scholarly journals A SEIRD Model for Control of COVID-19: Case of Azerbaijan

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 01001
Author(s):  
Tarana Aliyeva ◽  
Ulviyya Rzayeva ◽  
Reyhan Azizova

Research background: The study uses the key parameters of the spread of the epidemic, dividing the population into several groups S - susceptible, E - exposed, I - infectious, R - recovered, D - dead. It is found that the model behaves differently depending on the R₀ indicator - the average number of people that one infected manages to infect. Measures to suppress the epidemic undertaken by Azerbaijan and their effectiveness have been considered. Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to model the current dynamics of the disease for future forecasting. The model takes into account all the main parameters of the epidemic: the proportion of severe patients and the mortality rate depending on the age of the patients, the duration of the incubation period and the infectious phase of the disease; incomplete registration of infected people due to the high prevalence of asymptomatic disease and insufficient testing; possible measures to contain and suppress the epidemic and their impact on R₀. Methods: The article uses the linear regression method, which consists in finding estimates of unknown parameters and the formation of a functional relationship between the sickness rate and the factors determining it. Findings & Value added: The constructed model analyzes the growth of patients in the country after removing the restrictive measures taken in early May on the basis of real statistics.

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine Christine

<p><em>This research attempted to analyze the leverage between EVA, ROA, ROE, EPS with stock return of the 12 sample companies. The 12 sample companies are the companies that included in LQ-45 at the Indonesia Stock Exchange within period of 2005 to 2007. First, this research computes the score of EVA, ROA, ROE, EPS from each of the companies. To analyze the leverage using linear regression method with stock return as a dependent variable and EVA, ROA, ROE, EPS each as a independent variable. And then comparing the results from the linear regression which method has the greater number of R Square. Also using regression method with stock return as a dependent variable and EVA, ROA, ROE, EPS together as independent variable, then analyzing the results from the regression such as multi collinierity, autocorellation, heteroscedasticity, and normality.  </em></p><p>Key Words: <em>Economic Value Added (EVA), Return on Asset (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), Earnings pro Share (EPS), LQ-45 Stock Index.</em></p>


Author(s):  
Abdulelah Hussin Alzulfah, Adel Gharib

The purpose of this study was to measure the effect of the application of VAT on financial performance in a sample of companies operating in the sectors (retailing of luxury goods, food fragmentation, agriculture and transportation). Linear regression method was used to measure relationship and effect by using STATA in standard analysis and economic models and appreciation. The study found that the financial variables (sales volume, company size, value added tax) accounted for 0.36% of the change in the value of the value added tax. ROA, while 0.64 is the effect of other factors. Based on the results of the study, the study reached several recommendations, the most important of which was to conduct extensive economic studies related to the effect of value added on the indicators of profitability, liquidity and other financial indicators in all Saudi companies so that the results can be generalized. Companies must also develop manufacturing and marketing strategies that mitigate the impact of VAT, so that they can increase sales and maintain their usual profit levels.


Author(s):  
Mohammad Shohidul Islam ◽  
Sultana Easmin Siddika ◽  
S M Injamamul Haque Masum

Rainfall forecasting is very challenging task for the meteorologists. Over the last few decades, several models have been utilized, attempting the successful analysing and forecasting of rainfall. Recorded climate data can play an important role in this regard. Long-time duration of recorded data can be able to provide better advancement of rainfall forecasting. This paper presents the utilization of statistical techniques, particularly linear regression method for modelling the rainfall prediction over Bangladesh. The rainfall data for a period of 11 years was obtained from Bangladesh Meteorological department (BMD), Dhaka i.e. that was surface-based rain gauge rainfall which was acquired from 08 weather stations over Bangladesh for the years of 2001-2011. The monthly and yearly rainfall was determined. In order to assess the accuracy of it some statistical parameters such as average, meridian, correlation coefficients and standard deviation were determined for all stations. The model prediction of rainfall was compared with true rainfall which was collected from rain gauge of different stations and it was found that the model rainfall prediction has given good results.


Author(s):  
Raudhatul Hidayah

The main purpose of the research was to know partially the influence of institutional ownership, collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size on dividend payout ratio in firms that listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange of 2010–2011 period. The other purpose is to know simultaneously the influence of institutional ownership, collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size on dividend payout ratio in firms that listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange of 2010–2011 period. The population of this research was all the firms that listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange of 2010-2011 period namely, 136 in number. The sample, 27 firms, was taken by the use of purposive sampling method. The technique of data collection used was documentation.  The data analysis made use of multiple linear regression method. The results showed that partially institutional ownership had a positive and significant effect to dividend policy. Collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size partially was not significant to dividend policy. Simultaneously institutional ownership, collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size had a positive and significant effect to dividend payout ratio.


Author(s):  
Raudhatul Hidayah

The main purpose of the research was to know partially the influence of institutional ownership, collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size on dividend payout ratio in firms that listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange of 2010-2011 period. The other purpose is to know simultaneously the influence of institutional ownership, collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size on dividend payout ratio in firms that listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange of 2010-2011 period. The population of this research was all the firms that listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange of 2010-2011 period namely, 136 in number. The sample, 27 firms, was taken by the use of purposive sampling method. The technique of data collection used was documentation. The data analysis made use of multiple linear regression method. The results showed that partially institutional ownership had a positive and significant effect to dividend policy. Collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size partially was not significant to dividend policy. Simultaneously institutional ownership, collateralizable assets, debt to total assets and firm size had a positive and significant effect to dividend payout ratio.


1988 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 1134-1140
Author(s):  
Martin Breza ◽  
Peter Pelikán

It is suggested that for some transition metal hexahalo complexes, the Eg-(a1g + eg) vibronic coupling model is better suited than the classical T2g-(a1g + eg) model. For the former, alternative model, the potential constants in the analytical formula are evaluated from the numerical map of the adiabatic potential surface by using the linear regression method. The numerical values for 29 hexahalo complexes of the 1st row transition metals are obtained by the CNDO/2 method. Some interesting trends of parameters of such Jahn-Teller-active systems are disclosed.


2012 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 1809-1813
Author(s):  
Dai Yu Zhang ◽  
Bao Wei Song ◽  
Zhou Quan Zhu

The accuracy assessment of weapon system is always a complex engineering. How to make the most of the information given in only a few tests and obtain reasonable estimate is always a problem. Based on the fuzzy theory and grey theory, a grey linear regression method is presented. From the numerical example, we can see that this method provides an easy access to deal with data in small sample case and may have potential use in the analysis of weapon performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 330-334
Author(s):  
Novita Ria Lase ◽  
Fristi Riandari

The problem of the SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru school is to predict how many facilities that need to be provided for new students such as chairs, tables and others. This study discusses the prediction of the number of new student registrants at SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru based on the amount of tuition fees using a simple linear regression method. From a commercial point of view, the use of data mining can be used to handle the explosion of data volumes, using computational techniques can be used to produce information needed which is an asset that can increase the competitiveness of an institution. Prediction is almost the same as classification and estimation, except that in the prediction the value of the results will be in the future. This system can be used to predict the number of applicants in the following year to help the school. The advantage is that this simple linear regression method is very simple so that it is easy to calculate and use. Saves the time needed to solve problems, especially those that are very complex.


2019 ◽  
Vol 164 ◽  
pp. 681-689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariusz Zapadka ◽  
Mateusz Kaczmarek ◽  
Bogumiła Kupcewicz ◽  
Przemysław Dekowski ◽  
Agata Walkowiak ◽  
...  

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