
Candidate Selection ◽  
Primary Elections ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Selection Methods ◽  
Academic Literature ◽  
Open Questions ◽  
The World ◽  
Long Time

The way political parties select their candidates should be considered a fundamental topic in political science. In spite of being profoundly consequential in several regards, candidate selection methods were understudied for a long time in the academic literature. A renewed awareness of the implications of different nomination rules, along with an increased use of primary elections around the world, has accelerated this research in the last two decades. This chapter reviews the main areas of inquiry regarding candidate selection as reflected in contemporary research. It surveys the most recent literature asking four broad questions about candidate selection methods: What types are there? What consequences do they have? What are their origins? What questions can be formulated for future research? The chapter aims to convey that research on candidate selection is important, growing, and full of open questions.

scholarly journals Twitter

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 603-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivor Gaber
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Pilot Project ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
The Social ◽  
Local Media ◽  
National Media ◽  
Electoral Performance ◽  
Local Party

The 2015 General Election in the United Kingdom was the first to take place in the United Kingdom with Twitter as an important part of the social media landscape. This pilot project looked at 16 constituencies along England’s South Coast in order to investigate what impact, if any, Twitter had had on both the campaign and the result and to investigate the efficacy, or otherwise, of using Twitter as a tool for studying election campaigns in terms of candidate and local party activism. On the basis of an analysis of almost half a million tweets, the analysis concluded that there appeared to be a correlation between the rate at which parties and/or candidates responded to incoming tweets and their relative electoral performance but this was not demonstrable for all parties (it applied in particular to Labour and UK Independence Party candidates). In addition, high rates of reply also appeared to have a positive impact on constituency turnout figures. The findings are not yet conclusive but suggest that Twitter could be a good indicator of general levels of local party activism. The research also sought to understand how candidates used Twitter differently and established a number of candidate ‘classifiers’. It also investigated the issues agenda that was dominating Twitter conversations during the campaign and found that Twitter’s agenda was closer to the public’s than was that of the national media. The research also monitored the regional and local media in the 16 constituencies and discovered that their issues agenda was closer still to the public’s. Overall, it is difficult to conclude that Twitter had a major impact on the election campaign and result.

The Costs and Benefits of Party Switching in Mexico

2017 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yann P. Kerevel
Keyword(s):  
Selection Process ◽  
Original Data ◽  
General Election ◽  
Candidate Selection ◽  
Party Affiliation ◽  
Costs And Benefits ◽  
Electoral Success ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Party Switching ◽  
Selection Stage

AbstractAre party switchers successful at furthering their careers? Most research on party switching focuses on the decision to switch and with which party to affiliate. Less attention is paid to the costs and benefits of switching parties. Moreover, previous research examining the electoral success of party switchers has often ignored how costs vary between the candidate selection process and the general election. This study addresses this gap in the literature by using original data on the careers of Mexican federal deputies to examine the costs and benefits of switching parties at the candidate selection stage and during general elections. The results suggest that party switchers are more successful at winning ballot access than nonswitchers but are less likely to win office. These results help explain why ambitious politicians would switch parties, given the known risks of changing party affiliation.

scholarly journals Candidacy Eligibility Criteria and Party Unity

2020 ◽  
Vol 53 (8) ◽  
pp. 1298-1325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jochen Rehmert
Keyword(s):  
Original Data ◽  
Candidate Selection ◽  
Roll Call ◽  
Selection Methods ◽  
Roll Call Vote ◽  
Eligibility Criteria ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Legislative Voting ◽  
Industrial Democracies ◽  
Formal Requirements

Extant research suggests that candidate selection methods can be consequential for party unity in legislative voting. Yet thus far, only variations in the selectorate and the degree of centralization have been examined. This article argues that Candidacy Eligibility Criteria (CEC), too, have implications for party unity. I theorize that with stricter formal requirements, parties avoid adverse selection and ensure the nomination of committed candidates. By using roll-call vote data from 16 industrial democracies, candidate surveys and an original data set consisting of nearly 500 historical party constitutions, I show that parties demanding prior membership and nudging aspirants to maintain networks within the party tend to be more unified in parliamentary voting. Moreover, their candidates, too, express greater loyalty when compared with parties without formal CEC. Thus, this article contributes to the literatures on party unity and on candidate selection by showing how certain party rules, hitherto neglected, affect party unity.

Waking Up in the Poll Booth

2009 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 901-910
Author(s):  
Robert E. Goodin ◽  
James Mahmud Rice
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
United Kingdom ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
The Past ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Waking Up

Judging from Gallup Polls in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia, opinion often changes during an election campaign. Come election day itself, however, opinion often reverts back nearer to where it was before the campaign began. That that happens even in Australia, where voting is compulsory and turnout is near-universal, suggests that differential turnout among those who have and have not been influenced by the campaign is not the whole story. Inspection of individual-level panel data from 1987 and 2005 British General Elections confirms that between 3 and 5 percent of voters switch voting intentions during the campaign, only to switch back toward their original intentions on election day. One explanation, we suggest, is that people become more responsible when stepping into the poll booth: when voting they reflect back on the government's whole time in office, rather than just responding (as when talking to pollsters) to the noise of the past few days' campaigning. Inspection of Gallup Polls for UK snap elections suggests that this effect is even stronger in elections that were in that sense unanticipated.

scholarly journals What Determines the Financial and Insurance Services Exports: The Case of the United Kingdom

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 1071-1081
Author(s):  
Emmanouil Karakostas
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Essential Element ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
State Intervention ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Almost All

The financial sector is a very basic pillar of the international financial system. Almost all countries of the present international economic system participate in international financial services. Today's era, due to intense globalization, constant capital movements, continuous commercial integration and the ever-increasing financial interconnection, have made financial and insurance services an essential element of the present reality. The financial sector is an industry that is very 'sensitive' to the macroeconomic and political stability of countries. This means that countries that are considered unstable cannot have a positive impact on their financial activities. One country that has a strong position in the financial sector is the United Kingdom (UK). The question that can be asked is this: what are the factors that determine the optimal functioning of financial and insurance activities. One answer could be the strong financial institutions of a country. Another answer is the corruption indicator. Or even the existence of intervention by the state apparatus in the financial functions. Of course, these factors must have tangible proof of the functioning of the economy. State intervention, for example, does not entirely mean that it is dysfunctional. This study will seek to create a framework for the analysis of financial services factors. The methodology applied is The Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares (OLS).

scholarly journals Eksistensi Atraksi Pariwisata Di Daya Tarik Wisata Toya Devasya Kintamani (Suatu Studi Pustaka)

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 387
Author(s):  
Ni Made Ayuk Putriani ◽  
I Gusti Agung Oka Mahagangga
Keyword(s):  
Local Community ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Tourist Attraction ◽  
Literature Study ◽  
Qualitative And Quantitative ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
International Tourist ◽  
Data Source ◽  
Multiple Impact

           Toya devasya is tourist attraction located ini Kintamani subdistrict, Bangli regency. Domestic tourist and international tourist very interested with toya devasya, we should give an appreciation due to management, strategy and travel products, toya devasya felt very fast to built its identity, very interesting and give multiple impact to the local community. Toursm activities have very interesting that sustainability must be pursued. Secondary sources show that the management has made a good effort to manage and establish harmony with the local community. This situation must be pursued for the sustainability of tourism development Method of this research is literature study and the data are qualitative and quantitative, the data source is secondary data by using article tourism science, book and the internet source. The results obtained is the toursm activitiy has not had a positive impact to the local community and the management seem like they are not involved the community in making a decisions, policy maker, to get a benefit from toursm activities. Keywords: Exsistence, tourist attraction, Local Community, Toya Devasya

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