scholarly journals Forecast and interpretation of daily affected people during 21 days lockdown due to COVID 19 pandemic in India

Author(s):  
Achintya Bhattacharyya ◽  
Dipak Bhowmik ◽  
Joy Mukherjee

AbstractThe problem of facing difficulty to control the spreading of newly detected novel corona virus 2019 is a matter of attention throughout the whole world. The total numbers of infected individuals have already crossed 2 million throughout the world. The government of all the affected countries have already taken many measures like lockdown to stop the spread. Therefore, it is important to study the nature of growth and interpretations are necessary for taking needful by the government. In this paper, we have tried to interpret the spreading capability of novel corona virus in India taking into consideration of 21 days lockdown data. The prediction is based on the present number of available cases and number of new cases reporting daily. We have explained the number of infected people in India comparing with Italy, China, Spain, and USA data of 21 days individually after announcing lockdown. The plot of daily new cases with the number of days spent after lockdown is fitted by linear and polynomial function. The best fitted graph is chosen for interpretation and that is based on the parameters obtained from fitting. The forecast of maximum spreading possibility is discussed with linear and 4-degree polynomial fitting parameters. Finally, some further preventive measurements are also discussed.

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (SPL1) ◽  
pp. 1110-1115
Author(s):  
Sneha Chhapare ◽  
Roshna Sukhdeoji Bhutada

Now COVID-19 has been declared as the pandemic disease, i.e. global health emergency by . Till 13/4/20 number of people got affected is 18,64,629 and 1,15,286 death all over the world. Rate of infection is increasing with passing days not only in India but in other countries also. The viruses are and causing severe respiratory diseases in human. In India till 13/4/20, infected people are above 9,352 and death pole crosses 324. Today everyone is known with the name of this disease, but simultaneously the detailed review and precaution measures should also be known to control or stop the further spread. To study COVID-19, the pandemic situations. To explore the origin and spread of the corona virus and COVID-19. The and treatment on it. Interventions by government. Awareness about the disease and pandemic. The data was collected from different websites, news, books and articles. Even after the disease become pandemic, many people are unknown with the facts, the severity of global health outbreaks, precautions to take and importance of intervention by the government as about quarantine and lock down. This review study reaches up to all the facts regarding COVID-19, and it's pandemic to spread more awareness.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-143
Author(s):  
Rif’at Ayu Wijdan Irham ◽  
A. Khawarizmi Siregar ◽  
Hasse Jubba

This paper aims to see how the response of Muslims and the government related to the Covid-19 pandemic that occurred throughout the world. This research is a qualitative study of document studies using sources consisting of publications. Muslims believe in this pandemic originating from Allah SWT, but Muslims are expected not to react to it too much and make this phenomenon to increase the capital of God for the Almighty God, Islamic jurisprudence can help find solutions to overcome it. Covid-19 Pandemic. The government as a leader in this country has implemented a policy related to the reduction of Covid-19. Many people who respond to the policies set by the government do not believe also because they oppose the government because of the lack of education by the government and Indonesian religious leaders.


2021 ◽  
Vol 03 (02) ◽  
pp. 201-218
Author(s):  
Kifah Yahya Saleh AL-ASKARI ◽  
Omar Majid ABDUL-ANI

The world is suffering from the emerging coronavirus (Covid-19), which has spread to most countries of the world in the current period. There is no doubt that all human beings have been directly and indirectly affected by this pandemic, as the number of infected people reached nearly two million, and the deaths exceeded two hundred thousand cases. The research problem can be summarized by the following question: What are the scenarios for dealing with e-learning in light of the Corona crisis? The current research is determined by scenarios dealing with e-learning during the era of the Corona virus, and there are several scenarios for dealing with e-learning in light of the Corona virus in the world, the most famous of which are: The United Nations 2 - China 3 - Britain 4 - Italy 5 - The Emirates Model.


2019 ◽  
Vol 73 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-143 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milorad Mirilovic ◽  
Nada Tajdic ◽  
Branislav Vejnovic ◽  
Spomenka Djuric ◽  
Nikola Mirilovic ◽  
...  

Introduction. Trichinellosis is a disease in humans caused by parasites of the genus Trichinella, and these roundworms can occur in a variety of animals (over one hundred mammal species). Members of the genus Trichinella are present in almost all continents and in all climate zones. Intensive studies on the eradication of this disease have been going on for a long period, but despite the finances invested in research projects, trichinellosis is still present in the 21st century and poses a major health issue all over the world. According to current scientific estimations, there are over 27 million Trichinellainfected people in the world. The aim of our study was to determine the distribution and trends for Trichinella infection in pigs and trichinellosis in humans in Serbia between 1994 and 2018. Materials and Methods. Data for the 25-year surveillance period of Trichinella cases registered in pigs and humans in Serbia was gathered from the Veterinary Directorate and from the Institute of Public Health of the Republic of Serbia. The data obtained was analysed with the relative numbers of structure and dynamics, indices and descriptive statistical indicators. Results and Conclusions. During the research period, 14,837 pigs were diagnosed as infected with Trichinella. Out of this number, 87.31% of pigs were identified in the five epizootiological regions, and only 12.69% were diagnosed in the non-epizootiological regions in Serbia. During the period 1994-2018 in Serbia, a total of 6,850 people were treated for Trichinella infection. Out of this number, 4,153 (60.63%) people were from the five epizootiological regions. The trend-line describing the presence of Trichinella in pigs was defined by a fourth degree polynomial function. Meanwhile, the trend-line describing the presence of trichinellosis in humans was defined by a sixth degree polynomial function. Trichinellosis in Serbia is most common during the winter season, from December to March.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mukharom Mukharom ◽  
Havis Aravik

AbstractThis study discusses the corona virus that occurred in parts of the world, including Indonesia to find solutions in the form of policies issued by the government, with reference to events in the time of the Prophet Muhammad, including his policy in dealing with outbreaks in the masses, this research is descriptive qualitative using primary and secondary data related to the history of the Prophet Muhammad in solving infectious disease cases. The results of this study indicate that the corona virus outbreak was not much different from the conditions in the mass of the Prophet Muhammad, by the presence of the bubonic plague and leprosy at that time. The policy is to quarantine the area both inside and outside the area, so it does not spread. In the current context, related to Covid 19 cases, lockdown or social distance solutions, including finding the anti-virus immediately, so that it can treat and stop its spread. Keywords: Policy, Viruses, Corona, Lockdown. Social distance. Abstrak Penelitian ini membahas tentang Virus corona yang terjadi di belahan dunia, termasuk Indonesia untuk menemukan solusi dalam bentuk kebijakan yang dikeluarkan oleh pemerintah, dengan merujuk pada kejadian di masa Rasulullah Muhammad, termasuk kebijakannya dalam mengatasi wabah pada massa itu, penelitian ini bersifat deskriptif kualitatif dengan menggunakan data primer dan sekunder yang berhubungan dengan sejarah Nabi Muhammad dalam menyelesaikan kasus penyakit menular. Hasil penelitian ini memperlihatkan bahwa wabah virus corona tidak jauh beda dengan kondisi di massa Rasulullah Muhammad Saw, dengan adanya wabah pes dan lepra pada saat itu. Kebijakannya adalah melakukan karantina wilayah baik ke dalam maupun keluar wilayah, sehingga tidak menyebar. Dalam konteks saat ini, terkait kasus covid 19, lokckdown atau social distance solusinya, termasuk segera menemukan anti virusnya, sehingga dapat mengobati dan menghentikan penyebarannya.Kata Kunci: Kebijakan, Virus, Corona, Lockdown. Social distance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-146
Author(s):  
Desy Tri Anggarini ◽  
Ani Rakhmanita

WHO establishes coronavirus (coronavirus disease, COVID-19), as the Public Health Anxiety of the World on January 30, 2020. The increase in countries affected by the Covid-19 virus is widespread throughout the world such as America, Spain and Italy making the world economic situation even more get worse. Some institutions predict the weakening of the world economy. The contraction of the global economy is still ongoing, uncertainty in the global financial markets has declined as the sluggish spread of COVID-19. The limitation of economic activity as a step for handling COVID-19 risks reducing global economic growth in 2020. Research on Government Policy for  Economic Recovery and handling  COVID-19 Virus in Indonesia, taking stimulus from fiscal and monetary policies undertaken by the Bank Indonesian , Ministry of Finance and Regulations Government 2020, with descriptive qualitative research methods using secondary data such as literature books, review studies from the internet and policies from the government and related ministries. The results of this study have carried out monetary policy through Bank Indonesia, and fiscal policy through the Ministry of finance and supported by Government Regulation of the Republic of Indonesia Number 23 of 2020 concerning the Implementation of the National Economic Recovery Program in the Context of Supporting State Financial Policies for Handling the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) and / or Facing Threats That Harm National Economy and / or Financial System Stability and Save the National Economy. Keywords: Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Covid -19, Corona Virus


2022 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-113
Author(s):  
Riska Hediya Putri ◽  
Feri Kameliawati ◽  
Surmiasih Surmiasih ◽  
Inggit Primadevi

ABSTRAK Pandemi Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) mewabah ke seluruh dunia sejak awal tahun 2020 dan membawa dampak yang signifikan bagi kehidupan manusia di seluruh dunia. Wilayah di tanah air memberlakukan PSBB (Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar) yang menyebabkan sekolah dan tempat kerja diliburkan, kegiatan keagamaan atau ibadah bersama dibatasi dan kegiatan-kegiatan di tempat umum atau fasilitas publik juga dibatasi. Menilik himbauan dari pemerintah agar masyarakat tetap tinggal di rumah dan menjaga jarak sosial atau social distancing yang saat ini istilahnya diubah menjadi physical distancing oleh WHO. Physical distancing adalah hal yang hampir tidak mungkin dilakuakan oleh anak usia dini sebab dunia anak adalah dunia bermain dengan kecenderungan anak untuk berinteraksi secara langsung. Metode kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat ini dilakukan dengan terapi bermain ular tangga. Tujuan kegiatan ini memberi pengertian kepada anak tentang adaptasi kebiasan baru melalui cara yang menyenangkan, salah satunya melalui terapi bermain. Perbedaan pengetahuan anak sebelum dan sesudah kegiatan pendidikan kesehatan dengan media bermain ular tangga dan lebih berpengaruh dalam peningkatan pengetahuan dan sikap anak mengenai 3M, terutama pada pertanyaan tanda dan gejala corona virus dan penting tidaknya memakai masker, adanya peningkatan presentasi sekitar 67%. Oleh karena itu terapi bermain ular tangga lebih banyak memberikan rangsangan terhadap anak dan sesuai dengan keinginan anak yakni bermain. Kata Kunci: Covid-19, New Normal, Terapi Bermain  ABSTRACT Coronavirus Disease Pandemic 2019 (COVID-19) has spread to the world since the beginning of 2020 and has had a significant impact on human life around the world. Areas in the country impose PSBB (Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar) that cause schools and workplaces to be closed, religious activities or worship together are restricted and activities in public places or public facilities are also restricted. Considering the appeal from the government for people to stay at home and maintain social distance or social distancing which is currently the term changed to physical distancing by WHO. Physical distancing is almost impossible for early childhood to do because the world of children is a world of play with a tendency for children to interact directly. This method of community service activities is done with therapy playing snake ladder. The purpose of this activity gives understanding to children about the adaptation of new habits through fun ways, one of which is through play therapy. Differences in children's knowledge before and after health education activities with the medium of playing snake ladder and more influential in increasing the child's knowledge and attitude about 3M, especially on the question of signs and symptoms of corona virus and the importance of not wearing a mask, there was an increase in presentation of about 67%. Therefore, the therapy of playing snakes stairs provides more stimulation to the child and in accordance with the child's wishes, namely, play. Keywords: Covid-19, New Normal, Play Therapy


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mewa Artika Sura' Paembonan

Dunia saat ini sedang menghadapi pandemi yang disebabkan oleh SARS-CoV-2 (virus Corona) dan infeksinya yang disebut COVID-19. Infeksi virus ini awalnya ditemukan di Wuhan, Cina pada Desember 2019 dan telah menyebar dengan cepat ke berbagai belahan dunia. Di awal kemunculannya, virus ini mendapat beragam respons yang muncul dari masyarakat Indonesia. Sebagian mulai berhati-hati dan menerapkan pola hidup sehat, tetapi lebih banyak yang tidak peduli dan terkesan meremehkan; bahkan menjadikan virus ini sebagai bahan candaan. . Bahkan ketika COVID-19 mulai menyebar dengan cepat ke berbagai daerah dan beberapa negara telah menutup akses keluar masuk, pemerintah dan warga Indonesia masih terkesan santai dan kurang melakukan tindakan pencegahan terhadap virus ini. Dengan munculnya berbagai masalah karena adanya pandemi Covid-19 yang dimana salah satunya adalah dalam melakukan berbagai kegiatan rohani, peraturan yang dikeluarkan oleh pemerintah dalam membatasi banyak kegiatan yang termasuk adalah ibadah yang dilaksanakan di rumah masing-masing. Abstract The world is currently facing a pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 (Corona virus) and its infection called COVID-19. This viral infection was originally discovered in Wuhan, China in December 2019 and has spread rapidly to various parts of the world. At the beginning of its appearance, this virus received various responses from the Indonesian people. Some started to be careful and adopt a healthy lifestyle, but more people did not care and seemed to be belittling; even making this virus a joke. . Even when COVID-19 began to spread rapidly to various regions and several countries had closed access in and out, the government and Indonesian citizens still seemed relaxed and did not take precautions against this virus. With the emergence of various problems due to the Covid-19 pandemic, one of which is carrying out various spiritual activities, regulations issued by the government limit many activities including worship that is carried out in their respective homes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 111-116

Kenya is one of those countries in the world suffering from the deadly Corona virus and its economy is greatly affected. There is therefore a need for the Kenyan government to put measures in place to break the chain of spreading the virus by enforcing nationwide curfew, boarder lockdown of the most affected counties and stay and work from home measures. The Ministry of health alongside its stakeholders had to quickly set up various mechanisms to counter the disease. The government took drastic steps to curb the spread of the pandemic by closing down learning institutions, entertainment joints, eateries and public gathering including funerals. Church services and weddings were temporarily banned too. This was to break the chain and reduce the spread of the virus and if possible completely eliminate the Covid-19 in the country. Due to the urgency of the matter, leaders needed to embrace new ways of doing things and have a vision clearly spelt and well understood approach. On the other hand, leaders in charge of communication needed to verify their facts and not be too quick to call for press conferences to ensure that channels of communications were open to all in order to avoid speculations that results in lack of trust if things are not done in a transparent way.


Author(s):  
Md. Lutfor Rahman Shimanta ◽  
Hridoy Gope ◽  
Israt Jahan Sumaiya

The outbreak of Corona Virus effected negatively on the world’s economy which has already touched the maximum sectors. Readymade garments sector has the large contribution in Bangladesh’s economy. For increasing the locked down period, it is hitting badly by stopping production and cancellation of orders with some issues. This paper will represent the brief scenario and impacts of garments sector in recent days and the economy status of Bangladesh for the pandemic. The study is based on secondary data, collected from different authentic journals and web portals etc. Bangladesh’s garments earnings mostly depended on export but on these days, the buyers are cancelling their orders and the factories are being failed to give payments to the worker, some are being shut down also. As the duration of locked down is increasing, there is a huge chance to get unemployed and Bangladesh can be faced an undisciplined condition in near future. BGMEA and BKMEA are taking necessary steps to support the worker. Ensuring health security, the authorities are trying to reopen the factories limitedly to meet up the immediate needs. The government has taken the situation on most priority and introduce some improvement packages to run the economy smoothly and reduce the losses of the country for the pandemic.


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